TheSwissMacroExplorer

TheSwissMacroExplorer Updated 

Story : National Bank of Greece announced a Q2 net loss a couple of days ago which sunk it's share price to an almost all time low - with not much downside left (technically), continued reduction of the bad loans in it's books and a perceived improvement in alignment of Greek policies to the EU expectations a bullish case is not hard to build. Furthermore,...

TheSwissMacroExplorer Updated 

Story : For a number of highly-discussed ab debated reasons, that do not need to be presented here, petrochemicals have seen a substantial devaluation over the course of the last 2 months. While the view from a macro-perspective remains bearish, a rebound from the recent sharp downturn would not a surprise. Note : The trades presented offer a 1 to 1.75-2.0...

TheSwissMacroExplorer

A number of string events appear to be shifting the economic landscape around the world of late. Extreme euphoria one year ago ("Economies are booming, time to raise interest rates more"), turned into panic at the end of 2018 with slowdowns across the board. The prompt support provided by US officials (is keeping markets going up their job?), made everyone forget...

TheSwissMacroExplorer Updated 

Story : The Chinese technology stock market has suffered substantially this year for a number of reasons - to put some perspective to this, XLY0 is down 19% YTD, while CQQQ is down in excess of 25%. Be it the trade war with the US, the feared slow-down of the Chinese economy or other political / geopolitical regional tensions the sector has been beaten down to...