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0dte 10y2y-yieldcurve 10yryields 2yrbonds 6e1! 6j1! agri agricommodity agriculturals agriculture ai alphagenerating amazon apple arbitrage argentina audusdshort australiandollar baidu bankingcrisis bankingstocks banks bearcallspread bearmarket betahedge beyondta bigbanks bitcoin bitcoinfutures bitcoinidea bitcoinminers blackscholes blackscholesoptionpricing blacksholesmerton blockchain boe boj bojexpectations brazil btc btc1! btcdominance btceth btcfutures btcgold btcspotetf btcusd bullcallspread bullputspread buythedip byd calendarspread capitalonefinancialcorporation cashandcarry centralbankpolicyimpact centralbanks cfd chartpattern chatgpt china china50 chinarecovery chips chipstocks citi cl cl1 cl1! clfutures cme cmefutures coinbase commercialrealestate commitmentsoftraders commodities comparitiveperformance consumersentiment containsimage copper corn cot coveredcall crackspread crisis crudeoil crushspread crypto cryptomarket cryptomarkets cryptorally cryptostocks currency currencymarkets dbs debtceiling debtcrisis dedollarization deficit dfj distillate dollarindex dowjones dxy dxyshort earnings earningsplay ecb economiccycle elections electricvehicles eminisp500 equityoption es1! etf etfapproval eth eth1! ethbtc ethbtclong ethereum ethfutures ethusd euro eurofx eurusd eurusdprediction ev eventdriven exports fed federalreserve fedpolicy fedwatch fees financials financialstocks fixedincome fomc forex fundamental futures futurestrading fxtrading gammascalping gartnerhypecycle gasoline gbpusd gc1! gdx geopolitical-risk geopolitics gold goldfutures goldlong goldminers goldplatinumratio goldprice goldtradingstrategy goldtrend google governmentbondyields growth gsr harvest hedging hedgingwithoptions henryhub hg hg1! historicalanalysis ho1! housing hype impliedvolatility indicator industrialmetals inflation interestrates intervention inventory invertedyieldcurve japan japanequity japanesestocks japaneseyen japanstocks jobsreport jp225 jpm jpy jpyusd largecap long longstraddle longstrangle marketoutlook mbt1! mcl1! meanreversion mes1! meta metals metalstrading mgc1! microbitcoin microfutures microgold microsilver microsoft momentumstrategy monetarypolicy movingaverage msl1! mtfa mzc1! nasdaq nasdaq100 naturalgas ndx nft nfttoken ng1! ni225 ni225long nikkei225trade nvda nvidia oilforecast oilmarkets oilrefining oiltrading opec optionsstrategies optionstrading ordinals phlx photovoltaic pivotpoints platinum policy portfolio portfolio-allocation portfoliorepositioning preciousmetals primer protectiveput putspread quantitativetightening ratecut ratecuts ratehikes rateparity rates ratio rb1! realestate realestatesector recession recovery regionalbanks regulation relativevalue reopening reservecurrency reshoring riskmanagement russia rut safehaven seasonalities seasonality seasonality-trading seasonaltendencies sector_analysis semiconductors sharperatio short shortsetup si1! signaturebank sil1! silver singapore smallcaps sol1! solana solusd sortinoratio sox soy soybean soybeancrush soybeanforecast soybeanfutures soybeanmeal soybeanoil soybeans soyfutures sp500index spf spr spread spreadtrading spx spx500 spxoptions spy steepening stimulus straddle strangle supersevens supply_and_demand supplyanddemand supportandresistance svb tariffs techstocks tesla thefuturesleap theleap trade tradingplan tradingtool travel treasurybonds treasuryfutures treasurymarket treasuryyield treasuryyields trendanalysis trump us us02y us10y us10y-us02y usdebt usdjpy usdollar uselections usequities usmarkets usoil usrecessions ustreasuries utilities utilitiessector value vix volatility volatilityexpansion volatilityindex volatilitytrade volatilitytrading war wasde weather wgmi wheat wti wticrude xaf xau xauusd xlre xlu yen yenfutures yenusd yield yieldcurve yieldcurveinversion yieldfutures yields yieldspread zc1! Less Tags Show All Tags
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There are ideas on different regional versions of TradingView:
Navigating US Exceptionalism, Valuations, & Volatility in 2025
SPX
, 1D
Long
SPX: Navigating US Exceptionalism, Valuations, & Volatility in 2025

How often do US equities deliver 20%+ annual returns sequentially? The S&P 500 index representing a broad selection of US listed firms generated 24.2% in 2023 and 23.3% in 2024. Source: Visual Capitalist So, what is in store for 2025? Analyst consensus points to a 10% upside in 2025 given strong economic fundamentals, AI-led capex and productivity gains,...

Bitcoin to Soar as Trump’s Pro-Crypto Policy Hopes Rise
MBTG2025
, 1D
Long
MBTG2025: Bitcoin to Soar as Trump’s Pro-Crypto Policy Hopes Rise

Bitcoin prices are on fire. It has surged 129% YoY with anticipation surrounding re-election of Donald Trump as the POTUS for the 2nd time. Trump is regarded as the “most pro crypto” President. Trump is poised to usher in a crypto friendly policy framework aimed at accelerating institutional adoption and positioning Bitcoin (“BTC”) as a cornerstone of the American...

Supply Glut to Weigh Down on WTI Crude Prices in 2025
MCLH2025
, 1D
Short
MCLH2025: Supply Glut to Weigh Down on WTI Crude Prices in 2025

Outlook for crude oil prices in 2025 is a complex interplay of various factors. China’s fiscal & monetary policies, Trump’s energy agenda, OPEC+ strategies, and geopolitical developments will collectively sway oil prices. For now, the outlook for 2025 remains bearish. Analysts expect persistent oversupply, driven by rising non-OPEC+ production. Demand growth will...

Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting Seasonali
AMLP
, 1D
Long
AMLP: Long MLP ETF & Short Micro Nat Gas Futures on Shifting Seasonali

Henry Hub Natural Gas (US LNG) prices have surged 46.2% since November 2024, driven by colder weather forecasts, rising European gas prices, increased feed gas to U.S. LNG facilities, and expectations of stronger domestic and European demand. US LNG prices typically climb in winter as U.S. heating needs spike, with the December-March period marking a net...

10-year Treasury Yield Surging ahead last FOMC in 2024
10Y1!
, 1D
Long
10Y1!: 10-year Treasury Yield Surging ahead last FOMC in 2024

After a politically charged November, bond markets have shifted their gaze back to economic fundamentals, setting the stage for a crucial Federal Reserve meeting on December 17. Recent data—including a robust jobs report and rising inflation—have reignited debates over long-term yields and the Fed’s future rate trajectory. With the Fed’s dot plot and 2025...

Riding US Exceptionalism to 2025 with Long SPY & Protective Puts
MES1!
, 1D
Long
MES1!: Riding US Exceptionalism to 2025 with Long SPY & Protective Puts

Size begets size. Records are being shattered. US Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have attracted >USD 1 trillion inflows YTD 2024 for the first time in history. Pro-business policies under President-elect Donald Trump continues to entice investors into US equities. US stocks are at record levels. Is that a concern? Yes. But, unlike other rallies which tend to be...

Unlock Value in Japanese Equities Using Micro Nikkei Futures
MNI1!
, 60
Long
MNI1!: Unlock Value in Japanese Equities Using Micro Nikkei Futures

If you cannot beat them, join them. Activist funds are astute investors. Considering their investment strategies to position one’s portfolio can often lead to credible positive returns. But mind the risk as with any other investing strategies. Activist funds are circling around specific Japanese stocks that have significant potential to unlock value from...

Rates, Macro Conditions, & Seasonality Bode Well for US REITs
RX1!
, 1D
Long
RX1!: Rates, Macro Conditions, & Seasonality Bode Well for US REITs

Rates & REITs move inversely. Higher rates dampen REITs performance. Declining rates favour REITs returns. With rates easing, are REITs at the cusp of recovery? What does 2025 hold for US real estate? The answer is best captured in two words - "Cautiously Optimistic". 2025 Commercial Real Estate ("CRE") Outlook - a survey by Deloitte - shows that ~90% of...

US Nat-Gas Poised to Rally on Rising Demand for Heating
MNGF2025
, 1D
Long
MNGF2025: US Nat-Gas Poised to Rally on Rising Demand for Heating

Tightening supplies, fluctuating inventories, and volatile geopolitics present intriguing risk management and trading possibilities in US Liquified Natural Gas ("US LNG") markets. Colder weather forecasts, robust LNG exports, and Europe's increasing dependence on US LNG continues to reshape global energy trade. US LNG PRICES REBOUND IN NOVEMBER ON IMPROVING...

Trump Presidency Ignites Bond Yields on Inflation Expectations
10Y1!
, 1D
Short
10Y1!: Trump Presidency Ignites Bond Yields on Inflation Expectations

The “Make America Great Again” ethos has set the greenback on fire. Donald Trump's re-election has the US dollar surging 2%, extending its rally since early October to a total gain of 5%. This resurgence is despite the anticipated 25 basis points (“bps”) rate cut at the November FOMC meeting. Dollar rally is driven by expectations of potential policy changes...

Hedging Price Risk in Silver in a Pivotal Week
SIL1!
, 1D
Long
SIL1!: Hedging Price Risk in Silver in a Pivotal Week

This is a big week for financial markets, a long-anticipated election in the US is likely to have widely varying impacts across major asset classes. Safe haven assets such as silver stand to benefit from the uncertainty. There is also an FOMC meeting scheduled on 7/Nov (Thu) where the Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. A lower rate...

Japanese Equities Rebound Post Election Shocks
NKD1!
, 1D
Long
NKD1!: Japanese Equities Rebound Post Election Shocks

Japan’s October 28 elections delivered a surprise to the market with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)’s loss of the majority in the parliament. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba now faces the challenge of securing a majority in the 465-member Diet, Japan’s national legislature, in the coming weeks. This political uncertainty has impacted the outlook for...

How to Position if you Missed the Gold Rally
MGC1!
, 1D
Short
MGC1!: How to Position if you Missed the Gold Rally

Gold prices have reached another all-time high, supported by strong bullish momentum. However, the composition of buyers has shifted. While central banks fuelled the previous phase of the rally, institutional investors and retail buyers are now leading. Over the past six months, ETF inflows have totalled nearly $5 billion, and asset managers continue to build net...

Silver Soars amid China’s Stimulus and Investment Demand
SILZ2024
, 1D
Long
SILZ2024: Silver Soars amid China’s Stimulus and Investment Demand

Silver’s dual role in both investment and industry makes it highly sensitive to economic slowdowns but also well-positioned to thrive during periods of strong growth. Silver prices have surged 30% year-to-date, driven by a fourth consecutive year of supply deficit, soaring demand from the expanding photovoltaic (PV) industry, and spillover momentum from gold,...

Yield Curve Reinverts on Easing Rate Cut Expectations
10Y1!
, 1D
Short
10Y1!: Yield Curve Reinverts on Easing Rate Cut Expectations

Fed sets the rates. Rates guide treasury yields. Fed remains data dependent. Incoming data creates nuanced shifts in yield spreads. The September jobs report revealed 254,000 jobs added, significantly exceeding expectations of 147,000, with August figures also revised upward. This strong report, along with the JOLTS data from earlier in the week, indicates that...

Hedging Yen amid bullish Nikkei outlook?
NKD1!
, 1D
Long
NKD1!: Hedging Yen amid bullish Nikkei outlook?

The Nikkei-225 is trading near 40,000 once more. The sharp decline in early August due to the BoJ rate hike has been swiftly reversed. The outlook for the Nikkei remains bullish with continued investor interest driven by market reforms as well as foreign investor interest. With the BoJ currently on pause and signalling no urgency to raise rates further, the...

Will a Jumbo Rate Cut Fuel Crude Oil Rally?
CL1!
, 1D
Long
CL1!: Will a Jumbo Rate Cut Fuel Crude Oil Rally?

US equities soared to record highs on higher-than-expected rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Additional rate cuts implied by the Fed dot plot signals a goldilocks economic scenario. A booming economy coupled with low crude oil inventory levels with intensifying geopolitics could tip crude oil prices into a rally. Oil prices rose higher yesterday as hard...

FOMC Showdown Poised to Ignite a Surge in Yield Spreads
10Y1!
, 1D
Long
10Y1!: FOMC Showdown Poised to Ignite a Surge in Yield Spreads

With inflation finally cooling and the Fed signaling rate cuts, it seems relief is on the horizon—until you look at the job market. As recession risks grow and Treasury yields falter, a steepening yield curve presents a compelling opportunity. Positioning in the yield curve ahead of the FOMC meeting offers a more measured way to navigate the uncertainty. ...

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