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BTC is a victim of liquidity problems
BTCUSD
, 240
BTCUSD: BTC is a victim of liquidity problems

Morning folks, So, we've planned just perfect last time, and BTC actually has dropped but much faster than we thought. It was not even able to form the right arm of H&S pattern and collapsed. But don't search the explanation on cryptomarket. The reasons are more pragmatic - short-term liquidity fall in the US. First is BofA collapse yesterday, then SOFR rate...

63K and 68.75K to watch
BTCUSD
, 240
Long
BTCUSD: 63K and 68.75K to watch

Greetings everybody, Just on Thu we've decided to be cautious about any bearish positions as market was behaving not typical, BTC has made drastic changes on Friday. A lot of bullish signs now. It means that currently we have bullish context. Our nearest target is 68.75K. Meantime, market has hit local 4H H&S target and now shows the response. Here 63K looks...

Watching for the same 60.5K area
BTCUSD
, 60
BTCUSD: Watching for the same 60.5K area
Updated 

Morning folks, So, the plan that we've prepared last week mostly stands the same. In fact, BTC has decided first to complete upside nearest AB=CD target, and starts retracement second. So, although we were waiting for pullback on previous week, it is starting only now. Here, on 1H chart you could see potential H&S pattern. We do not call you to trade it,...

60.50K for long entry
BTCUSD
, 60
Long
BTCUSD: 60.50K for long entry

Morning folks, So, 57.40 K-support worked well, together with our H&S pattern in a whole. Fed decision should have moderately positive effect on BTC. Technically, bullish context also holds. Now 57.40 area is becoming our invalidation point. Next upside target stands around 65-65.5K top, based on our H&S pattern. For next long position, 60-60.5K support looks...

Watching for 57-57.5K level
BTCUSD
, 240
BTCUSD: Watching for 57-57.5K level

Morning folks, So, upside target of last week around 60.5K is done, H&S worked very nice. Now, I suppose, it makes sense to wait a bit and see what will happen around 57-57.5K support area. Reason is simple. Technically BTC keeps door open for both scenarios. Supposedly the Fed statement should be dovish and supportive to BTC, but only if they either change...

Pullback to 60.3K
BTCUSD
, 240
BTCUSD: Pullback to 60.3K

Morning folks, Probably I should make it as an update of previous idea... anyway... BTC shows upside bounce from the 1st 52K target. The pullback obviously is taking shape of reverse H&S pattern. Thus, the setup #1 for scalp bulls. You could think about this pattern, and its target around 60.3K For the bears it is nothing so far. You should watch for 2 moments...

50.60K
BTCUSD
, 240
Short
BTCUSD: 50.60K

Morning folks, So, BTC was so weak that even was not able to form the H&S pattern. Not as bad job data just pushed it below the floor... There are a few bearish signs exist now on higher time frames as well... So, obviously we do not consider by far any long positions. Maybe everything is not as bad yet to consider 44K downside target on 4H chart but... here...

The same H&S plan
BTCUSD
, 240
Long
BTCUSD: The same H&S plan

Morning everybody, actually I'm not sure that we need the "new trading idea" here, because this is just update on existed one. Everything goes with the plan. Now BTC comes to the neckline, and intraday bulls could start watching for small 15-min reversal patterns to make a decision on long entry. Target is the same - 61-62K, the top of right arm of our H&S...

61-62K for short entry
BTCUSD
, 240
Short
BTCUSD: 61-62K for short entry

Morning folks, BTC was not able to escape mass revision of public opinion, concerning next Fed move. Not occasionally last time we've expressed doubts that BTC could reach 67K target. Here we will not speak about all bearish signs that we see. To keep it short we have big bearish engulfing on weekly chart which makes us think that H&S pattern on 4H chart is very...

Is it really to 67K now?
BTCUSD
, 240
BTCUSD: Is it really to 67K now?

Morning folks, So, we've got what we wanted - BTC dropped and not only to 61K but slightly lower, to 59.5K. The major question now is whether we indeed will go to 67K or deeper retracement comes? In fact, riddle is relatively simple. BTC now stands at strong intraday Fib support area. To keep bullish context, it has to go up right from here. In this case...

61-67K move
BTCUSD
, 120
Long
BTCUSD: 61-67K move

Morning folks, So, the 1st target is done. In general we could start speaking about next target around 67K immediately, but, 64K is also daily 5/8 Fib resistance. So, naturally market shows the pullback in similar situations. That's why we look at 61K support area form possible next long entry with mentioned target...

64.5K
BTCUSD
, 120
Long
BTCUSD: 64.5K

Morning folks, So, from indecision last time, situation is becoming a bit more clear. Now, based on market performance we suggest that short-term sentiment is bullish. Wyoming could bring surprises of course, but in general its results are dovish-skewed, which means supportive to BTC. BTC starts forming clear shape of round bottom. We consider 64.5K as nearest...

Indecision situation
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: Indecision situation

Morning folks, So, pullback that we've discussed on Thu has happened. But now we have two equal patterns on daily chart but in opposite directions. Our elder bearish grabber and new one on the bullish side. If you conservative enough - it would be better to stay aside and wait for clarity. We suggest that bearish pattern looks a bit better, just because of...

Keeping the same scenario
BTCUSD
, 120
Short
BTCUSD: Keeping the same scenario

Morning folks, Last time we said - no longs until bearish daily grabber is valid. So, it is still valid. But if you do not want to wait when situation will be resolved, or by any other reason you would like to buy - here is the life hack. ;) On 1H chart we have clear "222" buy shape with 56.70K target and strong K-support area. So you could try this strong area...

No longs until 63K is taken
BTCUSD
, 1D
Short
BTCUSD: No longs until 63K is taken

Morning folks, So, Thursday plan worked nice - market was around 63K. Now situation is a bit tricky. First is, geopolitical situation is coming to the boiling point. Any activation in Iran will make negative impact on BTC, besides [b ]we have bearish grabber on 10-year bonds , suggesting drop back to 3.65% level. So geopolitical worryings are not in vain....

44K or 62K
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: 44K or 62K

Greetings everybody, So, bounce that we've discussed last time is started. And BTC is already at the 1st Fib resistance area of 57K. On intraday chart we have AB-CD pattern with the target around 63.2K that perfectly Agrees with next 5/8 Fib level at 62K area. If market will fail to break 57K up, we do not exclude appearing of downside butterfly and attempt to...

57-59K to sell
BTCUSD
, 1D
Long
BTCUSD: 57-59K to sell

Morning folks, Wow, we've talked about just 60-61K pullback, but BTC just collapsed and has become once again the victim of sell-off. Investors sell "bad assets" to plug holes in balances of "good assets". And from this point of view - BTC is a "Holy cow" of this process. Besides, when 30% of the market is controlled by ETF, I wouldn't be surprised by any...

Watching for 59-60K area
BTCUSD
, 240
Long
BTCUSD: Watching for 59-60K area

Morning folks, So, retracement that we've discussed on Mon is started, although we thought it will be from 71K area. But M. East escalation has triggered sell-off in risky assets, and even J. Powell comments was not able to support the market. Now, although our 3-Drive pattern still seems theoretical possible, chances stand in favor our 2nd pattern - H&S. So,...

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