Weekly Target next move Double Top Resistance - Oversimplified
Issue: Labeling this zone a "Double Top Resistance" without confirmation is premature.
Disruption: A double top pattern is only valid after a neckline break, which hasn't occurred.
Alternative View: This area could also be a bullish continuation zone if price consolidates and breaks out above $63 with strong volume
Beyond Technical Analysis
Silver weekly chart h1 next moveIssue: The label “Resistance are” is grammatically incorrect and vague. It should be “Resistance Area” or “Key Resistance Zone”.
Disruption: The resistance area drawn may already be tested and partially broken, as price is very close to it at $33.48.
Alternative View: Instead of expecting a strong rejection, consider the possibility of a breakout with continuation if volume confirms. Monitor for a bullish flag or consolidation rather than an immediate reversal.
2. “Zone of Bullish” Labeling
Issue: The term “Zone of bullish” is unclear and lacks proper explanation.
Disruption: This zone could easily turn into a liquidity trap where smart money might induce retail buying before reversing.
Alternative View: Look for signs of liquidity sweep or bearish divergence if price retests this zone.
115% Up-Movement BullishCurrent stock price holding at both 200MA and P.Low(Previous Low) Both acts as Very Solid and strong Support levels.
theres two Resistances P.High(Previous high) and P.Low with profit 33% & 43% respectively.
After that the major Resistance at P.High with 115% profit.
Worse Case Scenario:
with Current news of US tariff EU 50% we may get bearish session which is normal and healthy (please no drama don't panic) the P.High(Previous High Level below current price support of both 200MA and P.Low acts as near and safe Support level watch out for Strong Buyers stepping in ( BTW Cathie Wood's just bought the stock Today! you know what i mean right :] ) I believe unlikely we visit 7$ price which is strongest support level ever which will never be going lower than that but yes unlikely to go there its instant all-in buy.
And to get in easily and safely wait for this scenario to happen:
Scenarios One: Strong Buying Volume With Reversal Candle.
Any Pre-market strong buying also Confirm the direction from current price level.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
BTC Macro View - Possible PullbackFailed breakout or just a pause?
Bitcoin wicked above the 7-month range ($74k–$109k) and hit a new ATH at $112k—but the breakout lacked conviction:
-3 Day candle did not close outside the range. It wicked above ATH and closed back inside, which often signals a failed breakout.
-Volume on the breakout was low—not the kind of commitment you'd expect on price discovery.
-Unless we reclaim the highs with conviction, the odds lean toward mean reversion or a deeper pullback, especially as macro risk increases (S&P weakness, renewed trade tension, credit rating concerns).
S&P Correlation
I was calling for a pullback on the S&P on May 16th in this Idea.
-https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/CMKml8I3-Bearish-Divergence-Pullback-Pending/
-The S&P has already started fading off highs.
-BTC kept pushing a bit longer—but may have just been lagging the risk-off shift.
-Now both look vulnerable and possibly entering correction together.
Macro Narrative Timeline
March–April:
Trump escalates tariff rhetoric → markets sell hard:
S&P falls from 6,100 → 4,800
BTC dumps from $108k → $74k
Mid-April–May:
Trump pivots, talks trade deals → markets bounce:
S&P rallies back to 6,000
BTC rips to $112k ATH
Now at highs, bearish news flow returns:
Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade
Trump targeting EU and Apple with new tariffs
S&P rolling over again
BTC starting to follow
This is narrative cycling:
Scare → Ease → Pump → Re-scare near highs
Short-Term Setup
Macro structure is still bullish. But short-term risk is rising fast:
-Bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart
-Failed breakout on the 3D, Low volume ATH push
-Crowded longs getting chopped
-BTC media coverage going vertical—endless bullish predictions across TV, headlines, social media
-Media didn't talk about BTC when it was at $74k. They were loud now, at the highs.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels from April 9 Low → $112k High
0.786 = $103,969
0.618 = $97,665
0.5 = $93,237
-Each level aligns with prior consolidation and offers strong technical context.
-No need to guess. We will watch volume + structure at each zone.
-These are prime areas to accumulate spot.
-No leverage. No chasing. Let it come to you.
-This is what Bitcoin is—accumulate pullbacks, hold, survive the chop.
-After this correction, I believe we push back to ATH and into price discovery.
Whale Psychology Trap (my thoughts on it)
Recently a Hyperliquid whale built a record breaking $1B+ BTC long on a defi exchange, drew in a massive herd to follow, then flipped short over the weekend after closing the position.
-Now that crowd is likely emotionally tied to their longs—feeling betrayed, stubborn, and unwilling to cut on a pullback.
-Red flag: we now have whales publicly influencing the herd with precision. Not a bullish short-term signal.
Final Thoughts
We’re seeing alignment across:
-Failed breakout on 3D
-Overheated retail sentiment (even though retail thinks the reverse, all you hear right now is "RETAIL IS NOT EVEN HERE YET")
-Public Whale traps in motion
-Media pushing euphoria the past two weeks
-Macro headwinds slowly creeping back in at the most convenient time to pullback
-BTC remains in a macro uptrend. But this is not a healthy breakout yet.
P.S.
This breakdown is mainly for traders.
But let me be clear:
-The smartest approach to Bitcoin is still simple—accumulate and hold spot.
-Given BTC’s position in a world of debt-soaked economies, eroding fiat trust, and centralized monetary control, it's far riskier to have none than to hold through volatility
-The wealthy, the powerful, the largest corporations — they’re starting to understand this reality
-Your job? Keep buying dips and holding long-term.
Use macro views like this to:
-Take profits from overextended markets (U.S. equities, alts, etc.)
-Time bigger BTC adds when fear returns
But if you own spot BTC?
Don’t sell it. Ever.
Trade other assets. Stack sats.
And if BTC ever hits $1M/coin... then sure—do whatever you want
BTC For Next 8 HoursEmperor Pivot Shows Buyer and Seller Zones and Emperor Candle Shows Momentum of Price.
like in this price in Green Zone means its in Buyer Zone so price will try to move up and Previous at same Level there was Seller Zone.
So there Will be volatility also Due to previous Seller Zone.
and Blue Lines are of EMPEROR RSI CANDLE Which Show Last Level of 20 RSI Level Where Seller had done selling at 15min timeframe at oversold
Now if it Crosses above Dashed Blue Line Seller are done and buyer are coming.
if its remain in that zone its Accumulation Zone.
and if it break Blue solid Line than we can See again Fast Selling in BTC
ETH Investors Are Confused, But the Algorithm Says $40K's Coming🚨 Ethereum: Confusion or Opportunity?
Many investors are currently confused — wondering whether Ethereum (ETH) is due for a deeper retracement… or if it’s about to skyrocket. So, what’s really going on?
According to our algorithmic model, ETH confirmed a long-term price target of $40,000 the moment it broke above $3,594 on March 11, 2024.
The pullback that followed?
It’s not a sign of weakness — it’s a golden entry opportunity for the next leg up with a garenteed x15 ROI from actual prices.
📉 The $883 low is considered a protected low, and according to our structure, it will likely remain untouched until ETH reaches $40,000.
💰 Why We’re Heavily Exposed to ETH
Given the current market conditions, we’ve allocated the majority of our capital to Ethereum, as it currently represents one of the most secure and promising assets in the crypto space for mid- to long-term positioning.
This isn’t just a trade — it’s a strategic investment.
🚀 Happy Trading,
Safe Entry LMT Currently stock price near P.High (Previous High) which acts as strong resistance, Current stock news with USA golden defense shield (wutever it called) support the stock to change tides and to start moving UP strongly.
Each Take Profit Line is where you focus and check for any selling pressure to secure your profit as swing trader if you mid term trader just wait till it hits the last Take Profit Line.
In worse case scenario if price didnt go Above Current strong resistacne (which I strongly believe it will go higher and go through it easily) the P.Low(Previous Low) Acts as Strong Support level for safest entry.
And to get in easily and safely wait for this scenario to happen:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Any Pre-market strong buying also Confirm the direction from current price level.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
Note: at Take Profit Lines Always watch out for any selling pressure to exist your position and secure profit.
AUDCAD – breakout and short likely .. the week of 26 MayThe support zone between 0.8890 and 0.8870 has been holding firm, while this pair has been making lower highs for the past couple of weeks. Price is now below the 50ema too. The most recent bounce from the zone looks rather weak and IMO a breakout to the downside may happen in the next few days.
I see an initial target around 0.8730 with the potential to go much lower. Anything can happen in the markets, so best to monitor price action on lower time frames to look for bearish evidence before committing to a trade.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
A deep dive into Gold's FundamentalsIn short:
We will likely be respecting the downward resistance. Therefore I'm short on Gold and aim for the upward (red) trend line, the move marked by the red arrow.
If Gold were to experience the same rejection as previously, it could go lower to sub 3100 with a final TP at or below the 1.272 fib.
Analysis:
The surge to ATH was a massive move from 2956 to 3500, an increase of 18.4% within just 15 days caused mostly by Trump's Tariffs War.
Subsequently, it fell by 8.5% within just 10 days to the support level of 3200. Within 5.5 days however, it reached back to the 0.786 fib level of 3436 amounting to a 7.4% surge. Hereafter, it fell again as this fib level showed strong resistance, creating a Lower High and subsequently a Lower Low of 3120 on May 15th, falling by 9% in 8 days and 8 hours.
We're now at a very interesting spot, as we hit both the trendline of Lower Highs and the 0.786 resistance of 3370 (which we missed by just 0.14%, though this deviation from this fib level is acceptable) We did not see a candle close above this trendline of Lower Highs on the Hourly chart or above, only on the lower timeframes, where after closing above this trendline saw a drop and close below it again - this happened a couple of times and confirms strong resistance at this level.
If this level is actual resistance, and formed another Lower High, we'll be looking at a retracement to the fib zone of 1.272 and 1.414 - this has been the Lower Low zone twice already; surge from April 17th of 3283 to April 22nd of 3500 resulted in a retracement to 3201 on May 1st, between the 1.272 fib (3224) and 1.414 fib (3193). The second Low was created on May 15th at 3120, which again was between fib 1.272 (3137) and fib 1414 (3103) of the surge from 3201 to 3428.
If this pattern repeats after hitting just shy of the 0.786 retracement surge, we will be looking at a potential Lower Low between the 1.272 and 1.414 fibs again which is between 3053 and 3018 respectively.
However, there are strong support levels on the way down there giving possible bounce or reversal potential - make or break of these levels are now highly news-driven. Tariffs & trade deals, war & conflicts, FED & economic data will be the main drivers in the couple of weeks to come. Below are some fundamental points which I take into consideration with direct or indirect impact for gold.
Note how we sit at the exact 0.786 Fib level drawn from February 28th low to April 22nd high. Since we weren't able to push through it with confidence yet, this still acts as a strong resistance. This combined with the fact that we're in a confluence move where we are more likely to react to resistances negatively, gives way to finding support for a bullish continuation. However, the downward pressure with such a lot of resistances often times leads to finding support lower than the first couple of support levels. Most direct support can be found between 3290 and 3320. Though being a somewhat larger range for support, it signals possible (maybe even preferred) decline to this zone for accumulation. If this zone were to hold, another try can be made for a bullish breakout of this downward trend we're in since the 3500 high. Whereas failure of finding support in this zone will lead to Lower Lows again and finding support further down. A significant support level is 3245 - 3250 where it has struggled to break through before this run-up. This has actually a higher chance of bouncing and reversing bullish again than the 3290-3320 zone where the downward pressure will be higher than at this particular support level.
DXY - Dollar Index
The index has tried numerous times to settle above the psychological level of 100 points. However, the downward trend of January this year has shown much resistance and sharp declines when touching or even nearing the trend line. In a different analysis I had pathed a way for DXY to recover and surge to about 103.500 level. This, however, seems very much unlikely now in the short term. If it keeps failing in finding support, a further decline is expected to below 97.500 points this month. Though this is highly subject to what the Euro Index (EXY) will be capable of (more down below) and what the FED has to show for on the subject of (delayed) rate cuts and rumours of even a possible rate hike.
FED
Not that long ago, it was projected that the FED would cut interest rats with 25bps to 4 - 4.25 %. On April 25th it showed a probability of 57.2% of a rate cut on June 18th whereas the probability now sits at just 5.6%. The probability for a rate cut in July went down as well from 41.1% for 25bps cut to now 23.9% - where the current rate saw an increase of probability from 7.9% to now 74.9%.
Even September is showing stronger expectations of a continued neutral stance by the FED with the chances of no change in interest rates (425-450) rising from 1.6% in April to 40% now. Here also the chances for a rate cut in September to 375-400 points went down from 42.1% to 11.8%.
These changes in probability of rate cuts for the months to come show that the market is not anticipating a rate cut anytime soon.
Though the probabilities for a rate hike are minimal, to say the least, the fact that the FED is concerned about possible rising inflation combined with a stronger-than-expected employment level, shows why they are hesitant to cut interest rates prematurely like they did during COVID. As there might be need for an actual rate hike when inflation will start rising because of the tariffs and price increases by businesses, it's sensible for the FED to await further data to confidently support a change in rates so that any change made won't possibly further damage the situation the US economy is in.
EXY - Euro Index
Despite the rate cuts performed by the ECB, the Euro Index has been on a strong rise since its higher low in early January. This can mainly be contributed to the fact that Trump's policies have redirected most foreign investors away from the Dollar and into the Euro. If the EXY is able to strongly break through the decade-long resistance, which now sits around 114, and is able to make it support, DXY will face more downward pressure. However, since it already broke through on 21st of April and has since then came back down below this resistance, it shows that it might be respecting this resistance and with the rate cuts on the Euro it will most likely continue to decline. The Euro-USD pair also shows such a decline in the short term, with a target of 1.10.
Trade Deals
Trump and Bessent stated that there are numerous trade deals finished and ready to be announced, numbers ranging between 14 and 27. It was actually expected to have come out last week already but we have not heard anything around trade deals apart from it being ready to be presented and the failure of negotiations between the US and EU - resulting in another 50% tariff starting from June 1st if EU fails to cooperate in the negotiations. Even though the ECB has cut interest rates 7 times already, the financial markets see a 90% chance of the ECB cutting rates again in June, July and August. It is projected that the interest rate will be cut to around 1.75% in September, which is a huge decline from the 4% + start of this year. This will eventually weigh heavily on the EXY and EUR-USD as the tariffs war continues easing, putting upward pressure to the Dollar Index as the Euro makes up for about 54% of the DXY.
Russo-Ukraine War
Despite the ongoing peace talks and prisoner exchange, Russia launched the war's biggest drone and airstrike attack on Kyiv this weekend. Analysts suggest that this is part of Russia's plan to strengthen their position in the peace talks and gain slightly more than they would be able to some weeks ago. Pressure is being build on both parties to come to an agreement and even agree to a ceasefire during the negotiations. Russia, however, did not want to accept an unconditional ceasefire and 'would not react positively to any ultimatum presented by Ukraine / the West'. This shows reluctance on Russia's part to end the war as quickly as possible. This reluctance will start fading when the G7 will bring about more sanctions, further strangling the Russian economy.
Asian Central Banks and Markets
Japan, Australia and China are on the same path as the European Union, cutting interest rates on concerns of slowing economic growth. Usually when they cut interest rates, their currency devalues against the dollar. This, surprisingly enough, has not been the case for Japan's Yen as of late - though it will probably short-lived) We've seen quite substantial sell-offs in gold recently in Asian Market Sessions because of devaluing currencies against the dollar, make the opportunity cost of buying and holding gold higher.
Treasury Bills
Data shows that, despite the loss of confidence in the US Dollar, the major foreign holders of US Treasuries have actually been on a steady increase - with China, Hong Kong, Ireland and UAE being the only major holders whom have been offloading US T-Bills. It was rumoured that Japan would offload its massive stockpile of T-Bills but with the ongoing tariffs negotiations they have stated that they would not leverage their stockpile as a bargaining chip in the negotiations. Despite news outlets claiming Japan was already offloading T-Bills, data actually shows an increase in their foreign holdings. The offloading done by the earlier mentioned countries are relatively minor, historically speaking. The reason for rising Treasury Yields is not that the demand is too low and thus increases the yields, but more likely that the increased supply is outgrowing the current demand. As the US has a big debt to cover this year, their supply of T-Bills are understandably growing. This is simply not being made at the same pace mostly because of the tariffs war which has put significant pressure on the Dollar and foreign investors are thus anticipating higher yields in the short-term. Yields are now just below their recent 3-month high, and starts showing further decline in Yields as this high level of yields have not been seen a lot in the past 2 decades. Therefore it is expected for yields to slowly come down again with foreign investors increasing demand slightly, putting further upward pressure on the Dollar.
Strong recurring sales patternLong shadows in this meme coin are a sign of a decline or at best a correction, so it is a sell signal for buyers and a sell signal for futures traders.
About 10 very clear cases are shown with green arrows. Every time it pumps, it then turns into a long shadow and the trend changes, or it is a definite decline or correction.
Weekly Analysis for BTC (May 26–30)BTC played out clean last week. Broke above 108k, tapped a new ATH at 110.5k, and pulled back slightly. Structure still bullish — 4H HLs holding strong and 107k retest held nicely into weekend close.
Key level to watch is 110k. If we break that with momentum, price can push to 115k or even 120.7k based on fibs and hype continuation. If we reject again, we might pull back to 107k or 100k — still a buy zone unless 88k breaks.
On the macro side, confluence is heavy:
– ETFs still driving big money inflow
– US debt growing after Trump’s new tax bill
– Moody’s downgrade adds more pressure
– Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven flow also helping BTC hold strength
– Holiday week in the US (Memorial Day), so volume might be low — fakeouts possible if liquidity dries up
Best zones to watch this week:
🔸 110k breakout for continuation
🔸 107k and 100k pullback buys
🔸 110.5k ATH for possible rejection scalps
As long as 88k holds, structure is clean. Bias remains bullish with both TA and macro pointing up.
Will be posting more detial daily anaylsis. follow for more updates. Or check out Streefree_trade IG.
If You’re Bored, You’re Probably Doing It RightYou think trading should be exciting?
That every day should feel like a high-stakes chess match?
That if it doesn’t feel intense, something’s wrong?
Nope.
Good trading is boring.
Systematic.
Repetitive.
Unemotional.
You take your setup. You size properly. You respect your stops. You move on.
Same rules. Same routine. Same process.
It’s not sexy. But it’s stable.
The truth?
The more exciting your trading feels, the more likely you’re slipping.
Overleveraging. Overtrading. Overreacting.
Boredom isn’t a bug. It’s a feature.
It means you’re not chasing.
You’re not forcing.
You’re following your edge — and letting the numbers do the heavy lifting.
You don’t need adrenaline.
You need consistency.
Get comfortable with boredom. That’s where the money is.
Boredom is not your enemy — it’s your ally.
Stay patient, stay consistent.
Charts & Grit
ETH - Ranges overview Let's have a look at how ETH is trading alongside BTC setting a new all time high.
Not much has happened on the side of ETH since our last chart analysis. ETH is lagging in comparison to BTC and is yet to show us a willingness to aggressively push higher.
The plan remains straightforward and the exact same as previously.
IF we reclaim 2.5K and hold it, expect us to aggressively trade towards the 3.4K-4K range.
IF we fail to hold 2.5K (clean break and hold below) expect ETH to trade back toward 1.8K.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
BTC - Ranges overview Let's have a look at BTC and how it is currently trading.
As noted in our previous BTC trade idea IF we held 100K we should expect higher prices and price discovery - with new all time highs.
We got it around 111K so let's see how we play from here.
You will not that we played perfectly off the opening week FVG gap (blue box) before pushing up towards new all time highs.
IF we hold the current sellside expect us to continue higher towards new all time highs.
IF we fail to hold the current sellside liquidity and get a clean break below last week's opening week FVG gap expect us to trade back towards 98K.
As always WAIT for the MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.