From a very well known Short-Seller in the markets I read a concerning letter this morning: "Carvana Trades At An 845% Higher Sales Multiple Than Online Car Peers Like CarMax and AutoNation, And A 754% Premium On A Forward Earnings Basis." ...ummmhh... §8-() The Chart does look very scary too. This exponential move can't sustain very long. As we see, the first...
The pattern seems to repeat. Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right. Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading...
It's not that far anymore. Price is trickling down it's path. I could imagine that near the confluence point, where the 1/4 line and the red Centerline meet, the PTG could be fulfilled. However, a crack of the red U-MLH would generate a signal for a pullback up to the white Centerline.
Trend Barrier is broken. Close below the Weekly Center-Line. There's mostly a reaction to such events, so I expect a slight weekly pullback to the upside before a complete break to the PTG1. PTG2 could be the continuation profit target mid term. Rule #1: Protect You Soldiers
The China Index A50 holds huge potential for a massive trade. The white fork projects the most likely direction the price will take. What supports this long idea is the fact that the market changed its downward behavior when it broke through the trend barrier on September 2, 2024. The expected pullback has manifested right before our eyes, so we are now at a...
Just a quick short term analysis: Price opened and closed below the Center-Line. This is a bad, very bad sign. My trades are to the South from now on. I expect a pullback to the Center-Line. A nice short opportunity, down to the red CL. Further targets would be the white 1/4 line and the L-MLH.
Since the TB is broken, we go a little sideways. Looks like someone is loading the Boat. However, if we break the red resistance, chances are very good we start to move to the North. To me this looks like a fantastic Risk/Reward. So, if it looks like a valid Trade, and it smells and behave like one, it probably IS one I should take. Let's stalk this for a break...
We got on the Rocket-Ship earlier and took profit. If you're still in with a position, or if you can manage to get in with a decent Risk/Reward, you may want to aim for the U-MLH. The Stars look good and profits are twinkling §8-) If the 1/4 line is cracked, we will see a follow-through.
It's nagging and nagging and nagging at the U-MLH, but this Cheese must be super hard. If we they are not able to eat through it, open and close above it, then the I'm on to stalk a short. PTG1 is the 1/4 line PTG2 is the Center-Line IF we open and close above the U-MLH, the target is the white Center-Line. It's simple, clear and there's not more to babble...
As mentioned in the previous analysis, we see that CL pushed back and comes right to where we expect it to go, down to the Center-Line. Our job here is to observe how it reacts in here. Support at the Center-Line, or a blow through, or swinging around it? Patience is key, and the observation time is very valuable, because we can learn from it and feed our...
P4 was a rejection at the Center-Line, the perfect short. To me the current situation commands me to add to this short. BTC is weaker and in a scary spot. MSTR also weaker and on the way to the PTG1. This time, the add to my short is not a technical signal, but a gut feeling and a combination of the current world situation. And hey, I maybe get slapped because I...
The first NVDA analysis went pretty well. Let's see what we can do from here. Over the weekend the world was going crazy once more. This knocked the markets down and they opened in the red, and so does NVDA. I would like to see a pullback to the 1/4 line. Because this would give me the chance to load the short even more. Target is the Center-Line. (Former...
According to the trading framework of the Medianlines, BTCUSD is behaving perfect. If we close below the white Center-Line, first profit target is at the 1/4 line, second is at the L-MLH. Only a reversal aka HAGOPIAN can turn the momentum from down to up. It's when price is open and close above the white Center-Line again. Turbulent times ahead...
We had a nice run so far. (see linked post) Price advances to the Centerline where the PTG2 is waiting to fill our pockets. But hey, don't be Pig! Protect profits. Trail your Stop. Take partial profits - whatever.
So far, everything played out wonderful. PTG 1 is in the books and now Gold is moving towards our second PTG. However, trailing the stop below structure is never a bad Idea. The worst that can happen is, that the trade gets stopped out in profit. Check out the whole setup at the related publications.
The Medianlines project the most probable path of price. It's not a fortunetelling tool. It's a technical tool which is based on serious statistical research. So, what I do when I use it is, using statistical proven evidence on a graphical basis, supported by a definite trading framework. Why do I pound on these information? Because it's important to understand...
The lanted green support line has a crack. It's a first indication of a turn in mid-term trend. Long term Medianline view on ZINC shows that price is battling at the L-MHL. If we get a weekly close and new open below it, it's ripe for a short. At least I will stalk it on the daily. PTG1 is the Center-Line.
Price is currently between the white centerline and the long-term support/resistance level. Since the price is near the centerline, we're seeing a kind of pullback to it. According to the Medianline framework, this is expected after trading below it. The downside target would be the orange CL, as that aligns with the organic target. However, between the...