ohueno

ohueno

I believe that as long as the interest rate stays at 4.5%, we won’t see real growth in altcoins — only short-term pumps. Rate cuts are expected to begin in the summer, but it will take some time to have an effect. I would compare the current market to both 2019 and 2022.

ohueno

I don’t think we have a real chance of holding above 100K for long. There are strong similarities to the 2022–2023 bear market, and there’s a significant risk of a BTC crash. I’ll be sharing a few ideas on this soon.

ohueno

Historically, it’s clearly visible that after a significant correction of 65–75%, ETH has always bounced back to the 0.382 level and slightly above. I don’t know if that will happen this time, but as soon as we approach the 0.382 level, I’ll consider closing my positions.

ohueno

Looking at history, ETH corrections of 65–75% have often been followed by sharp rallies. I believe we’re in a similar situation right now. With the upcoming Pectra upgrade on the horizon, there’s a strong chance we could see this pattern repeat. At the same time, ETH is currently undervalued — not just against BTC, but also compared to many altcoins. In my...

ohueno

Few people look at custom charts, and that’s a pity, because there’s a lot of truth to be found there. We’ve got fear in the market, and hardly anyone wants to buy right now.

ohueno

Turn off your fear, and look at history, maybe you'll see opportunities.

ohueno

Look closely: on the left is ALTLAYER, essentially a gem of the current cycle; on the right is HARMONY, a gem of the previous cycle. What unites them? They’re united by a 96% dump. But what happened next? Harmony, from the COVID wick, did a 300x. Now, let’s think: if we cut that 300x down to 100x, it turns out that ALTLAYER could very well have a 100x potential...

ohueno

You don't have to be scared, disconnect from news events, and think.

ohueno

There’s good news and bad news. The good news is that altcoins are likely to bounce back to the 0.5 Fibonacci level—just like they have in every past bear market. The bad news? We’re in for a year-long bear market that could last until the end of the year. I’m expecting a rebound into early May.

ohueno

If you were in the market during the summer of 2021, you’ll remember it as the altcoin crash and a complete capitulation. The market was filled with apathy — it felt like we were falling into an abyss. But that was the final phase, and the market reversed at that very moment. Pay close attention to the MACD.

ohueno

You can see the same bottom levels on the RSI that we tested in 2019. It’s possible that this scenario will play out again this time, so I’ll be watching how the weekly RSI closes.

ohueno

It's very simple, ETH dominance is approaching a support point, nothing new, ETH season 2025 is what we should expect.

ohueno

1. The capitulation phase in 2019 led to a 40% bounce 2. We are currently down 25% from ema21 resistance Do what you want with this information, options could be such as: Short SOL / Long ETH Short BTC / Long ETH Long ETH.

ohueno

TOTAL2/TOTAL3 $Altseason will happen only after pumping CRYPTOCAP:ETH against ALTS, BTC season phase is coming to an end, yes CRYPTOCAP:ETH season will start soon.

ohueno

I think 2025 will be the year of ETH, just like 2024 was the year of BTC, most alts will capitulate to ETH, before you buy any altcoin, think twice about ETH. The altcoin season will only start after a strong ETH rally.

ohueno

Be prepared for a sharp market crash, I think we are starting a big correction for 5-7 days. MacD pattern 1 in 1 that we have been getting before.

ohueno

The alt season after the ETH bottom was usually a year later, those who are now waiting for the alt season will not wait for it. Accumulation should happen within 365 days, after which the alt season will come.

ohueno

Until the dominance breaks the trendline, I'll be cautious. The multi-year trendline has played out more than once.