US10Y yield breaking out of a nasty downtrend to trying to test March's jitters of 1.75/1.702 after bottoming out in August at 1.122. If the 10Y holds above those 2 levels we look to retest pre-pandemic ground around 1.985 and higher.
how much higher can we go? Watch that top trendline, I want to see how long we can hold above it before pulling back
In the past week you saw the 10-year run up a little in anticipation of inflation data for the Consumer Pricing Index (CPI) released today. Inflation month over month for july was 0.5% meeting expectations exactly while core CPI was 0.3% vs 0.4% expected (0.1% miss). The run up was nice from 1.1272 right up to 1.3755 this morning right above resistance (1.3633)....
$GLD gold needs to hold 164.18 support, if we break there's a gap to fill down to 158.24. Trading at the bottom of that wedge so there is strong support here. Remember inflation data, Consumer Pricing Index on Wednesday 8/11/21
10-Year US Treasury Yield found support on 7/20 and 8/04 at 1.1225. Touched this support once on each date which is actually resistance Jan/Feb 2021. Broke 1.2018, now breaking out of downtrend and 1.2804 resistance to see if it can hold above that level. Next big level to watch above is 1.4369
$GLD giant C&H with eyes on inflation and personal spending data tomorrow. Above 173.73 is a big deal but to hold above is even bigger.
1.435 very important support, break and gap down to 1.19. Bounce and break 1.63 resistance, get above and flip that level can gap up to 2.018