livingdracula

livingdracula

As we approach the end of the year, the SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust) appears to be trading within defined expected ranges, according to the provided data. This week-by-week analysis is particularly useful for traders and investors looking to optimize their risk management strategies and position sizing. Here’s an overview of key metrics and their importance: The...

livingdracula

Recently Tradingview gave us limited options stuff but unfortunately their API makes this very difficult, technically speaking, there should theoretically be a way to get options data from request.quandlor get local real estate data for say, a REIT and then do fun calculations but that data lacks documentation or doesn't work. //@version=5 indicator("Combined...

livingdracula

The indicator builds on top of the existing seasonality indicator in some simple, but powerful ways. It's invite only and only to followers. I don't ever charge for scripts but I want to grow my followers so I'm setting this to invite only to try and break 1000 followers. Believe it or not, this can be used as a drop in replacement for DCA, or used for options...

livingdracula

# Enhancing Trading Strategies with the Weekly Seasonality Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator Amidst this pursuit to chase price, a common pitfall emerges: an overemphasis on price movements without adequate attention to risk management, probabilistic analysis, and strategic position sizing. To address these challenges, I developed the **Weekly Seasonality with...

livingdracula

**Disclaimer**: This analysis provides an overview of the historical performance of SPXS and highlights potential trading strategies based on observed patterns and volatility. However, this is not financial advice, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should consider broader market conditions and any upcoming economic events when...

livingdracula

This analysis provides an overview of the historical performance of SNAP Inc. and can guide trading strategies based on observed patterns and volatility. However, past performance is not always indicative of future results, and it is important to consider broader market trends and company developments. Volatility and Consistency: SNAP has exhibited high...

livingdracula

Disclaimer: The following article is based on a combination of data obtained from TradingView's seasonality indicator and Python code that analyzes seasonality on a 52-week basis over a 10-20 year period. The Kelly method discussed is simply a risk management tactic and should not be interpreted as financial advice. All data and analysis presented are made in good...

livingdracula

Today, I'm demonstrating a new technical indicator on the ticker O, a monthly paying REIT widely recommended by traditional financial advisors for its long history. The indicator uses pivots and rsi to generate support and resistance and logic to check if the close is greater than resistance or less than support levels. The color of the candles change based on...

livingdracula

This is a hypothetical short position on Google. The basis for this is that Google, despite being pioneers in AI and search have fundamentally been blind sighted by chatGPT and could legitimately go to zero (although it's more likely is a rebound ~68). Here we have 3 positions. The first is OTM PUTS just below S1 which should be short dated or put calendar...

livingdracula

I created this chart to illustrate the price action of leverage ETF in relation to VIX. The purpose is to determine whether it's possible to create synthetic version of shorting against the box, where you never short and long the shares of the same stock. Instead someone is only ever long the shares on TQQQ with a protective PUT, and short the shares of SPXS with...

livingdracula

As is often the case, when USDT (or any stablecoin) marketcap sees substantial increases, there is a strong tendency to see BTC & ETH drop by significant percentages. This is because people are selling BTC/ETH, etc for USDT and therefor the marketcap increases substantially. In this case, we're looking at a 5% increase in USDT marketcap and as you can see, BTC is...

livingdracula

Based on this chart, It looks as if the dollar index is now in overbought territory and possibly with enough momentum to begin to shrink. I cant say for sure how this will effect forex markets, but it could lead to some interesting opportunities especially with the euro and the english pound. Moreover, on the bullish side of things, a declining dollar is actually...

livingdracula

Here we have a MONTHLY chart for $AGNC, a mid-cap monthly paying dividend REIT (Real estate investment trust). As you can see we breifly wicked to this price before and if you switch to a daily chart there is some evidence for a recovery. That being said, with the increasing rates from the FED, housing prices starting drop as demand lowers, and combined with...

livingdracula

Recently I read a report about some of the serious problems related to a strong USD (represented by DXY). This includes multiple "sovereign debt crisis" (SDC) across multiple currencies whether it is the Yuan, russian ruble (and their default) and in this case the USD. More specifically, USD SDC will likely greatly impact the exports of US-based company as the...

livingdracula

If we use a bullish gan fann to project a vertical increase of price, I suspect that combination of current price action combined with macro economics involving russia, may cause AM to reach ~$12 by January. What are your thoughts? I'm still learning a lot of things and i dont specialize in oil by any means.

livingdracula Updated 

I've been observing the unusually stable price action on SHLX for a while now and I'm considering taking advantage of by using CSP and margin to diversify into AM for a dividend capture strategy. Essentially, when using margin, you want to invest in a stock that ideally has very little price action and low volatility in order to reduce the chances of being margin...

livingdracula

Contrary to the report by loop capital... I foresee the beginning of a long-term bearish trend based solely on TA. To be clear, I don't disagree with the analysis of loop capital , I just think that TA is more honest and it suggests that we are likely to test the bull band and perhaps drop below it. That being said, I plan to swing trade the shares, sell CC and...

livingdracula

Here is an example of macro-analysis on GSAT. Here we use weekly with renko, volume based opacity candles (less color, less or bearish volume, soldi is bullish or high volume) and trend-based colors we attempt to significantly reduce the noise associated with meme stocks as well as identify the beginning, middle, end a trend in either direction. For support and...