Bitcoin: Two Possible Scenarios Simplified (How To Trade)X Force provides quality content provided by experienced traders who would like to make charting more simple for the general public. If you love our content, please make sure to give us a 'like', we would highly appreciate it.
Bitcoin is currently painting two different possible scenarios and we would like to break down both the bullish and bearish case via easy technical patterns that everyone can understand.
Bullish Ascending Triangle:
- Bullish ascending triangle usually means Bitcoin might be in a continuation pattern and continue a measured move up to newer highs.
- The pattern completes itself when price breaks out of the triangle in the direction of the overall trend.
- This pattern indicates that buyers are more aggressive than sellers as price continues to make higher lows.
- A breakout and retest of the upper trend line is considered a BUY signal by bulls.
Bearish Rising (Parallel) Channel:
- An upward Price channel pattern occurs when the price makes a series of lower lows followed by a series of lower highs. Typically the price should be contained inside the lines that connect these highs and lows.
- This is usually considered a consolidation phase and pressure will be put on top of the channel by sellers, and buyers on the lower.
- A Rising Parallel Channel usually leads to a breakdown, which is considered the SELL signal.
Trade Safe.
X Force.
Btclong
Bitcoin: Understanding CME Gaps - A Full Perspective and GuideX Force Global Analysis:
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In this analysis, we take a look at Bitcoin's rather peculiar tendency to fill CME gaps. What are CME gaps, and why do they occur?
First of all, Bitcoin does not trade 24/7 on one specific market, which is the CME market. This means that at a certain point in the day, the market closes and trading stops altogether - just like in traditional stock markets.
When looking at these CME gaps, an investor might conclude that they will be filled quickly within the next few days. And based on this reason alone, many traders will take a long or short position based on the gaps produced. If a gap is produced while price is moving up rapidly, a trader might conclude on taking a short position with the notion that the gap will eventually fill. While this is fundamentally true and a good trade setup because gaps have traditionally filled 100% of the time via Bitcoin's history, it can be still dangerous if the trader does not know how to execute the trade properly, especially if the trader is in a leveraged position. A basic understanding of major trend shifts, then taking CME gaps into the trader's strategy is a recipe for success.
From a technical stand point, when a gap appears within the charts, it removes the immediate support or resistance and creates the tendency for most traders to notice this, which may be the reason why the new tradition of 'gap filling' has been a part of Bitcoin's price action since the introduction of the CME market. Either way, if price action moves further away from the gap, the higher probability of a stronger drop/pump will be, which may or may be bad for both bulls and bears.
For our viewers sake, we have done the calculations to show 2019's high to current price on how long it has taken to fill. The average has been 63 days.
Will Bitcoin's CME gap be filled before we reach new highs? Or will we see the gap fill, then run towards new highs? We leave that up to you.
How to trade CME Gaps?
Trading CME Gaps can be very tricky, especially if you take a position too early. As we have stated earlier, all of Bitcoin's CME gaps have been filled 100% of the time. This current gap we are seeing may be no different. It's a matter of WHEN, not IF. With that being said, the best possible way to trade this is to understand basic support and resistances. We are currently facing strong resistance at 12K, and if broken, we face the possibility of a longer wait time for the gap to be filled. This can be a good or bad thing:
Good: BTC will be breaking major legacy resistances, and show sign of growth in the immediate future.
Bad: BTC will be further deviated away from the current CME gap below major psychological resistance at 10K, and may further put bulls in disparity once the gap does fill.
Bitcoin has retested major trend support technically twice, and it may desirable to retest it a third time before we can show true strength in BTC's trend. This can mean a longer accumulation phase and an possible impulse waves that will make Bitcoin's drop more severe based on our CME gap theory.
Trade Safe.
X Force.
btcusd log chart from start in 2001-2002 projected into 2050This is a btcusd log chart from when I think btc started to where it may go by 2050
BTCUSD with lines and works and no particular meaning or thoughtBTCUSD with lines and works and no particular meaning or thought. Some random scribbles on a chart
BTCUSD over 50-year time frame proijected into the futureThis is a chart of some random angles and lines and words with no particular meaning or pattern.
BTCUSD. Accumulation, Wyckoff EventsHello everyone, today I started to study Bitcoin chart differently.
Lately in some cryptocurrencies I noticed a visual similarity with Wyckoff's "Distribuition schematc # 2".
So today I wanted to try also with the most famous crypt in the world: BTC.
Well, I found positive signals with: "Accumulation schematic # 1.
I put the picture, at least you understand better (compare it with the chart I did).
d.stockcharts.com
This of course is a visual feedback, we must see how the price of bitcoin will continue, I'm not saying absolutely that it will go this way!
Let me know in the comments if you like my "idea" and what you think.
Good trading to everyone.