good evening. haven’t posted publicly about velodrome in a while. privately? plenty. last private post: --- tonight marks day one of alt season. most were waiting for this moment, hoping for it, convinced they were ready,,, until they weren’t. until the rug was pulled right before it began. they watched it slip through their fingers. and...
t-bonds are primed for lift-off. we just witnessed the largest decline in the history of the treasury. since march 2020, t-bonds have looked like they’re in a correction. most are calling it five waves down, signaling a deeper bear market. but they’re seeing the surface, not the structure. i'm building a case that says otherwise. the five-wave drop from...
gm, wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today. --- fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish. but i’m bullish. --- here’s exactly why: -quantitative easing is coming back. -rate cuts are on the...
here’s your rewrite—cutthroat, precise, and undeniable. --- they mock ether. they doubt it. they call it dead money. > while the smart money accumulates. "ethereum is a stablecoin," retail sneers. blind. short-sighted. drowning in their own ignorance. > while the smart money accumulates. your sell is our buy. and our buy is what takes us to the...
gm, this was initially a private post, but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people. --- interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history. monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the...
gm, this idea has been in the works for years, ever since we topped out 3 years ago. there has been quite a bit of variations of this idea, but this one right here has been my primary idea for a very long time. initially i imagined the dxy coming up to 111-113 before topping out, and i reckon it still can, but the worst is behind us, relatively...
gm, markets tend to be forward looking, and based off my understanding + the chart data, it appears the top is in for the rates. i predict the market will begin to price in future rate cuts and start bringing the us10y down. this will open the door to a "risk on" enviroment for big tech, as well as risk assets like crypto . --- the count on the us10y is...
read that title one more time anon, and then again. bookmark this post, come back to it in a few months and tell me you made money, or come back to it, and tell me how wrong i was. either way, this is the primary. --- there is blood on the streets, so i come here on this eve' to share my perspective, to shed a little light on how i'm looking at this...
gm, i came up with this theory a few years ago, and it's been lingering in the back of my mind ever since. it's one of the primary reasons i exited near the recent highs and have been sitting on my hands ever since. you can check out my original theory here: keep in mind that 98% of my work is completely private, shared only with the members of lunar...
gm, what if i told you that ethereum is about to plunge by as much as 50%, just as everyone is expecting the start of alt season? what if i told you that the entire structure over the past few months has been corrective, setting the stage for a major liquidity grab below 2k? you probably wouldn’t believe me. --- here’s my theory: the structure from the may...
gm, i’m reaching out today to give you a fair warning based on a concerning cross-market chart structure. the dxy is showing strong signs of strength and looks like it’s gearing up for an upside squeeze, potentially setting the stage for a breakout to levels we haven’t seen in decades. the implications of this move could trigger a flash crash in both the stock...
es1! appears poised for a larger move down, based on the smaller timeframe count . this leads me to believe that es1! has entered a larger fourth wave. historically, these waves take an average of 2 months to play out and typically result in a 12% decrease from the high before completing. wave 4's often retrace back into the territory of the prior degree's...
bitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed. i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,, this crypto winter ❄️ why would this happen, you ask? the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid. a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands. distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to...
Gm. It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands. Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via: We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is...
gm, as we continue to consolidate and fear begins to rise, it becomes blatantly clear to me as to what is truly going on. we're clearly in a fourth wave. fourth waves are notorious for creating fear, uncertainty, and doubt. they make you question weather the trend is truly over, they bore you with sideways price action which makes you hand over your hard earned...
gm, in previous cycles, the duration from cycle low to cycle high has typically been roughly 1,000–1,100 days. currently, we are 742 days in, which suggests we still have about a year until the "expected top." this projected top also aligns with the global liquidity index in q4 of 2025. the way i interpret this current structure is straightforward: from the...
dx1!, dxy, us dolla - is nearing a top. do with this information what you will, but thought i'd let you know just in case you were wondering. --- it is possible this fifth wave sees an expansion, and if it does, the situation in the global markets can substantially worsen. >let's not go there unless we need to. ✌
good evening, --- consider this post somewhat fictional for now, created more for entertainment purposes, but i want you to know that there are some serious data points which i'm going to bring up to build the case that the stock market has found a long term bottom. --- ~our monthly indicator is finally oversold for the first time since 2009 market low and is...