fract

fract Mar 25

The market is currently staging a short-term rally - essentially a speculative mean reversion bounce as a reaction to -55% crash from all-time high. This move appears driven largely by retail traders seizing what it perceives as a rare opportunity to accumulate an oversold "large-caps". While retail participation and opportunistic capital are supporting the...

fract Mar 18

In this idea, I’d like to share a quick recap about my unconventional approach to understanding the chaos of the market. Price movements don’t just mirror fundamentals, they also reshape them in continuity. Relating recent fluctuations to historic swings is crucial, because markets operate within a structured, evolving framework where past price proportions...

fract Mar 16

In this tutorial, we’ll explore how the Fractional Accumulation/Distribution Strategy (FADS) can help traders especially with an investment mindset manage risk and build positions systematically. While FADS doesn’t provide the fundamentals of a company which remain the trader’s responsibility, it offers a robust framework for dividing risk, managing emotions,...

fract Mar 15

Earlier identified angle that maps growth cycle. It has a strong frame of reference because: Building blocks are arranged into their Fib orbit. Direction of Cycle of Highs and Lows match To validate the angle we can extend to the left to confirm prices respected that angle. We can see it interconnects entire previous fractal cycle confirming angles...

fract Updated  Mar 13

In fractal analysis the randomness of price levels can be justified with the chart's historic HL coordinates. We'll use the old structure below as a base for further cycle breakdown. There are another two fib lines derived from angled trends, the fibs of which rhyme with chaos behind price action and cycle formation: Steep fibs determine timing of high...

fract Updated  Mar 12

Trend's Three Frames of Reference: The Fibonacci channels in the chart are constructed based on the COVID low (March 2020) and the 2023 low, with a projection that aligns with the late 2021 top as a key reference point. This approach sets the direction of the Fibonacci channels in an upward-sloping trajectory, capturing the broader bullish trend while...

fract Updated  Mar 12

After reaching all time high of $488.50 on 18 Dec '24, Tesla has been systematically dropping making lower lows. So far it made a local low at $325.10 which is -33% from ATH. One might intuitively assume that Tesla’s CEO, with significant administrative resources at his disposal, would drive the stock to outperform on a longer period. This narrative held true,...

fract Mar 12

Fibonacci interconnection between Higher Low, Higher High and series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The side of breakout from this narrowing formation will determine the direction of trend. The fibonacci lines derived from the structure covers the limits of breakout wave. If the price resumes its downtrend, I can only assume the market is still digesting the...

fract Mar 8

Couple of days ago the world witnessed how current U.S. president on practice could remotely deactivate rocket systems given by previous U.S. administration for Ukraine's defense. One may argue it's a reckless decision, another might say it's a "multi-dimensional chess".. Instead of diving into politics, I would like to focus why this single event alone can...

fract Mar 6

This chart presents a Fibonacci channel projection based on key swing points, including a Higher High, Higher Low, an All-Time High (ATH), and a current Lower Low. The levels of Fibonacci channel that market should abide by for the nearest future, are defined by: HL & LL - sets direction (fib 0 line); applied to ATH (fib 1 line). The derived fib ratios help to...

fract Mar 4

The S&P 500 has been experiencing a clear downtrend, characterized by a progression of lower highs and lower lows meaning that each attempt at a rebound is met with increased selling, preventing the market from establishing a meaningful recovery. The current formation suggests that bearish sentiment is still dominant, with investors possibly looking for further...

fract Mar 3

By referring historic price dynamics, I'll attempt to explain future possible swings and their limits structurally. But first it would be nice to drop a few words on recent history. As you remember price has broken below the triangle which caused the selloff establishing a bottom. The new Lower Low's can be referred through line that starts from triangle's low...

fract Feb 27

I’m currently working on a trading script designed to identify optimal stop-loss and take-profit levels based on market structure and volatility. Day TF Short entry: $101,460.15 with a stop-loss at $105,330.08 TP levels tested down to $82,110 Despite it played out ok I still need additional validation that will come with time. Point is to keep enhancing...

fract Updated  Feb 25

Seeing diamond pattern on tops gives us general clue that market is about to fall. After all, this is what it draws (what masses go through) as it loses momentum and eventually goes for a correction. However, even if we're very sure, rushing to trade based on systematic patterns does not actually guarantee the desired outcome. For instance, the bullrun which...

fract Feb 23

After encountering old chart, I though to redefine some coordinates. It played out well, however I would like to experiment using actual chart-based extremes to predefine levels. Measuring historic market's most significant HH & LL with fibonacci channels to project psychological levels into the future. Logarithmic scale is a must for this type of...

fract Feb 20

Basis: RESEARCH Analyzing directional support and resistance through Fibonacci channels provides a systematic approach to understanding historical price movements and their impact on current market trends. Fibonacci ratios have long been essential in technical analysis, helping traders identify pivotal price levels where momentum shifts frequently occur....

fract Feb 19

The convergence of the linear extension of volatility bands toward a specific point is a phenomenon rooted in market equilibrium dynamics and statistical projection. When volatility contracts, it often signals a transition from a high-activity phase to a period of consolidation, where price fluctuations narrow, leading to a temporary state of balance between...

fract Feb 18

FREMA bands offer a dynamic edge over traditional ATR-based volatility bands by adapting to real buying and selling pressure (bullish and bearish part of candles) rather than just price movement. Unlike ATR bands, which expand symmetrically based on historical volatility, FREMA bands widen asymmetrically — expanding more on the upside during strong buying...