TheodoreSilas

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy The current gold price is primarily supported by the following fundamental factors: First, US President Trump signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, bringing the cumulative tariff rate to 50%. Meanwhile, the market expects Japanese goods to face an additional 15% tariff. This series of policies has...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy Fundamental Analysis: The Macro Environment and Policy Expectations Are Intertwined From a fundamental perspective, the recent trend in gold prices is driven by multiple factors. First, rising expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate cut have become a key factor supporting gold prices. Last Friday's US non-farm payroll data, which...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy On Monday (August 4) during the Asia-Europe session, WTI fell for three consecutive days, with a drop of 1.16% today, trading around 66.55. OPEC+'s decision to increase production, coupled with geopolitical and economic policies, has jointly formed the expectation that oil prices will be "weak and volatile, dominated by downward...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy The spot gold market experienced a V-shaped reversal trend.Driven by unexpectedly weak U.S. non-farm payrolls data and risk aversion triggered by Trump's new tariff policy, gold prices rose nearly 2% on Friday to a one-week high of $3,347.66 per ounce, up 0.4% for the week. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but weak...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy Gold prices (XAU/USD) remained under pressure in Asian trading on Friday, trading below $3,300, not far from the January low reached earlier this week. Gold failed to extend its modest overnight rebound, primarily due to the strong US dollar. The Federal Reserve's latest hawkish tone has prompted a reassessment of the timeline for interest...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy International oil prices continued their upward trend on Thursday, closing higher for the fourth consecutive day, as concerns about growing global supply tightness abounded. Brent crude for September delivery rose 0.4% to $73.51 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for September delivery rose 0.5% to $70.37 a barrel, while the...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase ahead of major fundamental events. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and key data such as second-quarter GDP and the core PCE price index set to be released, traders are generally cautious. Gold has stabilized slightly after a series of declines, but a meaningful reversal has yet...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy Oil prices continued their upward trend amid rising geopolitical risks. US President Trump recently issued a tough statement, demanding Russia end the conflict with Ukraine within 10 to 12 days or face secondary sanctions. Fears that Russian crude oil exports might be disrupted pushed Brent crude oil prices close to $70 per barrel, marking...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy During the Asian trading session, gold prices rebounded slightly from $3,320, filling the short gap at the start of the new week. As investors chose to stay on the sidelines before the Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting, the bullish force of the US dollar temporarily weakened, providing support for gold, an interest-free asset. However,...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy The gold market was volatile this week, and gold prices ultimately closed lower for the week. Gold prices have failed to stabilize above $3,400 an ounce after a bullish breakout. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. Looking ahead to next week, the Fed's policy statement and US-China trade talks could trigger...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy After three consecutive days of sluggishness, both U.S. and Brent crude oil remained above the 100-day moving average on Thursday (July 24). U.S. crude oil is currently up 0.4%, trading around 65.46; Brent crude oil is currently up 0.1%, trading around US$68.67 per barrel. The three engines of trade negotiations, unexpected decline in...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy Gold's decline today means the second consecutive day of decline as investors turn their attention to more positive trade developments since yesterday. However, gold still received buying support earlier this week and briefly broke through $3,400. This round of gains tested key resistance levels on the gold daily chart, but ultimately the...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy The United States has recently made frequent moves in global tariff policies. Treasury Secretary Bensont has clearly set August 1 as a hard deadline for tariff negotiations among countries. At present, EU trade negotiations have been decoupled from the issue of sanctions against Russia and Ukraine, while Japan's negotiations are progressing...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy The Fed's monetary policy divergence has intensified. Fed Board member Waller advocates a 25 basis point rate cut in July, believing that tariff inflation is temporary; Board member Kugler insists on maintaining high interest rates to fight inflation; Chicago Fed member Goolsbee believes that the latest consumer price index data shows that...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

After gold touched 3,400, most people expected gold to fall back. This kind of rigid thinking is often out of touch with reality. During the rise, do you think it is better to short at highs or to go long on pullbacks? 💡Message Strategy This round of gold's upward movement is not accidental. Behind it are significant changes in macro fundamentals. First, the...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy Gold prices rose as expected on Friday as a weaker dollar and continued geopolitical and economic uncertainty boosted demand for safe-haven gold. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,353.25 an ounce, down 1.1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures also rose 0.4% to $3,359.70. Gold prices remained largely stable around $3,350 an ounce this...

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy Gold prices experienced a roller coaster ride on Wednesday, mainly due to a Bloomberg report that Trump was considering firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (Trump wants to cut interest rates as soon as possible and the Fed is cautious). This quickly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment, pushing gold prices up quickly by $50....

TheodoreSilas Updated 

💡Message Strategy After falling for two consecutive days, gold (XAU/USD) rebounded slightly in the Asian session on Wednesday, stabilizing above $3,320, attracting some bargain-hunting buyers. The market has paid close attention to the tariff policy that US President Trump continues to increase, and the rising risk aversion has become the core factor...