


Good Evening and I hope you are well. dax cfd Quote from last week: bear case: Bears making lower highs and lower lows. They closed 3 consecutive days below the daily 20ema and it was the 3rd consecutive monthly close below 18800. They also printed 3 consecutive weekly bear bars. Having said all that, bears sold off for 572 points while the last pull-back...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bear case: Bears sold 80 again and will probably take profits here at 77 or try to get 76 again. If they get a breakout below, we will probably test 75, which is a price I thought we would test for 5-7 weeks now. It’s a bad sell here at 77 for bears so best they can get is...
Good Day and I hope you are well. old futures Quote from last week: bear case: The smaller bull trend line was clearly broken and retested and the higher time frames also give more sell than buy signals. It’s a two-legged correction here to the ema and that is a perfect sell signal. They want follow through on Monday for target 2300. comment: This...
Good day and i hope you are well. Last time i talked about Nvidia was 2024-02-23 and Nvidia was at 823 and my targets were 900/1000. Time for an update. comment: It's the stock everyone talks about and the peak insanity bubble of this generation before the next financial crisis. There, I said it. Feel free to stop reading now if you don't like it. I look at...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Very similar to nasdaq so if you are a regular reader, I won’t bore you with a long talk about trading ranges. Bears showed some strength from bar 36 - 53 but bulls are still in BTFD mode and as long as that is profitable, this is what they will continue to do. Bulls are in full control and...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears keep rejecting 71000 and it’s the 4th time bulls touched it. Something has to give, either bulls stop trying or bears defending. My money is on the bears. The bull trend line runs around 68500 and if bears can get below, I am confident that this was the last we have seen from prices above 68000 for a long...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is much less euphoric than the others. Obviously trending up but still below 18700, which was big resistance last time. Bulls already had 3 pushes up inside the wedge and deep pull-backs in between, which shows selling pressure and no giving up by the bears. What are the odds, that dax follows the sp500 and...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Bulls owned the markets today but when you zoom out, almost all are still inside their given ranges, new ath or not. Sp500 and NQ are pumping while dax and dji are still looking more bearish than bullish on higher tf. The only interesting question now is, if bulls can get follow through tomorrow of if...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Here is my update from yesterday after hours with an update for short term, since we clearly broke outside of the channel. dax comment: Globex perfectly retested the breakout at 18630 but failed and the EU session just sold off big time to a lower low. It was a small break below the bear channel line but ultimately a bear...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil comment: Yeah oil again. This is in play and you should look for strong momentum trades. current market cycle: Bear trend key levels: 70-77 bull case: Yesterday I said bulls need to keep it above 74 or we see 72. Low of the day was 72.48. 1h 20ema was resistance and bulls need a close above that....
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil comment: In my weekly outlook I was bullish for 80 again, unless bears produced strong momentum below 76 and that was basically just on trading hour today where sold off for 232 ticks. 75 was the price I was talking about for weeks now and bears had a strong bear day down to 74. Depending on how you draw the...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Indexes could not stay at the highs and bears showed some strength by closing the gaps we left behind on Friday. SP500 and nasdaq rallied into the close on weak volume but bulls nevertheless also showed strength and for the day we mostly moved sideways. Both sides have reasonable buying/selling...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls rejected 76 area 4 times now. At some point one side will concede and we see a bigger move. Patience pays. Bulls want retest of the daily 20ema and bear channel next (78.8). Afterwards break above the bear channel. Bears had two clear pushes down and now a...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. bitcoin Quote from last week: comment: Last weeks my line in the sand for bulls was around 67250, since market was rejected there 3 times. Bulls finally broke above it with force and bears quickly retested that price and it turned support, which gives the bulls some momentum. Market has not touched the daily 20ema for...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. Gold comment: 2350 is the big line in the sand for both sides. Bears did it big time by closing below the big bull trend line from March and consecutive daily closes below the 20ema. Problem for them is, 2300 - 2350 was huge support for 2 months now and I doubt bears can break it that easily. My bear channel from the weekly...
Good Evening and I hope you are well. bitcoin comment: Let’s make this simple. Bullish above big red line around 70600 and uber bearish below 65000 and . Neutral in between. Not rocket science. But how good was my two legged correction from two days ago? Hope you made some. current market cycle: Trading Range key levels: 56000 - 74000 bull case: ...
comment: In my weekly outlook I wrote that 76 was rejected often enough and bulls are favored to at least test the top of the channel around 78.8. They poked enough today and finally broke above. I expect 84 over the next 1-2 weeks. Measured move would bring us to 84.3. current market cycle: Bear trend broken - Still inside bigger triangle (form of trading...
bitcoin Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls need strong close above 67000 for 70000 and probably retest of ath. They tried 4 times now and failed. Market is also a wedge top on a lower time frame. Bulls have no good arguments around 67000. comment: Last weeks my line in the sand for bulls was around 67250, since market was rejected there 3 times. Bulls...