priceactiontds

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Focus on the easy trades. Can only get bearish with consecutive 15m or 1h bars below 24000 and for now that is unlikely. Bulls bought 24000 the whole week so look for longs. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24500 bull case: As long as the bull gap 23700 -...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Back where we started on Friday and I do think one more big leg down will finally be enough for the persistent btfd crowd to scale it down a bit. So far it has been profitable and that’s why bears need a big gap that does not close or otherwise we just continue sideways to up. Bulls need to get trapped for this to...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: tl;dr covered it. I would be really surprised if we see 24000 again over the next days, if not months. If there is no 180° reversal from orange face next week, this is a de-facto embargo and we will see new lows over the summer. current market cycle: trading range and very broad bull channel on the weekly time...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: Not as bearish as I am on dax but I think market should not go above 21200 again and continue down. For that to happen, bears need to leave a strong bear gap somewhere. Gap down on Monday or Tuesday will likely do the trick. If the bull trend line holds and the current bear trend line breaks, There is the small...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: The past week we saw 3 tries by the bulls to push above 63 and they found no acceptance. I got trapped once because the spike looked so strong but it got zero follow-through. Markets will only try one direction so many times before they try the other one. current market cycle: monthly time frame is a broad bear channel...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls finally got the breakout on Wednesday and we printed the new ath. My max upside target was around 115/116k and the high so far is 112k. Can we do more? Bull trend line is unbroken, so yeah. We have seen 3 clear legs up and betting on more is always a bad strategy. My broader bearish bias also includes btc and I...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears get nothing going. Everything is bought. This notion slightly changed today. We saw an increase in selling pressure and market made a decent lower high but problem for the bears is, the bull trend line held and so far we have only seen big tails below 21100. We have formed a triangle and we could see a bigger...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Quick stuff. Daily new ath means bulls are doing more than bears so don’t look for shorts. Today’s selling was a start but we need a clean lower high before one can look for decent short setups. I think anything above 24300 would make me physically sick. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 -...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears get nothing going. Everything is bought. Do not look for shorts unless you can scalp really well. We have room for 1 more day of chop but ultimately I think we will print 22000, like sp500 wants the 6000+. Bull channel is valid until broken, so look for longs. current market cycle: trading range key levels:...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls finally got their retest and a higher high. Now is decision time. Can we do another leg up or is this a bull trap and we finally reverse for a deeper pullback over the next days? I heavily favor the latter but for now bears are nowhere to be seen and until then, looking for shorts is suicide. 24300 could be the...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: We are only about 300 points higher than the previous week but market printed the obvious big round number and Friday we had the retest, which did not quite get there but close is always close enough. We are seeing somewhat of an increase in selling pressure but it’s not enough. current market cycle: trading range and...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: The bulls gapped up on Monday’s Globex open and we never looked back. My line in the sand was 20536 and we are now about 1000 points higher. The rally is climactic in a very tight bull channel and those are always unsustainable. We are close to the ath to expect a new one or a retest but I doubt we can get there...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: I think buying that weekly time frame double bottom below 55 makes sense. Bulls are trying to print 64+ again and hit the weekly 20ema around 64.5ish. I favor the bulls to get to the upper bear wedge trend line a bit higher around 66ish and there market will decide if we continue further in it. The structure has a lot...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: Can’t be anything but bullish. Nothing changed so this bias did not change either. Bulls were so strong that we have corrected sideways in a tight range for 9 days now and if bears can’t even print one decent bear bar after such a rally, bears are doing absolutely nothing and the correction is mostly from bulls taking...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is in peak euphoria again but you would be buying at the very top on an Opex Friday. Like… Just dont. Enjoy your weekend. I expect a rather choppy session maybe even a deep pullback rather than closing the week on another green bar. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20600 - 22000 bull case:...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows compared to Tuesday. We are in a triangle and market is refusing to print below 23500. I do think we will see a big move tomorrow. What I don’t think is that we will close Friday at an extreme. If we get to 24000 again, I am very inclined to look to fade it again. Can we close this week...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Can’t get more bullish than this but I am not willing to buy the exact high but rather would wait for a pullback. The only thing that we turn me neutral right now, would be a > -2% down day and close below 20800. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 19700 - 20600 bull case: My lowest measured move...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: If you are a bull and longed anything last week and market hit your 24000 target today, you either took profits at the top and were happy about it or you watched them burn. Now what should we expect when the market hits 24000 the next time? Will bulls willingly hold through another pullback, knowing that it could be...