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Bitcoin vs. Altcoins
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin vs. Altcoins

As I've just reported this morning, bitcoin has been on a rampage this weekend. The Altcoin Index has jumped significantly as well, but appears to be coming up for air. The Crypto Spread Indicator is still showing the balance is in favor of BTC, so if you are having FOMO, altcoins appear a better value at this point. If you have a position in BTC, consider...

Bitcoin to the Moon!
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin to the Moon!

Bitcoin has been on a rampage last weekend demolishing my hopes for a slight pullback to add to my position. Both Kovach Momentum Indicators are bullish, and it appears that we might be in wave 3 (the longest and strongest) of the impulse wave of a 5-3 Elliott Wave. Since we keep making new highs, it is difficult to project where we will hit any resistance, but...

Morning Star Reversal in USDJPY
USDJPY
, D
Long
USDJPY: Morning Star Reversal in USDJPY

We see a morning star pattern indicating a bit of a correction for the decline in the USD. This is confirmed by a green triangle in the Kovach Reversals Indicator. USDJPY has been pushing the lower bound of this indicator for some time, so a retracement was inevitable. Although we can expect this to continue, overall, a dovish Fed and weak US inflation data...

As Predicted, Ethereum Breaks Out
ETHUSD
, D
Long
ETHUSD: As Predicted, Ethereum Breaks Out

Ethereum is on fire today! It has broken out from the bull wedge pattern on daily charts, and appears to be gaining steam. It looks like we are in wave 3 of the impulse of a 5-3 Elliott Wave. Both Kovach Momentum Indicators are solidly bullish and we've been testing the upper bound of the Kovach Reversals Indicator for a while now. Consider taking profits or...

USDJPY Tanks after Dovish FOMC Minutes
USDJPY
, D
Short
USDJPY: USDJPY Tanks after Dovish FOMC Minutes

The FOMC minutes had an extremely dovish tone today. This will further boost the selloff in USD across all majors. Particularly notable is USDJPY, and EURUSD. Both Kovach Momentum Indicators are solidly bearish, and the price action continues to push the lower band of the Kovach Reversals Indicator. Sell any rallies in USD. If you like the Kovach Momentum...

FOMC Minutes Reveal Inflation Still a Concern
US30Y
, D
Short
US30Y: FOMC Minutes Reveal Inflation Still a Concern

The FOMC minutes are being released as I write this, but weak inflation seems to one of their key concerns. Expect the yield curve to continue to flatten as this gets priced into the long end. The spread between the US 30 year and Us 2 year has been careening off a cliff lately and given this news, it is safe to expect this trend to continue. The Kovach Chande...

Yield Curve Below 1%, Racing to the Bottom
US30Y
, D
Short
US30Y: Yield Curve Below 1%, Racing to the Bottom

The yield curve (spread between the 30 year and 2 year spread) just broke below 1%. All indicators suggest this trend to continue. It has been encroaching the lower Bollinger Band of the Kovach Reversals Indicator, with no retracement in sight. A retracement will be confirmed by a green triangle, if an when it happens. The Federal reserve should be very ...

Stocks Poised to Make New Highs?
ES1!
, D
Long
ES1!: Stocks Poised to Make New Highs?

The S&P appears to be testing highs this morning, looking real strong for the opening bell. It is testing the upper Bollinger Band of the Kovach Reversals Indicator. This could lead to a slight retracement, which will be confirmed by a red triangle by the indicator. The Kovach Momentum Indicators all look strong. At this point, stocks are unstoppable, buy on...

Altcoin Index Consolidates as Bitcoin Makes New Highs
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Altcoin Index Consolidates as Bitcoin Makes New Highs

Bitcoin has established hew highs, and although it seems like it is facing some resistance, appears to be poised to pounce higher. The Altcoin index has picked up, as anticipated, but is consolidating into a triangle pattern and appears also to be ready for another breakout. Ethereum and Litecoin have broken out and are facing some resistance at the upper...

Bitcoin Makes New Highs, Can Altcoins Catch up?
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Makes New Highs, Can Altcoins Catch up?

As Bitcoin hurdles past $8000 making new highs and then some, the question is where to invest? It seems inevitable that Bitcoin will pull back, while recent gains in Ethereum, Neo, IOTA, and Litecoin have seemed paltry in comparison to BTC, indicating these might still be in a value area. The altcoin index has recovered from a brief pullback. This could be the...

Bitcoin Surges Past $8000
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Surges Past $8000

Bitcoin has been on a tear for more than a week, first retracing its Segwit2x fallout and then some. Both Kovach Momentum Indicators are solidly bullish, indicating that now might be a time to take some profits, but we are solidly pushing against the upper Bollinger Band of the Kovach Reversals indicator. Be patient for a pullback to add to a position. It...

Very Lackluster Day for Stocks
ES1!
, 30
ES1!: Very Lackluster Day for Stocks

The momentum and volatility in stocks has subsided for the moment due to geopolitical risks, in particular political uncertainty in the US. This would be a good range trading day, if that's your thing. The Kovach Momentum indicators have basically flatlined and the Reversals indicator has pointed out some nice entry points (shown with green triangles) for mean...

Yield Curve Continues To Flatten
US30Y
, D
Short
US30Y: Yield Curve Continues To Flatten

The yield curve struggles to come up for air as it hurdles toward zero. The slope of the trend is clearly decreasing, indicating that the flattening is accelerating. We've tested the lower bound of the Bollinger Band without a relief rally which is a very bearish sign. Also the Kovach Chande indicator is bearish and appears to be increasingly more so. If you...

Fiat to Bitcoin or Fiat to altcoins? That is the question
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Fiat to Bitcoin or Fiat to altcoins? That is the question

Bitcoin has completely regained losses from this weekend and then some, making news highs past $8000. A slight retracement should be expected as the markets never move monotonically. Consider this before adding to a position. Altcoins, on the other hand, appear to be pulling forward as Bitcoin faces resistance at highs. The crypto spread indicator has noted...

BTC vs. Altcoins?
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: BTC vs. Altcoins?

It's hard to ignore this massive bull breakout in Bitcoin, as it viciously retraces its losses from this weekend. The question is what is the better investment at this point? It is hard to conjecture getting in the way of Bitcoin, but with a rally that hard, it is due for a pullback. The altcoin index, on the other hand, is just starting to pull back from its...

Yield Curve Continues to Fall
US30Y
, D
Short
US30Y: Yield Curve Continues to Fall

As investors price in lower inflation and increased expectations for a Fed rate hike, the yield curve (between the 30 year bond and the two year note) is continuously making new lows. Typically, the flattening or steepening of the yield curve is led by one end, but in this case, both appear to be contributing equally. This presents a problem for the Fed as...

Bitcoin vs. Altcoin Outlook
BTCUSD
, D
Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin vs. Altcoin Outlook

Bitcoin has been on a solid streak this week, just about a full recovery from the Segwit2x mayhem this weekend. The Altcoin index has retraced significantly, and other than a brief test of -1.4%, the spread indicator has been solidly positive for the past three days, indicating that Bitcoin is providing better returns at the moment. At this point a retracement...

Massive Bull Wedge Forming in Litecoin
LTCUSD
, D
Long
LTCUSD: Massive Bull Wedge Forming in Litecoin

As Bitcoin rockets into the stratosphere, the Altcoins are lagging, presenting a buying opportunity. Here, with Litecoin, we see a massive bull wedge forming. Volatility has consolidated under the upper bound at around $66. The Kovach Momentum Indicators are still bullish, potentially portending a breakout. If you're interested in the Momentum Indicators,...

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