QUICK AND EASY WAY TO MAKE A CHART (GAPS) - PLTRIF your an advanced trader and good at charting, you likely won't find this information useful. In the future, I'll have more educational posts that go in depth, but this one is for the newbies.
STEP 1 - Find your gaps (circled in blue) ONLY MARK GAPS THAT HAVE YET TO CLOSE
STEP 2 - MARK your GAPS with a Horizontal Line (alt + h)
STEP 3 - DUPLICATE your Horizontal lines (CTRL + CLICK each line while holding ctrl to multi select lines, CTRL + SHIFT + CLICK AND DRAG to duplicate)
STEP 4 - These are now your long term trading zones (COLOR Lines accordingly, TIP - Try not to pick colors that blend together) red and green do not mean buy/sell, they mean top of the gap, and bottom of the gap, 4.22% or so... It doesn't need to be exact.
STEP 5 - Line thickness (IF multiple lines stack up, you can create a thick line to simplify chart. KEEP IT SIMPLE, REMEMBER, this is not to be exact, this is to create zones to prepare you for future movements based on past gaps)
Why is this useful? Well, if you know a price gap is statistically likely to close, then you can be pretty certain that at some point in the future, that gap will close, meaning price will return to @ or above the price gap.
With this in mind, you can plan ahead and start to realize when your emotions are getting the best of you.
This is also great because you can do this on any time frame with candles.
Why ISNT this useful? Well, this gives you no indication of timing. Past results don't guarantee future results. AND this gives you no indication of current price action. In other words, a GAP could form and close 2 years later, and the entire time before it closes, price keeps going lower and lower.
Good luck, and remember, this is just a quick and easy way for newer users to identify potential price targets, while limiting emotion in decision making.
Howto
How To Save Layouts & Find Previously Used LayoutsFollowing up on our video looking at how to customize a chart & how to have multiple charts on a single screen at once.
I wanted to take a look at how to customize a chart & save it as a layout, that way you can have completely different tabs for different pairs, strategies or other uses.
If you have any questions or comments please leave them below.
Akil
How To Analyze Any Chart 📚 Gold Example 📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on #GOLD , but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly!
~Rich
How to connect your OKX account to TradingViewHello TradingView Family, this is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
In this video, I will go over how to:
1- Connect your OKX account to TradingView.
2- Spot Trade example
3- Futures Trade example
4- Calculate your risk per trade
Hope you find it useful 🙏
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
How To Use TradingView - Part 2 ⚙️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
In this video, we will learn How to use Tradingview - Part 2
Today we will go over:
- Indicators' Template
- Alerts
- Chart Layout
- Watchlist
- Minds
Sit back, grab a cup of coffee, and enjoy the video :D
Cheers!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Are Health Savings Accounts Worth Your Time? Absolutely.When you're well, sometimes it is difficult to imagine things suddenly taking a turn for the worse. 1.5 years ago, I was as healthy as could be. I thought medical problems were for other people, my checkups always came up roses.
Then I fell ill with an autoimmune neurologic condition, likely autoimmune encephalitis, and I wish I had opened a Health Saving's Account (HSA) the day I turned 18. Funny how life teaches you those lessons.
So what is an HSA?
An HSA is an investment account whose contributions are tax-deductible and withdrawals are tax-free if used for medical expenses. This type of account is only available for those with high-deductible plans health plans. The IRS defines a high deductible health plan as: any plan with a deductible of at least $1,400 for an individual or $2,800 for a family. Literally ripped that last sentence straight out of google. Sue me. If you're uninsured, you're out of luck.
So for those who have high-deductible health plans, it's a way to not only save for sudden health catastrophes, but also to grow your wealth. With Fidelity, there is no limit to what asset class you can partake in. Other HSA's may have limitations, acting more like savings accounts.
When you make a contribution, that money is tax-deductible (so you're investing with "pre-tax dollars"), and will never, ever be taxed if used to pay for a medical expense. But what if your investments have gone down and you have to sell to pay for medical bills? Hint: don't. You can reimburse your own medical bills with NO time limit. That means you could pay $1,000 for surgery using a cash-back credit card (or whatever payment method), wait until your money grows in your HSA, then reimburse yourself tax-free in 30 years. That is, if you kept the receipt ;)
By budgeting, like using YNAB, it's easy to keep track of medical expenses and reimburse yourself tax-free when it makes the most sense. Or, if you prefer, you can invest in more conservative instruments. Like CD's, which are paying as high as 4.7%. Or you can treat it like an actual savings account and enjoy Fidelity's 2.21% APY on uninvested cash.
So for those keeping score:
-Contributions are tax deductible
-Medical expenses are tax-free when you liquidate your investment(s) to cover them, which you can do retroactively with no time limit
-Growth and trading within the account is tax-free (unless you live in CALIFORNIA or NEW JERSEY. Don't ask me, but you will be taxed on trading like you would an individual brokerage account)
-You can withdraw your funds like you would an individual brokerage account at 65 (that is, you'll be taxed but not penalized)
There are pretty hefty penalties for non-medical withdrawals before you're 65: up to a 20% penalty and ordinary income tax on capital gains. Not pretty, so don't put money into an HSA that you'll need for other things.
In addition, there are yearly limits to how much can contribute. For 2023, it's $3,850 for an individual plan, $7,750 for family plans. You can alternatively roll funds over from an IRA into an HSA (but not the other way around).
I opened one today with Fidelity and will max it out every year. I use YNAB to budget, so I can keep track of my health expenses for 2023 easy peasy. It's always best to plan for the worst.
Thanks for reading, and best of health to you.
InTheMoney
How to Choose the Right Indicator?Many traders, especially when starting out find themselves in a constant search of the best trading strategy.
A quick Google search is enough to scare anyone starting out, as the number of indicators and strategies to use under different market conditions is overwhelming.
🗒In this article, we will discuss *1* indicators nature and the correct way to use it, *2* how to choose the right indicator, and most importantly *3* how to know if the indicator is reliable or not.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
📌 First, what are indicators? Origin and Nature
Indicators are statistical tools that digest price data, OHLC of each candle, add a formula to it, and then convert it into visual information such as graphs or oscillators. Indicators provide information about the strength of a trend, momentum, and possible reversals.
When it comes to indicators, we can divide them into four classes: Momentum indicators, Trend indicators, Volatility indicators, Volume Indicators.
Knowing which one belongs to which category can help you make much better trading decisions. On the other hand, combining indicators in a wrong way can lead to a lot of confusion, wrong price interpretation, and, subsequently, to wrong trading decisions.
📌 The correct way to use indicators. Indicators don’t provide signals.
Most traders never look at the indicators they are using and even less have ever tried to understand the formula the indicator uses to analyze price. They then use their indicators in the wrong context and wonder why nothing works.
🗒Indicators don’t tell you when to buy or when to sell. They don’t even tell you when something is overbought or oversold.
Indicators are great tools if a trader understands their true purpose. Indicators provide information about price, how the price has moved, how candles have shaped, and how recent price action compares to historical price action. Again, not a direct signal to buy or sell.
Thus, the job of a trader is to interpret the information on their indicators in a meaningful way and turn it into a story about price action and buying/selling pressure.
Who is in control right now? Is the market ranging or trending? Is price losing strength or gaining momentum?
📌 How to choose the right indicator? That suits your trading style and personality
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
📕 * Meaningful: Represents important information.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Your indicator choice should match your trading style. The purpose of indicators/strategies is to offer a way to identify clues and to provide a framework for traders to work in. Our main job, as traders, is to collect clues and combine them in a meaningful way to have an edge over the market.
🗒 Only add indicators that help you put the odds in your favor. -- If it doesn’t, you don’t need it.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
📕 * Objective: Has a clear operational definition of what is being measured.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicators are ideal for rule-based trading as indicators take out the guesswork by providing information that is totally objective especially for newbies who are struggling with discipline.
The most successful strategies/indicators are those where not a lot of individual interpretation is required.
🗒 Only use indicators that help you make objective decisions. -- If it doesn’t, you don’t need it.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
📕 * Understandable: Easy to comprehend and interpret.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicators are great tools especially for amateurs who do not know how to relate price data into meaningful relationships.
Indicators' main purpose is to make your life easier, not more sophisticated.
🗒 Remember: K.I.S.S. Keep it simple stupid! -- If it is complicated, you don’t need it.
📕 Last but not least, less is more:
The problem with indicator redundancy is that when a trader picks multiple indicators that show the same information, he/she ends up giving too much weight to the information provided by the indicators.
🗒 “All Strategies / Indicators are good; if managed properly.”
~ Richard Nasr
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
📌 How to know if the indicator is reliable? Cheat Sheet Checklist
📕 * Does it repaint, disappear or recalculate?
We have all been there. An indicator looking good /profitable on the chart, but perform horribly under live market conditions. Most indicators are designed to only show/keep winning signals. Do not, ever, include an indicator in your trading plan before testing it on a demo account.
🗒 Here is a simple step by step guide on how to test indicators:
- Attach your indicator to any chart.
- Keep your trading platform running for a while for the indicator to plot a couple of signals.
- Take a screenshot of the chart.
- Refresh by switching between the timeframes.
- Compare your chart with the screenshot
If the indicator’s signals /drawings change location or disappear, then it is a red flag. Such indicators are not reliable and shouldn’t be used in any way.
📕 * Does it lag?
In general, indicators are lagging, but so is price action. An indicator can only analyze what has happened already. Just as a candlestick or chart pattern only includes past price data.
Nothing to worry about so far, as we mentioned above, indicators only provide information and do not offer signals.
However, some indicators are too lagging. This kind of indicators looks good on historical data but appear too late under live market conditions.
🗒 Pro Tip: Always take into consideration when, where, and how does the signal appear.
📕 * Is it TradingView friendly?
90% of custom indicators do not work on TradingView, because PineScript does not allow recalculation. Thus, the signal/drawing can’t be modified once it is generated by the indicator.
Therefore, indicators that are available on TradingView stand out from the crowd, and they are considered more reliable.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
📌 In brief, indicators are very famous tools and used by millions of traders. However, often traders don’t really know what their indicators are doing or how to use them.
Always be aware of the objectives of your trading style and what you are trying to accomplish with the indicators. Then, adjust accordingly. Once a trader can stop using indicators as signal-tools, he will be able to transform his trading to new heights.
Happy trading!
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
~Rich
How to select effective indicators for your strategyNot all indicators are useful: most are not, and some are downright misleading. Previous posts and studies, such as LuxAlgo's(1), determined that effective indicators need to: 1) produce data to support the trader's decision-making process, not substitute it with automated strategies, 2) produce non-redundant infos. But how do you select indicators in practice? Here, I share my own step-by-step process to select effective indicators for your strategy.
My approach is to use a two-stages process: 1) Expansion, 2) Contraction.
This is the same process that happens in our brains when they develop, first there is neuronal and synaptic expansion, creating lots of new connections that are not necessarily efficient, then there is contraction, which weeds out useless, redundant or ineffective connections. Here, the idea is similar.
## Expansion: try all the indicators you want ##
In the first stage, you just try any indicator that sounds like an interesting idea. The way you select the indicators is up to you, either it can be because it sounds like a good idea, or because it's in line with your main strategy (eg, a volatility indicator when your strategy is contrarian).
Whatever criteria you choose, you should:
1) Remain open to new types of indicators potentially outside your main field, as they can broaden your horizons,
2) Remain skeptic of any claims of effectiveness until you test the indicators and see tha they work for yourself (in the second stage: contraction),
3) Study the indicator to understand how it works and why it works. Don't just blindly use an indicator without knowing what it actually represents precisely, otherwise you will get bit by its limitations and false positives at some point in the future, likely when you will have a lot of money on the table to lose!
Once you have selected a set of indicators, or if you have reached the maximum number of indicators you can add in your TradingView plan (as it happens to me!), then you can go to the next step to weed indicators out.
## Contraction: drop everything that isn't directly useful to you##
In the second stage, we will extensively test the indicators for ourselves, on the assets we are interested in, and in others as well, to "field test" them and see if they work in our strategy. Indeed, trading and investment rely on a balance between collecting enough infos and keeping it simple enough (KISS principle(2)) to support our systematic decision-making process, without information overload which can produce decision paralysis.
The contraction/filtering process is more involved than the first stage, because you have to do the manual, dirty work of testing, it takes time, but this is the only way you can see whether the indicator work as intended and that they work for you. No two people will use the same indicator the same way as I explain in another post (3), so bear in mind that some indicators that may not work for someone else may work for you, and inversely an indicator that works for someone else's strategy may not for you, so the popularity of an indicator is no indication of effectiveness.
Here is a step-by-step outline of my process, feel free to add more steps depending on your needs:
1) Signal-to-Noise test: test on weekly and daily. If the indicator can't be reliable, can't produce good signals with low false positives and high true positives on these long timeframes that are much less noisy than shorter timeframes, then they are useless. Some people claim that there are indicators that work exclusively on lower timeframes, I am not trading such smaller timeframes although I can trade down to 15min, so your mileage may vary, but I remain yet to be convinced that this is true.
2) Redundancy test. If you already found a good indicator that works reasonably well for you, then compare any new indicator to this "best" indicator as a benchmark reference point. This will allow to weed out indicators that cannot provide new, non-redundant data. For example, in the chart of this post, I study correlations, which I compare against the signals generated by my RSI+ (alt) indicator which I consider one of my most reliable. Of course, the signal is of a different kind, but it still provides me a reference point as to whether the correlations can provide me with an additional edge or whether I should just stick to using only the RSI+ indicator. In practice, if the new indicator(s) can provide new, non redundant data, as shown by slightly different predictions in different scenarios or maybe a bit earlier, then great, I keep them. If not, for example the indicator does provide reliable info but it would lead me to take the same decisions at the same time, or worse, later than my best indicator, then I remove it.
3) Generalizabiliy test. Test on multiple markets, on mutiple timeframes, to check generalizability: if it doesn't generalize, the model is overfit on one target market's history, and this likely won't even work for the future if this same market, ie, this is an issue often encountered for models made specifically for bitcoin or ethereum.
4) Misleading test. Use bar replay, to check how the indicator behaves in realtime: does it sprout a lot of false positive in realtime, or is it as useful and predictive, or better, in real-time than when used for historical bars? Or worst being repainting indicators rewriting the past, such as pivots or zigzag, they look super accurate aposteriori but it's only because they cheat (see tradingview pinescript fage about that), using bar replay will help you detect them 100% of the time. Bar replay is one of the best tools you have to test indicators, don't underestimate it. Yes, it's time consuming, but it's well worth it, and you'll become quicker and quicker to use it over time with experience. For more information about the different types of repainting indicators, there is an excellent article in the PineScript documentation, it's worth reading even for non-coders(4).
5) Grouping and intra-class comparison. Finally, group indicators on the same study, so you can quickly answer a question eg about volume and volatility, or about market cycles, etc by checking the adequate chart. Otherwise, if you mix indicators between different charts, it will take you longer to analyze and compare the various signals. Also this allows to compare similar indicators between them to see if they really are useful, non-redundant. For example, in the chart above, it's a Correlations grouped study, so I added almost exclusively correlations indicators; while the delta-agnostic and (pearson) correlation coefficient both provide non-redundant infos, Spearman correlation and Kendall correlation indicators are redundant, although they shouldn't (they should capture non-linear relationships, whereas Pearson can only capture linear ones), their results aren't any different in practice with the pearson correlation coefficient in terms of significant signals they generate that would change my decision process, so we could drop two out of these three correlation coefficients, which would unclutter our chart without losing any data.
## Wrapping-up: continually refine your indicators ##
At the end of the day, it's important to continually try to adapt to the markets. Indicators can continue working, while others may fail, or in the end you find them too difficult to use in practice with your strategy. Your strategy may also evolve over time, and so your indicators should too. Don't ever feel attached to your indicators, you can revisit and question their utility at anytime, and you can go through the steps above again, and drop any indicator at anytime, even if they were useful before, what matters is whether they are still useful now.
There is also a next step for those who are open to learn programming: creating your own indicators. Not so much to create unique opportunities, although they might, but to better understand the market. You should view indicators as a way to better understand some facet of the market, indicators answer the specific questions their authors wanted to find an answer for. So by using indicators of other authors, you are reading the solutions to others questions. But you can also form your own questions, and then the next logical step is to develop your own indicators to find your own answers. And hopefully share them under open-source, so that we can all learn together (and this likely won't impact your profitability, to the contrary, as I explain elsewhere!(3)).
In summary, we can quote Bruce Lee, who described a very similar process for his mastery of martial arts as he taught his own named Jeet Kune Do:
"Absorb what is useful, reject what is useless, add what is essentially your own."
I hope this post was useful to you, and if you have an idea of a criterion or a step you use to select indicators that I didn't list above, please share it in the comments!
Enjoy, Trade Safely!
Tartigradia
(1): Technical indicators: what is useful and what isn't , by LuxAlgo
(2): en.wikipedia.org
(3): Why my indicators are open-source, and why yours should be too , by Tartigradia
(4): Repainting — Pine Script™ v5 User Manual v5 documentation
How to get "lucky" in day tradingHey Traders!
In todays morning video we go over how you can become more lucky in trading by following 3 basic tips!
We hope you enjoy the video, later today we will release a longer video explaining how we use the VWAP and Anchored VWAP indicators here on trading view to spot excellent support/resistance levels and trade with momentum or ranges!
Happy trading to everyone!
How much leverage should I be using?Understanding how to trade forex requires detailed knowledge about economies, political situations, all the individual countries, global macroeconomics, the impact of volatility, it goes on and on. But the reality of the situation is this isn't what makes most new traders fail. What makes most traders fail isn't the lack of knowledge or understanding of what it is they're actually trading. It's the lack of knowledge and understanding on leverage.
As most of us would have heard, there is very obvious statistic out there that majority of retail traders fail. Now, most people will see this as a lack of competence and just purely not willing to put in the effort to be successful. But a lot of the time it is people not understanding the risk their undertaking and what it is they're actually doing with their money when they enter the market. It really highlights this when traders come to a firm like ours, and question leverage or they have so many questions about leverage that even though they've been trading for three to four years, they still don't fully understand the actual risks that are at hand when they are opening certain positions that they really can't afford to open.
Today I wanted to jump into leverage. Let's really dive into depth what it is, why we have it, how we can use it. Then, finally touch on what is the right amount of leverage for you as a trader. So you can be exponential in maximizing your profits, but also ensuring that you're not damaging yourself long term.
LEVERAGE RISK
Firstly, I think it's important for us to have a look into leverage. Leverage is the process in which an investor or trader borrows capital in order to invest or purchase something. Typically we borrow capital from a broker and we buy into positions with money that we didn't have in order to be able to gain more profit from those positions. Most traders are blindsided and constantly think the more money I have, the more profit I can make, which is true, but they fail to recognize that the more risk it carries.
Carrying higher leverage is an exponential increase in risk. Most brokers out there will probably offer you something like 50:1, 100:1 or even 500:1 leverage. This giving you a buying power of 50, 100 or even 500 times whatever the amount of money you have in your account. Which means a trader with just $100 in a brokerage account could open a position with $50,000 in the market. Now, while that may sound advertising, believe me, that's a trap and we're going to chat about that today.
HIGH LEVERAGE EXAMPLE
So let's dive into an example. Let's imagine we have a trader who has a $10,000 account. They decide to use 100:1 leverage, which now means with that $10,000 cash, they can trade up to $1,000,000 in the forex market. Let's assume that the trader opened a position with the full available capital which would relate to 10 lots, and they opened the position on a currency with the USD being the quote currency. That means that each PIP movement is equal to $100. So for a simple equation, if they were to enter a trade and that trade went against them by 50 pips, they would have lost 50% of their account because that 50 pips would have been equal to $5000. So in one wrong trade they lost 50% of their account.
So many people in this industry is so quick to look at what the realized gains could be, but they rather tend to ignore the actual risks that come with that. If you don't have sufficient evidence that your investment strategy is going to provide consistent and stable gains long term, do not look to trade with higher leverage, as you will be gambling and it is extremely risky.
LOW LEVERAGE EXAMPLE
Now let's use the same example, but in a lower leverage situation. The trader has $10,000 cash only this time he is trading on an account with 5:1 leverage, resulting in a buying power of $50,000. This means on a pair with the US dollar as the base currency that you can open a maximum size of 0.5 lots. Let's go ahead and take the exact same trade, only this time with a 0.5 lots, each pip is equal to $5. Should the investment or trade fall the same 50 pips this time the trader will only lose $250, which is a mere 2.5%. Same trade, different leverage, one lost 50% the other lost 2.5%.
It is a common trick out there that traders feel they require more leverage to really make money in the market. It's not true. Yes, it can help you get more profits from those smaller moves. Yes, it is really beneficial if you have a proven strategy. If you are still coming to grips with trading or you're fairly new and you haven't achieved consistency and profitability yet, focus on lower leverage. What it will actually do is make you focus on long term goals. Focus on the process this giving you more sustainability in the market and therefore more maturity.
CHOOSE THE RIGHT LEVERAGE
Choosing the right leverage is a very important step in Forex trading. You can be tapered in by fancy numbers and big brokers trying to get you in, Or, you can realistically dive into what it is you actually need and what's going to benefit you more in the future. There's no right answer to how much leverage you need each strategy in each individual require different things, but what I will do is share some tips and some knowledge on how to choose the right one that benefits you.
1. Always try and maintain the lowest leverage you possibly can for your strategy. If you manage to pull it right the way into where you can only just open the positions on the risk you have allowed yourself, and you can't open more than, lets say three positions, what you actually do is limit yourself to focus on only the good positions. You've prevented over trading from occurring and you can really focus on your risk management.
2. When you open positions or you talk about opening positions instead of going to people saying, "yes, I opened 0.35 lots." Use the actual dollar value when you open a 0.35 lot position. Instead, say "I opened a $35,000 position." Talking in that language that you have placed your bets with $100,000 or $1,000,000 will make you realize how much risk you're actually exposing yourself to and the capacity of what it is you are trading.
3. Limit your overall risk, at absolute Max, I risk 0.25%. This allows me to go into large drawdowns and it not be an issue. I can still manage it accordingly in it actually keeps me nice and calm and focused on the analysis rather than the running profit and loss.
The bottom line is selecting the right Forex leverage depends on the traders experienced risk tolerance and comfort when operating in the market. You want to ensure that it's not out there to harm you, but rather it's there to help. You do not want be trying to get really high leverage so you can make large profits, when you know realistically, there is no evidence to prove that you will make those high profits. Start small, gain consistency, gain exposure and gain experience, and then you can start looking to expand your equity and buying power.
How to Catch a Falling Knife by the HandleI'm not suggesting here that the broader equity market is going to violently sell-off soon or anything like that. I figure that posting an idea on such a scenario might be useful just in case volatility picks up a few knots with some foreseeable seasonal headwinds.
Also, the broader equity market is probably going to sell off soon.
Now that the possibility of such an event has been thrown out there, I offer something that could make the whole experience even more fun than meme stocks. That would be the use of the 186-period exponential moving average to locate the approximate price level where the first safe area to take profits would be under a crash scenario. Typically, you don't want to "catch falling knives", or any other falling weapon because it is assumed that the trader catching said knife/weapon thinks he has caught the bottom. Of course, he has done the opposite and is in fact, holding a bag of something that will drop in value very soon and the hand he is holding it with can barely hang on because he missed the knife's handle on the way down.
While this scenario happens all too often, i believe that catching a falling knife can be done safely and profitably if using the 186 EMA and a SHORT position. What you are then catching is not the stock/derivative itself at a discount long, but rather closing out a short knife that you threw a while back for extreme profits. The key is that the 186 EMA offers you a nearly perfect target to safely exit an extreme short position, without using complicated time/price methods that are usually esoteric to some extent.
Just take a look at the chart displayed above, which offers a detailed look into the kind of weapons that SP Futures traders had to deal with over the years. To fully appreciate the results of this demonstration, you must understand the difficulty of trading this futures market. The degree of leverage is high enough to wipe out new entrants within hours and is also severe enough whereby the assumptions required to use Wave Principle cannot be relied upon.
In summary, the fact that this EMA either caught outright or was the cause of the first major bounce of ALL significant selloffs over the past 10 years is remarkable. On the weekly timeframe, it will undoubtedly prove useful for bearish swing traders using an intermediate time horizon. In a whipsaw scenario intraday, the 186 can be quickly applied in a pinch, which can prevent panic selling in all sorts of situations.
The uses for this tool are many and I am lucky to have randomly stumbled upon it about a year ago when messing around with pinescript for the first time. In fact - see for yourself how the 186 EMA somehow plays a structural role in at least one timeframe (even the 5-min at times) of any given price chart. The key is to find which timeframe the 186 is fitting most closely with at the current time.
Remember, use wisely when catching weapon-profits, not weapon-long-positions.
-PiggishMagician
AMEX:SPY
SP:SPX
GLOBALPRIME:US500
What you trade is just as important as how you trade!Hey Traders!
WOW! What a Monday! Excellent moves in the markets today at the US open, I don't want to sound like I am bragging, but we kinda prepared ourselves very well for today by working our asses off on creating our watchlist, we knew what could be moving and we made sure that they focused on the best setups, setups that had the highest rewards and the lowest risks!
Aside from a big miss on WTI, we aced EURUSD, NASDAQ, DAX and EURJPY.
Preparation of a watchlist is vital for us day traders and we make sure to invest time into creating our day trading watchlists!
This video explains a little better what we did to make today a BIG SUCCESS for ourselves and our members!
Educational. How to trade a broadening wedge pattern? In this video:
* How to spot and draw a broadening wedge pattern.
* What constitutes an official broadening wedge pattern.
* Is the pattern bullish or bearish?
* What is the probability of breaking down vs. moving further up?
* How to measure target down and how to measure target up?
* Other notes to make on how to trade.
HOW TO: Center Of Gravity OscillatorIf I could only have one indicator it would need to be versatile. It would need to able to confirm trends, highlight pivots and reversals but most of all it would need to expose epic entries. Lucky there is such an indicator... The Center of Gravity Oscillator (COG).
The COG is yet another masterpiece created by John Ehlers. It is essentially zero lag and enables clear identification of turning points. This indicator is a result of Ehlers research into adaptive filters and was published in an article on page 20 of the May 2002 issue of Stocks and Commodities Magazine. According to the Tradingview docs "The cog (center of gravity) is an indicator based on statistics and the Fibonacci golden ratio."
1. Breakout Trading
Breakout trading is one of the most popular trading strategies and rightly so, there is not much better than watching those candles fly to the moon.
Trend lines and wedges can be made by connecting 2 or more pivot points (as shown above). When the oscillator crosses the trend line traders can expect “boom” like explosions in price action.
Above is an example of a breakout.
Below I’ve marked out some breakouts on 1 hr BTC chart.
Epic breakouts can be found by drawing a trend line along major pivot points. The major pivots should be easy to spot as they stick out above and below the minor pivots. (As shown below on 1 hour chart.)
There are many oscillators that can also pick up breakouts, below are some breakouts marked on the BTC 12 hour chart with my Volatility Oscillator.
Smaller breakouts can be found by drawing a fan from major pivot to minor pivots.
Ive marked out the most obvious breakouts on the ETH Daily chart below.
Along the way I found some LSMA pumps, which leads me to the next strategy…
2. LSMA Breakouts.
Least Squares Moving Average is my favourite moving average and I incorporate it in one way or another with most of my scripts. To understand a LSMA breakout have a look at the LSMA 21 line on the chart below. As the candles cross the line it breaks out.
The default setting for the LSMA line on my COG indicator is 200. This is a great “zero” line and shows general trend. To catch LSMA breakouts I set the COG length to 6 and LSMA length to 6. The LSMA can also be set to 21 to find breakouts and LSMA Pumps (don’t worry, I’ll get to it soon).
Easy to find sweet entries on the BTC 1 hr chart.
3. What is a LSMA pump???
This is when a LSMA line pulls back and crosses another line for just a few bars before recrossing into a boom. Ive marked out a few LSMA pumps on the chart above. I like to use COG set at length of 6 and LSMA set to 21 for trading hourly to daily charts.
4. Trading Reversal Patterns.
If you are not familiar with reversal patterns such as double tops, double bottoms or head and shoulders then it would be a good idea to look into it. These are fundamentals of reading charts.
The COG is great for trading these patters too.
Above shows reversal patterns marked out.
5. Previous High/Low Strategy
This is another chart reading fundamental. This strategy can be used to find solid long and short entries. He is an example below using no indicators.
This example is a down trend that turns into an up trend. The first entry is a short found when price is unable to beat previous high. The second entry is a long. This is the confirmation of the up trend. Notice how the the low pivot point is higher than previous pivot. Next a short reveals itself again as price is unable to beat previous highs. The next long entry is made as up trend is reconfirmed by a low pivot forming higher than previous low pivot. Lastly another short as price is unable to beat previous high.
Now to apply this to the COG…
Above shows a nice long and short on the major pivots. The first trade is a long. As the major low pivot is made it does not break previous major pivot low and thus is a great long entry. Price then breaks out and forms a major high pivot point which does not break previous major pivot high making a great short entry.
The next example shows trading on continuations of trends.
A major Pivot is made. Long entries are found every time the the lows keep getting higher. Often these are LSMA pumps.
Above is another example of finding solid entries.
Here I have marked the entries on a 1 hour ETH chart using this strategy. It is great for swing trading.
6. Tuning your indicator.
Indicator settings should depend on what timeframe and what trades you are looking for. Its always a great idea to play with the settings and get the signals as accurate as possible.
COG lengths to try: 3-6, 9-14, 21-27, 50-55, 100, 200.
LSMA lengths to try: 2,6,9,11,19,21,25,27,32,50,100,150,200
In the indicator settings there is an option for smoothing. I usually have this turned on.
The centre of gravity oscillator is one of the most underrated indicators out. It gives solid signals and Im sure there is plenty more that I have not mentioned here. I am currently working on including all these signals into the indicator so you can set alerts or run bots. So far it looks like a Christmas tree with all those signals and needs work….
If you have any questions or ideas please drop a comment below. I am always keen to talk shop.
You can find my COG indicator here:
Join me on Bybit! They have the lowest fees and best servers. It’s free to join and we both get $20 if you use my referral link.
partner.bybit.com
Thanks for the support and happy trading!
The 8 Universal Rules of Successful TradingUTPs (Universal Trading Principles) are a set of trading rules you must not break. They cover entries, exits, strategies, and risk management. They form the backbone of your trading plan. Repeat these rules everyday, like a mantra, until you can recite them in your sleep. This will make you a successful trader.
1. Don't leave money on the table - I move my SLs to breakeven and lock in profits as the trade goes in my direction. The first rule of trading is to protect my trading capital. Without my capital, I am out of the game and cannot be a trader. So I do everything possible to protect it.
2. I scale in and out of trades - If my trade idea seems to work, I add to my position. If my trade doesn't work and approaches my SL, I am reducing my position. I am ALWAYS adding to working trades and NEVER to losing trades. This is how the most successful traders trade, and this is how I want to trade.
3. Final TPs - My final TP is based on horizontal S/R levels, weekly or monthly highs and lows. I confirm that markets are mostly ranging, i.e. my final TPs are always based on the normal distribution (e.g. weekly or monthly ATR). My TPs need to be REALISTIC.
4. Technicals are used only for entries and exits. The direction of the market is determined by fundamentals. I never trade against the fundamentals.
5. Position sizing - My stop-losses are always based on sound technical levels. My position size depends on the size of the stop-loss and the percentage of my trading account I want to risk on any single trade. I never risk more than 2% on a trade, and cut the risk-per-trade to 1% after a series of three losing trades.
6. Trading is a probability game - I acknowledge that successful trading is about probabilities. I don't know whether my next trade will be a winner, but I do know that I have a good chance to be in profit after the next 10 trades.
7. Trading is as simple as you make it - Fundamentals support my trades, but everything can happen (including a change of fundamentals and sentiment). Risk management prevents higher losses. There are always new opportunities. My goal isn't to be right, but to follow my UTPs.
8. Weekly journal reviews - I don't measure trading success by the profits I've made or the number of winning trades. My success is measured by how strictly I followed my UTPs. To review my trading, I am performing weekly journal reviews and try to identify any trading patterns that have a negative influence on my bottom line.
Using the Relative Strength Index (RSI)Using the Relative Strength Index
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a very popular and often used indicator that can be used effectively in many different ways. My personal favorite two are:
1. As a tool to indicate a reversal. This is the most popular way.
2. As a momentum indicator. This is what it was designed for.
Below we will discuss how to read the RSI, and how to set it properly depending on market conditions.
What the numbers mean
Before we discuss what to do with the information that the RSI gives us, we should learn what the numbers mean.
The RSI is a line graph that moves from 0 to 100. When the RSI is 70 or over, we consider our crypto to be overbought (people bidding up the price). Then when the RSI is 30 or below, we consider our crypto to be oversold (people bidding down the price).
Overbought means that the crypto might be overvalued.
Oversold is the reverse. The crypto might be undervalued.
The actual number is calculated using the average gain or loss over a set period of time. The default time period is 14 (minutes, hours, days, based on how the chart you are currently looking at is set).
You could also set your period length to a lower number, I use 10 sometimes, so that the RSI is more sensitive to recent moves. This is good to do in markets that are highly volatile (crypto for example).
The actual RSI number will increase as there are more and more positive closes within your time period, and will fall as there are more and more negative closes within your time period.
As with every trading indicator, the RSI should not be used as the sole reason for a trading decision. It helps paint a picture of the market of the particular crypto you’re looking at.
Nor are the default values always to be used. We’ve discussed time changes, but you could also change the upper and lower bands.
In a bull market you may want to change the upper band to reflect the general trend of the market (more on that later).
Trend Reversal
Now, let’s about how to actually use the RSI. The first way to use it is as a way to spot a possible trend reversal.
Put simply, the RSI can help us see if we have, in the last few candles, changed from an up-trend to a down-trend, or from a down-trend to an up-trend.
When the RSI is below 30 and crosses up, we consider this a bullish move.
When the RSI is above 70 and crosses down, we consider this a bearish move.
Just to reiterate: A bullish cross up is not an automatic buy, just as a bearish cross down is not an automatic sell. As you can see below.
But it is pretty accurate.
Nothing in TA is 100%, but the closer you get to 100% the better trader you will be.
One other thing to note based on the above picture is that there was no time that the RSI dipped below 30. In a crypto bull market (which we are currently in) it is more common to see cryptos that are overbought as opposed to oversold. You can compensate for this by changing the oversold line to 40.
Additionally, as the crypto moves up in price, you can see the RSI making consistent higher lows.
Divergence
One thing to look for when you are trying to spot trend reversals is what is called a Bullish Divergence.
This means that the price of your crypto is in a downtrend and making lower lows. At the same time, the RSI is oversold and is making higher lows.
When you spot this, it can be a very powerful indicator that the trend is reversing to the upside.
A bearish divergence is the same thing but in reverse. The price of the crypto is getting higher and higher while the RSI is overbought and making lower highs.
RSI as a momentum indicator
Another way to effectively use the RSI is by using it for its intended use as a momentum indicator.
As we talked about before, the RSI rises as we have more and more positive closes in our time window. It rises more (faster) when the price movements are more extreme to the upside. The reverse is true for the downside.
So, if we are oversold that means there is momentum to the upside, and if we are overbought that means there is momentum to the downside.
Generally, it is better to trade with the momentum than against it. Unless we spot the reversal signals that we discussed above; crossing back down, or crossing up.
It is also better to go long in bull-markets and short in bear markets when using the RSI in this way.
Let’s take a look at the chart below:
In a bull market the 50-60 range of the RSI acts as support and the RSI usually stays above 40.
I like to set my upper band to 60 in a bull market so I can trade with the bullish momentum and spot potential reversals in the 50-60 range.
As you can see it is necessary to use the RSI differently in different market conditions.
Final thoughts
As you can see there are different ways of successfully using the RSI. I hope I’ve made at least two of those ways clear in this beginner guide.
Please let me know if you have any questions and if you like it, please hit the thumbs up and be sure to follow for more!
Thanks for reading!
CAKEUSDT - How to find a good CAKE entryCAKE and pancakeswap are trending hard right now, its a great defi solution that's innovative and has triple A backing in Binance.
The common thought for most is, how can I get in on that profit?!
One way to do it is buy low, sell high! In order to buy low, you need a good entry, luckily, I think I've found one!
In todays video I go over how I find potential entries for profitable trades and apply it to CAKEUSDT
=== TimeStamps ===
0:00 = Welcome!
0:35 = Patterns
1:20 = Fibs
5:20 = Resistances
7:30 = Price path
11:00 = Entry
12:05 = Stop limit
12:30 = Take profit
14:45 = Fundamentals
15:15 = CoinMarketCap
17:30 = Tradingview ideas
18:50 = CoinMarketCal
19:20 = r/pancakeswap
HOW TO DETECT TARGET ZONES?EURUSD (Forex):
In the chart you can see my trading setup. The middle dotted trend line and the red zone act as resistance. Currently the price is rejected.
First of all, this offers us a short opportunity.
How can you find target zones? ❗️
To find target zones, I usually use distinctive highs and lows. In this case the green support zone. The first profits should then be realized in this zone.
I also use the fibonacci tool to display possible zones in which I can sell. In particular, I pay attention to the 0.5 retracement in combination with the 0.618 retracement. In the chart you can clearly see that these zones roughly correspond to my own drawn zones.
Order box trading This is educational :)
You can see that the price is a bit "blurry" at the first order box. Why is this?
Financial institutes never invest their whole money at the same time to get "stopped out" or "margin called". They do this to check how the price is reacting to their orders. For example, if they want to invest 100 million euros in a long position; firstly 20m, then 30, and then 50.
This "blurr" will form what we call the order box.
Now, what happens?
All of the orders will not go to reality. maybe only 70% will. Then, when the price touches this order box area, the price will bump again as a consequence of all the underlying orders. This is what you see at the "support order box". Same thing at the top.
Steps to spot these:
1, find the "blurr"
2, watch for confirmation (aka = second time it touches)
3, trade the 3rd, or 2nd if u are brave, it touches this box.
4, place stop loss just above the box
But what for take profit?
Place it in either the other side of the box, or eventually, at 0,618 of Fibonacci. I use this to trade with the trend and not against it.
Questions? Ask them in the comment area :D