gumoca

gumoca

My previous post on PLTR hinted at altitude exhaustion under the dome. Today, a possible abandoned baby forms, adrift at the top of the dome. Nothing confirmed yet. But when candles get left behind, they often aren’t rescued. With NVDA earnings and FOMC minutes tomorrow, the market may reveal its true posture: Are we in a climb… or simply hovering before...

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Carvana (CVNA) has carved a textbook megaphone formation. Expansion. Volatility. The upper rim is now experiencing reverberation. From <$20 to over $300 in under 12 months—this isn’t price discovery; it’s narrative acceleration. But megaphones don't whisper forever. They break. And when they do, it’s rarely gentle. Now the macro begins to lean against the...

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Every bull run carries within it the seed of its own rebalancing. Palantir (PLTR) has ridden the wave of AI narrative, defense tailwinds, and a well-timed alignment with rising geopolitical risk. The market responded accordingly: momentum. Volume. Euphoric belief. But here we are. a) Valuation at historically stretched P/E levels—difficult to sustain unless...

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Moderna (MRNA) has become a pariah in many portfolios. Between reputational overhangs, political weaponization of its COVID success, and fresh regulatory pressures like the labeling requirement just triggered by Florida, the company has seemingly absorbed wave after wave of bad press. But that’s the point. 1. The chart says it all: a long descent into pessimism,...

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While NVDA steals the spotlight with AI fervor and vertical price action, Intel is moving with quiet intent. Under the surface of a noisy tech cycle, INTC is sculpting a formation that few are watching—but one that may offer asymmetric reward into year-end. 1. The Technical Setup Zoom out: we see the outline of a broad descending wedge stretching from the 2023...

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NVDA pierced the dome. But the market didn’t roar—just whispered. You’d expect prices to leap on headlines like “hyperscalers buying hundreds of thousands of H100s and B200s.” But instead, we’ve seen price hesitations… rejection wicks… and a quiet fade into the resistance box. That’s the tell. The “bull case” is loud—CoreWeave, Meta, and Microsoft are all...

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Uber's stock is showing a strong bullish setup, supported by key Fibonacci levels and a well-defined upward channel. The price has recently rebounded from the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels around $51-$54, confirming strong support and accumulation in this zone. Currently, the stock is trading near $69.83, approaching critical resistance at $73.41 and...

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I think with Powell tomorrow we can reject this level. I see $APPL going to $200, but not until two years from now, based on this chart pattern. I think in the short term puts around $165-155 and in the medium term by June 30 calls into $180-185 could work, but $APPL is barely moving and they could leave it around this range just burning premiums and without doing...

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I think the continued fall into the gap below is too obvious. I can see NYSE:SNOW recovering next week into $160, and perhaps overextend a bit above $160, but later failing and filling the gap below the red dotted line. Once this is complete, perhaps NYSE:SNOW is ready for a long recovery until year-end. See the triangle by zooming out! I think NYSE:SNOW ...

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NASDAQ:ARM IPO lockup period, prohibiting insiders from selling stock, is set to expire on March 12, 2024. This could put pressure on the stock, particularly if NASDAQ:NVDA is becoming more volatile and moving towards its support around $800-780. This could put NASDAQ:ARM investors under psychological pressure to put some of the stock into the market. Let's...

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I think this is a tricky trade, but if NASDAQ:NVDA sneezes then NASDAQ:AMD may get the flu. NASDAQ:AMD 's chips are not as great as NASDAQ:NVDA 's but they do the job. NASDAQ:AMD has been highly correlated to NASDAQ:NVDA and it seems like if NASDAQ:NVDA tests $800-$780s then NASDAQ:AMD could tank into the $180s with relative ease. Now, it seems to be...

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I've learned not to count my chicken before they hatch. NASDAQ:AAPL not out of the woods yet, but close. Trade safe.

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I like NASDAQ:ROKU here, I just don't trust that the recovery is done. I think it still wants to test $60 and $59 for a quickly recovery and then goes. I'd favor long dated calls at about $70 with a put hedge in the shorter term around $60, perhaps even call spread 75-70 for April and 60 puts for March 28.

gumoca

There are two more levels below: 167.4 and 165.5. I think the game could be a waiting game for $APPL to bottom, but seems like a good risk-reward to add $175c for a bounce play at these RSI levels, into perhaps end of month. Market makers will do all efforts to maintain the stock below 175 I imagine. It's always safer for these type of bottoming plays to go longer...

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$APPL plan for the next few days is based on the potential test of $165.5. I think once we see action around this level, $APPL could bounce nicely to around $175. The chart does not favors a steady recovery. I think as long as $APPL's management is unable to articulate a credible strategy around AI in the short term the stock will continue to be weak. Considering...

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Short term analysis of $GUAC shows that the market is rewarding $GUAC after its updates. It is uncommon for meme coins to offer utility. In this case $GUAC has some (do you own due diligence, but as far as I see the utility it is still growing and somewhat connected with meme coin swapping and usage of such coins towards the purchase of games). In a few days,...

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This looks like another H/S formation, yet given the tons of volume coming into GETTEX:PEPE it has been hard for GETTEX:PEPE to correct a bit, hence a sharp correction may be coming into $PEPE. I see it highly correlated to $BTC. Perhaps already some traders trading this based on CRYPTOCAP:BTC moves. CRYPTOCAP:BTC just sneezed and GETTEX:PEPE had a cold,...

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I think NASDAQ:AAPL missed the AI PR train, even if APPL has been developing something with Siri, it is late to the game and the market is not rewarding Apple for a delayed product launch. Perhaps this can be remedied and APPL is probably attempting to do this by cancelling its EV plans earlier this month. Market is saying this is not enough and wants to see...