thessia_

thessia_ Updated 

This is an analysis that I hope that it ages well, as I am starting a long term position in gold today and adding this asset to my investment portfolio. Therefore, this is not a post about an isolated trade, with a specific expiration date or focused on the short-term. In fact, from a trading point of view I have already lost some great entry opportunities,...

thessia_

By March '23 gold did a strong breakout near the 2000 quote. After that, the prices did not continue to flow and stucked inside a congestion at that level. At 04 May '23 the prices tried to overpass the previous top but failed. This failure gave us a doji candle, at the previous top, a very bearish signal, and besides that, it also gave us a double top formation....

thessia_

In this chart I point to main chart pattern in the SLB prices at this moment, that is the head and shoulders. Not only that, but the prices are doing a breakout of this pattern, that I indicate step-by-step at the purple text in the chart. I am also trying to take some advantage of this movement, and so I bought a very short term put option to try catch some...

thessia_

The 200-SMA of a weekly chart is probably the main indicator of a secular bull market. It's almost never breakdown, except if a crash happens, and then prices usually come back quickly to the uptrend. Or, the other situation, when an extended bear market begins, and in that case, prices will remain under this MA for a while and the battle around it lasts...

thessia_ Updated 

This analysis shows what I am currently looking for in the market, regarding the S&P500 possible outcomes. Since my last post the bulls made a good job and prices reached the previous tops level, at a very strong resistance near 4200. But at such levels a small range is common and expected. I highlighted the zone between the orange lines, that was defined by...

thessia_

My main view on S&P500 is that we're in a main bearish trend, that has been fought by the bulls since October, 2022, when prices started going up. However, this insurgency has faced a good deal of resistance, resulting in unstable volume, and back and forth moves. Despite all of that, the secondary trend kept heading north. It can be summarized using technical...

thessia_

I'm updating my last reading on SPX about the beginning of a bearish leg. I understand that that previous signal has worked, and market failed to support the 200-SMA, although we're now facing a new test. My outlook remains the same, that the main trend is bearish, but I also believe that the path to the low may come along with counter-trend movements and...

thessia_ Updated 

Summary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to...