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Oversold Conditions Deepen In Stock Market As Breakdowns Worsen
SPX
, 1D
Long
SPX: Oversold Conditions Deepen In Stock Market As Breakdowns Worsen

AT40 = 11.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2) AT200 = 31.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs () VIX = 23.0 (an increase of 44.0%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish (change from neutral) Commentary The market sell-off is unfolding quickly. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading...

Stock Market Cascades Down to Oversold Territory
SPX
, 1D
Long
SPX: Stock Market Cascades Down to Oversold Territory

AT40 = 16.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (a drop of 14.2 percentage points to an 8-month low and the first day of an oversold period) AT200 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (a drop of 7.6 percentage points to a 6-month low) VIX = 23.0 (an increase of 44.0%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish...

PPG Industries Warns: Intensifying Inflation, Weakening Demand
PPG
, 1D
PPG: PPG Industries Warns: Intensifying Inflation, Weakening Demand

PPG Industries Warns of Intensifying Inflation Pressures and Weakening Demand October 8, 2018 by Dr. Duru ““As we look ahead, we currently do not anticipate any relief from inflationary cost pressures in the third quarter. We expect aggregate global economic growth to remain positive with end-use market activity comparable to the second quarter, adjusted for...

Not A Bear - Just A Bull Looking for Lower Prices
SPX
, 1D
SPX: Not A Bear - Just A Bull Looking for Lower Prices

AT40 = 31.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (was as low 28.1%) AT200 = 46.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.0 (was as high as 15.8) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary So much for a small bounce before continuing a decline toward oversold conditions! The jobs report for September...

Housing Market Review: Data Weigh Heavy On A Breakdown Builders
ITB
, 1D
ITB: Housing Market Review: Data Weigh Heavy On A Breakdown Builders

I saw a flicker of hope for home builders in the May Housing Market Review. Traders decided to snuff that flicker out very quickly afterward. When I wrote June’s housing market review and described a “struggling flicker,” the iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) was once again bouncing off the bottom of 2018’s trading range. Almost like a cycle, a month later...

Acuity Brands: Business Uncertainties from Tariffs and Wages
AYI
, 1D
AYI: Acuity Brands: Business Uncertainties from Tariffs and Wages

Acuity Brands: The Business Uncertainties from Tariff and Wage Inflation I last mentioned Acuity Brands (AYI), a lighting and building management solutions company with $3.7B in net sales in 2018, three months ago. At that time, I described a good risk/reward setup to go long the stock post-earnings. AYI shot nearly straight up from there. The stock broke through...

Extremes Prime Prospects for Market Bounce, Oversold Looms
SPX
, 1D
SPX: Extremes Prime Prospects for Market Bounce, Oversold Looms

AT40 = 33.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (was as low 31.9%) AT200 = 47.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.0 (was as high as 15.8) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 is only 1.0% off its all-time high, yet extremes and critical tests of support abound. AT40 (T2108),...

Retail Rally Comes to A Screeching Halt
XRT
, 1D
Short
XRT: Retail Rally Comes to A Screeching Halt

Toys R Us refuses to die. The hedge funds that own the debt of the bankrupt toy retailer decided to cancel an auction of assets and instead plan to revive the brand and even open new retail outlets. The prospects of another Toys R Us revival could become symbolic: the timing coincided with what looks like a top in retail stocks as represented by the SPDR S&P...

The Stock Market's Anchors Ignore Over-Stretched Conditions
SPX
, 1D
SPX: The Stock Market's Anchors Ignore Over-Stretched Conditions

AT40 = 38.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I had good reason to give a tepid endorsement to the upside potential for the stock market off the over-stretched conditions on display in AT40...

An Over-Stretched Market With Notable Anchors
SPX
, 1D
SPX: An Over-Stretched Market With Notable Anchors

AT40 = 41.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market is stretched yet again based on AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs). AT40...

Tesla the Tantalizing: SEC Settlement Likely Confirms Range
TSLA
, 1D
TSLA: Tesla the Tantalizing: SEC Settlement Likely Confirms Range

On Friday evening, headlines screamed that Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk had reportedly made a surprisingly bold and extremely risky decision to fight charges of fraud by the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). On Saturday, it looked like reason and rationality prevailed with an official announcement of a settlement deal issuing a slap on the wrist including a $40M...

KB Home: Yet Another Post-Earnings Fade for A Home Builder
KBH
, 1D
KBH: KB Home: Yet Another Post-Earnings Fade for A Home Builder

“KB Home shares jump on third quarter earnings” – such is the kind of quick trigger post earnings headline that consistently fails for home builders. KB Home (KBH) opened higher by 5.7% but was all downhill from there. At the close, KBH lost 3.1% on the day in a major reversal. This close was a vast improvement on a loss which reached 6.4% at the intraday low....

Do Not Argue With Sellers – Celebrate With Buyers: GE Edition
GE
, 1D
GE: Do Not Argue With Sellers – Celebrate With Buyers: GE Edition

General Electric (GE) dropped 4.0% for a fourth straight day of high volume selling. At $11.27/share GE sits at a stomach-churning 9-year low. GE’s early June expulsion from the Dow Jones Industrial Index seemed like such natural ignition for a bottom that even CNBC’s Jim Cramer got off the fence to declare the stock a buy. At the time I proposed a lower risk...

A Suspect Breakout for the S&P 500
SPX
, 1D
SPX: A Suspect Breakout for the S&P 500

A Suspect Breakout for the S&P 500 AT40 = 52.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market is not quite out the (short-term) woods yet. Last Wednesday I pointed out why the latest bearish...

A Bearish Divergence Intrudes On the Stock Market's Surface Calm
SPX
, 1D
SPX: A Bearish Divergence Intrudes On the Stock Market's Surface Calm

AT40 = 48.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Commentary I am not even going to try to explain why emerging markets and trade-sensitive stocks started this week so well in the...

Australian dollar: A Monetary Policy Statement Made for Rebound
AUDJPY
, 1D
Long
AUDJPY: Australian dollar: A Monetary Policy Statement Made for Rebound

"The Australian dollar had economic and technical tension. The RBA released it to the upside with a bullish monetary policy statement." Australian dollar: A Monetary Policy Statement Made for A Currency Rebound drduru.com $FXA $AUDJPY $AUDUSD #forex #RBA

A Pause for FOMO
SPX
, 1D
SPX: A Pause for FOMO

"Fear of missing out (FOMO) warmed up last week but closed the week with a pause. Is it the pause that refreshes or simply cools hotheads?" A Pause for FOMO drduru.com $SPY $QQQ #AT40 #T2108 $AMD $DKS $FL $FIT #VIX #forex $DXY $USDMXN $AUDJPY $USDX

Housing Market Review - Worsening Affordability Issues...
ITB
, 1D
ITB: Housing Market Review - Worsening Affordability Issues...

"Existing home sales continue to weaken and new home sales are not doing enough. Affordability issues are looming larger over the market." Housing Market Review (August, 2018) - Worsening Affordability Issues Add to Weakening Data drduru.com

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