Just a quick guess on how this one will play out. Analysis paralysis, not for this setup
TA Price is in discount according to last AVWAP rhythm Reversal POIs a. Immediate VWAP reaction b. LV node below recent low POC c. Taking Liquidity ... Fundamentals + COT - Seasonality - GDP - Inflation N/A Employment Change - Unemployment + Rate Interest Rates
Just wanted to draw some S/D and share some random analysis
If price reaches it I'll have my eyes ready Lets see what price does
Good old light sweet crude oil A very aggressive market compared to FX. Now definitely close to be shifting into pullback or reversal after this momentum
US Economy keeps going up Alarms set, waiting for lower prices to enter again. If price gets to a Premium and starts showing some Aggressive action I'm in short for a shorty
TIP: Identify key VA's that reject price in low value / low volume areas. These price areas (not lines*) will reflect true entry areas where the ones that entered before either quickly moved price away from the current direction (reversal) or very aggressive through it. Price reacts and develops new rithms over a certain time, but one thing will always be true....
Again, Volume Profile showing his magic. Truly a magnificent tool! Price and 🥁🥁🥁 ... VOLUME. I absolutely do not understand why people trade without. As crazy as it sounds it's not needed to be profitable but gives a massive edge. Not talking about tick Order Flow yet. Price, volume and time, that's all you need to know... Enjoy you're trading!
I've learned that ICT or SMC yields a more profitable way to enter positions but that most of these traders think its really an algorithm that controls the markets. Balance to imbalance - imbalance to balance The Volume Profile will never disappoint you... not a DOL for a session / Daily high target as Michael would suggest. FVG entry my A.S.S. Good luck trading!
This bull run is going to run out of stream real soon, Just PA and VP alone. I still see a lot of aggressive buying on the CVD so I'm going to take my chances at a minor POC above
1. Fundamentals point Bullish - COT Data - Seasonality - GDP - Inflation - Labour Market / unemployment - Interest Rates 2. Price has been bearish for quite a while now 3. Significant Value Area (VA) 4. Some more bearish signs though with more absorption that pushed price below POC. Lets see if we get some signals from the CVD (delta) for short absorption and...
Just waiting on a confirmation at this Supply zone Don't know if the CVD is a good tool for FX to gain some insights in absorption. Following HTF TA with current negative fundamentals, - COT Data - Retail sentiment - Seasonality - GDP - Inflation - Labour Market - Interest Rates... Are all still pointing bearish If this VA (supply zone) doesn't hold I'm...
So all underlying fundamental factors point to a Bullish direction - COT data - Retail sentiment - Seasonality - GDP - Inflation - Labour Market / unemployment - Interest Rates Cumulative volume delta actually warned me beforehand like I marked with rectangles Missed that, Hopefully this POC will hold so we can ride the uptrend a bit longer RN buyers are...
This is with no LTF confirmation, this is utter speculation in advance. Price has been Bearish for quite a while now. Though fundamental factors point heavily into the continuation of a Bearish market for GU - COT data - Retail sentiment - Seasonality - GDP Inflation - Labour Market / unemployment - Interest Rates I would trade from the beginning of VP...
Just some random trades. We'll see. Would honestly look on 1,5m for a nice Liquidity entry model. The most basic one like ICT or SMC traders use is a HH (trend continuation), LL (reversal manipulation/inducement), HH (Liquidity grab/sweep) , LL New trend origins (distribution) for a short limit at the "imbalance" or Supply level as a OB, MB, BB which is all BS...
Waiting for FTSE100 to turn Bearish or seek support near bigger accumulation zones
Trading is 100% subjective FR Volume Profiles give me a indications on where the trend might reverse. Choosing your lvls is subjective, as is choosing highs and lows for placing SLs. I just prefer VPs to determine price lvls I trail my SL / TP with the new accumulation lvls within the new trend.
Retracement to HTF 50% is very likely in this current bearish trend as a TP or BE. A refined entry on the LTF would yield a much better RR. Lets wait for the retracement... - Liquidity got taken - Clear MSS + displacement