


Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Bulls got the breakout above and got rejected at 2700 again. I think we will spend a bit more time at the highs until bulls give up or we find more buyers willing to buy above 2700. Right now I still favor the bulls for continuation but only willing to buy on strong momentum. comment : Retest 2700 is done,...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bears hoped for a second leg down and build decent selling pressure but bulls bought the dip. Nothing unexpected and we likely continue sideways at the highs until bears give up again or more bulls get exhausted and want to secure profits. Technically I expect another leg down but we could retest the highs...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - Bulls got follow through and are at my bullish target where I expect a reversal. The July high should hold and we are at the top of the bull wedge, touched the big bear trend line from ath and saw some decent selling above 67000. Swing short for me 66803, sl 70170. comment: Clear 3 legs up for the bulls....
Good Evening and I hope you are well. dax futures comment: A daily bear bar closing on it’s low. What a time to be alive. Kinda in the middle of the channel now, which is a bad bad place to trade. Both sides have valid arguments. I would rather sit on hands and only scalp on momentum than initiate trades around 19600. current market cycle: bull trend key...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Bulls bought the daily 20ema and now we had gigantic up and gigantic down, means gigantic confusion. I favor another sideways to down movement for the second leg of the two-legged correction before bulls can try 77 or higher again. 75-76 is a bad spot to trade imo. Downside target is 74 or 73 and...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Also max bullish. Bulls closed 8 points below the ath. Strong buy signal going into next week but the issue (again) is that you are buying above the bigger bull wedge and at the very high of a nested one. Waiting for a pullback to go long is the much more reasonable trade instead of buying near 5860. The wedge...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: Max bullish for 19500/19600. Bulls have all the arguments if they stay above 19200. 19000-19200 is neutral and only a daily close below 19000 could start a bear case. My base assumption is that we are in W5 of this bull trend which could lead up to 20000. dax xetra Quote from last week: comment: Bearish...
Good evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax - Perfect two legged (ABC) correction on the 1h tf and now bulls are free to continue the short squeeze. Buckle up. Bears are only allowed to speak below 19250. If bears manage that, next target would be 19100 and a continuation of the trading range since last Tuesday. My swing long is going. comment : My line...
tl;dr oil - 297 points given to you yesterday. Hope you made some. 76 could be resistance but I can see this printing 78 again tomorrow. Either way, bad place to buy right now. Need better pullback or a buy near the 1h 20ema or bull trend line. I got nothing for the bears here either. They made big bucks and did not fight this much. comment : Closed the given...
Good evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr oil - 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Confirmation is only above 74.7. Tough spot right now. I would not be surprised if Globex starts the pump early. Decent chance we see 76 tomorrow and 78 on Friday. Bears would surprise me below 71 and I do think we would see an even bigger flush...
Good evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr nasdaq - Same as dax for me. Strong breakout and I do think we will retest 21000. September high is 20537 and there is a possibility, this continues to be resistance ut given the current context, the bulls are favored for higher prices. comment : Nested bull wedges on the daily chart and the bear gap to 20650 is...
Good evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr oil - Good pullback by the bears. Wait and see if bulls buy it and market found a bottom. Pullback could get some more but I doubt it will be much. 72-74 is neutral. Wait for strong momentum to the upside again. From yesterday: short term: max bullish but maybe one comment… No matter the reason for the short...
Good evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax - Do or die for the bears at exactly at the bear trend line and last weeks close and also Monday’s pullback high around 19260. Above 19290, bulls are favored for a breakout and target 19330 or higher. If we turn here, I expect 19100 or lower. dax futures comment: Watch the 30m 20ema tomorrow and see if bulls...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bears stuffed the bullish price action from Friday with a decent bear bar closing on it’s low. Markets continue in their respective trading ranges near the highs and the daily ema have held again. If bears can generate follow through selling tomorrow, the highs could be in for now and we could see a deeper...