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Leading Diagonal : Elliott wave Analyisis (Elliott Baba)Leading Diagonal : Elliott wave Analyisis This pattern subdivides into 5 waves. Wave 2 never ends beyond the starting point of wave 1. Wave 3 always breaks the ending point of wave 1. Wave 4 usually breaks beyond the ending point of wave 1. Wave 5 in the absolute majority of cases breaks the ending point of wave 3. Wave 3 can't be the shortest. Wave 2 can't be a triangle or a triple three structure. Waves 1, 3 and 5 can be formed like impulses or zigzags.
NSE:INDUSINDBKEducation
by Elliottbaba
Investors' Holy Grail - The Business/Economic CycleThe business cycle describes how the economy expands and contracts over time. It is an upward and downward movement of the gross domestic product along with its long-term growth rate. The business cycle consists o f 6 phases/stages : 1. Expansion 2. Peak 3. Recession 4. Depression 5. Trough 6. Recovery 1) Expansion : Sectors Affected: Technology, Consumer discretion Expansion is the first stage of the business cycle. The economy moves slowly upward, and the cycle begins. The government strengthens the economy: Lowering taxes Boost in spending. - When the growth slows, the central bank reduces rates to encourage businesses to borrow. - As the economy expands, economic indicators are likely to show positive signals, such as employment, income, wages, profits, demand, and supply. - A rise in employment increases consumer confidence increasing activity in the housing markets, and growth turns positive. A high level of demand and insufficient supply lead to an increase in the price of production. Investors take a loan with high rates to fill the demand pressure. This process continues until the economy becomes favorable for expansion. 2) Peak : Sector Affected : Financial, energy, materials - The second stage of the business cycle is the peak which shows the maximum growth of the economy. Identifying the end point of an expansion is the most complex task because it can last for serval years. - This phase shows a reduction in unemployment rates. The market continues its positive outlook. During expansion, the central bank looks for signs of building price pressures, and increased rates can contribute to this peak. The central bank also tries to protect the economy against inflation in this stage. - Since employment rates, income, wages, profits, demand & supply are already high, there is no further increase. - The investor will produce more and more to fill the demand pressure. Thus, the investment and product will become expensive. At this time point, the investor will not get a return due to inflation. Prices are way higher for buyers to buy. From this situation, a recession takes place. The economy reverses from this stage. 3) Recession : Sector Affected : Utilities, healthcare, consumer staples - Two consecutive quarters of back-to-back declines in gross domestic product constitute a recession. - The recession is followed by a peak phase. In this phase economic indicators start melting down. The demand for the goods decreased due to expensive prices. Supply will keep increasing, and on the other hand, demand will begin to decline. That causes an "excess of supply" and will lead to falling in prices. 4) Depression : - In more prolonged downturns, the economy enters into a depression phase. The period of malaise is called depression. Depression doesn't happen often, but when they do, there seems to be no amount of policy stimulus that can lift consumers and businesses out of their slumps. When The economy is declining and falling below steady growth, this stage is called depression. - Consumers don't borrow or spend because they are pessimistic about the economic outlook. As the central bank cuts interest rates, loans become cheap, but businesses fail to take advantage of loans because they can't see a clear picture of when demand will start picking up. There will be less demand for loans. The business ends up sitting on inventories & pare back production, which they already produced. - Companies lay off more and more employees, and the unemployment rate soars and confidence flatters. 5) Trough : - When economic growth becomes negative, the outlook looks hopeless. Further decline in demand and supply of goods and services will lead to more fall in prices. - It shows the maximum negative situation as the economy reached its lowest point. All economic indicators will be worse. Ex. The highest rate of unemployment, and No demand for goods and services(lowest), etc. After the completion, good time starts with the recovery phase. 6) Recovery : Affected sectors: Industrials, materials, real estate - As a result of low prices, the economy begins to rebound from a negative growth rate, and demand and production are both starting to increase. - Companies stop shedding employees and start finding to meet the current level of demand. As a result, they are compelled to hire. As the months pass, the economy is once in expansion. - The business cycle is important because investors attempt to concentrate their investments on those that are expected to do well at a certain time of the cycle. - Government and the central bank also take action to establish a healthy economy. The government will increase expenditure and also take steps to increase production. After the recovery phases, the economy again enters the expansion phase. Safe heaven/Defensive Stocks - It maintains or anticipates its values over the crisis, then does well. We can even expect good returns in these asset classes. Ex. utilities, health care, consumer staples, etc. ("WE WILL DISCUSS MORE IN OUR UPCOMING ARTICLE DUE TO ARTICLE LENGTH.") It's a depression condition for me that I couldn't complete my discussion after spending many days in writing this article. However, I will upload the second part of this article that will help investors and traders in real life. This article took me a long time to write. I'm not expecting likes or followers, but I hope you will read it. @Money_Dictators
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NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Money_Dictators
69
Basics of Elliott Wave TheoryWelcome to the world of Elliott Waves. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜 Elliott Wave Theory revolves around three key elements: Impulse waves (in the direction of the trend) Corrective waves (against the trend) Wave degrees Impulse waves consist of five sub-waves, while corrective waves comprise three. These waves form cycles, representing market psychology in action. Key Rules of Elliott Waves Wave 2 cannot retrace beyond the starting point of wave 1. Wave 3 must be longer than both wave 1 and wave 5. Wave 4 cannot exceed the end point of wave 1. Elliott Waves and Fibonacci Retracement Incorporating Fibonacci retracement levels refines Elliott Wave analysis. The fourth wave often hovers between 23.6%, 38.2% and 50%, while correction waves C often unfold within the 50% to 61.8% range. Elliott Waves as Guides, Not Guarantees It’s crucial to view tools like Elliott Wave Theory as guiding lights, not crystal balls. While they don’t assure foolproof predictions, they offer a framework to decipher market cycles. As patterns repeat, understanding market psychology becomes the trader’s edge.
Education
by Vestinda
2
Trading week recap for NASDAQ, DOW, DAX & FTSE (01/07/2023)We had successful trades with the NASDAQ and the DAX. Let's look back at the past trading week and learn from it. What went well? What could be better? This is an experiment. Educational content to become a good waver. If you like this video, please let me know by commenting. Any suggestions? Please let me know. Something went wrong with the recording for the last part on the FTSE. We continue the analysis on Monday.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by AndyCuckoo
Mastering Elliott Wave Theory with Renko ChartsElliott Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to predict market patterns and trends. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, this method is based on the idea that financial markets move in repetitive cycles or waves. In this comprehensive guide, we will discuss the fundamentals of Elliott Wave Theory and explore how Renko charts can be used as a supplemental tool to enhance your analysis. By combining these two techniques, you can gain a deeper understanding of market movements and improve your trading strategies. I. Understanding Elliott Wave Theory Basic Principles of Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory is built on the premise that markets exhibit specific patterns, known as waves, that reflect investor psychology. These patterns can be broken down into two types: 1. Impulsive waves: These waves move in the direction of the larger trend and consist of five smaller sub-waves. These waves are marked in green below and are numbered 1,2,3,4, and 5. 2. Corrective waves: These waves move against the primary trend and consist of three smaller sub-waves. These waves are marked in red below and are numbered A, B, and C. The 5-3 Wave Pattern The complete Elliott Wave cycle consists of eight waves, with the first five forming an impulsive pattern and the last three forming a corrective pattern. This 5-3 wave pattern repeats itself, creating fractal patterns in the market. Below we have taken the main Elliot wave listed above and broken it down into the first subset. The impulse waves are labeled i, ii, iii, iv, and v and the corrective waves a, b, and c. Applying Elliott Wave Theory to Trading To utilize Elliott Wave Theory in your trading, start by identifying the primary trend and its wave count. Analyze the price action to determine if the market is in an impulsive or corrective phase. By understanding the current wave pattern, you can predict probable future movements and make informed trading decisions. II. Renko Charts: A Supplemental Tool for Elliott Wave Analysis What are Renko Charts? Renko charts are a unique type of price chart that only consider price movement and disregard time. Each block, or "brick," on a Renko chart represents a fixed price increment. When the price moves by the predetermined amount, a new brick is added to the chart at a 45 degree angle from the previous. This results in a clean, easily readable chart that highlights significant price trends. Benefits of using Renko charts By eliminating the noise of insignificant price fluctuations, Renko charts can help traders: -Identify trends more easily -Spot support and resistance levels -Recognize chart patterns and potential reversal points -Filter out false breakouts and whipsaws How to incorporate Renko charts into Elliott Wave analysis Renko charts can be a valuable addition to your Elliott Wave analysis by helping you confirm wave counts and identify high-probability trading setups. Here's how you can incorporate Renko charts into your analysis: 1. Confirming wave counts: Use Renko charts to validate your wave count by comparing the impulsive and corrective waves on both the traditional and Renko charts. If the wave count is consistent across both chart types, it increases the likelihood of a correct analysis. 2. Identifying high-probability trading setups: Renko charts can help you spot high-probability setups by highlighting significant price trends and potential reversal points. Combining this information with your Elliott Wave analysis can increase the accuracy of your trades. Indicators such as oscillators and moving averages can be useful to help identify these set-ups. Renko charts should not be used solely to make decisions as they are a synthetic chart but are a highly useful tool for identifying the underlying trends. 3. Managing risk: Utilize Renko charts to set stop-loss and take-profit levels based on support and resistance levels. This can help you manage risk effectively and protect your trading capital. Conclusion Elliott Wave Theory and Renko charts, when used together, can provide a powerful framework for analyzing market patterns and making informed trading decisions. By understanding the basic principles of Elliott Wave Theory and incorporating Renko charts as a supplemental tool, you can enhance your technical analysis skills and increase your trading success. As with any trading strategy, remember to practice and refine your techniques before applying them to live markets.
Education
by LeafAlgo
2
🌊 Elliot Wave Cheatsheet📍 What Is Elliott Wave Theory? In technical analysis, the Elliott Wave theory is the analysis of long-term trends in price patterns and how they correspond with investor psychology. These price patterns, referred to as ‘waves’, are built on specific rules that were developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s. Specifically, they were designed to identify and predict wave patterns within stock markets. Importantly these patterns are not intended to be certain, but instead provide probable outcomes for future price movements. 📍 How Do Elliott Waves Work? Within Elliott Wave theory, there are different forms of waves, or price formations, from which investors can glean insight. Impulse waves, for example, include both an upward or downward trend that carries five sub-waves that may last hours or even decades. They possess three rules: the second wave cannot retrace more than 100% of the first wave; the third wave cannot be shorter than wave one, three, and five; wave four cannot surpass the third wave ever. Along with impulse waves, there are corrective waves, which fall in patterns of three. 📍 Impulse Wave The impulse wave in Elliott Wave Theory is the wave that pushes the prices in the same direction as the trend at one larger degree. It’s the action wave. While the corrective wave is the reaction to the first wave. Therefore, the corrective wave moves in the opposite direction of the main trend. The impulse wave is composed of 5 waves according to certain conditions & rules. Impulse waves are always composed of five waves, labeled 1,2,3,4,5. Waves 1,3 & 5 are in the direction of the main trend. Whereas, waves 2 & 4 are in the opposite direction 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
4
Elliot Wave Chapter 1: The Overall CycleRule is rule • Impulse wave subdivide into 5 waves. In the chart, the impulse move is subdivided as (1), (2), (3), (4), (5) in minor degree Wave 1, 3, and 5 subdivision are impulse. The subdivision in this case is 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 in minute degree. • Wave 2 can’t retrace more than the beginning of wave 1 • Wave 3 can not be the shortest wave of the three impulse waves, namely wave 1, 3, and 5 • Wave 4 does not overlap with the price territory of wave 1 • Wave 5 needs to end with momentum divergence
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by rayshen0411
How Wyckoff & Elliot Wave Theory applied togetherMaybe this near "full-stack" technical analysis using Wyckoff and Elliot Theory along with relevant indicators such as Moving Average and Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) will puzzled some of the traders who used to have a simpler analysis on the market. But to those who curious this is something that is really interesting to know. The chart above is showing us how the two theories can be complementary to each other. Lets analyze the chart above of BTC/USD in 4h timeframe from left to right comprehensively based on the Wyckoff phases of the 2nd accumulation model. Phase A: During the early November of 2022, BTC was under heavy sell-off after Binance dumping hard on FTX where the price crossunder 200 EMA and 100 SMA. The waterfall crash of BTC was printing a 5-wave of zigzag wave. We can see that the lowest point of wave 3 shows the highest selling volume in a single 4h HA candle and also act as Preliminary Support (PS) where then I put the 1st support line there. The sell-off continue to form the last zigzag wave where we can see multiple high selling volume bars and made a very deep negative cumulative volume delta in which it represents as Selling Climax (SC) in Wyckoff. A massive buying then occurred which immediately push the price back up to the wave 4 of zigzag wave area, which in Wyckoff we can name it as Automatic Rally (AR). By using these to extreme high of AR and low of SC we can draw a rectangle to have a better view on the consolidation area. After the dramatic push and pull of price, the market volume gradually decreasing followed by price having a contracting highs and lows, forming a classic contracting triangle, where we can see some of the lows are respecting the 2nd support line. Phase B: The end of contracting triangle followed by another zigzag wave of smaller degree, where it breaks the 2nd support line and creating the second lowest low which we can name it as Secondary Test (ST) that the selling volume is much smaller hence also creating a shallower negative CVD. Price then go up back to the 2nd support line and able to reach back to 100 SMA although still not able to candle close it on the first attempt but eventually able to close it on the second attempt. Price then going on a small rally creating an ascending channel of 5-wave leading diagonal and able to close above the 1st support line, the 200 EMA and even able to make a higher high. But the volume is still not enough to make a change of character breakout. Phase C: The mini rally is identified as the 1st wave of primary impulsive wave, so the reactionary move where the price breaking down the ascending channel, the 1st support line, 200 EMA and 100 SMA and going back down to the 2nd support line can be identified as wave 2. Most of phase C volume going under the Volume Mean Level, it is the lowest volume of all of the phases. Combination of multiple minor corrective waves creating a WXY wave and we can see the 2nd support line is holding the price quite well where it represents as Last Point of Support (LPS). Phase D: The volume and price gradually moving up and able to close above 100 SMA and 200 EMA, then going higher to 1st support line with higher volume to a point of Show of Strength (SOS) where a change of character breakout is formed and also breaking out from the box or the whole Trending Range. Phase D is the perfect time to make an entry. The identifying of the first two waves of an impulsive move also creating a high confidence that we are entering the wave 3 or we can also call it as the money wave. Phase E: Just enjoy the rally This whole chart actually representing a very textbook Wyckoff Theory of the 2nd Accumulation Model and we can also see in this chart the transition between corrective wave and motive wave of Elliot Wave Theory. In Phase A and the early Phase B, the corrective wave is on its end, where the rest of the Phase B to E we can see how the scaffoldings of early structure of an impulsive move is constructed. making a consolidating of accumulation before going a strong trending move. Wyckoff explains this transition of corrective wave to a motive wave in a beautiful way and surely we can also use it on the transition of motive wave to a corrective wave using the distribution model. This is just one variation where we can use Elliot and Wyckoff hand in hand in order to have a much better technical analysis on the market and maybe this combined analysis that I made on the above chart could be the best scenario to apply for both theories. Hopefully this helps to educate for anyone of you who read this post, thank you
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by derahmanov
How to never break your Trading Account?Follow We Trade Waves 4 Golden Trading Rules! 1) Do Not Over-Risk Big Risk = big loss = potential big profit | Small Risk = small loss = potential big profit (Read this again) 2) Do Not Over-Trade Successful trading is not about trading often, it's about being selective and trade correctly! 3) Do Not Trade Without Stop Loss Check GBPAUD, CHFJPY, GBPJPY Daily chart and you will see market sometimes move thousand pips within minutes! 4) Never Ever Add To Losing Position While you are thinking that you will break even faster which is true! you will be doubling, tripling your risk at the same time! Print above rules and keep them in front of you while trading DISCLAIMER: We Trade Waves is not a signal service. Instead, it involves sharing our perspective and detailed analysis based on our unique wave analysis concept. We cannot be held responsible for any financial gain or loss that may result from following our analysis. Trade with care WTW Team
Education
by WeTradeWAVES
2
🛠️ Trading Tools Cheat SheetFibonacci Levels, Pitchfork, Fibonacci Arcs, Gann Square, Gann Fan, and Elliot Wave are technical analysis tools used in trading to identify potential levels of support and resistance, anticipate future price movements, and make informed investment decisions. These tools are based on mathematical calculations and relationships between price, volume, and time. They are widely used by traders to gain insights into market trends and make investment decisions based on past market data. However, it's important to note that these tools are not a guarantee of future performance and can produce false signals, so they should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and with a solid understanding of market dynamics. 🔹 Fibonacci Levels A technical analysis tool that uses horizontal lines to indicate areas of potential support or resistance based on the Fibonacci sequence. 🔹 Pitchfork A technical analysis tool that uses three parallel lines to identify potential levels of support and resistance and to anticipate future price movements. 🔹 Fibonacci Arcs A technical analysis tool that consists of several curved lines that originate from two extreme points (high and low) and converge at the fibonacci levels. 🔹 Gann Square A technical analysis tool that uses a grid to identify potential support and resistance levels and to predict future price movements based on the relationship between time and price. 🔹 Gann Fan A technical analysis tool that uses diagonal lines to identify potential levels of support and resistance and to anticipate future price movements. 🔹 Elliot Wave A technical analysis tool that tries to identify patterns in financial market data, particularly in stock market prices, which in turn can be used to make investment decisions. It's based on the idea that market prices move in predictable waves. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
9
Forget about chart patterns! Hello, my dear friends and happy New Year! I wish you to be healthy and reach all your goals in trading and not only! Never give up on this difficult way which we are going to overcome together! Today we have a very important topic. How to use Elliott waves instead of classical chart patterns. This is the natural exposure why the chart patterns are garbage. I remember my third year at university when we have the trading lessons. Our teacher gave us a lot of useless knowledges about support, resistance and chart patterns. I have not understood why it should working and it was not soo intereting subject for me. That’s why I returned back to trading much later using self-education. Now I have the clear understanding why Elliott waves is the best tool and why it’s working. Most of traders even don’t understand that chart patterns is just the special case of Elliott waves. That’s why today I decided to explain you how you can change the first one to the second one. Let’s go! Double Top(Bottom) On the chart above I drew the different types of double tops. Generally we have 3 types of this pattern Double top with the second top higher than the first one. In this case we can interpret it in two ways. It could be the classical waves 3, 4, 5 and the corrective wave A at the ending stage. In this case we can anticipate waves B and C. Also it could be the irregular correcton ABC inside wave 4 (rarely in wave 2). In this case we should wait for the wave 5 after that. Traders usually execute short position on the neckline breakdown and suffer when the wave 5 smashed their stop-loss. They are wondering why double top does not working. Double top with the equal highs has the same possible outcomes. The only one difference that correction called flat instead of irregular. Double top with the second top lower than the first one. Here is the most common variant is the end of the ABC correction. In this case we have the low potential for shorting the market becuase the new impulsive wave to the upside can hit all stop losses. Head & Shoulders This is the easiest pattern for analysis. The right sholder usually is the wave 4, the head, obviously is the wave 5 and the right shoulder is the wave B. On the neckline breakdown we have the shorting potential only in the rest part of the wave C. You could correctly count waves and short that the bearish reversal bar of the wave 5 or, as a last resort, at wave B potential top. Shorting at the neckline has sence only if you are sure that the wave B was the the wave 1 of the impulsive wave to the downside if higher degree and now the market is in wave 3. We have to learn how to count waves in a correct way. I would recommend you to read the Trading Chaos book by Bill Williams because it has the best explanation how do waves work. Triangles and Wedges This part is common for all types of triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) and wedges (falling and rising). This patterns have the similar structure. If we faced with one of these patterns we have 4 possible scenarios. Triangle in the downtrend after the wave 3. In this case triangle is the wave 4, which is represented as the triangle correction. This correction type consists of 5 waves A, B, C, D and E. When the wave E is finished market will continue it’s move in the direction of a trend, printing the wave 5. The same, but in the uptrend. When the market showed us the 5 waves cycle to the upside and the correction is in progress. Triangle can appears in the wave B. In this case the price will continue the corrective move in the wave C after it’s finished. The same with the downtrend. Guys, of course there are much more types of chart patterns. For example, tripple tops and bottoms and so on. The purpose of this article is giving you another view of the market structure and to motivate you studying the Elliott waves theory. Believe me, it has much more potential than it seems on the first glimplse. Best regards, Ivan ________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like my educational ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality articles!
Education
by Skyrexio
Chart Pattern Review | Diamond Top / Bottom ReversalDIAMOND TOP / BOTTOM: > A trend reversal pattern indicating the end of up or downward trend - slightly off head & shoulders pattern > Price increased and declined sharply with significant volume forming a diamond shape > A mix of expanding and contracting triangle or wedge, often confused with a more popular head & shoulders > Timing could range from days to months Key characteristics: > The price should trending downward then forming a broadening pattern. > The price pattern increased and decreased sharply before squeezed for rebound > Timing ranging from days-weeks-or months - a strong long-term reversal pattern > Most trends will begin with a breakout gap and be followed by several runaway gaps. Trading Tips: > Price range determines the target reversal > TP1 @ the size of the diamond extending the breakout or breakdown distance. > TP2 can be targeted between 1.0 / 1.618 fibonanci retracement. > TP3 @ key moving average support / resistance within extended range. > Putting the chart together with a price oscillator like VWAP / CVD for a better early breakout or breakdown catch. > Price oscillator can monitor the overall likelihood of a high probability trade and confirming strength/momentum as well as spotting false breakout/breakdown trades. Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss, nothing 100% Good Luck!
SET:ADVANCEducation
by dukeposh
Elliot Analysis on Bitcoin with Tutorial LessonsHi Traders, Hope you Doing Well. Here we have an analytical and educational article on the future of Bitcoin and also the CryptoCurrencies Trend. At first, let's have a closer look at BTCUSD Analysis to find what the plan in Greater View. in general, we are in a 5-wave downward trend, which is forming internal micro-waves from the fifth wave right now (on 2-5 is going to be complete to start the next aggressive wave of 3-5) READ THIS PART TWICE: HOW TO FIND THE TREND? ** To identify the main direction of the trends, you can easily confirm the movement scenario by observing the candles and their strength in both directions, because falling trends are formed with large candles and with strong bodies, and they cause a large fall in a limited number of candles as shown in the chart with a red circle and in contrast to the current corrective or bullish trends with the number of high candles and small candles and the return of any rise, which can easily confirm the scenario of a corrective wave as shown in the chart with an orange circle. HOW TO FIND THE TARGETS ? So now, we are in the middle of correction and This corrective trend can pass up to the range of 50% to 61.8% of its previous corrective wave, it should be a great chance to have a shot at this level (of course if the scenario gets approved by the price)! and this section is match with another level, which will also reach the range of the 2-4 trend line of the previous waves. This marked Fibonacci range is a golden point to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend or the reversal of an uptrend. so we have to watch it carefully. If the downward scenario is confirmed, the next drop can go lower than the previous floor in September and June, and we will probably have a price reduction down to the price range of 13,000-14,000 dollars, considering the impact of Bitcoin on other cryptocurrencies such as ETH and MATIC which I'll post the technical analysis later today, so BTC can bring down the entire market to lower levels with its price correction movement. But since this downward trend will be the last possible decrease in this bear market and maybe there won't be any other lower lows than this one so this downward trend can happen very quickly and even faster than what you expect from it, so it should be accompanied by the necessary reactions to purchase assets at low prices in order to hold, To benefit from the next bull run. SO, WHERE TO BUY So We have Put our Orders on 13,800 $ & 11,900 $ to maybe if the price gets there we can hunt our Bitcoins, And Also about the ETH, we had set our orders on 870 $ which can be the same as the last Low for the 1st step.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by SasanSeifi
1
GBJPY Blending Smart Money Concepts with Long Money ConceptsSmart Money Concepts since its inception with ICT have polarized the trading community mostly in a positive way, and I think said concepts are more handy for traders who have experienced many cycles in the market and are looking to refine their edge with the advancing technology and the transaction basis of today's exchanges based on a liquidity perspective. ICT has pioneered a new way of understanding liquidity especially on the granular side of trading, but most traders, including myself, that don't have the edge which is tenure and experience, these concepts are too simple for a complex sport, and the play book of course is tailored to the team's strength and weaknesses. One thing I have noticed in the trading community is that since there is no barrier to entry, like any entry level job, without the experience you cannot expect to make much off trading in the beginning phases as a trader. You have to study theory, history, psychology, and just the environment around the ticker and tape to really grasp the notion of the science. Yes, trading is a zero sum game, but let us not get lost in that saying because mostly everything in life is zero sum. Ying and Yang. As of recently I stopped annotating things like break of structures to define trends, chochs, and unnecessary order blocks. Think about it. What really is a break of structure? What is really a change of character? Liquidity Sweep? Imbalance? Think about it all these terms coincide with events that in reality define a certain market personality. To my perspective, none of these terms actually exist on the chart. If you go by the assumption that pricing has already accounted for the events in the then to now, then in reality, there is no real imbalance, liquidity sweep are just market fluctuations, and a choch is literally price curb tailing itself in the other direction, simply put. But then you have to ask yourself the famous SMC question. Where am I in structure? That's where the SMC free trial ends, and the error begins, now you have to buy the course from your mentor. One thing I'm learning is that in today's timeline, instant gratification is the reason why most traders give up. This takes time. Trading isn't a game like they say. It's not a job either. It's an understanding. It's a language. SMC is very powerful yes, especially for intraday traders, but for me, it's not enough to draw an actual framework that can be fractalized, besides the order blocks, which are subjective. The market moves with intentions, and regulated prices stop on the weekend, because guess what, it's the weekend and the market makers, liquidity providers, and large speculators have lives too. But that doesn't the intentions aren't still there. Frequency, tonality, personality, and modes are codified in the market just as any word coming out of your mouth. It's a language. And no fluent speaker learned to speak what they speak overnight. It takes time. Fall in love with learning this new language.
Education
by SolidWetFX
How to define the end of a correction based on time - EWHi EW Fans, made you a CheatSheet how to define the end of a correction based on time. If you are sure about the start of a wave/impulse you can very easy define a possible time "vector" for the end of the correction. Start of the impulse = Zero Top of the impulse = 0.382 End of the correction at the common Fib numbers: 0.681/0.65; 0.89; 1; 1.272; 1.618 and so on. If you combine it with a Fibonacci Retracement Tool (LogScale) you are able to define a price and time "vector" for a possible reversal or for the next impulse/wave. Greetings
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn39812589
2
Fundamentals of Elliott Wave Theory + Briefly about the typesThis wave theory is based on the psychology of groups of individuals and statistical patterns. Every market decision is generated by meaningful information and simultaneously generates meaningful information. Each transaction being a result, becoming known to investors, joins the chain of causes of people's behavior (not news drives prices). The price movement in the same direction as the trend of a larger scale develops in 5 waves. Correction - reaction against a larger trend, developes in 3 waves Imagine a mango plantation. At the initial period, there is a bullish trend on the plantation stock exchange, which is obvious to the rational majority of mangoes (1/4 of the 3rd wave or 1/3 of the 3rd wave). Because of the confidence that tomorrow will be better, some very rational fruits began to borrow a little in order to earn a little more. This action of very rational fruits caused a faster increase in stock prices (because there is more demand). After learning about the "easy" success, the less rational mango decided to do the same, but since it is not very rational, it invested more. This pattern continued to the most irrational fruits. At the same time, with an increase in the circulation of capital (or monetary base), the borrowing rate falls (because there is a large supply of money in the market => corporations are valued more, they can issue more bonds => receive more money for business development (and not only)(This development is planned at a low rate => zombie corporations appear, and more risky projects are also being taken (not only by corporations, but also by people))). Spending by an average citizens also increased. When speculation, fraud, financial crimes reach a noticeable scale, rational mangoes will start to short, other mangoes will think - Why is this rational mango shorting (the hypothesis of an efficient market)? => The 4th wave will begin (little by little the fruits will begin to notice what is happening). When we reach the end of the 4th wave, the most irrational fruits begin to enter the market because of this, the 5th wave occurs ( the deceived themselves found pleasure in deception), At the end of the 5th wave, most likely, some famous fruit economist would ask the fruit society - what's going on? => panic will begin, because everyone will suddenly want to short + "stops" will work => correction will begin. Waves - more details Diagonal triangles (wedges) are the only 5-wave structure aligned with the main trend within which wave 4 almost always invades the price territory of wave 1. In rare cases, a diagonal triangle may end with a truncation (form 3-3-3-3-3).The final diagonal triangles (Appear first of all in the 5th wave at those moments when the previous movement has gone too far and too fast)A small part of the final diagonal triangles appear in the wave C at the A-B-C models. In all cases, they are found in the final waves of larger models and indicate the exhaustion of a larger movement. Triangle (3-3-3-3-3)-three tapering variants (ascending, descending and symmetrical) and an expanding variant, reverse symmetrical. Triangles always occur in the position preceding the last of the acting waves in the model, the degree of which is one more, in addition, a triangle may appear as an acting model in a corrective combination, but even then it usually precedes the last acting wave in the model, the degree of which is one more than the degree of the corrective combination. When it appears on the stock market in the position of the 4th wave, then the fifth - fast -> protracted. Growing impulses of degrees above the intermediate, appearing after triangles in commodity markets, usually turn out to be the longest in the sequence. Alternation — At the next appearance of a wave similar in nature, one should always expect a different form of it. Depth of corrective waves - corrections tend to show a return of prices to the price range of the previous fourth wave ( a lesser degree), usually to the level of its end. If the 5th wave of growth is stretched, then the subsequent correction will be sharp and will find support at the minimum level of the wave 2 of stretching (Sometimes the end of the correction, but in the some cases — the end of wave A => C wave). Equality of waves (two waves in a 5-wave sequence will tend to equality in time and magnitude (unstretched). Puncture of the upper boundary - If the volume has decreased, then the wave will end at the level of the upper boundary or will not reach it. If the volume is significant and the 5th wave approaches the upper trend line, a puncture is possible (near the puncture point, the 4th wave of a small degree can make a sideways movement). In the investment field, it is more important to choose the moment to buy/short/sell than a certain paper. The wave principle is to some extent applicable to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and has little practical significance (because the sea of drops owning registered shares is mass psychology, and stocks are one independent drops)(On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, 75% - up). The best Elliott models are generated by important long-term breakdowns of stretched lateral movement models. The impact of news An important analytical question is not in the news, but in the importance that the market attaches to the news.((1 and 2 — fear and discouragement, 3 and 4 -favorable news, 5 — less favorable) at the market peak, the fundamental background remains rosy or even improves, but the market, despite this, turns down. Negative fundamental conditions begin to increase again after the correction has already passed a significant part of its path. Practice News — lag behind the market in time by one or two waves Limitations of wave theory Low liquidity. Incidents not characteristic to the free market. Initially impossible business models Since many people see the same wave in different ways, we must share our knowledge and views with each other - it is necessary to become very rational fruits.
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by loco_mango
Elliott Wave Theory - Corrective WavesThe Elliott Wave Principle at its core consists of motive waves, movement in the direction of the larger trend, and corrective waves, any correction against the main trend. Market prices alternate between a motive phase, and a corrective phase on all time scales of trend Please refer to Elliott-Wave-Theory - Motive-Waves post covering rules and tendencies of motive waves, participants psychology at every stage of an motive wave and how to identify/forcast them using both fibonacci relations as well as channeling technique (price action). This post is about Corrective waves . Corrective waves have a lot more variety and less clearly identifiable compared to Motive waves and are an important component of the Elliott Wave Theory. Corrective waves needs more attention and to be mastered to become a successfull Elliott wave practitioner Corrective Waves Corrective waves, consist of three—or a combination of three—sub-waves that make net movement in the direction opposite to the trend of one larger degree There are many corrective patterns ranging from simple to complex yet they are just made up of three very simple easy-to-understand formations Disclaimer: below presented figures displays guidelines that elliott waves may form. Guidelines are tendencies, not set in stone rules a - ZigZag Corrective Wave (5-3-5) Consist of three sub-waves against the main trend and labeled as ABC. ZigZag is a 5-3-5 structure internally b - Flat Corrective Wave (3-3-5) Consist of three sub-waves against the main trend and labeled as ABC. The labelling is the same as ZigZag, the difference is in internal structure. Flat is a 3-3-5 structure internally and differs from ZigZag in the subdivision of the wave A. There are three different types of Flats: Regular, Running and Expanded Flats. c - Triangle Corrective Wave (3-3-3-3-3) Triangle formations are corrective patterns that are bound by either converging or diverging trend lines. Corrective structure consist of five sub-waves labelled as ABCDE, subdivision of a triangle is 3-3-3-3-3 Triangle corrective waves types can be listed as : Ascending, Descending, Symmetrical, and Expanding Triangles d - Complex Corrective Waves - Double (3-3-3) and Tripple Three (3-3-3-3-3) Double three is a sideways combination of two corrective patterns, labelled as WXY Triple three is a sideways combination of three corrective patterns, labelled as WXYXZ Please refer to Difference between ABC and WXY , for further details and structures of Complex Corrective waves as well as the differences between Simple corrective structures The Elliott Wave Theory provides constructive insight that can help technical analysts monitor and understand the movements of financial asset prices over the short and long term. Please note that these patterns do not provide any kind of certainty about future price movement, but rather, serve in helping to order the probabilities for future market action. They can be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis, including technical indicators, to identify specific opportunities. Technical Indicators Ocsillators to detect divergencies (includes 15 different ocsillator) : OSCs Elliott Wave Oscillator : EWO Auto Fibonacci Retrecment/Extentions : Auto Fib Retrecment-Extentions Volume Profile : Volume-Profile-and-Volume-Indicator Other indicators that are referred among elliott wave practitioners Pitchforks ( how to apply ), Pitchfans , FibFans ( how to apply ), FibChannels ( how to apply ), FibTime , Linear-Regression-Channel ( what it is ), Raff Regression Channel ( what it is )
Education
by dgtrd
30
Elliott Wave Theory - Motive WavesElliott Wave Theory , developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, proposes that the seemingly chaotic behaviour of the different financial markets isn’t actually chaotic. In fact the markets moves in predictable, repetitive cycles or waves and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers. The very basics of Elliott Wave Theory ; The Elliott wave principle at its core consists of motive waves, movement in the direction of the larger trend, and corrective waves, any correction against the main trend. Market prices alternate between a motive phase, and a corrective phase on all time scales of trend. Wave analysis offers insights into trend dynamics and helps you understand price movements in a much deeper way and offers the trader a level of anticipation and/or prediction when searching for trading opportunities Motive Waves Motive waves in general can be categorized as Impulse and Diagonal waves a- Impulse Waves Impulse waves consist of five sub-waves in the same direction as the trend of one larger degree. Elliott proposed that financial price trends, the waves, are created by investor psychology or sentiment and the waves can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers . In adition to using fibonacci retracments and extetion to forcast probable targets, channeling technique is also presented, where channeling technique is used to forecast wave formations and targets using price action . Disclaimer: besides the rules, the below presented figures displays guidelines that elliott waves may form. Guidelines are tendencies, not set in stone rules b- Diagonal Waves (Wedges) Another form of motive waves are diagonals, they appear in the beginning of a larger trend, called leading diagonal and at the end of the larger trend, called ending diagonal They are five-wave structures in the direction of the main trend within which wave 4 almost always moves into the price territory of (overlaps) wave 1, breaking the rule of impulse motive wave Diagonals take a wedge shape within two converging lines Elliott was careful to note that these patterns do not provide any kind of certainty about future price movement, but rather, serve in helping to order the probabilities for future market action. They can be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis, including technical indicators, to identify specific opportunities. Technical Indicators Using various technical indicators among elliott wave practitioners is not so common, except few, probably the common one used is a kind of momentum indicator, such as RSI or MACD , to detect divergencies Fibonacci retracement and extension drawing tools are essential for elliott wave practitioners. In todays computerized era many of the darawing tool's auto indicator versions are availabe on the trading platforms, such as Auto Fib ( where and how tp apply ) Elliott Wave Oscillator ( EWO ) , is inspired by the Elliott Wave principle and helps counting the waves Volume and Volume Profile ( Vol / Vol Profile ) combined with price action is esential in technical anlaysis and for elliott wave practitioners helps to identify impulse and correction phases Other indicators that are referred among elliott wave practitioners Pitchforks ( how to apply ), Pitchfans , FibFans ( how to apply ), FibChannels ( how to apply ), FibTime , LinReg Channel ( what it is ), Raff Regression Channel ( what it is ), etc
Education
by dgtrd
37
Elliott Wave Example - Impulse Wave 📚 Today i would like to share some basic Elliot Wave analysis along with an example. The Elliott Wave Theory was developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1920s. Elliott found that financial markets have characteristic movements that repeat in perpetuity. He called these movements *waves," due to the troughs and peaks that present themselves in a cyclical up-and-down fashion. I have put together this example of an Impulsive wave, this pattern is the most common motive wave and the easiest to spot in a market. The impulse wave consist of five sub waves that make net movement in the same direction as the trend of the next-largest degree. Like all motive waves, it consists of five sub-waves—three of them are also motive waves, and two are corrective waves. It has three unbreakable rules to be an impulsive wave - Wave 2 cannot retrace more than the beginning of wave 1 Wave 3 can never be the shortest but does not have to be the longest of waves 1, 2 and 5 Wave 4 cannot overlap the end of wave 1 If one of these rules is violated, the structure is not an impulse wave. Elliott Wave Theory is a broad and intricate topic and can be a little overwhelming when first learning it but despite its complexity you can use these simple elements to begin with to help you understand which way the market is going. We will dive deeper into Elliott Waves in the future but for now train your eyes to spot these impulse waves
Education
by UnknownUnicorn26193975
2