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Beyond Technical Analysis

Trump & Dump PatternHello friends. $Trump is heavily manipulated by Donald Trump, like recently when he mentioned the coin and pumped it up on that. He has lots of coins that he wants to distribute. Since he controls the country and the narrative, this is very easy to do. All he needs is to find people willing to buy the coins by releasing some big news. As you can see on the chart, it currently looks like an accumulation area with a clear level of liquidity to sweep through at $12.45 before crashing. Did you notice how crypto didn't plunge along with the equity market on Friday? It was a huge break in the correlation and it shows that some serious manipulation is going on for this entire market. My expectation is that this weekend there will be some massive news such as that Trump has used the government to purchase Bitcoins or a similar headline. Onchain data shows that smart money has been accumulating millions of dollars worth of Trump here over the past 2 days and the price is already starting to rise from the lows. They definitely know something. Think about the timing of a final exit pump across the board for cryptos right into this plunge on equities. It makes perfect sense to sweep liquidity at $95,000 in that market as well and give everyone one last chance to sell their coins before Bitcoin plunges to $50,000.
Long
by bowtrix
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded. I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed. We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place. Ok, but what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news. While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace. I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong. NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters. The SPX and NDX is landline. Crypto is free wireless internet for all. The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control. Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom. Times change. The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term. Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up? I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows. But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up. It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up. The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto. People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all. Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value. At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money. The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more. If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money. Bitcoin is money for the new generation. The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place. Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same. Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow. After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure. Namaste.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MasterAnanda
5
LTC ANALYSIS (support & resistance)🔮 #LTC Analysis  🚀🚀 💲💲 #LTC is trading between support and resistance area. There is a potential rejection again from its resistance zone and pullback from its major support area. If #LTC sustains above major support area then we will a bullish move till its major resistance area 💸Current Price -- $82.20 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸 #LTC  #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
COTI ANALYSIS 📊 #COTI Analysis ✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in weekly time frame in #COTI. Also there is a perfect breakout and retest. Now we can expect a bullish move from major support zone. If not the we will see more bearish move and then a reversal in #COTI. 👀Current Price:  $0.06390 🎯 Target Price : $0.08660 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #COTI price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️ #COTI  #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance. Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings. Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations. Segment Highlights The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline. Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher. Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health. Market Context Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards. Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns. The 2008 Playbook Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash. During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous. The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks. Investment Risks A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment. Final Thoughts Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow. Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire! What do you think moonypto fam?
NYSE:BRK.A
by moonypto
China: 34% Tariffs Against US, Impact on Forex Market Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about China's response to US Tariffs. China's recent decision to impose 34% counter-tariffs on US products represents a significant development in trade tensions between the world's two largest economies. This move, which will take effect on April 10, is a direct response to the 10% tariffs imposed by the United States. The announcement has already had repercussions on global markets, with stocks recording sharp declines. In this article, we will analyze the motivations behind this decision, its economic implications and the impact on the Forex market. Motivations Behind the Counter-Tariffs China's decision to impose counter-tariffs is a strategic response to the aggressive trade policies of the United States. The 10% tariffs imposed by the US are aimed at correcting what is perceived as an unfair trade deficit and protecting domestic industries. However, China sees these tariffs as a threat to its economic growth and the stability of its exports. The 34% counter-tariffs are therefore an attempt to rebalance the trade balance and put pressure on the United States to review its policies. Global Economic Implications The imposition of counter-tariffs has economic implications that go far beyond the two nations involved. Trade tensions can trigger a series of chain reactions that affect the global economy in various ways: Increased Production Costs: Companies that rely on imports of raw materials and components from the United States will see an increase in production costs, which could be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Slower Economic Growth: Trade tensions can lead to a slowdown in global economic growth, as companies may reduce investment due to economic uncertainty. Inflation: Rising prices of imported goods can contribute to inflation, reducing the purchasing power of consumers and increasing costs for businesses. Forex Market Impact The Forex market, known for its sensitivity to geopolitical and economic events, is not immune to the effects of the trade tensions between China and the United States. Here are some of the main impacts: US Dollar Volatility: The increase in tariffs could weaken the US dollar, as trade tensions tend to reduce investor confidence. Demand for US goods could decrease, negatively impacting the value of the dollar. Strengthening of the Chinese Yuan: China could see a strengthening of the yuan, as its economy could be perceived as more stable than that of the United States in this context of trade tensions. Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve could be forced to review its monetary policy, with possible interest rate cuts to mitigate the economic impact of the tariffs. This could further impact the Forex market, increasing volatility. Conclusion China's decision to impose counter-tariffs of 34% on US products represents a significant development in the trade tensions between the world's two largest economies. The economic implications of this move are vast and complex, affecting not only national economies but also the global Forex market. Investors and analysts will need to monitor these developments closely to fully understand their implications and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -91C/October 17th 60C LCD*... for a 26.56 debit. Comments: Back in to XBI on weakness, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The back month 60C is shown at the 80 so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.56 Break Even: 86.56 Max Profit: 4.44 ROC at Max: 16.72% 50% Max: 2.22 ROC at 50% Max: 8.36% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max, roll out the short call at 50% max to reduce my downside break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): USO May 16th -75C/October 17th 45C LCD*... for a 26.25 debit. Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month strike that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The long call is shown at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.25 Break Even: 71.25 Max Profit: 3.75 ROC at Max: 14.3% 50% Max: 1.88 ROC at 50%: 7.2% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call at 50% max to reduce down side break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): UNG March 21st 18/June 20th 35 LPD*... for a 15.04 debit. Comments: Fading this natural gas move here with a long put diagonal, buying the back month -90 delta put and selling the front month 25. The 35 long put is shown at the 21 strike due to the 35 being off the chart. Metrics: Max Profit: 1.96 Buying Power Effect: 15.04 ROC at Max: 13.03% Break Even: 19.96 relative to 19.68 spot Will generally look to take profit at 110% of what I put it on for, roll out the short put on approaching worthless. * -- Long put diagonal.
AMEX:UNGShort
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TTD May 16th -70C/October 17th 32.5C LCD*... for a 26.10 debit. Comments: At or near 52-week lows. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The October 17th 32.5C is shown at the 50 strike to fit it on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.10 debit Break Even: 58.60/share Max Profit: 11.40 ROC at Max: 43.7% 10% Max: 2.61 ROC at 10% Max: 10.0% In this particular case, I'll look to take profit at 110% of what I put it on for and/or roll out the short call if it hits 50% max. Earnings are on 5/14, so my preference would be to take it off before then ... . * -- Long Call Diagonal.
NASDAQ:TTDLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 60 Covered Call... for a 57.91 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on ... . Here, going lower net delta by selling the -84 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 57.91/share Max Profit: 2.09 ROC at Max: 3.61% 50% Max: 1.05 ROC at 50% Max: 1.82% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
LONG AMD: Keep it simple trends, time and duration3 Positions in AMD from 2018-2025 Duration of trades: 106 - 1,064 days Gains: +217% - +917% Closing in on the trend line, look for a bounce at the line or likely if it goes under, wait for a rally back above the line. This chart is set at the daily timeframe. If you trade on the minor volatility within the major trend, I've found the 2 hour timeframe using a combination of indicators, Relative Trend Index and HH and LL, net favorable results.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by STrendUD