USOIL Look Ahead for week starting 1/19/20The future USOIL, symbol CL, is in a Bear Market with price trading above the 50 ema, which is below the 200 ema, which is below the 800 week ema. The long term emas are mostly flat, indicative of an accumulation / distribution zone. Price has closed below the 13 ema at 58.85 on the weekly, so therefore, the Bear Market Rally can be considered over. Last week was a red bodied candle with a long lower wick, which is known as a Hammer. Hammers are bottoming candles that have to be confirmed by the next candle trading higher, preferable a long green candle. Price action tested a long term trend line, but did not close below it. The larger cycle period length Elliott Wave implies a rally above 66.58 to complete this primary b-wave.
The Market is in a Bear Market on the daily, with price below the 13 ema and the 50 ema which are still above both the 200 and 800 emas, but the 200 ema, at 57.81 still below the 800 ema, at 58.36. Price broke below a long-term trend line last week, implying a potential trend change. A likely down side target for this x-wave sell-off are the 200 and 800 emas. We’re still in an downtrend as long as each day closes below the 9 &13 emas at 59.48. We got a couple dojis as part of a morning star pattern last week, implying a potential bottom. With the emas flat and as close together as they are, we are likely to see a lot of trading range activity, stop hunts, and all kinds of other malfeasance until the Real Bottom on this x-wave gets put in. This is the kind of market that chews up trading accounts.
The Market is in a deep correction of a Bull Market on the 4 hour, with price below the 30 and 50 emas, which are above the 200 ema, at 59.51, which is above the 800 ema at 57.83. Price would have to close back above the 9 & 13 ema, at 58.53 to consider the correction over. The way this market is trading expect a retest of the lows…
This is my USOIL look ahead for my own trading purposes. FUTURES trading involves risk. Feel free to comment, but trade off of this post at your own peril.
Cl!
cl, oil, day trading for Jan 17thThe current action is bullish and to me looks like it wants higher, however what i think is not important. What is important is what happens.
The best thing for me or plan A would be move down that I can gt long and move to the 59.5 target.
Plan B would be a move down back into the prior distribution into the 58 area.
Plan c is shorting tops and long bottoms of the red zone.
/CL Crude oil shortLast Week made a huge bearish engulfing candle on big volume, so looking for continued weakness in oil.
Currently in a descending channel after mid-east tensions have subsided. Market still seems to be slowly zig zaging down in this channel, perhaps waiting for a catalyst to continue further down.
Aiming to enter at top of channel with confirmation of weakness and looking for targets at 56.50 and 56.00
Must be weary, oil has been making wild swings in smaller ranges
oil, cl, day trading for Jan 14thOil yesterday made a clear break of the red support and ran hard as mentioned could happen. It is now in a new lower distribution and is saying further down as long as we do not go back above red zone top. This said does not mean a balance zone in this area does not form so will be watching for shorts around red zone top and then looking to see if oil is going to balance or break lower.
A break back into the prior balance will probably have us chopping back in the range the market held for a few days.
Trade Idea for a Short Scenario on Crude Oil by ThinkingAntsOkUse this as a guide to develop your setup:
Main items we can see on the 4hs chart:
a)The Price was rejected from a major resistance zone
b)Currently, we can see the price on the lower trendline of the ascending channel
c)If you are thinking about trading short scenarios, we will wait for a corrective structure in the current area.
d)The corrective structure must be an ABC or an ABCDE Pattern (Triangle/Zig-Zag/Flat/Irregular)
e)If that happens we will set short orders as shown on the chart
Remember we are not discarding a long scenario here (a bounce on the trendline) we are just explaining what would be an optimal scenario for short trades.
oil, cl, day trading for Jan 13Oil is still in this tight range and looking for a break out, play safe until this break occurs.
Today will be looking at a 2 step red zone the inside red zone is only for inside scalp trades as I wait for the bigger red zone to break, and after the big one breaks will be when I form a directional leaning.
USOIL Look Ahead for week starting 1/05/20The USOIL, symbol CL, is in a Bear Market Rally with price trading above the 50 ema, which is below the 200 ema, which is below the 800 week ema. The 50 week ema is currently slightly up trending, but by and large the long term emas are mostly flat. This implies an accumulation/distribution zone. The intermediate term Elliott Wave implies a rally above 66.58 to complete this b-wave.
The Market is in a Bear Market Rally on the daily, with the 50 ema above both the 200 and 800 emas, but the 200 ema still below the 800 ema. Price is above a long-term trend line and has been trading in over-lapping corrective waves above the 9/13/30/50 emas. A likely upside target for this rally is $64.5. We’re still in an uptrend as long as each day closes above the 13 ema at 61.07 and the uptrend line.
The Market is in a Bull Market on the 4 hour, with price above the 50 ema, which is above the 200 ema, which is above the 800 ema. Price would have to close below 62.30 to be considered in a correction. The Oil Market is rallying as a result of all the FED Repo and Not-QE money creating a Risk On environment, as well as US tensions with Iran and the potential for war.
With the assassination of the Iranian General and the threats of terrorist acts against Americans in the Middle East, Crude Oil should open up, especially with all the break out traders and retracement traders eyeing the 63.33 prior resistance level. Price should then consolidate with stop hunts up and down, and then pull back into the later part of the week.
This is my USOIL look ahead for my own trading purposes. FUTURES trading involves risk. Feel free to comment, but trade off of this post at your own peril.
cl, oil, day trading for Jan 9thToday oil is in a small range balancing after a large down move. Interesting spot. also all the support and resistance seems to be lining up with the round number option strikes.So will be trading inside the red zone until a solid break out and will go directional to the side of the Red zone break.
CL, OIL,day trading for Jan 6thOil has had a very big up move and looks like it could be attempting to find a big balance range, this is why such a big Red zone today. This give lots of inside red zone trades and without any news could be the area we trade in for some time. Now a break of this Red zone could be providing lots on information towards oils next moves so will be watching with great interest.
oil, cl, day trading for Jan 3rdThere we got our big push that had to happen at some point now we have basically two red zones with good possible movement inside the bigger red zone for decent trades.
1) 64.10 - 32.73
2)63.67 - 63.21
there are some mathematical upper targets and then some prior down side targets, will watch so see if we are going back to yesterday prior range or pushing new short term highs, action reaction will be primary.
cl, oil, day trading for Jan 2st 2020The action in oil is small range inside and balanced with little directional bias. With a bigger down side directional action inside a bigger consolidation.
This means I remain in a back and forth mode until the first blue line targets are violated. And a small directional bias when the red zone is violated, but remain looking for a long bottom of Red and short top of Red until more direction is established.