Tr8dingN3rd

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

NQ is being pushed down, and a rebound doesn’t seem possible at the moment. There are some fundamental factors supporting this weakness. However, as a chart analyst, I focus on the signals within the chart itself. What I see is a possible target around 18,400, which aligns with the L-MLH. With the weakness of the MAG7, the Nasdaq is unlikely to make further...

Tr8dingN3rd

See how the Handle (Centerline) got touched several times? The huge downtrend from July to Jan. 25 brought a buy opportunity, which I totally missed. Now what? FOMO! hehe..yeah, kind of. Here are the long plays I think of: 1. wait for a pullback and buy it near the breakout 2. sell options (..are there good options?) 3. if good options are available, play...

Tr8dingN3rd

Gold is reacting exceptionally well to the Fork. It has not opened and closed below the L-MLH within a single bar, which eliminates any immediate downside expectations. Instead, we observe a condensed, slanted trading range or coil, indicating that price is being gradually pressed to the upside. In my previous post about Gold, I anticipated a rocket-like...

Tr8dingN3rd

Let's not make trading harder than it is. All we can do is project - or read the Coffee ground. I'll prefer to use my projections with the Medianlines, using the Fork as my main tool. The nice part with this is, that I can relay on a proven framework with rules. Adding some risk & money management to it and the soup is ready to enjoy. So, I follow the same...

Tr8dingN3rd

Double top, failed breakout of the high—call it what you will. Fact is, NVIDIA has taken a brutal hit and is now trading back inside the fork. Hagopian—what on earth is a HAGOPIAN? According to the Fork Framework rulebook, if the market fails to reach its next target (the next line, such as the centerline, lower median line parallel, etc.), it reverses and...

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

How does this look? Yep, I’m stalking a Long, just like in Gold (check out my latest Gold post). With the price sitting at the Center-Line, it might drop a bit further to the Shift-Line. Or, it could start climbing today. For me, this is a "building a position" scenario. Buy… wait… buy more when the price confirms my projection. Or bail out if it...

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

Every now and then, I like to say that greed eats brains for breakfast. In the case of MSTR, though, it seems to have state approval to do so. How else could MSTR still be kicking? There’s nothing to chart here. Nada. Zip. This is pure pump-and-dump economics born out of the "perfect storm" of circumstances. Fast money? Sure, it's fast—but definitely not...

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

A close above the white Center-Line projects higher prices to come. There are 2 scenarios I see: 1. pull-back to the white CL, then up. 2. cross above the petrol CL, further and fast continuation to the north. ...oh, there's 3rd scenario: 3. price is getting punched back below the white Center-Line again. If that comes true, price has another chance to go south,...

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

The L-MLH is a most likely support. This support is breached in Copper, and a fllow through would indicate way lower prices. What I really like in this Chart is the tiny pullback to the L-MLH, since this is totally expected after a breach of it. Arrows mark potential targets.

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

Price reached the Center-Line and is back to Balance. From here it could jump above the CL or get rejected and turn south. I would stalk a short in the Weekly/Daily time-frame.

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

That's a ...ummmhh..surprise at least. And it's crazy. I never thought this could happen. But we better shall believe, that ECH - Everything Can Happen! So, is the target reached for 2024? Nobody knows, right? But, I start to further close positions and take my profits in these Index and the correlating Markets. Don't let Greed eat your Brain §8-) As for my...

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

The **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation. Then, in February 1637, the fever...

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

Price bounced many times at the Green Support-Zone. It's the same level where the Huge Pendulums Fork Center-Line is (white-dashed). Next, we have the Yellow Fork. Price traded outside the L-MLH, bounced a couple times at the Support-Zone and eat up time. But now, I think the "Plate" is almost empty. Why? Price arrived at a decision point, a confluence point....

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

Price is back to balance at the Center-Line. From here we have a 50/50 chance that it will either shoot through it, or turn and trade in the opposite direction. My bias is short because of the overall market situation. (Partial) Target is the GAP-Fill at the L-MLH, which a Stop I can afford and not even think about it when it get hit.

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

Here's a daily view of MSTR. I expect a classical Trend-Barrier Reversal. Let's see how this plays out. Happy Christmas all §8-)

Tr8dingN3rd Updated 

Now THIS is a heck of a scary pullback! But the sime time, for me it's a gift from the trading God to Enter/Re-Enter with a start position, if not already in. Price got rejected at the 1/4 line, which I find it does often. But this doesn't mean that the party is over. The Pitchfork/Medianlines give us the projection in time. And the white Pitchfork is pointing...

Tr8dingN3rd

In the S&P 500, we observe a very similar scenario to the Nasdaq (see link to the NQ chart). It’s worth noting that we’ve seen this situation a few times before: the price traded outside the orange fork, moved back into the fork, but then left behind a "Hagopian" and shot back above it. This is irrational market behavior caused by artificial buying pressure...

Tr8dingN3rd

It hasn’t made any sense for a long time now how the markets keep climbing. Manipulation? Self-perpetuation? Honestly, who cares why. As the saying goes: “The dwarves dug too deep. And what they unearthed was their doom.” Or, in another version: “The greedy vultures flew too high, and all they found was gravity.” In the chart, we see two pitchforks: ...