gurabath

gurabath

Hi, USDJPY has changed the trend.

gurabath Updated 

EURCHF indicates the breaking of range. ECB will mention something about the tapering in June. On the other way, Swiss wants weak CHF. CHF will try 1.20, the level before the shock in 2015.

gurabath

I think it is obvious that Nikkei 225 will start going down. Now the timing of shorting Nikkei 225 futures next 1 months.

gurabath

The range of GBP/JPY has been changed in the Brexit election last year. It seems to continue going up and break the range, but the next June election would be the event. In this event, PM May will strength her power of Brexit negotiation with EU. But the new president of France will be a tough negotiator for UK. UK will not be able to avoid hard Brexit.

gurabath

Please see the VIX. VIX is on its historically low level. VIX is the calculated from the SPX option premium. Option premium tends to be high during SPX down. Now the level of VIX is quite low. This means there are more investors who want to sell the option than who want to buy. Usually option buyer expects the markets becomes volatile. The low level VIX shows many...

gurabath

Someone says TESLA is too high to buy because the earning is negative. It's valuable advice but the stock price is on upturn trend. trader is not a strategist so if the price is on upturn trend, the answer is BUY.

gurabath

the range of oil price will touch the bottom in short term. the price target would be 47.20 - 47.50 USD. if the oil touches the bottom target, it would be the time to think a new long position of oil.

gurabath

The spread of 5 days moving average and 25 days moving average has expanded. the spread will shrink in short term. The upturn trend has changed to flat. Someone who bought in end of April will sell off their position to get the profit.

gurabath

The level of VIX is very low. but the down side of VIX is limited. it waiting for the timing of jumping. Stock market tend to decline when the VIX jumping. We should take care of sudden jump of VIX and market decline.

gurabath

In long term, the unemployment rate shows the peek of stock market. recent decline of unemployment rate has became calm down and begins flattening. this means the start of the end of stock rally.