Ethereum / Bitcoin
Long
Updated

ETH vs BTC, Trend shift?

355
📝 After months of underperformance, we're finally seeing some relative strength from ETH vs BTC.

📍ETH/BTC has bounced off a key historical support zone — a level that previously marked major reversals in the cycle.

📈 While the bounce is still in early stages, it breaks the streak of lower lows and gives hope for a trend shift. If we apply the logic of diminishing returns, even a conservative positive scenario suggests a potential move of +150–200% from the bottom, aligning with previous cycle rebounds.

💡 It’s still too early to call a full rotation, but this is the first sign of real momentum from Ethereum in a long time. Worth keeping an eye on.
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EETH/BTC Follow-up 🔄

📝 Back in May, I pointed out that ETH/BTC was showing signs of bottoming at a key historical support.

✅ That call aged well — we’ve now seen an impressive +80% rally from the lows.

📍 That said, I don’t expect Ethereum to strongly outperform Bitcoin in the short term. Given current market seasonality and macro risks, capital is more likely to favor digital gold (BTC) over riskier assets like ETH.

💡 But as we move into mid-to-late September, I expect the environment to stabilize — potentially setting the stage for a stronger Ethereum-led rotation. If that plays out, we could see ETH/BTC push towards 0.04 and beyond, especially as L2 ecosystems regain momentum. For now, patience is key. The bigger move may still be ahead.

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