adventurous51

adventurous51

The assumptions are: 1) The economy is slowing down. Employment data will show it shortly and convincingly. Therefore a summer or fall crash is very likely. 2) The top for S&P 500 is already in. There is always the possibility for a melt up before the crash but I think the melt up has already occured. 3) The next drop will fall below the 2022 low and above or...

adventurous51

Interest rates are carving a bottom as I had indicated on December 29th 2024. The fed has been holding off cutting rates and they will soon realize that they are ONCE AGAIN late to react. We will then see many successive rate cuts which will drive interest rates down rapidly. The Fed always follow the 2 year yield. Currently, the 2 year is at 3.88% which is ...

adventurous51

This is a potential trade of a lifetime. Long term yields have gone up since the Fed started cutting. Although counter intuitive, this is what they do most of the time. The future cuts are going to be bull steepening (i.e. we are close to if not at the bottom for ). Although the Fed says it will cut less in 2025 let’s look at the factors that could make them...

adventurous51

... I am forced to admit that we are setup for a short lived bear rally to 3950 ish and possibly even 4150 ish before we can break them later. So, short term bullish before it gets uglier again...

13:28

adventurous51

This video is about describing the principals of a strategy I am currently running which shows amazing stats! Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice and remember, past performance are not a guarantee of future performances. Thanks,

08:08

adventurous51 Updated 

Disclaimer: This video is not a financial advice, it is only for your entertainment. Trade at your own risk.

adventurous51 Updated 

... it is a sign of a top approaching?? Disclaimer: This is just an opinion, not a financial advice. Do your own homework.

13:52

adventurous51

This video takes the same strategy published earlier this week and breaks down the leverage and compounding effect used to achieve a very impressive equity curve. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice, trading involves risks, automation even further risks. Do your own due dilligence. Above all, Stay safe! and Trade safe!

08:32

adventurous51 Updated 

This is a video that describes, at a high level, a strategy I recently implemented and automated. It generates very impressive back testing results ans has proven to be very successful in the last 9 days of actual live trading so far... Enjoy and let me know your comments.

adventurous51

Steps: 1) Fit a SuperTrend indicator (By KivancOzbilgic) on a daily chart 2) Fit another SuperTrend on a smaller timeframe ( when 1 and 2 are green then Bullish, 1 & 2 are red then bearish) 3) Use the TTM Squeeze indicator (By Greeny) to determine entry and exit points 4) Adjust the level of fluctuation you are willing to live with by setting a cap on the ATR...

adventurous51 Updated 

1) 61.8 Fib retracement level around 170 2) Resistance (which will become support around 170 3) Early November gap to be filled around 170 4) Unsustainable exhaustion pop (78 degree angle since early November) 5) Overbought, above the megaphone line Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment...

adventurous51 Updated 

Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment only. Do your own due diligence and above all, trade safely and stay safe!

adventurous51

If stocks weaken, as I think they will, this bullish pattern will break hard to the down side. Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment only. Do your own due diligence and above all, trade safely and stay safe!

adventurous51

Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment only. Do your own due diligence and above all, trade safely and stay safe!

adventurous51

The Covid-19 woes are far from over. Look at the stats for yesterday. Getting close to 300k new cases per day. Reality has just not synched in with the stock markets yet but Q1 could be the time period where it does. Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment only. Do your own due diligence and...

adventurous51

TTM Squeeze is almost never wrong when it says up, even in this major downtrend. Looking for catalysts? - Political gridlock on stimulus - No Deal Brexit - Covid 19 flaring up - Short term target is just above 25 - Longer term, if this is a bottom or should there be another liquidity crisis, this could go to 27 and beyond. Disclaimer: The above is not an...

adventurous51 Updated 

The cyan line is a weighted average of different asset classes, other than stocks, that I came up with. It is just a mathematical exercise but I thought it is showing some VERY interesting correlation... ... Just a thought! Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment only. Do your own due...

adventurous51 Updated 

Disclaimer: The above is not an investment advice. It is merely an opinion and I share it for your entertainment only. Do your own due diligence and above all, trade safely and stay safe!