XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has successfully broken above its resistance zone and the top of the ascending channel, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Two support zones have been identified below the current price. A correction toward one of these levels is expected before the next bullish leg begins.
After a pullback to one of these support areas, we expect gold to resume its uptrend and push toward higher levels and new highs.
Among the two, the second support zone is considered a safer entry point for long positions, as it may offer stronger support and a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Which support zone would you use for your buy entry? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Beyond Technical Analysis
Will The Gold Rally End When Large Speculators Buy?A few weeks ago we reviewed Gold price action and positioning and how Large Speculators (blude column and traditionally trend followers) started to sell Gold which I could not explain. Well, they continued to sell Gold futures, and now Gold is breaking out making new all-time highs. If anyone knows who is buying this Gold, please comment and let me know, because it is not Hedge Funds trading with size (aka Large Specs). Small Specs (yellow column) have been buying but their size is so small, not sure that is what is driving price higher.
As Gold continues to be the commodity to watch in 2025, when will the market turn? As long as it is not crowded to the long side, the trend can continue for a while, especially if Large Specs continue to sell. I would keep watching to see when they start buying week over week (not just one week), where they commit to the trend, and hopefully they get max crowded, providing a potential short trade in Gold with high reward to risk ratio. Until then, and as I always say, don't short all-time highs.
Scalping with ATM Options Using Candle + OI Confirmation!Hello Traders!
If you love quick entries and fast exits with defined logic, then ATM Option Scalping is your game. But scalping without confirmation often leads to stop-loss hits. That’s why combining candlestick structure with live Open Interest (OI) data gives you a serious edge. Let’s break down the exact setup I use to scalp with ATM options in Nifty & BankNifty .
Why ATM Options for Scalping?
Better Liquidity: ATM strikes have tight spreads and high volumes, making execution quick and efficient.
Quick Premium Movement: Even small index moves reflect fast in ATM premiums.
Less Theta Decay (Intraday): Within first half of day, theta doesn’t hurt much. Scalping avoids time decay traps.
Scalping Strategy: Candle + OI Confirmation
Step 1 – Watch 5-Min Candle Setup:
Look for strong breakout candles, bullish/bearish engulfing, or reversal candles at key zones like VWAP/PDH/PDL.
Step 2 – Confirm with OI Shift:
Check ATM strikes on option chain.
Put OI rising + Price sustaining = bullish confirmation.
Call OI rising + Price rejecting = bearish confirmation.
Step 3 – Take Trade in ATM Option:
Enter CE or PE near breakout candle close with proper SL below/above that candle.
Step 4 – Exit Fast (Scalp Mode):
Book partial profits at 30–40% or when next resistance/support is hit. Avoid overholding!
Bonus Risk Management Tips
Avoid Trading Near News or Events: OI gives false signals in high volatility zones.
1 Trade = 1 Risk Unit Only: Do not revenge trade. Scalping is about accuracy, not frequency.
Trade only when both candle + OI align: No confirmation = no entry.
Rahul’s Tip
Let the chart speak, but let the OI validate. When both agree — that’s where scalpers win big.
Conclusion
Scalping with ATM options using candle structure + OI shift is a powerful setup if executed with discipline. It’s fast, clean, and logical. Focus on 1–2 setups a day — and make them count.
Do you scalp ATM options? Share your entry rules or struggles in the comments below!
USDCAD Bear Flag pattern still in play, POST BOCIntraday Update: The USDCAD slipped to bear flag support following the interest rate decision. The market was trading short CAD in hopes of a cut, and was disappointed. A break of the 1.3830 level would open up channel support at 1.3760. The BOC presser is ongoing at time of writing.
Potential Inverse Bullish Head & Shoulders! 📈 CRYPTOCAP:AAVE Update – Potential Inverse Bullish Head & Shoulders! 👀
CRYPTOCAP:AAVE appears to be forming an Inverse Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern, which could signal a bullish reversal! 🐂
⚠️ Watching for a breakout above the neckline (resistance) for confirmation.
🎯 Target: Green line level 👆
BAN Update – Inverse Bullish Head & Shoulders Forming!📈 BAN Update – Inverse Bullish Head & Shoulders Forming! 🚀
👀 BAN appears to be forming an Inverse Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern! This could signal a strong upward move if the blue resistance line (neckline) breaks! 🐂
⚠️ Watching for a clear breakout above the blue resistance line. If confirmed...
🎯 Target: Green line levels
XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025⚠️ XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025
🔥 Post-speech positioning starts now – but smart money prepares before the speech.
🔍 Macro & Context
🗣️ Powell speaks tonight – market expects hawkish reassurance amid ongoing inflation fears.
🥇 Gold just made new All-Time High (ATH) = 3319, liquidity swept, now consolidating.
🏦 US Dollar still uncertain, Nasdaq under pressure → Gold remains king for now.
🕯️ Key Levels – Updated with ATH Context
🟡 Daily Chart
ATH (Liquidity Grab): 3319
Next potential targets above:
🧲 3340.00 = extension level + premium FVG target
🧲 3365.00–3370.00 = extreme FIB 1.618 + psychological round number
Key Demand Below (Daily):
🔵 3246–3248 (Daily FVG)
🔵 3211–3214 (Valid Daily OB + FVG)
🔵 3204.97 (Daily FVG Base)
🟡 H4 Key Levels
Current Structure: HH-HL bullish, last BOS clean
Premium FVG rejection zone (current): 3306–3319 (Price reacting here)
Support zone:
🔵 3247–3251 (unmitigated H4 OB + FVG)
🔵 3211–3214 (FVG + prior CHoCH retest)
🟡 H1 Key Levels
🧠 Weak High: 3319
🔄 Possible Pullback Area:
🔵 3285.00–3290.00 (minor H1 imbalance)
🔵 3264–3268 (last H1 HL zone)
Strong demand below =
🔵 3247–3251
🔵 3211–3214
🧭 Scenarios To Watch Before Powell
Quick retrace into 3285–3290, then another sweep attempt toward 3319 or new ATH (3340+).
Deeper retrace into 3247–3251, then long (if speech fuels bullish sentiment).
If Powell hawkish → gold may drop to 3211–3214 (valid buys here) before resuming uptrend.
📢 Final Reminder
📌 Don’t chase price right now. Wait for clean mitigation before reentry.
📌 Powell’s tone will define short-term bias, so protect capital!
📌 Always zoom out — the structure was right, but we need to act faster next time!
💬 Let’s Talk
✅ Drop your thoughts in the comments
✅ Like & follow if you caught today’s rally or plan to ride Powell volatility!
🎯 Stay sharp, stay patient — and remember: gold doesn’t forgive chasers.
Nothing different - stay patient, wait for your best fills!Still shorting these names for now until I see signs that we're no longer building bearish short-term liquidity which from the looks of PA and the algos, we still are.
Waiting for more fills in the low $70k's and ideally a reach to FWB:67K
Happy Trading :)
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:AMD AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is a synthesis of all the reports and our analysis:
─────────────────────────────
COMPREHENSIVE SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
─────────────────────────────
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators show AMD trading below its short‐term moving average and near the lower Bollinger Band.
– Negative MACD histogram and bearish news (export restrictions, potential $800M charge) support a downward bias.
– Recommends a bearish options trade using a near–ATM put – the $89 put at a premium around $1.78 (a higher premium but with a clear bearish thesis).
• Llama/Meta and DeepSeek Reports
– Confirm the bearish bias: price action below key moving averages, negative MACD and extreme moves below support.
– Note that the option chain (and high open interest on lower strikes) points to a greater probability for further decline.
– Both suggest a trade on put options that have a lower premium than the Grok suggestion (with DeepSeek favoring the $85 put at roughly $0.62) for improved risk/reward.
• Gemini/Google Report
– Emphasizes the strong negative catalyst from news and a rapid breakdown below support levels (with current price near $89).
– Technical indicators and volatility (VIX above 30) signal that the underlying is likely to fall further.
– Offers several put strike ideas and finds that the $84 put (premium ca. $0.49) fits the ideal price range; however, liquidity and open interest are better for the $85 strike.
─────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
─────────────────────────────
Agreements:
– All models (except for the one reporting an error) agree that the market sentiment is bearish.
– The negative news catalyst (export controls and potential charges) and the technical breakdown clearly drive the consensus.
– There is broad recognition that options data (with high OI on puts and max pain around $95)
is supportive of a downside move.
Disagreements:
– The primary difference is in the strike selection. Grok favors a put close to the current price (the $89 put) despite its higher premium, while Gemini, Llama/Meta, and DeepSeek lean toward lower strikes ($84–$85) that offer a lower premium (falling in or near our ideal range) and better liquidity for a weekly trade.
─────────────────────────────
CLEAR CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE
─────────────────────────────
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
– The overall view is bearish. All models (apart from the one error) indicate that AMD is under significant downside pressure fueled by both technical breakdown and negative news sentiment.
Recommended Trade:
• Trade Type: BUY single‐leg, naked PUT (weekly option only)
• Chosen Strike: $85
– Rationale: The $85 put (ask at $0.64) offers good liquidity (high open interest of 10,218 contracts) and although its premium is slightly above the preferred $0.30–$0.60 range, its risk/reward profile is attractive given the bearish momentum.
• Expiration: April 17, 2025 (weekly options)
• Entry Timing: At market open
• Proposed Parameters:
– Entry Premium: Approximately $0.64
– Profit Target: Around $1.00 (this represents an attractive move if the bearish trend continues)
– Stop Loss: Approximately $0.45 to limit risk if price recovers unexpectedly
• Confidence Level: ~70%
• Key Risks and Considerations:
– Short‐term volatility may create intraday bounces despite the overall bearish trend.
– An oversold reaction or a temporary return toward the max pain level ($95) could adversely affect the trade.
– As this is a news–driven and highly volatile environment, trade size must be limited relative to account size.
─────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS
─────────────────────────────
The final trade parameters in JSON format are shown below.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "AMD",
"direction": "
put",
"strike": 85.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 1.00,
"stop_loss": 0.45,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.64,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is our integrated analysis based on all available model reports.
──────────────────────────────
SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS FROM EACH MODEL
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators on lower timeframes (5‐minute) have shown short‑term weakness (price below the 10‑period EMA and bearish MACD) while the daily chart remains more neutral to slightly bullish.
– The max pain level ($110.00) lies below the current price ($112.20), suggesting there could be some pull‐back pressure.
– With mixed signals and elevated volatility, the analysis does not provide a strong directional conviction – hence no trade was recommended.
• Llama/Meta Report
– The shorter‑term (5‑minute) technicals indicate a bearish setup (MACD below signal, RSI near 45) despite the daily chart’s support from above‑average prices, supporting a slight downside bias.
– The report favors a put option (near ATM), suggesting that an option between the current price and the max pain level may capture a potential move downwards.
– Their setup initially mentioned the possibility of a trade “if premium is acceptable.”
• Gemini/Google Report
– Detailed multi‑timeframe analysis points to:
○ Immediate (M5) weakness (price trading below very short‑term EMAs and with bearish MACD signal),
○ Negative catalyst from export restrictions and the high–yet falling–VIX, and
○ A gravitational pull toward $110 (the max pain).
– This model’s analysis is moderately bearish and recommends buying a weekly naked put.
– Their trade plan suggests buying a put with a strike near $111 (which sits between the current price and max pain) with an entry at market open, a target premium gain of roughly 80–100% and a stop loss at about 50% of the premium.
• DeepSeek Report
– Also reviews technicals and sentiment inputs but concludes that conflicting signals and incomplete options data render a clear trade decision uncertain f
or today.
• The report leans toward “no trade” until further clarity is available.
──────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
• Agreement points:
– Most analyses agree that NVDA is trading a strong 5‑day rally and that, with the max pain level set at $110.00, there’s potential for a pullback.
– All reports also note the mixed technical picture when viewing short‑term versus daily charts.
– The immediate (intraday) indicators (M5 MACD, EMAs) lean toward weakness, even if the longer‑term trend remains less clear.
• Disagreements:
– Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward “no trade” given the ambiguity and risk, whereas Llama/Meta and Gemini/Google see a moderate bearish opportunity.
– The recommended strike levels differ slightly: one report referenced the ATM region near $112 while the more detailed Gemini/Google plan suggests a slightly lower strike ($111) to better capture a potential move toward max pain.
──────────────────────────────
CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
• Although there is no unanimity, the preponderance of evidence—especially the short‑term technical weakness, the negative export restrictions news, elevated (but falling) volatility, and the max pain setup—leans toward a moderately bearish bias for today’s session.
Recommended Trade:
• We recommend a weekly naked put option trade (using only weekly options) if NVDA trades within or near our expected range at the open.
• Best execution is near market open provided the premium falls into or near our target range ($0.30–$0.60, allowing for slight flexibility).
• Specifically, purchase a $111 put expiring on April 17, 2025, which places you between the current trading level and the $110 max pain level.
• Entry Timing: At market open.
• Confidence Level: Approximately 65%
• Key risk factors include:
– The inherent conflict between short‐term and longer‐term signals,
– Possibility of the stock continuing its r
ecent rally (or failing to reach down near $110), and
– Extreme theta decay and premium volatility with only one day to expiration.
• Trade Parameters (example):
– Entry premium target about $0.50 per contract (if within acceptable range),
– Profit target set around $0.90 (roughly an 80% gain on premium), and
– Stop loss around $0.25 (50% of entry premium).
──────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 111.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 0.90,
"stop_loss": 0.25,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.50,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
PLTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:PLTR PLTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is the integrated analysis of all the model reports:
──────────────────────────────
SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators on both short‐term (5‑minute) and daily charts are bullish.
– The price is trading above all key EMAs and has recently made higher highs/lows.
– Although the 5‑minute RSI is overbought and MACD shows a slight negative reading, the daily chart is strongly bullish with a bullish MACD crossover.
– Options data shows a max pain at $92.00 (well below the current price), and Grok recommends buying a naked call at the $99 strike for the weekly expiration at an estimated premium of $0.55.
• Llama/Meta Report
– The short-term chart reveals a near-term consolidation: recent closes are mixed with a cooling RSI and a negative MACD histogram, hinting at possible short-term pullbacks.
– The daily picture remains upward with bullish trend indicators, though the report notes conflicting evidence about overbought conditions.
– Their overall bias is “moderately bullish” but they tilt toward caution by suggesting—in an alternate scenario—a naked put near $95 if the price reverses.
• Gemini/Google Report
– The daily trend is strongly bullish with price well above moving averages and positive MACD/histogram readings.
– The 5‑minute chart, while bullish, shows signs of consolidation near current highs (observed in Bollinger Band touches and slight RSI cooling).
– Despite the max pain level ($92.00) that could impose later headwinds, Gemini remains moderately bullish and recommends a naked call strategy at the $100 strike — with the plan to enter at the open but with strict risk measures.
• DeepSeek Report
– On short-term charts, DeepSeek notes bullish fundamentals but also flags very high recent gains (+27% in five days) and the pressure from a max pain level far below current levels.
– The s
hort-term indicators (MACD on the 5‑minute chart) even hint at a near-term pullback, making the overall picture mixed.
– Their conclusion is to hold off (“no trade”) given the conflicting signals; if forced, they would consider a bearish put (again near $95) rather than a call.
──────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
• Agreement
– All models agree that PLTR has been on a strong recent rally; technicals on the daily chart show a marked upward bias.
– Every analysis notes potential near-term caution: the fast rise, signals of consolidation on shorter timeframes, and the fact that the max pain level ($92.00) is far below the current price.
– There is consensus that if a trade is to be attempted, one must trade with a strict, short‑term (weekly) setup and disciplined risk management.
• Disagreement
– Grok and Gemini lean toward an intraday bullish play with a naked call, while Llama (and DeepSeek’s alternative scenario) bring up the possibility of a trade in the bearish direction (naked put) due to short-term pullback indicators.
– DeepSeek ultimately suggests sitting out rather than initiating a trade given the asymmetry between a bullish trend and the potential risk imposed by max pain; meanwhile, Grok and Gemini are prepared to buy call options if conditions hold at the open.
──────────────────────────────
CONCLUSION
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
While the daily trend is clearly bullish, all models signal that the stock is now extended and vulnerable to a short-term consolidation or pullback. In our integrated view, the directional bias is moderately bullish but not without risk.
Recommended Trade:
Based on the majority—especially the Grok and Gemini reports—and provided that the market opens in line with recent momentum, a cautious bullish play is recommended. We will trade weekly options only and use a naked call strategy. To keep our premium in the ideal range, we choose a strike that is close to t
he current price yet slightly out‐of‐the‐money.
• Trade: Buy a naked call option
• Strike: $99.00 (as recommended by Grok, and a reasonable compromise between the $99 and $100 levels)
• Expiration: Weekly options expiring on 2025‑04‑17
• Premium: Approximately $0.55 per contract (within our target range)
• Entry Timing: At the open
Risk & Considerations:
– There is a significant risk that—given the recent 27% rally and short‐term consolidation indicators—the stock could pause or pull back toward the max pain near $92.00.
– In the event of a sudden intraday reversal (for example, a move below key M5 support levels around $98.16–$98.29), the position should be exited promptly.
– The intraday volatility remains high (VIX around 30 but falling), so close monitoring is essential.
• Confidence Level: Approximately 75% based on the integrated view
──────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 99.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 0.83,
"stop_loss": 0.37,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.55,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
BA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NYSE:BA BA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15)
Below is our synthesis of the various models, followed by our final trade conclusion and details.
──────────────────────────────
Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI Report – Technicals on BA show that the price (about $155.52) is below the short‐term (and even daily) moving averages with a 5‑minute RSI well into oversold territory (24.71). – The MACD is negative while Bollinger Bands show price near the lower edge. – Market sentiment (including bearish headlines and high put open interest) supports a view of further downside, despite a touch of potential mean‐reversion. – Recommendation: Buy a naked put at the $150 strike (premium ~$0.88) to play a moderately bearish view.
• Gemini/Google Report – Confirms that on a 5‑minute chart BA is trading below key EMAs and shows strong bearish momentum on MACD. – However, the extremely oversold 5‑minute RSI and the fact that the max pain is at $160 (well above current price) introduce a counter‐signal suggesting a possible bounce. – Conclusion: The directional bias is ambiguous; the risk of entering a short when a bounce may occur makes trade timing uncertain. No clear open‐trade setup is recommended.
• Llama/Meta Report – Also notes that BA’s price is below key short‑term moving averages and that the MACD is on the downside. – But Llama points out that the max pain level at $160 and relatively low call premium (e.g. $162.50 call at $0.54) might offer a speculative play on an upward move. – Recommendation: Buy the $162.50 call as a hedge/speculative play, citing the potential for a rally toward the max pain.
• DeepSeek Report – Reiterates the technical picture: BA is trading below its key MAs, the 5‑minute RSI is oversold, and there is strong bearish open interest in puts (notably at the $150 strike). – Their analysis supports a moderately bearish outlook despite the risk of a short‐term bounce. – Recommendation: Buy the $150 July (weekly) put at $0.88, with exit triggers set if BA regains short‑term resistance.
────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
• Agreement: – All models agree that BA is trading below key short‑term moving averages and that the 5‑minute technicals (including an extremely low RSI and negative MACD) point to bearish momentum. – There is consensus that options data (with max pain at $160 and strong put open interest at $150) provides key reference points.
• Disagreement: – While Grok and DeepSeek lean into a bearish trade via the $150 put, Gemini highlights conflicting signals (oversold RSI versus bearish momentum) and recommends caution at the open. – Llama instead sees potential for a bounce upward towards max pain and recommends a call trade. – The conflict centers on whether the oversold condition could force a short-term bounce (favoring calls or no trade) versus the prevailing bearish trend (favoring puts).
────────────────────────────── 3. Clear Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: The majority of the analyses show that while BA has an oversold 5‑minute RSI hinting at a possible short-term bounce, the price action below key EMAs, the negative MACD, bearish news, and heavy put open interest largely indicate a moderately bearish outlook. The ambiguity in the immediate open (as noted by Gemini) is acknowledged, but overall the consensus leans toward further downside pressure.
Recommended Trade: Since we must trade single‑leg, naked options on weekly expiries and we choose one of the provided strikes/prices, we favor the moderately bearish stance. Hence our recommendation is to buy a naked put option.
Trade Parameters: • Instrument: BA • Trade: Buy weekly puts • Strike: $150.00 • Premium: $0.88 (as shown in the current options data) • Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 • Entry Timing: At open • Rationale: This put offers a bearish play that earns from continued downside momentum, even if there is a brief bounce. Liquidity is supported through high open interest and volume at this strike. • Confidence Level: Approximately 65% • Risk/Reward Guidelines: A target exit is set for a roughly 50% profit on the premium (aiming for an option price near $1.32), while a stop‐loss is triggered if BA recovers and breaches key short‑term resistance (around the $156 range) – roughly limiting losses to 50% of the premium.
Key Risks and Considerations: – There is a risk that the oversold condition (RSI at 24.71) could spark a swift bounce, forcing the trade into near‐term losses. – The max pain level at $160 could create upward pressure as expiration nears. – Volatility as indicated by the VIX (30.12) remains elevated, so sudden price swings are possible. – Traders should carefully size positions (not more than 2–3% of account capital) and defend profit targets and stops to limit risk.
────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "BA", "direction": "put", "strike": 150.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.32, "stop_loss": 0.44, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.88, "entry_timing": "open" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
EURUSD Short IdeaI see that we broke structure to the downside on 15m, isnt the best break but i will still count it based on the fact where we are on HTF (D/W OB) and the mini-gap which got created in current asia.
I cant cover the highs with a 10 pip stop so i will wait to see some bearish confirmation either a clear 1m bos to the downside, or nice price action on 5/15m indicating reversal in price.
TP will be as always 1:3 and extendet TP will be unfilled previous asia sessions.
Ranging? Not Really. The Big Guys’ Plan Is Already Set…Ever wondered what the crowd is really doing behind the candles?
This video breaks down how to read Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)—
from retail behavior to sentiment charts, and why the market doesn’t always follow logic.
✅ When price moves one way but the crowd trades the other...
✅ When sideways markets aren’t as neutral as they look...
✅ When emotions take over—and how to spot it in advance.
We’re lifting the hood. The engine’s running. Let’s see what drives it.
BG - Bunge Limited (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long PositionBG - Bunge Limited (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 75.80
Entry limit ~ 75.50 to 74.50 (Avg. - 75) on April 15, 2025
Target limit ~ 78 (+4%; +3 points)
Stop order limit ~ 74 (-1.33%; -1 point)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
AAPL should you wait out the chop? Still overall downtrendWhen in doubt, leave it out < I remember being in a training class for my first job out of college and my teacher said that. She was talking about dress codes, and that if we had a doubt like...is this work appropriate, then the answer was no. This quote has stayed with me and even proven useful in trading. Right now we are in indecision on a lot of names. No clear uptrends, and still most stocks remain in overall downtrends.
Most of us are impatient, we want to catch the bottom, even though we know when we wait for a clear direction the profits flow effortlessly.
It's ok to put on a small position, but just know where we are at in the trend and range.
What's your position on AAPL for the next few days or weeks?
For me, I am really leaning sideways, but am testing small positions. It is important to wait after the morning noise dies down before committing. In fact, yesterday I broke my 11am rule of no decisions or trades til after 11am, and closed a put on another name. Then within the hour, the position flipped. Talk about regret. What was worse was that I had hedged it the day before with a call, and closed the call at a loss too. Amateur moves, but hey, new day and fresh eyes will make a killing.
XAUUSD - 15m Sell SetupXAUUSD - Daily Sell Setup 🔻
After a strong and extended rally, Gold (XAUUSD) has reached an overheated level and is now showing signs of short-term exhaustion.
We’re eyeing a $30 correction, which translates to nearly 300 pips of opportunity for short sellers.
📉 Current Price: ~$3,307
🎯 Target: ~$3,277
With momentum slowing and candles printing hesitation, this could be a great time to catch a quick pullback. Ideal for short-term traders who thrive in volatility.
💡 Manage your risk, don’t chase — wait for confirmation before entry.
💸 Ready for 300 pips? Follow us and ride the wave with precision! 🚀
March Pain Point in $NSE:NIFTY | Best Support is Coming !NSE:NIFTY
Hi
Green Area Is Best Time to Accumulate Stocks.
Best Support, and Stocks with Low Beta are the Gems So Accumulate them with Nifty Supports.
Too Much is Happening, like Nifty Rebalancing, Nifty50 Next Rebalancing, Global Sentiments with Indian Govt Love for Tax Policy.
Be Prudent !
Let Them Short and Long on the Other Side.
Make Good Position on Nifty Stock !
thanks