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Elliotwaveanalysis

Bitcoin's Market Cycle Explained Through Elliott WavesThis is an educational post on Elliott Impulse Wave structures, and how the theory can be applied to Bitcoin's chart, in order for us to identify the overall market trend. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Basic Elliott Wave Structure - 80% of the time, an Elliott Impulse Wave would have a structure as the diagram demonstrated above. - After the first impulse wave, we have wave 2, which is a short term corrective wave, play out. - Most of the time, the second wave demonstrates a zig zag pattern, in which we can count ABC waves. - When the second wave is a zigzag, there's a high probability that the fourth wave demonstrates a complex correction, such as a double three (WXY), or a triple three (WXYXZ). - Also, when the second wave is a zig zag pattern, there's a high probability that the length of the third wave is 1.618x of the first wave's length. - In this case, there's also a high probability that the length of the fifth wave is equal to that of the first wave. - Keep in mind that these are all probabilities. There are no rules set in stone that state that waves have to move a certain way, in a certain length, but they tend to demonstrate this structure under certain conditions Bitcoin's Elliott Wave Structure - However, as you can notice from Bitcoin's Elliott Wave count chart above, Bitcoin's second wave did not demonstrate a zig zag pattern. - Instead, Bitcoin demonstrated a triple three (WXYXZ) leading to a sharp final drop caused by the Covid outbreak. - When the second wave demonstrates a triple three pattern, there's a high probability that the fourth wave demonstrates a zig zag pattern. - Also, when the second wave is a complex correction, there's a high probability that the third wave's length is 2.618x of the first wave's length. - Additionally, when the second wave is a complex correction, there's a high probability that the final wave's length is 1.618x of the first wave's length. Bitcoin Weekly Chart Elliott Wave Analysis - Taking into consideration the Elliott Wave structures explained above, we can now see that Bitcoin's trend can be explained by the second diagram. - We saw a complex correction (triple three, WXYXZ) pattern on Bitcoin's second wave. - We're currently completing wave 4, which seems to be a running flat pattern (ABC). - While this isn't exactly a zig zag pattern, it's a variation of the zig zag pattern, and part of the larger concept of simple corrections. - For a more in-depth explanation on this corrective trend for the short term, make sure to check out my previous analysis by clicking the chart below: Revealing My Secret Method: Technical Symmetry Analysis Summary I believe that there's an extremely high probability that Bitcoin's bull run isn't over. While December's price action may be rather disappointing, as we're in the process of completing the final corrective wave within a bigger impulse trend, we could expect a parabolic rally as we move towards Q1 of 2022. Using Elliott Waves isn't about accurately predicting the exact price and period of an asset's price action. While a lot of people try to correct each other on "wrong counts", unless the general rules are kept, there really isn't a strictly correct way or incorrect way of using this theory as a tool. In my opinion, Elliott Waves are best used on longer time frames, to identify the overall trend, and which point of the market cycle we are at.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
16
NIFTY WILL CORRECT UPTO11300Using my vast experience in Elliot wave labelling, I charted a super cycle count for NIFTY INDEX. NIFTY Completed its 5 legged 3rd wave and extended its ''B'' Wave recovery(Running flat correction)to16700 A five legged wave 'C' of WAVE ''4'' will bring the index to minimum 38.2% to 11300 before April 22 and oscillate up and down till July24 We have more time to resume 5 th wave ,which will make you richer again to 25000 NOW its time to play with bears
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by selvamB
7
💨𝙀𝙡𝙡𝙞𝙤𝙩𝙩 𝙒𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙋𝙖𝙩𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙣: 𝙄𝙢𝙥𝙪𝙡𝙨𝙚🌊●● 𝙄𝙢𝙥𝙪𝙡𝙨𝙚 (IM) ❗❗ Rules ● An impulse always subdivides into five waves. ● Wave 1 always subdivides into an impulse or a diagonal. ● Wave 2 always subdivides into a zigzag, flat or combination . ● Wave 2 never moves beyond the start of wave 1 . ● Wave 2 always ends in the territory of wave 1 , and wave 4 in the territory of wave 3 . ● Wave 3 always subdivides into an impulse. ● Wave 3 always moves beyond the end of wave 1 . ● Wave 3 is never the shortest wave. ● Wave 4 always subdivides into a zigzag, flat, triangle or combination . ● Wave 4 never moves beyond the start of wave 2 . ● The termination point of wave 4 never moves beyond the end of wave 1 . ● Wave 5 always subdivides into an impulse or a diagonal. ● Never are waves 1 , 3 and 5 all extended. ❗ Guidelines ● Wave 4 will almost always be a different corrective pattern than wave 2 . If the second wave is a sharp correction, then the fourth wave will usually be a sideways correction, and vice versa (alternation). ● Wave 2 is usually a sharp correction in the form of a single or multiple zigzag. ● Wave 4 is usually a sideways correction in the form of a flat, triangle, or combination . ● In rare cases, a triangle (one that does not include a new price extreme) in the fourth wave position will take the place of a sharp correction and alternate with another type of sideways pattern in the second wave position. ● Wave 4 typically ends when it is within the price range of subwave four of 3 . ● In an impulse wave, wave 4 should significantly break the trend channel formed by the subwaves of wave 3 . ● Wave 4 often subdivides the entire impulse into Fibonacci proportion in time and/or price. ● On rare occasions, wave 4 subwaves can enter the territory of wave 1 . As a strong guideline, no portion of wave 4 of an impulse wave can enter the price territory of wave 1 or wave 2 . ● Second waves of impulse waves would tend to go beyond the previous fourth wave at one lesser degree. ● Sometimes wave 5 does not move beyond the end of wave 3 (in which case it is called a truncation). ● Wave 5 often ends when meeting or slightly exceeding a line drawn from the end of wave 3 that is parallel to the line connecting the ends of waves 2 and 4 , on either arithmetic or semilog scale. ● The center of wave 3 almost always has the steepest slope of any equal period within the parent impulse except that sometimes an early portion of wave 1 (the "kickoff") will be steeper. ● Wave 1 , 3 or 5 is usually extended. (An extension appears "stretched" because its corrective waves are small compared to its impulse waves. It is substantially longer, and contains larger subdivisions, than the non-extended waves). ● Often, the extended subwave is the same number ( 1 , 3 or 5 ) as the parent wave. ● Rarely do two subwaves extend, although it is typical for waves 3 and 5 both to extend when they are of Cycle or Supercycle degree and within a fifth wave of one degree higher. ● Wave 1 is the least commonly extended wave. ● If wave 1 of the impulse is the leading diagonal, then one should not expect wave 5 in the form of the ending diagonal. ● When wave 3 is extended, waves 1 and 5 tend to have gains related by equality or the Fibonacci ratio. ● When wave 5 is extended, it is often in Fibonacci proportion to the net travel of waves 1 through 3 . ● When wave 1 is extended, it is often in Fibonacci proportion to the net travel of waves 3 through 5 . In addition, wave 2 can subdivides the entire impulse into Fibonacci proportion in time and/or price. Elliott Wave Principal 2005 & QA EWI.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradeWaves-EWA
4
Mastering Elliott Wave AnalysisHi, traders! Today we gonna speak about Elliott wave principles. The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves , or simply waves. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature's Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." The empirical validity of the Elliott wave principle remains the subject of debate.
BEducation
by Skyrexio
10
Elliott Wave TheoryElliott Wave Theory What is the Elliott Wave Theory? The Elliott Wave Theory came from Mr. Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s. The Elliott Wave Theory said that there are five waves in the main trend with three waves in a correction. The smaller patterns together form the bigger pattern. Pattern Identification Wave 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 run in the direction of the main trend. Legs A, B, and C form a correction pattern. Wave 1, 3, and 5 are impulse wave, which makes advancement in the direction in the current trend. Wave 2 and 4 are the corrective wave that travels in the opposite direction of the main trend. Variation of Wave 1, 3 and 5 Legs A, B, and C are corrective waves following the 5 waves in the main trend. Leg B may appear in numerous variations. Leg B may have more than one rebound peak, and when that happens Leg C may be delayed. Leg B peaks may be high altitude or low altitude peaks. Leg B may appear in the form of bottoming patterns; however, the downtrend may follow in the form of a Leg C. Variation of Leg B Leg C may be a short or a long wave. An additional Leg C may follow immediately. The additional Leg C may be delayed if Leg B takes longer to complete. Variation of Leg C A truncation wave is usually a wave five that fails to move beyond the end of wave three. A truncation happens with uptrend and downtrend. Interpretation of the truncation varies in different charts, but a truncation may indicate a reversal is due, but not always. Benefits of the Elliott Wave Theory The Elliott Wave enables traders to make better price predictions and improve trade decisions. Knowing that Elliott waves 1, 3, and 5 runs in the direction of the main trend, then trading in the current direction of the security may sometimes be a more favorable bet. Knowing that Elliott wave 2 and 4 are corrective waves of the current main trend, then a trader may consider profit-taking. Knowing that Legs A, B, and C are corrective waves, then a trader may consider trading in the opposite direction of the previous main trend. Knowing that the truncation pattern is forming, this may be an indication of a possible trend reversal. There are risks involved in trading. Each trader has different risk tolerance. Knowing which Elliott wave the security is currently trading in may help the trader decide which direction to trade. Trading in the direction of the waves may reduce the trader risks. Thank you for reading! Greenfield Disclosure: I am not a financial advisor. This is not a recommendation, not a representation, and not a solicitation. You should do your research and come to your own decision. Investment involves significant risks. You need to understand that you may lose your money. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Chart reading is subjective information.
NYSE:NIOEducation
by GreenfieldAnalysis
6
Elliot Wave Tutorial from 1998 till 2020Many Claim Elliot Waves are a false pseudo science. I present the last 30 years as an example, n a monthly time frame, the last part of the "Grand Supercycle" Bull Market Elliot predicted The 1990's Wave I, ( The dot com bubble) complex and impulsive. 2000-2003 Wave II down, simple corrective ABC. 2003 until Nov 2007 Wave III Up Impulsive and Complex. 2008 until 2010 the IVth wave complex and corrective,this is the wave i have been posting about so much, as opposed to what most thought would be a V shaped Recovery 2010 until February 2020 Wave V comprised of 3 sets of 5 waves up. This is actually the Tripple Thrust pattern, 3 sets of 5 waves up, each and every wave contains waves inside it in lower timeframes Feb 20th till Mar 23 Wave I or A wave march 23 until April 30 th Wave B or Wave 4 (You have to go to a 4 hour chart to see the wave 2 ABC) WE now have a lower high, and are beginning to see lower lows. I don't want to spend 1 hour or longer labeling all the waves for you, the reader, so I give you a simple trick... Use your left hand under the pattern... 5 waves up, followed by an ABC will allow your hand to fit up under it..
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by dryanhawley
9
USDJPY, triple Three correction Usdjpy is pointing at a new opportunity to sell with this corrective pattern. This correction is one of the five types of corrective patterns that correct the completed cycle of the prevailing trend. Zigzags (5-3-5), Flats (3-3-5), Triangles (3-3-3-3-3), Double threes which are a combination of two corrective patterns previously mentioned. Then lastly a Triple three that is a combination of three corrective patterns mentioned above The corrective structures are labeled as WXYXZ. They are an 11 swing structure. The subdivision of wave W, wave Y, and wave Z can be a zigzag, a flat, a double three of smaller degree, or a triple three of smaller degree. The Wave X can be any corrective structure including a stand-alone triangle
Education
by ABDOLLAR_FX
Special Analysis IN the mid-term and long-term for USD/CADHello guys, in this technical analysis I want to speak you to Monthly from Daily timeframe what I expect of this par!!! Lookin in Montly, we are in the elliot wave correction ABCDE, and that mean a possible bullish this pattern, because we are into in the ascendent triangle with expectative so bullish for long term!!! But more important is this screenshoot above, we are into the elliot wave # 4 into this elliot wave correction above up this screenshoot This mean that USD/CAD it's can going to reach the $1.64 CAD, and now look in the past time how Canadian Dollar is going to devaluate agains the U.S. Dollar, that is horrible, and also there are a bad news for Canada that the country it's going to comming on a considerable cases of covid-19 and the situation of Canadian petroleum that I see in this country a strong reccesion for the CAD currency. In weekly as you see in the monthly timeframe, we are complete the elliot wave correction D to find down the elliot wave correction E, and alter the USD to the moon against of CAD. But now the situation in weekly is that we are in the another into elliot wave that we are in the elliot wave 4 with chartist pattern called a bearish rising wedge. And also, I mark this elliot wave of this form because is the model of the possible drop in finished to find down the elliot wave E in monthly. And that support line is the base that form the ascendent triangle that you can see in monthly And finally, to conclude in Daily timeframe, we are in this rising wedge mentioned above, this is so bearish pattern with a possible drop of 5% if you put in long in the elliot wave E, we can to find up sell off of this par, So, also, this par is so interesting in this timeframe to put in short position. But, if you trade in H4 or H1 timeframe, we can see a possible up of the price until to find up the elliot wave E into this bearish rising wedge that I show you. And copying the Elliot waves Fibonacci, you can to see the same question of Weekly timeframe, because we are into the elliot wave correction. And guys, if you like my idea and aport you a help of then. So, consider this technical analysis for mid-term and long-term situation. Now in conclusion, in mid-term we can to expect that the price is reach the $1.30 CAD and this zone, it's the elliot wave E to put with hope the price action in weekly to put in long in the good zone to buy, but only we need to be patient and take a lot discipline, becuase I see in long term this par so bullish reaching above $1.60 CAD about all Canadian issues in the government, currency, petroleum and bad news for the Canada economy. This is not my techncal analysis, but I put in tutorial as teach you how you need to operate of this par, and it's important to know you this information for mid-term and long-term. Now, don't missing my part II of this analysis in H4 in minutes that I will going to make now.
Education
by harisonhbn9718
Special Analysis for EUR/USDin this technical analysis as education, we see an EUR/USD in long term very bullish. Why? Because there: If you keep watching up, we are in the strong support and a possible formation of Bat armonic pattern bearish or double top, as you want to see, maybe it's has for me a double top, and very strongest because in the past in the accumulation of 2014-2017 we having a bullish trend until the 2018. But, so, we are in the possible bull run to form in long term, because indicators in the RSI show us a bullish divergence in Monthly, and this is a good indicator for this currency EUR. I see an Euro very optimistic their economies and there are a good indicators so what EUR is could be the strengthen in the long term. In weekly, we have a very curious patter, because we are from August 2018 in the descendent and bearish channel from $!.17 USD from $!.06 USD, and then, in the RSI if you see, we are having in the ascendent channel in the RSI, and then, it's a good indicator what the force is strenghten on the price action. Also, as we broke up the descedent channel, we can to see a possible proyection and target again from the level of $1.24 USD. So, that it's a study of elliot wave analysis so we need to recover this information to take in our hand. And Daily in midterm, we proyect a drop until the $!.11 USD to later of the elliot wave analysis, we need to see an Euro bullish in this bull run of 2020. And also, I detect a hide bearish divergence and it's very neccesary to the price drop in that zone as I estimated in my previously technical analysis. Also i added in my link of related ideas a updates of EUR/USD so recently from yesterday That my friend, is all my technical analysis in Moonthly, Weekly and Daily timeframe, my expectative of the Euro is that I see that currency in the bull run agains the US Dollar.
Education
by harisonhbn9718
EW Analysis: Bitcoin Can Be Bullish Confirmed NowHello traders. Today we will talk about Bitcoin from the Elliott Wave perspective. After that strong and impulsive rise in the first half of 2019, BTCUSD has slowed down in the second part of 2019, but clearly with slow and complex W-X-Y corrective structure that can be also finished with an ending diagonal (wedge pattern) in wave Y, which is actually a powerful pattern and it usually indicates sharp and impulsive reversal. Not only this, we actually got a five-wave bullish reversal, which in EW theory signalizes a potential bottom at 6400 level, at least a temporary one. But, after every five waves, a three-wave a-b-c pullback follows, ideally into a higher degree wave B/2. So, before a continuation higher within wave C/3, we should be aware of a slow down into a correction, where ideal support would be between 8200 - 7700 levels. All that being said, we believe that Crypto market is turning bullish, mostly because of strong and impulsive five-wave rally from the previous lows. Even some ALTcoins made nice and clear five-wave rise, so those Cryptos can easily see more upside, just be aware of a deeper three-wave a-b-c corrective decline soon before the uptrend resumes. Be humble and trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share our ideas. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by ew-forecast
9
Some thoughts about Bitcoin (education)I have been watching the price movement of bitcoin and I consider a possibility that the current price action is a very rare pattern of the terminal impulse, which consists of 5 waves, but waves of a smaller degree form the 3-3-3-3-3 pattern. This is not 100% true until it is completed, and serious trading decisions should not be made on this basis. However, I decided to make this post for the reason that the fact of the formation of such a pattern is very interesting, because it is quite rare. Please, don't forget to like and follow. Thank you.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by chorny.capital