NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 Oct 02 Analysis from 02 Sep 2023 short scenario worked out well for the month. - market broke down the upward channel (black dash) - Supply is present on Friday's bar - Wait for reaction to demand line of upward channel (blue highlight, set alarm) Possible scenarios: 1) Market returns into upward channel and is supported = Long on...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 SEP 02 Neither scenario manifested for last week, didn't manage to trade. Daily vol analysis still shows that Demand < Supply, while weekly analysis may be pointing to potential buying climax, which further weaknesses must be manifested in order to substantiate this story. Possible scenarios: 1) After weakness on the last 2 bars,...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 28 Hope you had taken Scenario 2 test of breakdown area 15138-15511 short. Possible scenario: 1) Continued short per possible bear flag 2) If market hits longer term support channel (black dash), >> support = long >> breakdown + test and reject = short Price Reaction Levels Short on Test and reject | Long on...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 20 Scenario 2 short yielded handsome profit if you had followed 07 Aug's analysis. 18 Aug's bar showed some demand. CME_MINI:NQ1! Possible scenario: 1) Continued short opportunity if market test downward trendline and is rejected 2) Market tests breakdown area 15138-15511 (yellow box), and is rejected = short Price...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 07 Last week, Short from 15904 resistance was good. On weekly TF, market has closed below trend line. Watch market's reaction to the trendline. Possible Scenarios: 1) Short on retracement / rejection of 15511 level 2) Market does a spring and returns into rotation (grey box area), and target can be 50% of rotation range, or...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JULY 31 A) Market facing resistance at 16030-15904 area B) Fallen out of uptrend channel | | Lower High C) Rotation between 16030 - 15511 D) Weakening upward momentum on W / D timeframe Possible Scenarios: 1) Rotation strategy: Trade at boundary 16030 | 15904 and 15511 (grey zone 390 - 500pts range). Target can be 50% of range...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JULY 13 Wait for Mon 17 Jul's bar close to determine if Friday's mark down is for additional buying / weakness. Possible Scenarios: 1) if Mon 17 Jul closes higher = long on reracement 2) If Mon 17 Jul closes lower = look for low volume mark up, rejection, then short at rejection near recent resistance / high Price Reaction...
CME_MINI:NQ1! NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JULY 04 On the daily chart, we see potential trend changing weakness lining up. Market tested previous high, and stalling around the 14520 level. Possible Scenarios: 1) Market continues to be marked up on low volume narrow spread up bars = long on retracement 2) Short on test and rejection of recent high / lower...
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JUNE 12 WEEK Price broke 4303. If this becomes support, next target level will likely be 4584. Scenario Planning: 1) Long on support at 4303 2) If false break, short on rejection at recent high / lower high. Note: Longer Term: 4150 need to hold as support in order for long trend to remain intact. Volume Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar...
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 June 12 Week No change to previous analysis, observing reaction to 34605-34275 area. Last Friday's up bar showed significant weakness. Possible scenario: Short if 34605-34275 is rejected again Reason: Higher low toward previous resistance, on reducing volume. The professionals may engineer a false break to suck in traders unaware of the...
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JUNE 12 Significant Weakness observed on daily bar (Friday 09 June) as market is marked up on ultra low volume S>D bar. If mark ups on low volume continues, tighten stops and don't chase longs. Prepare to look out for short opportunity. Possible Scenarios: 1) Market continues to be marked up on low volume narrow spread up bars =...
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 June 05 Week Welcome myself back from holiday! Some selling into higher prices, so will watch reaction to 24605-34275 area. Possible scenario: 1) Short if 34605-34275 is rejected again 2) Higher low toward previous resistance, for long on retracement. Retracement down bars need to be on lower volume for this to happen. Price Reaction...
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JUNE 05 WEEK Once price breaks out of 4303 and it becomes support, market will likely test next level 4584. Scenario Planning: 1) Continuation long: Long on retracement Note: Longer Term: 4150 need to hold as support in order for long trend to remain intact. Volume Analysis: Daily/Weekly: Ave vol up bar close toward high = NTC...
Continuation long from previous analysis was in order last week. Minor weakness has appeared. Possible Scenarios: 1) Continuation Long: Long on retracement. Down bars has to be on lower volume. 2) Previous supply zone 15269 Exercise caution if you see climatic bars into this level. Market may rotate to work out demand and supply. Price Reaction Levels Short on...
Scenario1 breakout offered a fantastic week. Hope you had joined in the ride. Target 13740 hit, and AR tested. Possible Scenarios: 1) Continuation Long Strategy: Long on retracement. Price has to come down on low volume 2) Breakout failure: If there is strong volume on down move, it may signify a yet to be completed rotation, with more potential for downside...
CME_MINI:ES1! Are we seeing the bearish ascending triangle already? As with NQ, tendency to take rotational trades has diminished. Scenario Planning: 1) If market remain within 4163 - 4118 = No trade 2) Larger rotation 4198 - 4068 = trade at boundary of range Volume Analysis: Weekly: Lower vol down bar close off low = some demand present Daily: Lower vol down...
CBOT_MINI:YM1! Last week's test and reject 33670 short yielded 270pts. Market approaching intermediate axis 32994. Possible scenario: 1) 32994 is supported and market returns into 33850-32994 range 2) 32994 becomes resisted and market head toward 31657/30513 Price Reaction Levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 33632 34275-34605 ...
CME_MINI:NQ1! Last week 1 trade done at short from rotation high, stopped out, we will be looking at possible senarios below: 1) Breakout success: Price comes down on lower volume, finds support, for a Test and Accept long. Nearest target is 13740. 2) Breakout Failure: Price rejected at higher prices, for a test and reject short, back into rotation area. Note:...