This chart shows the EW Consumer Discretionary ETF (RSPD) with the ATR Stop & Reverse (ATR-SAR) indicator (red/green) and the price-relative in the indicator window (RSPD/RSP ratio). The ATR-SAR switches when there is a 4 x ATR(22) move in either direction. RSPD broke below the ATR-SAR and this signals and outsized decline. This reverses the bullish signal from...
ITB is going through a classic Bollinger Band squeeze as it consolidates within an uptrend. A consolidation within an uptrend is a bullish continuation pattern and this favors a breakout to the upside, and new highs. Re-evaluate on close below January low.
An RSI move above 70 is bullish because it shows strong momentum. An RSI move above 75 shows even stronger momentum, but also increases the odds of a corrective period. RSI for $IJR is above 75 for the 5th time in five years. Bullish, but be careful…
Video gaming stocks are strong overall with $ATVI hitting a new high in late Dec and $TTWO hitting one this week. $EA surged and then consolidated with an imperfect flag. This is still a consolidation after a big move and a bullish continuation pattern.
An Ascending Triangle is taking shape for $NVDA as the stock recovers from the 6-Jan decline and challenges the December high with a bounce the last three days. Big trend is up and this is a classic bullish continuation pattern. Group is also strong with $SOXX hitting new highs this year already.
$MRNA is setting up after a pullback within a bigger uptrend. Stock fell back to the rising 50-day after retracing 1/2 to 2/3 of the Sept-Dec surge. RSI also fell back to the 40 area, which acts as momentum support in an uptrend. Recent bounce broke out of the falling flag/channel.
HD lagged the last few months, just like AMZN and ITB, but the overall chart still sports a bullish configuration. Stock hit new highs in August and is above rising 200-day. Decline from high retraced 1/2 to 2/3 and formed a falling wedge, both of which are typical for corrections within a bigger uptrend. Stock is finding support from the lows extending back to...
Apple $AAPL sports a bullish continuation pattern and breakout. The long-term trend is up, the stock held the gap zone and formed a triangle consolidation. A consolidation within an uptrend is a bullish continuation pattern and the breakout opens the door to a run higher. RSI dipped into the oversold zone (30-50) for a mean-reversion setup and shows signs of...
Broke out of triangle consolidation, raced to new highs, became overextended and fell back to the breakout zone, which turns support. Bigger trend is up (well above rising 200-day) and RSI is in oversold zone (30-50), as it was in July. Looking for short-term upside catalyst.
AMAT formed a high and tight pennant after the cup-with-handle breakout. The stock is in an uptrend and leading. This pennant is a bullish continuation pattern and a breakout is expected.
NASDAQ:TXN gapped down and fell on earnings day with high volume, but the stock immediately stabilized and found support. Notice how broken resistance and the August low mark a clear support zone. The long-term trend is still up and there are also two bounces off the 116 area in late October. Semiconductors are strong overall and I expect TXN to continue higher.
NASDAQ:CHKP - HACK led the tech-related ETFs in October with a surge and breakout. CheckPoint CHKP, which is part of the cyber security group, is joining the party with a break above the Sept high. Also note that lows in the 106 area formed a Double Bottom of sorts from August to early October. At the very least, this is a base of sorts. The breakout here in...
NASDAQ:EA - After a surge from late December to mid February, the stock embarked on a long correction as it retraced around 61.8% of this advance with a falling channel. EA established support in the 88-90 area in July-August and held above this support zone during September-October pullback. Thus, a higher low is taking shape and this could be the start of...
NYSE:NEM - The big trend reversed for NEM when the stock broke the February-April highs. This resistance zone then turned into support and held in September-October. This is a classic tenet of technical analysis: broken resistance turns support. Yes, there was an overshoot below the support zone in early August, but the stock immediately recovered. A wedge has...
Walgreens Boots has been basing since April with a Double Bottom form ing from May to August. The stock exceeded the intermittent high, but this breakout did not hold as WAG fell back with a bull flag. The bull flag breakout reversed the short-term downtrend in mid October and WAG is again challenging resistance. I expect a breakout from this large base and would...
Even though Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and the many momentum names fell on hard times the last three months, AMZN is in a potential reversal zone and showing signs of accumulation. First, there is a lot of support in the 1900 area from broken resistance and the early June low. Second, the July to October decline retraced around 50% of the prior advance. This could be a...