


Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls have every argument on their side for printing higher prices. Bears created 1 bear bar in 11 days and Friday closed 1 point below the daily high. That is as clear of a buy signal as it can get. At the minimum they want to retest 5349 but if bears step aside...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment If bears can get follow through selling tomorrow and trap bulls below the breakout levels, we could see acceleration of this selling. If bulls manage to BTFD and make money with it again, this madness continues for new highs I guess. dax comment: Another break of the neckline but bears need follow...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Uber important trading day tomorrow. Bears need to bring their A game and trap bulls below 5300. If they manage to do so, we will close the week at the lows and get a huge sell signal going into next week. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5270 - 5368. Below 5270 is 5220...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Another round of all time highs but bears printed some bigger bear bars on higher volume but in the overall picture it’s still a trading range around the all time highs for stock indexes. To have any meaning, bears would need strong follow through tomorrow and make meaningful lower lows and test the...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Markets went mostly flat today. Nasdaq printed a new ath on another low volume day. Unless markets strongly break above the highs or lows, very uneventful price action. Play the range until it clearly is not working anymore. SP500 printed a tripple top now and selling it again is a reasonable trade. ...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. bitcoin comment: Bulls strongly broke above 67000 and 71954 was the high of the day. If you followed my bullish outlook in my weekly post, that trade was good for 2500+ points. current market cycle: Bull trend inside bigger trading range key levels: 67000 - 74000 bull case: Bulls need to keep the pull-back shallow...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Gold comment: Another triangle 2412 - 2440 which I expect to break down below and we get a second leg down. The measured move target is 2375, coincidences… Besides that, bulls got the 2450 and market showed bigger rejection again. Bears need follow through below 2400 now. current market cycle: trading range key...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Markets moved mostly sideways today but commodities are on a tear, except for Oil. We can expect more volatility on the commodities side, since they are in play and everyone want’s some. Be humble to net get caught on the wrong side and have strong momentum on your side. For stock indexes I expect...
Good Morning and I hope you are well. bitcoin Quote from last week: bull case: We are at support until clearly broken. Bulls got a two legged correction which was very shallow and weak. They have no arguments on their side besides the previous resistance one. Best they can hope for is more sideways movement until the 1h 20ema comes closer - currently at...
Good Morning and I hope you are well. This is my weekly outlook, written yesterday evening. So market already made the new ath and now I wait to see if they want to squeeze higher or we hit a hard wall for big players to continue to unload. gold futures Quote from last week: bull case: 2285 was the low last Friday and this week held above it and my two...
dax cfd Quote from last week: bull case: Bears gave up since Monday and we melted 800 points higher. I got 2 measured move targets above, 19280 and 19650. Technically we should see a pull-back first and depending on how deep it is, we can calculate new targets. I think next week everything will be determined by the PPI and CPI prints. If they come in low, I...
dax cfd Quote from last week: bull case: Bears gave up since Monday and we melted 800 points higher. I got 2 measured move targets above, 19280 and 19650. Technically we should see a pull-back first and depending on how deep it is, we can calculate new targets. I think next week everything will be determined by the PPI and CPI prints. If they come in low, I...
overall market comment This week we found out how high the squeeze could get and markets made new all time highs. PPI was bad but market rallied anyway and bears gave up on CPI numbers. We are at the highs where we saw a bigger sell-off in April and it’s more reasonable to look for shorting the double tops, than betting on another melt-up for the biggest asset...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Bulls rallied to another ath where many of them took profits and bears began shorting after a lower high. The selling on bigger volume into the close is a sell signal going into tomorrow. Bulls have to break out of the formed bear channels to make bears doubt the highs might be in. Since tomorrow is...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment US CPI came in line and it was obvious that we would melt then, since yesterday PPI was hot and we melted anyway. Now we get a deep-pullback the last weeks after new ath’s and now we got the retest or new ath’s. From a technical point markets are now absolutely free to do whatever they want. Right now...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: All bear trend lines clearly broken and higher prices are expected. My line in the sand for the bears is now 67250. If bulls can get above that, we see 70000 with very high probability next. I got measured move targets 70000 and 72000. current market cycle: Trading range but I’m open to a bull trend for retest...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment US PPI surprised upwards and markets printed a crash bar, just so the bulls can do the reversal and squeeze all the shorts. Measured move targets from that spike lead to many logical resistance levels and after today there can be little doubt we won’t get there before US CPI is released. Odds that...
Good Morning and I hope you are well. A quick one on #baba Alibaba comment: Last time I wrote about Baba I said this "medium-long term: Sideways until no lower lows and consecutive bigger bull bars without an immediate selloff the next days" The stock found it's bottom and points upwards. Many tails around the 68/70 area below and big bull bars now...