priceactiontds

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Bullish outside bar with big tails above and below. Still a strong day by the bulls but they could not get above last weeks high 72.39 which shows they are not that strong. 50% pb is around 68 so market is neutral there. We are at 70 and I expect it to be bigger resistance. Bulls want 73 to test the upper bear...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax - Bulls closed one of the “weakest” months above the bull wedge and managed to keep the big bull gap open. Can’t be anything but bullish on that close if we don’t see a big bear surprise tomorrow. comment : If bears manage to stay below 19560, that would be really good. That is the breakout area from Friday we...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin - 66000 could have been another lower high and we trade back down to 50000 next. Unclear since bulls got above the August high but have not yet touched the bear trend line from the ath. Anyhow, huge tails above and below the monthly bars. Big trading range on the weekly and monthly chart. Favoring the bears...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin: Bulls made the higher high above 65000 and they continue to be in control of the market. Next target is the big bear trend line around 68000. That trend line held 5 times now since April, I do expect it to continue to hold. If it does not, we print a new ath with very high probability. Below 64000, market...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin: Bulls made the higher high above 65000 and they continue to be in control of the market. Next target is the big bear trend line around 68000. That trend line held 5 times now since April, I do expect it to continue to hold. If it does not, we print a new ath with very high probability. Below 64000, market...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: 50% pullback is around 68.20 and we are at 68.18. I favor the bulls that they printed a higher low major trend reversal here and 67 will hold. The pattern on the 1h looks like market is forming a round bottom which could lead to a big cup & handle pattern. If they get above 69 on Monday, I do expect...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: 2700 proved to be a good spot for a pullback, which should go a bit lower than 2668. Breakout price 2630, daily 20ema or the bull trend line around 2620 are all valid targets for the bears. We will only know the strength of the pullback once we know where bears sell it again, so we can draw proper support and...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: Perfect bullish outlook last week and we can’t be anything but bullish going into next week as well. 5 consecutive bull bars and Thu+Fri got bigger and closed almost at the high of the day. Market held above the 15m 20ema since Thursday EU open and this should be your guide for now. If we break below, 1h 20ema is...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: The big bull trend line from 2022-01 + 2022-07 is valid so far and forms a broad bull channel with the April + August low. We are at the top and until bulls can not break strongly above 5800, that price is resistance. Bears not doing enough, so I am neutral until one side gains momentum. Also continues inside...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Yesterday I promised you the breakout on Thursday and boi did we get one today. Problem for the bulls is, that they could not trap bears and they also could not close at the highs. That means, that the directional probability up or down is once again 50/50 (neutral). Most bull channels and wedges are still...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Yesterday I promised you the breakout on Thursday and boi did we get one today. Problem for the bulls is, that they could not trap bears and they also could not close at the highs. That means, that the directional probability up or down is once again 50/50 (neutral). Most bull channels and wedges are still...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Sideways. I won’t write much about this. Markets refuse to go lower but also not much higher. Best now is to wait for the clear breakout that will likely happen this week. I have zero bias to which direction it will go. I am not a fortune teller. Both sides have reasonable arguments, despite this being one...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - Look at the daily chart. Absolutely in balance is what this is. Please see my weekly outlook for more info. comment: Did not change anything from my weekly chart since market is doing nothing. You don’t see a market printing 6 of those bars very often. Be prepared for the breakout. current market cycle: ...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - More continuation of the expected. Bears trying to get lower with some spikes but enough bulls are happy to buy it. We will have a breakout either tomorrow or Thursday because one side will give up. As of now I favor the bulls for another leg up to kill the last shorts. (does not apply to DJI for example,...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Bull channel from my weekly update was not steep enough. 2700 next. Only look for longs. Can’t stop, won’t stop. comment: Gold broke above my drawn patterns, again. Unreal strength but not unexpected. In my weekly I wrote you should only look for longs. How high can this get? 2700 is almost a given at this...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - 230 ticks surprise downside by the bears but bulls prevented the ugly daily bar, which leaves us with a neutral bear bar. Market closed above the daily ema and right at the bull trend line that was broken earlier. Selling was strong enough to expect a second leg but anything below 69 would surprise me. ...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Talk about pinning at a specific price. Most markets moved inside tight trading ranges between last week’s close and today’s open price. Was it bulls scaling into longs because we will rip higher (accumulation) or bears selling the highs because we crater soon (distribution)? Yes. We have learned nothing...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well. bitcoin Quote from last week: comment: Doing the weekly chart this week. Clear contraction visible and there is no magic to see here. I won’t make up stuff where there is none. Market is clearly confused where it wants to go and no side has an advantage. The triangle will break out soon again and I can only see btc falling...