The Nasdaq 100 is in a technical bull market, having rebounded 20% from its cycle low. While the risk remains that this is simply a 'bear market bounce' that could sucker punch bulls, I believe bulls have got this and we could be headed for 25k.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
We finally saw the reversal higher on USD/CAD last week, with a notable bullish engulfing candle strongly suggesting an important swing low. I take a quick look at last week's signal, update the analysis then wrap up on Canadian dollar futures positioning.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Here is my 2-minute technical take on why gold could be looking at a break below 3200 as part of a deeper correction, before it even considers resuming its almighty bullish rally.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Indicators are a popular choice among many traders, and they certainly have their place in my own toolkit. But sometimes it is best to simply look the price to gauge strength. And doing so, it can help us scenario plan for future events. After I take a quick look at Japanese yen pairs, I wrap up on my preferred setup.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com...
Matt Simpson breaks down the latest Australian inflation data and what it could mean for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next move. Plus, we dive into the AUD/USD, AUD/CAD, GBP/AUD and EUR/AUD charts for key technical setups traders need to watch right now.
Here is my 2-minute take on the ASX 200 futures daily chart, where I discuss my hunch that a pullback could be due and how that could set us up for a better long setup further out.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and Forex.com and City Index
Cride oil may have recovered back above $60, but it is making hard work of it. And with resistance looming and large specs increasing short bets, perhaps a pullback due. But does that mean a break below $60 is imminent?
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
The US dollar index has handed back all of its Q4 gains with traders betting that Trump's trade war will do more damage than good to the US economy. I update my levels on the US dollar index and EUR/USD charts then wrap up market exposure to USD index futures.
Rising yields can usually be associated with a period of risk on. But seeing the 30-year treasury yield rise over 20bp in Asia while Wall Street futures cling on to their cycle lows is anything but usual. In fact, it's a bad omen of things to come.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
We finally saw the shakeout on gold I was expecting around $3000. This clearly changes things for gold traders over the near-term, even though the fundamentals remain in place for bulls. I highlight key levels for gold and take a look at the devastation left across key assets on Thursday.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
The RBA held their cash rate at 4.1%, and keep a May cut up in the air without any appetite to commit to one. I highlight my observations on the RBA's statement, before updating my analysis for AUD/USD, AUD/CAD and GBP/AUD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
I discuss whether the RBA will cut next week and the reasons why, before taking a look at AUD/USD, AUD/CAD, EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD charts.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Trump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
The retracement higher for the US dollar is finally underway, which also shows further upside potential. And this is why I am wary of being long EUR/USD over the foreseeable future, even if I suspect it is poised to break to new highs in the coming weeks.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Australia's employment report for February delivered a surprising set of weak figures. Understandably, markets reacted by pricing in another RBA cut to arrive sooner than later. But if we dig a little deeper, an April or May cut may still not be a given.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
I take a closer look at the Japanese yen futures market to highlight why I think the Japanese yen has reached an important inflection point. And that could further support the bounce of yen pairs such as AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY and NZD/JPY - alongside USD/JPY should the Fed not be as dovish as many hope.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City index and Forex.com
Bitcoin tends to track Wall Street sentiment well, particularly compared to the Nasdaq. Growing concerns that Trump's policies will tip the US (and therefore the global economy) into a recession, which currently has the Nasdaq on the ropes and bitcoin getting dragged along for the ride. And there could be further losses to follow, though a cheeky bounce at a...
The US dollar index is on track for its worst week in nearly two and a half years. It is also nearly 6% off from the January high, which is similar in depth to the two previous selloffs seen in 2023 and 2024. Yet I do not think we've seen the low just yet, even if there is evidence of a potential bounce on the daily chart.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City...
