StockSignaler

StockSignaler

Here is the current forecast assuming Minor wave 4 completed at today’s high. The original bottom of Intermediate wave 5 based on all data acquired at the end of Intermediate wave 4 is on the right. The short, long blue box was the original forecasted low based on my derivative modeling. The current forecasted levels based on possible Minor wave 5 data points are...

StockSignaler Updated 

Assuming Minor wave C finished Intermediate wave 4 on Tuesday, next stop is the end of Intermediate wave 5 down. All models and the derivative analysis points to a very quick drop. Preliminary target bottom is 4179 before the Fed meeting. The full, yet narrow target bottom is the white box below. Once Primary wave 1 is finished (Intermediate wave 5 ends it), the...

StockSignaler

Target boxes are based on derivative analysis of historical waves performance. This will be the first use and test of the new analytical toolset. According to the tool, Intermediate wave 4 does not have much room for the top, looks like ceiling is 4402, which is less than originally expected. Next reversal point will be a low around 4180 which is much higher than...

StockSignaler Updated 

Last night's analysis of forecasting Minute wave B said models liked it at 4 hours long, secondary agreement at 6, and third was 3 hours. It was only 2 hours old at that time of writing. If Minute B was the top today it finished at 5 hours old. The top was 40 cents above the prior high, which can only happen in a B wave which does not help rule a scenario...

StockSignaler Updated 

Looks like Minor wave A likely finished today, next up is Minor wave B. Models point to 18-22 hours of possible duration which will likely see the bottom on Thursday. There are a three pockets of interest for the bottom. I used the green box (4281-4294) for the more conservative zone, yellow (4255-4275) for the more aggressive zone and my target is the white box...

StockSignaler Updated 

As a future learning lesson, the below image signaled wave 3 of 3 of 3, wave 3 of 3, and the beginning of the end of Intermediate wave 3 as soon as the Intermediate wave 3 signal ended, I should have known Intermediate wave 3 was over as historically this is the signal. The bottom was inline with historical endpoints, however, I expected it to go about 50-70...

StockSignaler

Today’s break below 4238 all but sealed the deal on Minor wave 4 going up higher. Most likely path now is the index is well into Minor wave 5 en route to the bottom below 4130 in the coming days. Some signs that Intermediate wave 3 does not have much more to decline is the multiple wave 3 signals visible on the Daily chart. A gap between wave 3 signals indicates...

StockSignaler Updated 

Current assumption is that Minute waves A and B are complete and the final Minute wave C should bring the market up early this week to complete Minor wave 4. The high for the week should occur prior the close on Tuesday. This analysis will point out the levels and locations to monitor for this event. An early peek of Intermediate wave 3’s final projection is also...

StockSignaler

Now that Minor wave 3 has likely ended (62 hours later), the index is well into Minor wave 4 up. We could even be nearing the end of Minute wave A. Historical data indicates Minor wave 4 could last 21-36 hours with a final top around 4350-4387. It is possible the index is already in Minuette wave 5 of Minute wave A inside of this Minor wave 4. Looks like Minuette...

StockSignaler

We will try to fit a few analyses into this one. First and foremost is forecasting the end of Minor wave 3 assuming Minor wave 2 ended in the first hour of trading on September 11. Based on historical models for Minor wave 3s inside of Intermediate wave 3s, the minimum movement extension was 119.45%, quartiles are 144.66%, 160.615%, and 197.56%, with a max move at...

StockSignaler

NOTE: All times eastern. Current position is SubMillennial 1, Grand Supercycle 5, Supercycle 2, Cycle C, Primary 1, Intermediate 3, and likely Minor wave 2. As we likely settle into Intermediate wave 3, it is time to find the potential end of Minor wave 1. To recap: Intermediate wave 3 (magenta/purple numbers) is comprised of 5 Minor waves. Each Minor wave (yellow...

StockSignaler

IF Intermediate wave 2 finally ended, this will serve as the current preliminary analysis for tracking Intermediate wave 3 down. Confirmation of Intermediate wave 2 ending will take at least 3 more days, so this analysis is subject to change. Based on the most specific historical models that are relationally relevant to an Intermediate wave 3, the quartile...

StockSignaler

Based on today’s open, Minute wave 4 likely lasted one hour near the end of trading yesterday. This sets the table for an earlier high in the markets today before everything should go south for the remainder of the week. Using the most specific datasets for determining Minute wave 5’s duration points to it only lasting 2 hours with secondary at 3 hours. Fourth...

StockSignaler Updated 

NOTE: All times are eastern time zone IF we are in the early stages of Intermediate wave 3, it is currently projected to last 154 to 174 hours with strongest model agreement at 168 hours. Historically, Minor wave 1s inside of Intermediate wave 3s move between 17.7%-34.14% of the larger wave’s movement. For example, if Intermediate wave 3 moves 168 hours, Minor...

StockSignaler Updated 

BLUF: Down early tomorrow, finish up for the day, next possible near-term market top on Thurday. NOTE: All times eastern. The leading theory that does not bust everything has the index possibly back in Intermediate wave 2 and near the end of it. The far-right side has the levels of interest previously identified for Intermediate wave 2’s possible movement. All...

StockSignaler Updated 

It is time again to map Intermediate wave 3 IF Intermediate wave 2 finally finished (again). Specific models point to a possible extension (pink lines) between 135.64% and 165.83% of Intermediate wave 1. Model durations could be 138, 147, 155, or 172 hours. While still specific, but slightly different wave relationship data is considered (light blue lines) next,...

StockSignaler

NOTE: All times are eastern. New assumption is Intermediate wave 3 has not begun yet. Most of the forecasts have been accurate, at least through Minor wave 3. My wave 3 indicators have also flashed at appropriate wave 3 endpoints. Today clearly confirms the index is not where I had it so going backwards and re-testing is the next step. I am first returning to...

StockSignaler Updated 

Here is the best estimate of where we could be now. Minor 4 lasted a little longer than forecasted but managed the moves up and down in line with historical models. It is possible Minute waves 1 and 2 inside of Minor wave 5 have already completed. If that is the case this is the plan for Minute wave 3. I have kept the Intermediate wave 5 levels to the far right,...