Moving Averages
#EURUSD Weekly Analysis Update & Forecast (More Move Up Or ...?)Traders, EURUSD moved heavily to the upside against our expectations of giving us a pull back to get on with the long trade. We never got a good opportunity. But next week can be different. We can look for good trades. Lets find out.
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Have a great trading week!
AUDNZD confused with AUDCAD (overtrade warning)I totally picked the wrong pair to trade accidentally. There's an unmistakable feeling when you take a discretionary entry, I should have dropped everything I was doing and FOCUSED ON THE ONE TRADE, instead I built a watchlist that caused confusion as I sifted through about 8 trades.
BITCOIN might NEVER GO BELOW 8800 EVER AGAIN!What does July monthly candle close means? What will happen for the next couple months heading into 2020? How do you take advantage of this information?
Thesis: Consolidation period in August and September. Mark up begins in October, creating the high of 2019, but not breaking above BTC All Time High.
Reasons:
1) Key Monthly Level - 9900 (July candle retested that level as support)
2) Monthly Inside bar candle formation (Suggests consolidation before upside)
Key levels:
1) 3rd Quarter Open - 10700
2) Monthly Mid Range - 10650
Establishing bias:
- If weekly candle closes above the mentioned 2 key levels, consolidation will occur at the top 50% of range. (Extreme bullish)
- If weekly candle closes below, consolidation will occur at bottom 50% of range. (Bullish)
If you are currently in cash and look to enter the market from the sideline (like me), i will recommend buying BTC at different levels.
Key buy zones:
1) 20% - Green Zone - 9800 to 9600 (H4 Pivot - Acted as both support and resistance previously)
2) 45% - Daily Range low - 9350 (Daily Demand zone - Acted as support twice)
3) 25% - Green line - 9050 (Bottom 75% of Monthly Range + Untested 100 Daily Moving Average and Exponential Moving Average + Liquidity pool)
* 4) 10% - Mentioned grey box - 8000 (Weekly Demand zone) * - Unlikely and does not show the strength of BTC as Daily candles will close below Key Moving Averages
* 5) 100% - Monthly Mid Range - 10650 (Only if weekly bullish criteria is met) *
A Renko Strategy for Trading - Part 9This is intended more as educational material on a strategy for using renko charts. To begin with, I'll be using USOil in the examples but will include other markets as I continue through the series. The material is not intended to prescribe or recommend actual trades as the decision to place trades is the responsibility of each individual who trades as they assume all risks for their own positions and accounts.
Chart setup :
(Part 1)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 12 black line
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) 20 red line
Parabolic SAR (PSAR) 0.09/0.09/.23 blue circles
Simple Moving Average (SA) 20 blue line
(Part 2)
Stochastics 5, 3, 3 with boundaries 80/20 dark blue/light blue
Stochastics 50, 3, 3 with boundaries 55/45 red
Overlay these two on one indicator. Refer to 'Part 2' as to how to do this
(Part 3)
True Strength Indicator (TSI) 14/4/4 dark blue/ red
Directional Movement Indicator DMI 14/14 ADX-dark green, +DI-dark blue, -DI-red
Renko Chart Settings
Crude Oil (TVC:USOil): renko/traditional/blksize .05/.10/.25
Natural Gas (ngas): renko/traditional/blksize .005/.010/.025
Soybeans/Wheat/Corn (soybnusd/wheatusd/cornusd): can use the ngas setup
S&P 500 (spx500usd): renko/traditional/blksize 2.5/5.0/12.5
Euros (EURUSD): renko/traditional/blksize .0005/.0010/.0025