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Beyond Technical Analysis

NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025 Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize. this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes. this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
FX:NAS100Long
by vbaichand10
US100 Locking as Bullish directionUS00 Structure Looking as strong Bullish Pattern, Forecast from Mr Martin Date 02 May 2025, US100 Price will looking as buy side recently price will break and catch the support after push to buy side the bullish structure continue to play out the next project would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel US100 is holding its bullish structure well, Key Level to watch Resistance level 20,500 / 21,000 Support Levels 19,500 you can find more details in the chart of you find this idea help or learned something new then leave comments Thanks for Regarding.
SKILLING:US100Long
by MrMartin_11
BTC Building Strength – Breakout Ahead?$BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis Bitcoin continues to respect the 50 EMA on the weekly timeframe — a key dynamic support level that has consistently held throughout this bullish structure. Each time BTC corrected, it found support near the 50 EMA before bouncing back with strength. The current structure mirrors past price action, with price again rebounding from the EMA after a consolidation phase. We’re also seeing a pattern of lower highs forming a potential descending resistance line. A breakout above this trendline could trigger a fresh rally, possibly taking BTC to new highs. As long as Bitcoin stays above the 50 EMA, the mid-to-long-term bias remains bullish. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance could open the door for a strong upside continuation. DYOR, NFA Thanks for following along — stay tuned for more updates!
Long
by unichartz
28
US Outperformance, when will it end?The US market has consistently outperformed global markets since the global financial crisis, it has also outperformed since the tech bubble. A portion of this can be attributed to a strong dollar (many markets outperformed in local currency). However this strong dollar performance may be coming to an end. In addition there are structural reasons why the US has and may continue to outperform: 1. A larger weighting to higher growth sectors such as technology, communication services and a lower weight to lower growth sectors such as energy and materials. 2. Better rule of law, better focus on shareholder returns, less crowding from the government and state owned enterprises lowering the return of markets. (EM SOEs as an example) 3. US attracting global talent and fostering innovation. "The smartest person in any subject will likely go to the US' So how can the US consistently underperform given these things? 1. Well for one the dollar may start to be a worse performing currency, it seems the current administration wants that. This not only lowers the performance of the US compared to global markets it also lowers the foreign inflows to US assets and also benefits EMs with dollar denominated debts. 2. The idea that the US attracts the best talent and fosters innovation may be declining with the current cultural attacks on immigration and the federal government spending cuts impacting research projects. 3. Global markets currently have a lower weighting to high growth sectors however this may not continue and instead we may start to see the marginal weight of sectors going to higher growth sectors instead of lower growth sectors. 4. The darling companies in most countries may list in their local markets instead of in the US. (Seeing the UK ease regulations of share classes, Chinese companies not welcomed in the US, European companies redomiciling back to Europe) 5. Valuations, Valuations, Valuations. Gun to your head: Next ten years would the multiple become a headwind or tailwind for the US market? What about for global markets? US trades at roughly 21x forward earnings whereas the UK trades at 12x, Eurozone at 14x, Japan at 13.5x, EM at 12x and China at 11x. If after 10 years the US trades at an 18x multiple and the UK as an example trades at a 15x valuation that would be an annualized headwind of 1.5% for the US and an annualized tailwind of 2.3% for the UK. Add to that the effect of low starting valuations on yield (US net shareholder yield is close to 2% whereas the UK yields 4%). Just rough numbers on performance for US vs UK next 10 years. US: -1.5% multiple change, 2% yield, 10% earnings growth = 10.5% UK: 2.3% multiple change, 4% yield, 6% earnings growth, 1% currency = 13.3% Everyone is over allocated to the US and is under allocated outside the US. Currently the US represents around 20% of global GDP however it represents 70% of global market cap. 70 cents of every dollar in the equity market is in and goes to the US. Will this likely increase or decrease as a share? The next question becomes who will take that share if it falls? Investing outside the US does not mean: Investing in markets with bad shareholder friendliness Investing in markets with a history of fraud Investing in markets with notorious related party transactions Investing in markets with high starting valuations. Some markets such as China can have the first 3 issues applied to it, some markets such as India may frankly have all of these issues. Some markets in Europe may have the first and last aspect. And some markets likely have none of these issues. I propose Japan, UK and Northern Europe. History is only a guide however the history of returns involved one of the single best economic performances of any country coming from the US which resulted in an amazing stock market with great returns, this is not guaranteed. Historically stocks return nominally 10% and on a real basis 7% which can be decomposed to 3% yield and 7% earnings growth with virtually no multiple change (on long enough time horizons) when you start at a high valuation the yield component is lower and you need higher earnings growth to compensate. And on a much longer time horizon earnings growth is what really matters. Earnings growth does not exist out of no where, it usually tracks nominal gdp growth + a margin increase from operations and or sector compositions. Nothing is guaranteed, your next maximum drawdown is in the future, expect the unexpected and keep invested as the global debt bubble will likely be inflated away.
AMEX:SPY
by walmutlaq2003
Positive tariff news favors lower gold prices - wait for FOMC🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️ Gold prices ended the week down around 2.50% as improved risk appetite - driven by easing trade tensions and a strong US jobs report - prompted investors to book profits ahead of the weekend. ➡️ Over the weekend, China's Ministry of Commerce said the US was open to trade and tariff talks, reaffirming that Beijing's door to dialogue remains open. ➡️ Bullion prices continued to fall after April's non-farm payrolls unexpectedly rose, beating expectations, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged from March. XAU/USD fell to an intraday low of $3,222 as traders reduced expectations for four rate cuts from just three now. Personal opinion: ➡️ There is still no strong enough momentum for gold to continue rising and must wait for the upcoming FMOC. Therefore, gold will maintain a short-term downtrend in the beginning of next week ➡️ Note: any information about the US-China trade war is given top priority ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3293 - 3296 ❌SL: 3190 | ✅TP: 3200 - 3205 - 3210 👉Sell Gold 3255 - 3258 (Scalping) ❌SL: 3263 | ✅TP: 3251 - 3246 - 3240 FM wishes you a successful trading week 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
BTCUSDTI’ve cancelled this trade. The new setup will be the one I’m sharing now. 🔄📉 A potential short signal is forming on BTCUSDT. However, it's not ideal to open the sell position right now — we need to wait for the price to reach a specific level. Once it does, we can execute the trade. So, what are the entry, TP, and SL levels for this setup? If you’ve just started following me, let’s get started! 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 95652.05 ✔️ Take Profit: 95300.05 ✔️ Stop Loss: 95827.73 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
AI BTC Prediction Next 24–48 Hours !May 3, 2025, 11:13 pm. BTC/USD. BTC/USD Trading Plan Timeframe: Next 24–48 Hours Long Scenario - Entry: 96,550 (confirmed close above 96,500 with rising volume + RSI > 50). - SL: 95,700 (below immediate support 95,800). - TP: 96,800 (below resistance 97,000). - Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR (~162 pips) after surpassing 96,800. - Confirmation: MACD histogram reversal + Bollinger Band breakout above midline. Short Scenario - Entry: 95,750 (confirmed close below 95,800 with rising volume + RSI < 40). - SL: 96,600 (above resistance 96,500). - TP: 95,200 (above support 95,000). - Trailing Stop: 1x ATR (~108 pips) after breaking 95,500. - Confirmation: Supertrend remains bearish + EMA crossover downward.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Vlad_AI
USD/JPY holds within trend line - positive NFP news supports USD🔔🔔🔔USD/JPY news: ➡️ USD/JPY price decreased to 143.80 due to the weakness of the USD after the US employment report decreased compared to the previous month and Average Hourly Earnings m/m decreased slightly, However, NFP was better than the previous forecast, so this is probably support for the USD Personal opinion: ➡️ USD/JPY is still maintained in the trend line, the buyers have returned after the RSI almost entered the oversold zone and there are signs of slowing down of the sellers. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Personal plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 143.80- 144.00 ❌SL: 143.40 | ✅TP: 144.50 – 145.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Why Palladium Is the Smart Play Right NowGold is hitting record highs, and silver is riding the wave—but smart investors know that diversification is key. While everyone is chasing gold, Palladium and Platinum are quietly setting up for a massive opportunity. 🔹 Palladium’s Market Position ✅ Palladium is rarer than gold—annual production is significantly lower. ✅ Industrial demand is surging, especially in automotive catalytic converters. ✅ Supply constraints due to geopolitical factors and mining limitations. 🔹 Palladium’s Role in the Green Revolution 🌍 Palladium is critical for reducing vehicle emissions—used in catalytic converters to meet stricter environmental regulations. ⚡ Hydrogen fuel cells and clean energy tech are increasing demand for Palladium. 🔋 Electronics & semiconductor industries rely on Palladium for conductivity and durability. 🔹 Gold Is at the Top—Time to Rotate? 📈 Gold is at all-time highs, making it expensive for new investors. 📉 Palladium has corrected from its highs, creating a buying opportunity. 💡 Diversifying into Palladium & Platinum now could be a strategic hedge against gold’s potential pullback. 🔹 Palladium’s Supply Crunch ⛏️ Russia & South Africa control most of the world’s Palladium supply—geopolitical risks could tighten availability. 📉 Mining output is declining, while demand remains strong. 💰 Lower supply + rising demand = price surge potential. 🔹 Platinum: The Underrated Hedge 💎 Platinum is historically undervalued compared to gold & Palladium. 🚗 EV & hydrogen fuel cell adoption could drive Platinum demand higher. 📊 Platinum-to-Gold ratio suggests Platinum is deeply discounted. 🔹 Final Thoughts Gold is great, but smart investors look ahead. Palladium and Platinum are positioned for growth, with strong industrial demand, supply constraints, and undervaluation compared to gold. 📢 Now is the time to accumulate Palladium & Platinum before the market catches on. TVC:PALLADIUM TVC:PLATINUM TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER
SWISSQUOTE:XPDUSDLong
by CassianDrake
1
move below 3273-3270 zone and wait for reaction from US NF news🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️ Gold prices are holding modest gains heading into the European session, though bullish conviction remains lacking, and the metal continues to trade below the key $3,265–$3,2703 support-turned-resistance zone. Meanwhile, the US dollar has come under some selling pressure, snapping a three-day winning streak after hitting a three-week high. ➡️ A mix of factors is discouraging traders from making aggressive bullish bets, thereby capping further upside in the precious metal. Investors remain hopeful for easing trade tensions between the United States and China—the world’s two largest economies. This optimism supports a broader risk-on sentiment, which in turn undermines demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Personal opinion: ➡️ The 3265–3273 zone is a strong resistance zone for gold. A break above this zone would mean the end of the short-term downtrend and vice versa. Therefore, buyers and sellers will be aggressive to secure this zone. Today's US NF news will be a strong driving force for gold prices before the tariff information appears and covers the market. ➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Personal Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3202- 3205 ❌SL: 3198 | ✅TP: 3210 - 3215 – 3220 👉Sell Gold 3270 - 3272 ❌SL: 3276 | ✅TP: 3266 - 3261 – 3255 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 5th 💥 May 5 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – "Bulls Bounce, Bears Breathe – Who Takes the Next Shot?" 🎯📉 Gold is caught in a battlefield. After a textbook bounce from 3204, price is pushing into premium zones — but momentum is limping, and ISM Services PMI (4:00pm) could trigger the next major move. Forget guessing. This is where levels speak louder than noise. 🧭 Market Overview HTF Bias (D1–H4): Bullish macro trend, but pullback in play after rejection from 3500 ATH LTF Flow (H1–M15): Bullish relief structure, but losing steam below key supply at 3315+ EMA Confluence (H1): EMA5 climbing above EMA21, but flat near 3260 — indecision zone Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity rests below 3200. Buy stops are stacking above 3300. 🔥 Monday News Catalyst 🕔 4:00pm ISM Services PMI (USD) Volatility expected. Strong data = dollar strength = possible Gold drop. Weak data = relief rally toward premium. 🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (With Logic) 🔻 Sell #1 – 3315–3325 📍 H1–H4 OB + FVG + equal highs above 🧠 Ideal for post-ISM spike rejection setup 🔻 Sell #2 – 3345–3355 📍 Final OB before last lower high + clean imbalance 🎯 SL: 3360 | TP1: 3315 | TP2: 3292 | TP3: 3268 🧠 Swing rejection setup if bulls overextend 🟢 Buy #1 – 3210–3220 📍 M15 OB + EQ + May 2 internal HL 🎯 SL: 3190 | TP1: 3244 | TP2: 3265 | TP3: 3290 🧠 Structure-based bounce zone with clean PA reaction 🟢 Buy #2 – 3175–3185 📍 LTF demand + FVG + RSI oversold sweep 🎯 SL: 3155 | TP1: 3210 | TP2: 3240 | TP3: 3268 🧠 Reactive area if NY flushes price before recovery 🗺 Key Levels to Watch Level Meaning 3268–3275 Internal resistance + imbalance zone 3292–3300 Liquidity magnet pre-sell zone 3315–3325 Major rejection area 3345–3355 HTF supply & final trap 3210–3220 Primary bounce zone 3175–3185 Trap setup + liquidity sweep zone 3050–3075 HTF OB → swing buy only 👁‍🗨 Eyes On: Rejection from 3315 = sniper short entry zone Rejection from 3275 = continuation risk Break below 3210 → 3175–3185 becomes critical Weak ISM = gold spike toward 3300+ (fade setup) 💬 Final Thought: This isn’t “buy now, sell now” nonsense. It’s about structure, timing, and logic. The cleanest setups come to those who wait — not those who chase. 🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold 1H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th 2025🔥 XAUUSD – H1 Outlook | May 4, 2025 Bias: ⚠ Short-term neutral to bearish — price reacting from a weak CHoCH + premium rejection. Flow: Intraday trapped between 3240 demand and 3280–3300 supply. Next move decides the breakout. 🔎 Market Structure: ❗ Clean CHoCH + BOS sequence from 3285 → confirms bearish LTF momentum 🟠 Current HL attempt rejected off imbalance around 3268–3275 🔹 Structure still building under H4 LH (3315), supply remains in control unless flipped 🗝 Key H1 Levels (with confluence): 🔵 3233–3244 → Micro OB + FVG Support 🔄 Key short-term HL zone ⚡ RSI oversold bounce last touch EMA5/21 zone → bounce risk 🟡 3268–3275 → FVG + OB + Last CHoCH Zone 🚩 This is the first sell POI 💧 Liquidity just above (equal highs) Ideal for LTF short scalp if price rejects again 🔺 3288–3302 → H1–H4 Confluence Supply 🔥 Strong bearish OB + liquidity sweep area 🧱 Reaction zone for swing shorts (supply locked) Confluence with premium fib retracement 🔻 3190–3200 → Extreme Demand Zone 🧲 Weak low + imbalance + discount OB 🔑 Watch for possible NY reversal trap if price collapses 💡 Plan: We’re in the battlefield between weak HLs and greedy supply zones. If 3275 rejects again → scalp sells back to 3240. If 3240 fails → 3200 could be the "trap long" to flip everything. 🧠 Final Note: Patience beats precision. Let the chart show its cards — no need to guess when liquidity does the talking. 🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. #XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Fibonacci retracement tool, moving averages, support and resis..My favorite timeframes: Weekly, Daily, 4hr, 1hr and some minutes. You are currently seeing my analysis on a 1hr chart. As told, focus should only be only the following: -Fibonacci Retracement tool (38.2 and 61.8 ratios). -Moving Averages (simple moving average and exponential moving average) -Support and Resistance levels (connect @least 2 or more points). -Supply and Demand Zones. -Candlestick Patterns. -Trendline Strategy (connect @ least 2 or more points). *also watch out for chart patterns.
by BealeyHaso
1
BTCUSDTHello traders! A potential short signal is forming on BTCUSDT. However, it's not ideal to open the sell position right now — we need to wait for the price to reach a specific level. Once it does, we can execute the trade. So, what are the entry, TP, and SL levels for this setup? If you’ve just started following me, let’s get started! 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 95828.00 ✔️ Take Profit: 95507.18 ✔️ Stop Loss: 95988.00 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
BTCUSD – 5M Premium Zone Rejection | Short Setup Activated🧩 BTCUSD – 5-Minute Breakdown | May 4, 2025 The BoS has happened, but don’t let it fool you — price just entered the danger zone. This is where Smart Money loves to trap late longs and send price tumbling. 🧠 SMC Playbook: 🔨 BoS Identified: Minor bullish BoS after initial reaction from the previous low. 🟥 Supply Zone (Entry Area): 79%–100% retracement zone from the latest swing high to low. 🔄 Reversal Point: Entry just above the 79% zone (95,499–95,629). 🎯 Target: Weak Low = 95,200 🧼 Stop-Loss: Above 95,629 (structure invalidation) 📏 RR Ratio Potential: 1:3 to 1:4+ 🔎 Narrative: Price is engineered to grab liquidity before making the real move. The Strong High acts as protection — Smart Money is defending this area. Once the premium fills, we expect a clean breakdown back into the discount zone. 📊 Key Observations: ❌ Buyers are likely trapped. 📍OB tapped + Fibonacci 79–100% = High confluence. 💥 Expecting liquidity sweep → sharp sell-off. ⏰ Execution timeframe = M1/M5 confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, etc.) 📣 How to Trade It: Monitor price action inside red zone (79–100%). Wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, M1 CHoCH). Short from ~95,500 with SL above 95,630. TP at Weak Low → potential extension to 94,800 if momentum kicks in. 🧠 Chart Ninja Tip: “Don’t chase price — trap it. Let price come to you and confirm. The premium zone is where trades go from good to god-tier.” 💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’re watching this level too. 📈 Save this chart for your next sniper entry. 🔁 Share it with your SMC crew and ride the liquidity wave!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88