Trading-Capital

Trading-Capital

China stocks have been beaten up in recent years as the US equities leave them in their wake. From hearing NVDA is larger than the entire china equity market, to China will always be in a bear market…are we finally into enough of support to see a material rally? BIDU is hitting a monthly support . This also happens as the US markets could be running into a...

Trading-Capital

If the S&P500 gets rejected at this level, it has the power to be an iconic selloff. Now before we get to “bear’d up ” understand the SPX is still holding above the key short term daily moving averages and holding higher lows. The long term trend is still up. Now to go back to being bearish. This FOMC interest cut was a big 0.50 BP which is not what most were...

Trading-Capital

NVDA just had a bearish crossover of the 20 & 50 MA (Daily chart) Last time we saw this bearish moving average formation was in early August. NVDA proceeded to fall sharply in the coming days. All eyes on the market leader. All eyes on the QQQ. Will the Q’s be the demise of SPY? If Nvidia sees anymore weakness you can be sure it will have other semis...

Trading-Capital

Gold is going parabolic and typically that doesnt mean a good thing. Now there are many reasons this could be rallying and likely a combination of the few. - Fed Rate Cut - Geo political tension - Weak Fiat currencies - Currency Crisis - Weakening economies In a time where gold enters these monthly extreme RSI moves it typically signals a good time to start...

04:05

Trading-Capital

Natural gas had a bit of profit taking today and you can't blame the bulls for trimming especially since we did the same. The Daily chart now needs a couple days of consolidation before another sustainable push. The weekly chart recaptured the 50 Weekly MA...very good near term sign. This can now be used as a support level to trade against for very tight...

04:22

Trading-Capital

Oil has really started to free fall. The death cross on the daily chart has occurred. this is where the 50 MA intersects with the 200 MA in a downtrend. This often implies more downside to the medium and long term but is often a great short term long signal. Usually when you get this signal the market makers bounce the stock or commodity a bit before taking...

03:46

Trading-Capital

Bitcoin has been putting is some near term lower highs and lower lows. The daily chart trend is starting to breakdown and show signs of distribution. The weekly chart trend is still ok but even if we had a flush to 40k the Weekly chart would still display higher lows. The point of this higher low excercise is to define trend and know that trends can often...

02:11

Trading-Capital

Natural gas has now cleared a major resistance zone and is looking poised to head higher. We have a beautiful daily and potential weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern developing. The micro daily chart bullish pattern has triggered and gives us another +8-10% of upside. However the really juicy pattern is the potential weekly chart set up. If we...

Trading-Capital

Tesla had a strong attempt at breaking out but it got severely rejected. Often when price fails a directional move it attempts and tests the opposite direction. I would favour Lower price action based off o f this volume rejection. If prices loses any more of the upsloping trendliness Tesla can be in for much Lower price.

14:18

Trading-Capital

Markets hold majority if gap up after some early selling. IWM weakest indice on the day. Apple conference new iPhone, AirPods, watch If Apple sells due Semis catch a bid? Googl MSFT beaten down!

Trading-Capital

SMCI has lagged NVDA and many other semis. Were now approaching a critical area...its make or break! positive Daily divergence provides some hopes that were close to a near term bounce however after today semiconductor selloff the whole complex was shattered. The fact that SMCI remained green while NVDA was down 10% should be a small win in itself... The...

02:47

Trading-Capital

XLF hitting major resistance. JPM hitting major resistance. Financial have been putting a very strong bid under the SPY & IWM If financials are topping here i do think it will be a major headwind for the market. I'm watching to see if the Fed rate cut becomes buy the rumor sell the news!

Trading-Capital

Financials have been one of the leading and strongest sectors on the back of rate cut narratives. The resilience and strength can easily be observed... XLF has been making new highs despite the QQQ & SPY not. Now it begs the question; is all the rate cut priced in? We think financials are set for some downward rotation. If this rotation occurs it opens up...

03:21

Trading-Capital

Nat gas showed some poise today. Holding green in a red market where most commodities saw negative price action. This is impressive to see because Nat gas has a long historical trend of diverging from many commodities. The price action today also saw a red to green reversal further emphasizing the positive potential trend shift. Nat gas stocks were...

09:53

Trading-Capital

Markets get bludgeoned! Commodities under pressure / Nat gas strong Yield curve still inverted. Vix flying! Long Bonds sniffing out recession

03:52

Trading-Capital

Copper is showing great pattern consolidation. it appears to be putting in a daily bull flag pattern that looks poised to breakout. If copper follows some of the other recent price action in the commodity space it makes it even more likely to surge., You're seeing #gold #uranium #oil and other all performing well. Will this dampen and slow down the dis...

03:21

Trading-Capital

The bulls have made 9 attempts at breaking out. All attempts have failed which has led us to this sharp decline. Nat gas is holding the 20 day MA but it does look somewhat vulnerable to going lower. The death cross is getting closer and closer as we approach the 50 MA & 200 MA downtrending intersection. Our members stopped out of the second half of UNG in...

02:59

Trading-Capital

Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend. Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe. This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price. However historically were still at some oversold levels. Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower. Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA...