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WizardSince the dollar peaked in 2022, it has declined by 24%. Such a decline may not seem significant for a stock, it’s a different story when it comes to currencies, especially a reserve currency for USD. US purchasing power has dropped by a quarter, meaning they will now have to pay 24% more for imports from EU. However, the decline in the USD also presents...
In a recent interview, Kevin Warsh, a former Member of Board of Governors Federal Reserve said: “External shocks like wars, pandemics, and supply chain disruptions may cause a spike in prices, that's not inflation. That's more like the weather. Inflation's more like the climate. Weather refers to the day-to-day state of the atmosphere. A storm may come, but it...
The key driver of most markets — and a major influence on their trends — is inflation. Once we understand the difference between short-term inflation weather and long-term inflation climate, we can better recognize where risk meets opportunity. On this half yearly chart. We can see as the close on 30th June, copper settled firmly, closed above its $4.44...
From their recent lows, soybean oil has quietly crept up by 50%, while crude oil has risen by 40%. The reason goes beyond the recent renewal of tensions in the Middle East — it runs deeper than that. Mirco SoybeanOil Futures Ticker: MZL Minimum fluctuation: 0.02 per pound = $1.20 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please...
What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well. I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for...
What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well. I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for...
Gold-silver ratio dropped from 107 to current 91. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend? If you take the gold prices on 'Liberation Day' on 2nd April 2025 - Gold at $3,509 divided by Silver at $35 = 100.25 Today, the gold prices at 3,400 divided by the silver prices at 37.36,...
What is gold silver spread? How to understand them to determine the market direction. Reuters mentioned that the gold-silver ratio dropped from 105 to 94. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend? Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce =...
How to identify head and shoulders patterns? We’ll use the current example from the Nasdaq or the US markets. We can quite clearly observe that a potential head and shoulders formation is developing. This means that if the price breaks below the neckline, we may see a deeper correction from the April low. I will go through the rules on how to identify a head...
How to identify head and shoulders patterns? We’ll use the current example from the Nasdaq or the US markets. We can quite clearly observe that a potential head and shoulders formation is developing. This means that if the price breaks below the neckline, we may see a deeper correction from the April low. I will go through the rules on how to identify a head...
Are Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels? The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters (like Toyota, Sony, and Panasonic), as their overseas...
Are Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels? The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters, as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen...
Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively...
Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively...
What is happening to the food prices since liberation day. Soybeans are a benchmark for food prices — not only because China and many of us consume large quantities, but also because the U.S. exports a significant amount to China. After the Liberation Day announcement on 2nd April, soybean prices initially dropped but quickly rebounded and surged higher. Even...
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a...
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a...
The Dollar’s decline didn’t start with the recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. In fact, it has been gradually weakening since the 1970s. More recently, however, the Dollar has lost value against many currencies since January. Why is that? Why have the USD/CHF and USD/SGD strengthened against the US Dollar over the past few decades? One reason is that both countries...