Bitcoin
Long

BTCUSD – Measured Move Breakout in Play?

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🚨 BTCUSD – Measured Move Breakout in Play? 📈
After a period of constructive consolidation, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) appears poised for a classic measured move breakout on the daily chart.

🔹 Structure:
The chart showcases a large bullish continuation structure forming from the early 2025 range. After a mid-cycle dip and a strong base-building process through March and April, Bitcoin has now reclaimed prior highs in the $109,000–$112,000 range – a zone that previously acted as stiff resistance.

🔹 Breakout Level:
A confirmed daily close above the $112,000 region could activate the measured move, with a projected upside target between $144,000–$148,000, derived from the depth of the prior range and mirrored upward from the breakout line.

🔹 Measured Move Logic:
This setup aligns with the textbook definition of a measured move — an impulse leg → consolidation → breakout, where the second leg often mirrors the first in magnitude. Based on the current structure, the implied move spans ~35,000 points, which translates to a 32–47% potential gain from breakout levels.

🔹 Contextual Tailwinds:

Macro sentiment turning increasingly risk-on.

Institutional inflows into crypto-related products.

Increasing on-chain activity and wallet growth.

ETF and regulatory catalysts continue to simmer.

🔹 Key Levels to Watch:

✅ Breakout Confirmation: Daily close above $112,000

🔁 Support Retest Zone: $104,000–$106,000

🎯 Measured Move Target: $144,000–$148,000

📊 This isn’t about chasing highs — it’s about respecting momentum, structure, and the broader narrative.

💬 “Measured moves work best when disbelief lingers.” The question now is whether the market accepts this breakout, or fades it one more time before lift-off.

Let’s see if BTC respects the structure. Plan the trade, manage the risk.

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