Hedged and Waiting – Let the Market Pick a Side | SPX Market Analysis 04 Mar 2025
The week starts with a bang—Trump, tweets, and political uncertainty, and markets bouncing like a hyperactive yo-yo.
With bullish and bearish triggers already firing, we’re in a "could go either way" situation. Price is lingering at the range low on the daily chart, leaving us with two clear possibilities—a range reversal targeting the highs or a breakout move lower.
With major political talks and red flag news this week, volatility could be off the charts.
I’m hedged, prepared, and waiting. Whether the market pumps or dumps, I’m simply waiting for the next move to commit—because patience, as always, is the name of the game.
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
The market opens with uncertainty at its peak—Trump’s latest comments, political negotiations, and key economic data are all on deck this week, creating wild swings.
📌 Market Structure – A Classic "Could Go Either Way" Setup
Bullish & Bearish triggers have fired, but price remains stuck
The daily chart shows price hesitating at the range low
Two possible scenarios using my 6 money-making patterns:
Range Reversal: Price rebounds to target the range high
Range Breakout: Price collapses and follows a measured breakout move
📌 What’s Driving the Uncertainty?
Political talks in focus – decisions this week could shake the markets
Start-of-the-month red flag news – payroll reports, inflation data, and more
General market indecision – traders waiting for a confirmed direction
📌 How I’m Approaching It – No Need to Predict, Just React
I’m already hedged, meaning a move in either direction is fine
Patience is key—waiting for price to confirm its move
Letting the market decide—no need to force trades in choppy conditions
This is one of those weeks where traders who chase moves will get whiplash, while those who stick to their system will come out ahead.
The plan? Let the market "git goin’" before committing capital.
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Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? In 2016, one of Trump’s tweets about Boeing sent the stock tumbling over 1% in minutes, wiping out $1 billion in market value—all over a comment about Air Force One being "too expensive."
💡 The Lesson? A single headline or tweet can move markets, but traders who follow their system instead of knee-jerk reactions are the ones who win in the long run.
The week starts with a bang—Trump, tweets, and political uncertainty, and markets bouncing like a hyperactive yo-yo.
With bullish and bearish triggers already firing, we’re in a "could go either way" situation. Price is lingering at the range low on the daily chart, leaving us with two clear possibilities—a range reversal targeting the highs or a breakout move lower.
With major political talks and red flag news this week, volatility could be off the charts.
I’m hedged, prepared, and waiting. Whether the market pumps or dumps, I’m simply waiting for the next move to commit—because patience, as always, is the name of the game.
---
Deeper Dive Analysis:
The market opens with uncertainty at its peak—Trump’s latest comments, political negotiations, and key economic data are all on deck this week, creating wild swings.
📌 Market Structure – A Classic "Could Go Either Way" Setup
Bullish & Bearish triggers have fired, but price remains stuck
The daily chart shows price hesitating at the range low
Two possible scenarios using my 6 money-making patterns:
Range Reversal: Price rebounds to target the range high
Range Breakout: Price collapses and follows a measured breakout move
📌 What’s Driving the Uncertainty?
Political talks in focus – decisions this week could shake the markets
Start-of-the-month red flag news – payroll reports, inflation data, and more
General market indecision – traders waiting for a confirmed direction
📌 How I’m Approaching It – No Need to Predict, Just React
I’m already hedged, meaning a move in either direction is fine
Patience is key—waiting for price to confirm its move
Letting the market decide—no need to force trades in choppy conditions
This is one of those weeks where traders who chase moves will get whiplash, while those who stick to their system will come out ahead.
The plan? Let the market "git goin’" before committing capital.
---
Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? In 2016, one of Trump’s tweets about Boeing sent the stock tumbling over 1% in minutes, wiping out $1 billion in market value—all over a comment about Air Force One being "too expensive."
💡 The Lesson? A single headline or tweet can move markets, but traders who follow their system instead of knee-jerk reactions are the ones who win in the long run.
Full-time trader and mentor since 2001
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Full-time trader and mentor since 2001
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.