dragononcrypto

dragononcrypto Updated 

Another day, another descending triangle. I first tried drawing this on the 4hr chart, but without being able to include the support touch-point of December 2nd, I've gone with the Daily chart in order to have a minimum of 3 touch-points on both support & resistance trends, with sufficient time in between. There is an interesting difference between this descending...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Sometimes the simplest extrapolations are best. No indicators on this chart, this is a pure extrapolation of the 2014-2015 correction and accumulation phase, that has notable similarities with the current fractal in play. Could $6,500 be the new swing low? Absolutely. This would imply an accumulation zone between $6.5-$8.3K for approximately 40 weeks, with the...

dragononcrypto Updated 

In order to promote accountability and transparency, here is a collation of all the BTC/USD calls I have made in the past 3 months. Note that some where on smaller time frames than the Daily (that is used in this graphic), such as the 1hr and 4hr, but otherwise remain relevant to the review. Bitcoin Repeating History: 10 Part TA Series On Repeating Past Patterns...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Analysis : Price bottoming on a TD Sequential 9 at the 200 MA Entry : $7,620 - A green 3 moving above the green 2 Stop : $7299 - A red 1 moving below the green 2 (-4.2%) Targe t: $8595 - Horizontal resistance (+12.8%) Plan : Tighten stop loss to break-even around $7,900 (100 MA) Risk/reward : 3 This is what the TD Sequential has been like on the 3 Day chart...

dragononcrypto Updated 

The chart speaks for itself. The extrapoled price comes from the "2018 miner capitulation" that caused the price to drop 50%. Will we go back to $3,800? Unlikely, but clearly this is possible if the capitulation is as aggressive as 2018. Notably the VPVR is supporting the price target of $3,800, as is the extrapolation, with forecasted price for the block halving...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Bitcoin has now entered the accumulation phase between the 2 & 4 Year MA's, represented by the 730 & 1460 MA's. As highlighted in green, this investment strategy has historically been the best tie to accumulate BTC for the long-term 4-year cycle, for 2014/2015, as well as 2018/2019. The forecasted extrapolation is merely an example of where the price may...

dragononcrypto Updated 

VPVR (Visible Range) shows median traded price at $9180 level with the support level of the descending triangle at $9020. Note this is also the 200 Day MA level, therefore this is not a short call. The measured move of -8.5% calculates the price target of $8250, which is another VPVR level of median price from the recent volume history from the breakdown of the ...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Part 10: It's time to talk about the bear cross that was confirmed yesterday, the 50 Day MA crossing the 200 Day MA. 3 out of 4 of Bitcoin's bear crosses have been bearish long-term indicating a further 50% drop in price (2012, 2014 and 2018). In the shorter-term, Bitcoin also twice rallied by 50% in two of these occasions (2014 and 2015) before continuing higher...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Part 9: Next week looks set for a bullish TD Sequential 9 on the Weekly chart that hasn't been seen since July 2018. Back then this led to a 40% increase in the price of Bitcoin followed by 4 months of consolidation. This scenario is labeled "A". Extrapolation C is the inverse of the "bearish" TD 9 in April 2019 that led to a continuation of the bull trend. Hence,...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Smaller cap altcoin dominance is leaving the RSI oversold conditions (of less than 30) this week and is currently reading 31.73. This comes after nearly three months of being oversold after dominance fell below the 200 Week MA. The last time "Other altcoins" dominance spent this long in oversold conditions was at the end of 2015, for two months, before rising from...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Bouncing from 0.382 fib retracement, altcoin dominance has broken above the 200 Week MA (29.65%), RSI now left oversold conditions and MACD about to bull cross. "ALT.D" (1-BTC.D+99) needs to close the weekly above the 200 MA to remain bullish, but otherwise the risk/reward is there for a trade to the 0.5 fib retracement (49.95%) and resistance level. This would be...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Part 7: Full moons in 2019 May 18 Flower Moon Jun. 17 Strawberry Moon Jul. 16 Buck Moon Aug. 15 Sturgeon Moon Sep. 14 Harvest Moon Oct. 13 Hunter's Moon Source: www.space.com If Bitcoin Repeats History? Part 1: Descending Triangle Looking Similar To 2018 Part 2: Measuring The Move of the Descending Triangle Breakdown Part 3: A repeat of...

dragononcrypto Updated 

A quick look at the projected 200 EMA & MA bear-cross on the Daily chart. From the March 16th 2018 bearcross at $8,273, the bullcross didn't occur until over a year later on April 4th 2019 at $4,911 after a 40% correction. The current gain in price since this 2019 bullcross has been 60%. Unless the price moves above $8500 within the coming days, the EMA & MA...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Part 6: With the month of September coming to close in the coming days on a Monthly TD Sequential Red 1 price flip, October will be critical as to whether Bitcoin's monthly candle will close as a green 1 to break the sequential correction, or continue with another 6-8 red candles - as has happened in 2014 and 2018 during bear markets. Note that the Monthly Red 1...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Bitcoin is again forming a descending triangle on the 4hr chart with a measured target of -8.7% to $7027, the support of the bearish channel if this occurs on October 2nd. I'm ignoring the oscillators for the time being instead acknowledging yet another descending triangle and bearish weekly close that occurred yesterday. I'm anticipating the 4hr bullish...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Currently remaining neutral while expecting a big enough move in either direction to either retest the triangle resistance around $9,000, or continue moving downwards towards the bear channel support around $7,500, likely followed by a bear flag breakdown to $6,500. Bitcoin notably got rejected by the 200 Day MA on yesterdays closing candle with current support...

dragononcrypto Updated 

Ethereum looks to be confirming another ascending triangle on the Daily chart with currently two touch points on both horizontal resistance as well as rising support. The TD Sequential on the Daily as well as the Weekly is on a green 2 so now waiting for confirmation on a move above ₿0.0216, the Daily green 1 candle as well as triangle resistance. The Weekly green...

dragononcrypto Updated 

After breaking out of the symmetrical triangle to downwards support , Bitcoin now appears to be forming a bear flag that would target the 50 Week MA around $6,750 if broken to the downside. For all those who thought $6k prices weren't possible again, remember that we have already dropped from $10k to $8k. Price otherwise needs to stay below $8,450-$8,500 to avoid...