mnobu

mnobu

PANW 550p 4/29 - 5/6 plot mean reversion at vertex of daily triangle. a break below december highs (569) confirms a significant drop to retest 550-532-522-507. 200dma = 507

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Long

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idea

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2000oz eventually

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66, 72, 77, 92

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64.00, 54.70, 51.80, 49.21, 45.40, 41.56

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Supercycle levels

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btc 59k 5/8

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pt $66bbl by 5/12

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58.2, 59.5, 60.2, 61.2, 62, 63, 64.5

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715 pt

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Closed above bearish / neautral zone. 800 critical level tested today. Cup & handle. 26% short interest. BTC all time highs this weekend / next week. MM's don't inverse me please <3. Bullish.

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MSTR math closer to fair value at 800 while BTC is around 48k-50.5k channel. Was overpriced at 1300 when BTC was 45k on 2/9. 665 support was underpriced. Now that the chart is more realistic I have identified channels optimal for the next 2 weeks leading up to quad witching, assuming BTC stays bullish. MSTR 1000c 3/19.

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Too many catalysts working in HD's favor. RSI dropped extremely low today. Picked up 257.5c. Riding this out according to these channels. Should see sells / tests on each line. As the market is bullish I see no reason why HD can't break through with enough volume. Cheers.

mnobu

Chicken Sandwhich / McPlant may be the catalyst. RSI fell significantly on Friday and premiums dropped 50% for 2/26's. Flash sale. IDEA: 215c 3/19.

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crude 92.35bbl July '21

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After yesterday's session, ARKG broke out of the bullish channel into the stratosphere. Skies the limit until the next blow-off-top. PT 100, Stop-loss 91.

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This channel OSTK can move to 72 easily premarket or early intraday Friday. If we blow the 70-72 channel 77.5 is very possible - would only require a 10-12% move which OSTK is very capable at this point having rose 20% in days. BULLISH ON OSTK. Position: 70c 12/18.