livingdracula

livingdracula

The shadow of institutionalized human trafficking is a dark thread woven throughout history, manifesting in forms as grim as the forced labor camps of Auschwitz and Buchenwald during World War II. These institutions, while created under vastly different circumstances, share a grim purpose: commodifying human beings for profit or power. Today, while we no longer...

livingdracula

Today, I will be fully committing to a long-term mutli-asset short against TSLA, albeit using a non-conventional approach. Rather than simply short selling TSLA shares and going into debt, I plan to hold, maintain and build positions in CRSH, TSLQ, TSLL, and TSLY using a combination of share and option spread in both directions. Taking advantage of the...

livingdracula

As trading view states, Toll Brothers, Inc. engages in the design, building, marketing, and arranging of financing for detached and attached homes in residential communities. The technicals are neutral and the analysis's naively have given this company a buy rating. However, among the real estate companies affected by the LA Fire, TOL seems to be among the worst....

livingdracula

Recently, I've been looking a lot at Yield Max ETFs and other options-based yield ETFS more generally such as QDTE, XDTE, RDTE, QQQI, SPYI, YQQQ (inverse), etc. One possible way to outperform SPY & QQQ, may be to consider investing in such ETFs, though this is purely theoretical s tradingview does not provide a quality backtesting software for a complex...

livingdracula

In this SOY, I will be discussing the market outlook to help retail investors plan for the year ahead. Please note that this is not financial advice, and I am not licensed to provide such advice. The insights shared here are my personal opinions based on statistics, technical analysis, macroeconomics, and seasonality statistics to manage maximum position sizing on...

livingdracula

The TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) has exhibited notable volatility and seasonal trends from 2015 to 2024. Historically, TLT shows consistent positive returns in January, with significant gains in 2015 and 2023, but negative returns in 2022. February often sees mixed results, with TLT showing both positive and negative returns across the years, notably...

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The chart for DRV (Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares) illustrates the significant volatility and performance trends from 2015 to 2024. DRV primarily shows negative returns in the first quarter, especially in January, with large declines in 2015, 2021, and 2022. February and March often show mixed results, with some years like 2018 and 2020 displaying...

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The chart for MSTR (MicroStrategy) displays significant volatility and seasonal trends from 2015 to 2024. The stock tends to show strong positive performance in January, with notable gains in 2020, 2021, and 2023, aligning with the broader market optimism at the start of the year. However, February and March have been less consistent, with MSTR seeing...

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The chart for YINN (Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares) reveals notable seasonal trends and volatility from 2015 to 2024. Historically, the YINN ETF shows strong performance in the first quarter, particularly in January and February, with gains in 2017, 2020, and 2021. However, the ETF faces significant declines during May and June, especially in 2015,...

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The chart shows the historical monthly returns for a set of years from 2015 to 2024. It highlights the volatility and seasonal trends across each year, with various months showing different performance patterns. For instance, January and February often see negative returns, with January showing a consistent trend of losses in 2015, 2016, and 2022, but more...

livingdracula

Recently trading view introduced options ticker data. Here is an example on one useful trading layout where you can look at the underlying asset, in this case TQQQ. The main indicator is a forked BS options model from @QuantNomad. The other two options are call option tickers expiring in 2 days at different strikes. I'm also using a modified version of the...

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As we approach the end of the year, the SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust) appears to be trading within defined expected ranges, according to the provided data. This week-by-week analysis is particularly useful for traders and investors looking to optimize their risk management strategies and position sizing. Here’s an overview of key metrics and their importance: The...

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Recently Tradingview gave us limited options stuff but unfortunately their API makes this very difficult, technically speaking, there should theoretically be a way to get options data from request.quandlor get local real estate data for say, a REIT and then do fun calculations but that data lacks documentation or doesn't work. //@version=5 indicator("Combined...

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The indicator builds on top of the existing seasonality indicator in some simple, but powerful ways. It's invite only and only to followers. I don't ever charge for scripts but I want to grow my followers so I'm setting this to invite only to try and break 1000 followers. Believe it or not, this can be used as a drop in replacement for DCA, or used for options...

livingdracula

# Enhancing Trading Strategies with the Weekly Seasonality Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator Amidst this pursuit to chase price, a common pitfall emerges: an overemphasis on price movements without adequate attention to risk management, probabilistic analysis, and strategic position sizing. To address these challenges, I developed the **Weekly Seasonality with...

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**Disclaimer**: This analysis provides an overview of the historical performance of SPXS and highlights potential trading strategies based on observed patterns and volatility. However, this is not financial advice, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should consider broader market conditions and any upcoming economic events when...

livingdracula

This analysis provides an overview of the historical performance of SNAP Inc. and can guide trading strategies based on observed patterns and volatility. However, past performance is not always indicative of future results, and it is important to consider broader market trends and company developments. Volatility and Consistency: SNAP has exhibited high...

livingdracula

Disclaimer: The following article is based on a combination of data obtained from TradingView's seasonality indicator and Python code that analyzes seasonality on a 52-week basis over a 10-20 year period. The Kelly method discussed is simply a risk management tactic and should not be interpreted as financial advice. All data and analysis presented are made in good...