


TheodoreSilas
PremiumGood weekend everyone, this week's trading time is over, and next week's trading time will also enter the countdown. No matter how you grasp the market this week, whether happy or sad, Theo hopes that everyone will not bring your mood to the trading environment next week. After all, next week is also a new beginning of the week. In the new week, everyone...
💡Message Strategy Yesterday, Thursday, we believed that the easing of tensions in the Middle East, the cooling of market risk aversion, and the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, which believed that the possibility of rate cuts should not be overly expected, suppressed expectations of rapid rate cuts, dragged down the dollar, and jointly suppressed the...
💡Message Strategy Trump called Powell "terrible" and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace Powell. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October. The current mainstream narrative in the market is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chairman,...
💡Message Strategy Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight...
💡Message Strategy Middle East ceasefire eases supply concerns, but risk premium remains Oil prices rose more than 1% on the day as investors weighed the status of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have announced an end to hostilities, US intelligence reports show that Iran's nuclear capabilities have only been temporarily damaged. ING...
💡Message Strategy 1. The decline in gold prices is directly due to the cooling of market risk aversion caused by the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. The attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset has weakened. The ceasefire agreement is fragile. Israel and Iran have accused each other of default. Trump criticized both sides. Its sustainability...
💡Message Strategy The gold market is facing a complex game of long and short factors in the near future. On the one hand, US President Trump announced that Iran and Israel had reached a "comprehensive ceasefire", and the market's risk aversion demand plummeted, and gold was under obvious short-term pressure. However, according to Reuters, Israel still has...
💡Message Strategy The daily chart of WTI crude oil shows a 30% increase from late May to mid-June, with prices stagnating below resistance near $76. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) has been overbought since late May and is now approaching a potential buy signal below 100. Volatility peaked on June 14 and has since fallen back, suggesting that oil prices...
💡Message Strategy Trump's remarks are repeated, and the geopolitical premium still limits the downward space of oil prices Trump said that the United States "may or may not" join Israel's actions against Iran. Analysts pointed out that if the United States is officially involved in the conflict, oil prices may rise by $5; if peace talks are launched, they...
💡Message Strategy The United States has already participated in the war. On Saturday, the United States announced that it had carried out a devastating strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Iran's nuclear facilities no longer exist, and emphasized that Iran must accept peace unconditionally. After the strike, Iranian officials said that the US military bases...
💡Message Strategy According to market research, Iran's crude oil export infrastructure has not been directly hit yet, and most of the impact is still concentrated on shipping. However, analysts pointed out that once the conflict spreads to the entire region, oil prices are likely to rise further. The Strait of Hormuz has become the market's biggest...
💡Message Strategy Market dehydration news: 1. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained a stable stance on interest rates, maintaining them in the target range of 4.25% to 4.5%. The Fed expects to implement two rate cuts this year, but policymakers expect inflation to rise. They also lowered their outlook for gross domestic product...
💡Message Strategy Gold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels this week, lacking a clear direction. The Federal Reserve is about to announce its June interest rate decision. Although the market generally expects that the interest rate will remain unchanged this time, the key focus lies in the update of the dot plot and Powell's wording in the press...
💡Message Strategy Crude oil futures fell in the European session on Monday (June 16), giving up earlier gains, as a new round of hostilities between Israel and Iran had limited impact on oil production and exports. WTI briefly rebounded to $77.49, close to last week's high, which was also our second profit target, but failed to break through the key...
💡Message Strategy Gold rebounded in shock before the US market, and the market rose. Previously, gold recorded the largest single-day drop in a month (1.4%) on Monday. After the sudden situation in the Middle East and US President Trump's warning to Tehran, the market's risk aversion demand heated up again, pushing gold prices to rebound in the Asian...
💡Message Strategy Gold prices fell more than 1% as traders locked in profits after hitting an 8-week high, with attention turning to the Fed's policy decision and diplomatic signals from Iran. The move puts gold on track to form a bearish closing price reversal pattern, suggesting further consolidation if no new safe-haven demand emerges. Safe-haven demand...
📊Technical aspects Gold technicals continued the bullish unilateral oscillation upward rhythm. The daily level closed with a strong positive for three consecutive trading days. The overall price continued the bullish unilateral oscillation upward rhythm. Today, the market opened high at 3448, and the highest reached 3452 and then fell back. So far, the...
💡Message Strategy Currently trading around $70.00 a barrel during Friday's European session, crude oil prices surged on growing concerns about supply disruptions. Rising tensions in the Middle East threaten navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, a key passage for about 20% of global oil shipments. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart level, crude...