nicker

nicker Aug 15, 2021

BTCUSD sits on 50sma. 13 CCI broke down thru an up trendline for short signal. I ignored a previous one because 100CCI was still above +100, but now 100CCI is inside +100, so signai is short from $47000. Because we do NOT have a 13 CCI divergence on adjacent price cycles, th\ere is expectation for price to bounce higher until we see a diver Watch actively for a...

nicker Aug 5, 2021

What's next? Probably, some consolidation. The price pattern favored Up since retest of swing low. If today's upmve were to be just corrective, it more likely would not have dropped all the way to swing low before pushing hard up. That clue may not apply to such a volatile crypto The CCI triangle Apex is a good suggester of direction. Up is favored if apex...

nicker Aug 5, 2021

H4 13 CCI has another tlb this one for Long. There is a possibility that CCI could reverse near retest of price swing hi, so watch for an H4 tlb short. but I think it is more likely for price to go higher first. The reason is that on the low side today, price had retested all the way to low of y/d, not just part-way back down.

nicker Aug 3, 2021

Previous post Short is still in effect for H4 timeframe, but will have a Long signal when 13CCI crosses up through a down trendline. Because any move up from the 38.2% retracement off Jul 20 upmove could be powerful, I'm showing the earlybird H1 view of CCI showing divergence, and likely being within a couple of hours at the earliest, of crossing up thru down...

nicker Updated  Aug 3, 2021

H4 BTCUSD has met the 3 requirements for assessing with high probability, that a high is in. These have been posted many times and are shown on this chart However, I have never evaluated the steps on such a volatile product as BTCUSD. What I have said is that if the first 2 steps are completed, but not the 3rd, then we start over at 1) looking for a 3CCI diver....

nicker Updated  Jul 31, 2021

Jul 30 13CCI crossed up thru down-trendine, the signal for Long, as described in previous post Short signal would be a CCI break of an Up-trendline

nicker Jul 29, 2021

Even with late post for Long, BTCUSD is up 39800-31598 = $8202. There was a tlb for short at the first CCI hook down, but I decided to await retrace to price high to see what CCI said then. So now wehave a CCI divergence and another clear CCI tlb, so I will short here, and be nimble. Long signal will be when 13CCI crosses Up thru a Down trendline

nicker Updated  Jul 26, 2021

I hate late posts. Lost hard drive. y/d Jul 20, BTCUSD 4 hr and Daily had 13CCI trendline break signals Long. Fine to have taken those. However, my answer to whether the low is in yet requires 1) first, a divergence of 13 CCI in next price cycle (we don't yet have that) 2) retest of price low (we have that, but need to have it follow the CCI diver) 3) CCI...

nicker Jul 1, 2021

In a big picture, standing aside until price breaks above $41.5k or below $28.5k can save a lot of whipsaw unless one is nimble, has low fees on trades, has limit and stop orders available, and is a good chart reader. For those wanting to use 13CCI signals to trade in/out during this extended consolidation, daily CCI is currently on a short signal. It would...

nicker Updated  Jun 5, 2021

>61.8% retracement of upmove May 29 -June 3 suggests more down to full retracement or more 13CCI pattern is still strongly negative, and the CCI triangle apex is still well below zeroline, strongly favoring Downmove in price. Price H&S target is the horizontal red dotted line down near $20k However, things can change rapidly with political manipulation, so be...

nicker May 29, 2021

Both Daily and H4 13CCI have a short signal from trendline break on CCI. Can this overcome a wedge on weekly chart? If so, first target may be the H&S target, and if no bounce there, there is a lot of open space below for a few hundred pips. Long signal will be when a down trendline on CCI is broken to upside

nicker May 22, 2021

Head and Shoulders target marked on chart is below the fib retracement tagged last week. 13 CCI is turning up but it may be temporary. For a real upmove, After any divergence, normally we need a retest of low, then a move of 13 CCI above -100. However, should we get a lower new low, we have to start over looking for Longsm looking first for divergence in next...

nicker Updated  Mar 21, 2021

MSTR Daily -13 CCI has a Long signal just triggered with a cross up thru a down trnedline on CCI for an aggressive Long at 773. The continuation of Up is favored by location of two CCI triangle apices being above zeroline. More conservative traders may wait for a breakout above the swing high dotted line, to avoid any possible continuation of zigzag ...

nicker Updated  Mar 13, 2021

1) The 13 CCI has double divergence, followed by retest of high price. Furthermore, 13CCI crossed down thru an Up trendline. By themselves, these signs are necessary for price to drop, and are sufficient UNLESS higher price and higher CCI ensue. If rising price might first reach the center median line 2) The apices of the two triangles that are drawn on...

nicker Mar 8, 2021

Two 13 CCI triangle apices (apexes?) are above the CCI zeroline, which favors price moving up. The definitive Long would be when CCI crosses up through the downtrendline, at the green arrow Reversal to short would be when 13 CCI crosses down thru an uptrendline not shown

nicker Feb 27, 2021

13CCI is concave, suggesting a price reversal to up. CCI has barely crossed up through a down trendline, giving a Long signal with SL below most recent low Reversal signal short would be if CCI crossed down thru an Up tl.

nicker Feb 23, 2021

Daily DXY 13CCI is still not showing much upside strength. The downward momentum is slowing, but a real trend change up in price ordinarily will first offer a CCI divergence, then a retest of low, then the 100CCI likely would shoot up thru -100. Jenner's Divergence Corollary is that if we have not seen a CCI diver, we have likely not yet seen the low. A...

nicker Updated  Feb 9, 2021

Look at previous post for showing 4 hr EURUSD, head first wk Jan 2021, H&S barely above neckline, set for a downward break below neckline of R shoulder, where a 300p run down is a target below that neckline. Of course, a better entry for H&S patterns is top of right shoulder, which is where EURUSD ended the day Jan 22. Fri Jan 30, 2021. Hopefully folks saw the...