priceactiontds

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Dax puked hard but bulls are also making money there. Rest of my followed indexes were mixed. Bears still expect a bigger second leg down when you look at the daily charts. Add the bull trend lines to the current bear flags and wait for a break below. If we get it, I do think most bulls will cover. I am not...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Green across the board. On the daily charts it’s mostly a small to normal bullish inside bar, so nothing to get excited about yet for the bulls. Tomorrow will be very important for the bears. If they fail to test the lows again or stop the pullback, many bears could give up and let the bulls test the highs...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Green across the board. On the daily charts it’s mostly a small to normal bullish inside bar, so nothing to get excited about yet for the bulls. Tomorrow will be very important for the bears. If they fail to test the lows again or stop the pullback, many bears could give up and let the bulls test the highs...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Very strong breakout below previous support around 70 and market is on it’s way to test the 2024 low 64.46. Oil has not traded below 63 for more than a year. Bulls are in pain but some pullback is expected next week. Quote from last week: comment: Not much changed. On the weekly it looks more...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: Neutral. All bull wedges broken but the broad bull channel continues. Market only moved sideways, so no deeper meaning to this. Bears could not get a single daily close below the daily ema. Unless that changes, bulls are heavily favored to try 2600. Bears are only allowed to speak again once they have a daily...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Full bear mode. Market closes exactly at the 50% pullback price 5420 and we could see some sideways movement before more downside. Any pullback should stay below 5535. 0 Doubt in my mind that we see 5000 in 2024. Quote from last week: comment : Are we that much smarter than last Sunday after past week’s...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: Full bear mode. Bull trap and of August after making a new ath. Market is clearly in a hurry to go down again. Stairs up, elevator down. Most likely the bear gap to 18750 will stay open and every short sl has to be around that price. 1. tp is 50% pullback 18000 and as of now I expect a pullback there or more...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin: The drawn bull gap is now tested the third time in 2 months and at some point it will break but betting on breakouts in trading ranges is a losing strategy. R:R is on the bull side until bears get a daily close below 52400. Also a clear bear trend line, so look for weakness if we get a pullback to it. ...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - Bear inside bar on the daily chart. Bears need a close below 55500 but they are in control anyhow. The bear channel is broad so both sides are making money. Best r:r trades are short near the daily ema which is currently around 59000. 53000 will very likely be hit over the next 3-10 days. comment: Bear...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bears are selling the rips but most markets are contracting. Will most likely see a big move tomorrow but I don’t have a strong opinion on the direction. Very slightly favoring the bears for a bigger second leg down. dax futures comment: Y close was 18625 and today’s close was 18624. We oscillate around...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bearish bias confirmed. Bulls getting nervous by now. More bad data releases and markets are leaving bear gaps unclosed. Today we also made lower lows and the pullbacks were shallow. All good for the bears and the odds of another strong leg down and a measured move got higher today. dax futures comment:...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bearish bias confirmed. Bulls getting nervous by now. More bad data releases and markets are leaving bear gaps unclosed. Today we also made lower lows and the pullbacks were shallow. All good for the bears and the odds of another strong leg down and a measured move got higher today. sp500 e-mini futures ...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Huge bear surprise today. The strength of the selling was absolutely unexpected. Bulls closed August at the very high and had all the arguments to print new ath but as of now, this selling is different and new highs are now very unlikely. Most daily charts printed a huge outside down bar, closing at the lows...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Huge day for the bears. Both bull trend lines I had on my daily chart are now broken. 70 should be bigger resistance for now though. I expect the market to go sideways 69.5 - 71 for more time before another impulse. If bears manage to get below 69.5 tomorrow, that would bring 67 in play and really bad for the...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin : Also as neutral as it gets. Weekly ema completely flat. Bears need a daily close below 56000 and bulls one above 65000. 59000 is the 50% pb of the low 49000 to high 70000 and we are at 58000. Repeat after me: you. don’t. have. any. edge. here. Quote from last week: comment: I still think the pattern...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: Bulls confirmed the breakout with a strong monthly close above 2500. There are multiple nested wedges currently and I would not buy into the highs but rather wait for a pullback or a breakout above 2570. Last thing you should do right now is to look for shorts until bears come around big time. Last time bears...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Current bullish leg looks more like a leg in a trading range than something of a new bull trend that breaks above the previous ath. It’s 50/50 if bulls can print a new ath or this stays a lower high. It’s too high to buy for anything but intraday and too early to short unless you short small and have a stop...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr 4th consecutive bull bar closing on it’s high. Low volume but who cares. Can only be bullish on this price action. Futures are close to the ath while xetra already made a new ath. 19000 on xetra will most likely be hit next week. Will bears come around there to trap late bulls? Maybe but I would not bet on that. R:R...