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SPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 80% SPX, 20% Cash. * GOLDEN CROSS WATCH . US December CPI came in 0.1% lower than in November (which saw a rise of 0.1% from October), whereas Core CPI came in 0.3% higher than in November (which saw a rise of 0.2% from October). The UofM Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary) for January is...

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BTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 53% BTC, 47% Cash. * The December US Employment Situation was released this morning , the Unemployment Rate is back down to 3.5% from 3.7% in November, while 223k Nonfarm Jobs were added (compared to 263k in November) and the Labor Force Participation Rate ticked up to 62.3% from 62.1%...

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DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 10% DXY, 90% Cash. * DEATH CROSS WATCH . Final US Q3 GDP estimate was +3.2%, compared to a decline of -0.6% in Q2 , and was primarily led by upward revisions to exports, nonresidential fixed investments (IP and equipment) and consumer spending. The latest GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate was 3.7% on...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% SPX, 48% Cash. * US New Residential Construction saw Building Permits for November down 11.2% from October to 1,342,000 and November Housing Starts down 0.5% from October to 1,427,000 . These numbers are reflective of an economy preparing for weakening demand as we head into 2023. ...

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ETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% ETH, 95% Cash. *SELL-OFF WATCH. Cryptos and Equities are getting hammered as the effects of tighter monetary policy are starting to materialize in markets and the realization that the Federal Reserve may raise the funds rate beyond their 5.1%-5.2% projected terminal rate is a very real...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% SPX, 55% Cash. * The FOMC announced a 50bps rate hike today and adjusted their Dot Plot to reflect a 5.1% FFR in 2023 . Markets rallied prior to the announcement and then fell shortly after, though this could have been a short-squeeze, Equity and Crypto markets could see more...

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DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. * FOMC WATCH . US November CPI was estimated to come in at 0.3% but instead came in at 0.1% , compared to October's 0.4% it's fair to say that it eased a bit. Meanwhile Core CPI rose 0.2% in November compared to 0.3% in October. The last FOMC rate hike is expected to...

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BTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% BTC, 48% Cash. *Markets rallied on hopes for a lower US November CPI tomorrow morning and if it's lower than in October expect for a continued rally in Cryptos and US Equities; however, if it's higher then a sharp downturn is likely. The last FOMC rate hike of 2022 will be following...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash. * US November PPI came in at 0.3%, a bit higher than the consensus estimate of 0.2% after rising 0.2% in October . This sent Risk-On markets lower as fears of another 75bps rate hike returned to the table. One good thing about November's PPI is that it increased 7.4% from last...

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DXYUSD daily guidance is bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% DXY, 95% Cash. * Oil tankers are reportedly beginning to jam up the Black Sea with 28 tankers waiting to be checked for having proper insurance by Turkish officials . This will likely put upward pressure on the price of oil in the near/medium term. Investors appear to be anticipating a 50bps rate hike by...

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ETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% ETH, 65% Cash. *Risk-On markets continue to get shellacked by a combination of: expectations of rising central bank interest rates through the first half of 2023 (and perhaps beyond) and continued supply chain disruptions due to more sanctions on Russia (which influences BRICS and OPEC+) and...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . It's volatile week with investors preparing for another FFR hike (12/14) that is widely expected to be 50bps (with a chance at 75bps) as China continues to formally lax their Covid-Zero restrictions in major cities like Beijing where people with a negative PCR...

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DXYUSD daily guidance is bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% DXY, 95% Cash. *Cryptos and Commodities markets are signaling a bullish open to a week of mute economic data before CPI on 12/13 and the last FFR hike announcement of 2022 on 12/14. More volatility is to be expected with increased supply chain disruptions due to reduced exports from China weighing on Big...

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BTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% BTC, 40% Cash. * SUNDAY SCARIES WATCH . Cryptos are relatively flat with a bit of upside as we get halfway through the weekend. With no really important economic data or events happening until CPI on 12/13 and the last FFR hike on 12/14, we could see a nice little run in Equities and...

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ETHUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% ETH, 40% Cash . * The November Unemployment Rate somehow stayed at 3.7%, with Nonfarm Payrolls increasing by 263k ... in the face of ramping layoffs and hiring freezes, this is pretty astonishing. The Federal Reserve has got to be wondering how the job market has remained so resilient...

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SPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% SPX, 35% Cash . * US EMPLOYMENT SITUATION WATCH . If Unemployment reports higher tomorrow (which with the amount of layoffs in corporate USA these days would be reasonable), this would signal that the FOMC's monetary policy is becoming increasingly effective and they will likely go ahead with...

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DOGEUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% DOGE, 35% Cash . * CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH/PCE INDEX WATCH . All Risk-On assets are rallying off of "dovish" remarks made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his speech at the Brookings Institute earlier today . To condense it, he: reiterated the same narrative that inflation has a long way to go...

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DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 70% DXY, 30% Cash. *All markets reacted negatively to news of Chinese citizens protesting the Covid lockdowns in fear of more supply chain disruptions. The Pentagon is currently devising a proposal to send smaller precision bombs that can be fitted onto rockets and allow for Ukraine to strike...