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I want to show how inflation occurs in several countries that should be affected by the high commodity prices and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. For comparison, I include Indonesia and the US. Russia and Ukraine experience very high inflation, which is natural since they are both in conflict and many countries give Russia sanctions. However, I noted that US...

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Here is shown the return of many IDX Indexes since 2022. My favorite is IDX80. Other IDX Indexes that should be in the spotlight are IDX30, IDXG30, IDXV30, and IDXQ30. Interesting to see that IDXG30 and IDXV30 are outperformed IDXQ30. This shows that Investors prefer Growth Stocks (and Value Stocks) over Quality Stocks. During conditions that are good for...

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These are the stocks that should benefit from the Seasonality of Ramadhan and Idul Fitri. Retailers Sector Food and Beverages Sector Groceries Sector Home Improvement and Gadget Sector

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I am trying to compare Value vs Growth in IDX stocks. Using IDX Value 30 and IDX Growth 30, I compare them with Relative Performance charts. If the chart is heading upward then IDX Value 30 gives better return than IDX Growth 30. If the chart is heading downward then IDX Growth 30 gives better return than IDX Value 30. In this chart, currently Growth Stocks...

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I try to show the effect of Russia - Ukraine War for Indonesia Stocks. There are 4 column consist of : 1. Mineral Stocks 2. CPO Stocks 3. Coal Stocks 4. Crude Oil Stocks Maybe the war bring negative news to other market but not for certain sector in Indonesia stocks market.

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I try to show the effect of Russia - Ukraine War for Indonesia Stocks. There are 4 column consist of : 1. Mineral Stocks 2. CPO Stocks 3. Coal Stocks 4. JCI vs EIDO vs MSCI Asia ex Japan vs MSCI Emerging Market Maybe the war bring negative news to other market but not for certain sector in Indonesia stocks market.

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These are the stocks owned by Lippo. I have been watching them because they seem aggressively transform their business into technology related to adapt to a new era.

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CPO is in Uptrend since June 2021 and will move upward to reach MYR5,800. Support that needs to be Broken Down to reverse Uptrend is in MYR4,700. As long as CPO is still above MYR4,700, I predict it will move to MYR5,800.

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The Yield US10Yr is on the rise as The Fed is reducing its QE program.

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This is a Ratio Chart between the Cement Sector Index (consist of SMGR and INTP) and Composite. The Chart has been in Downtrend since 2013 so that means Cement Stocks are Underperforming Composite. But this trend might be over soon since the Chart (or Ratio Chart) is moving Sideways since 2017. The sideways move might end the Downtrend (that happened since 2013)...

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I believe there are positive impacts. I monitor USDIDR to see if Investors agree with the impacts. USDIDR is forming a Bearish Continuation Pattern since June 2020. Meaning, there is a potential Downward Move and it has just begun after USDIDR fall below Rp14,750. USDIDR could continue falling to Rp13,600, meaning Rupiah could continue its strength.

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Indonesia's budget will be focusing on Infrastructure related in 2021 (just like previous years under President Joko Widodo regime). So it's only logical if Investor might look at Infrastructure Related Stocks again. I create Construction Stocks Index (ADHI, PTPP, WIKA, and WSKT) and compare it to Composite. The graph shows that while Construction Stocks are...

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I monitor these charts as I expect the lower Risk (base on lower VIX) means that Investor is getting more bullish despite Covid-19 is still far away from being controlled. Although there is a little spike, I am sure VIX will not move above 40 - 50 and will stay in high range during normal period. This normal VIX will ensure it become a tailwind for S&P500 to...

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The strong move of Rupiah since May'19 at Rp14,500 against US Dollar should continue after Rupiah Break Support at Rp13,900. Rupiah gave 2 indications it is on Downtrend moves: when Rupiah failed to rise above Rp14,300 (Aug'19) and again failed to rise above Rp14,200 (Oct'19). Once Break Support, Rupiah could continue strengthening to Rp13,600 and will stay at Downtrend.

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I monitor this chart to catch Big Banks movement once they start Bottoming and will Rally soon.

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Big Banks show underperformance during JKSE crash. As expected, being Market Proxy, only BBCA (as one of Big Banks) relatively has similar performance with JKSE. As Cyclical Stocks and during PSBB (Semi-Lockdown), understandably ASII underperform JKSE. No one is buying a car this time. Staples Consumer Stocks such as UNVR and Cigarettes perform well during Semi...

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I try to predict Composite bottoming by looking at the 7 biggest market cap stocks. In the chart, There are two categories of those 7 which are : Underperforming (BBRI, BMRI, and ASII) and Outperforming (BBCA, TLKM, UNVR, and HMSP). Looking at the total Weight of Outperforming stocks (26.5%) and comparing to the Underperforming stocks (12.7%), we can say that...

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I believe sector Industrial Area, Property, Food (Poultry) and certain Industry will record good return once JKSE start to rise. I still believe Investment will come soon after this Pandemic over whether Omnibus Law will be signed or not. So I think Industrial Area Stocks (BEST, DMAS and SSIA) are my choice. Consumption is proven to be resilient and that is why...