Nasdaq Outlook: 07-NOV-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
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Nasdaqshort
NQ - Nasdaq struggles. The weekly reveals itSee the support NQ had?
Super nice how the the Medianlines and the A/R set reveals it. But now there is some trouble in the Kitchen.
After reaching the white Center-Line, price is struggling to punch through the orange U-MLH.
If price can't fight ti's way through this resistance, it will turn south - probably very sharp.
To me, this is a cheap Short.
If I'm wrong, so be it, it's just one of 1000s of trades. But, it's a offer I can't reject §8-)
Nasdaq Short: Weak Tech & Key Data AheadTaking advantage of the current bearish momentum in the Nasdaq with a daily short setup. Recent price action reveals a double-top pattern and a significant trendline break, suggesting potential downside. As we approach critical economic data releases, volatility is expected, which could fuel further bearish movement.
Technical Analysis
• Pattern: Double-top formation, a bearish reversal signal, confirmed with a break below the neckline.
• Trendline: The long-standing upward trend has been broken, validating the bearish scenario.
• Key Resistance: $20,200 area is acting as a strong resistance zone.
• Support Levels: Initial support around $18,800 with further downside potential if broken.
Fundamentals:
The short position on Nasdaq is driven by the weak tech performance, with giants like MSFT (-6.05%) and META (-4.09%) showing declines. Rising bond yields have intensified pressure on tech stocks, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, tomorrow’s key data—Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 113K vs. prior 254K), Unemployment Rate (expected steady at 4.1%), and ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 47.6)—could further impact market outlook, with any surprises likely to influence Fed expectations and Nasdaq sentiment.
Risk Management
• Entry: Near current levels, aiming for downside momentum.
• Stop Loss: Above recent highs to protect against false breakouts.
• Target: Initial target at $18,800, with potential to extend if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Note: Given the volatility associated with these macroeconomic events, there is potential for increased fluctuations. Managing risk through stop-losses and close monitoring of data releases is essential.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
nasdaq falltoday as seen in the chart.
we tested the bottom of the range and wherent able to move with enough energy to the upside.
in the american sesion today we dditn ake a new high.
i see weeknes in the market.
entry in blue.
target in green.
to be able to take the win you also have to be able to the loss.\
have fun
Elektra
QUALCOMM Short Trade Hits TP1 – More Bearish Targets PossibleTechnical Analysis: QUALCOMM – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
QUALCOMM has reached TP1 (171.92) in the short trade, with the remaining targets still in play. The initial downtrend is confirmed, and we are closely watching for the next targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 173.07 – The short position was initiated following clear bearish signals.
Stop-Loss (SL): 173.99 – Risk management placed above the entry point to limit potential losses.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 171.92 – First target hit, confirming the downtrend's strength.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 170.08 – The next target is set as momentum continues downward.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 168.23 – Further price movement could test this level soon.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 167.09 – The final target for this short trade.
Trend Analysis
The price has broken below the Risological Dotted trendline, showing sustained bearish momentum. The price action confirms the downtrend, with TP1 already achieved, and lower targets still within reach.
QUALCOMM has started its downward movement by hitting TP1. We are now observing further bearish pressure to meet the next targets. Risk management remains crucial with the stop-loss in place.
NASDAQ #NAS100 #NQ BIG SHORT THIS WEEK?Market Makers' Bias:
-Non-Commercial traders, including hedge funds and large institutional speculators, have significantly increased their net selling positions compared to the previous week. This shift indicates a strong bearish divergence, suggesting that market sentiment has turned decisively negative.
Additional Fundamental Bias:
-The Nasdaq appears overbought relative to U.S. Treasury bonds, suggesting that tech stocks within the Nasdaq Index, such as #AAPL, #META, and #GOOG already falling in prices.
-We also have the Nasdaq Futures contract Rollover Price gaps, they normally act as a magnet to be filled.
US-Election year Seasonality - Heavily Bearish this week.
Technical Analysis portion:
-We are just hit the weekly covered daily Supply zone, price may now be ready for a bearish this week.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Let’s see how this plays out... 👀👀
NASDAQ 100 Drops! Short Trade Confirmed, Eyeing First TargetThe NASDAQ 100 has confirmed a short trade with a strong bearish move below the entry at 20263.46. The price is progressing towards the first profit target (TP1), though it has not yet been reached.
Key Levels
Entry: 20263.46 – The short position was confirmed as the price broke below this level, signaling bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 20378.68 – Placed above the recent resistance to protect against potential upside reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 20121.04 – The first target, not yet reached, but in close proximity as the downward trend continues.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 19890.59 – The next target in case of continued bearish pressure.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 19660.15 – A further downside target, aligning with the next support zone.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 19517.73 – The ultimate profit target, marking a significant decline.
Trend Analysis
The price has broken below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming strong bearish sentiment. The market is likely to move toward TP1 if the selling pressure continues. The downward momentum suggests further potential to reach deeper profit targets.
The NASDAQ 100 short trade is progressing well after confirmation, with TP1 at 20121.04 in sight. If the bearish trend holds, further downside targets are expected to be reached.
SELL NAS FROM PDHFor Journaling purposes only
Made a sell from PDH = Previous Day High (after 14h30 - normal volume time)
Made back 1st trade of the day -40 PIPS with a sell from PDH +40 PIPS
Waited for the pullback and sold into 3 MIN FVG
Worked in my favour ending the day at breakeven
1 Loss
1 W
Total for the week:
4 W
1 L
PepsiCo Stock Struggles Amid Weak Revenue and Guidance CutPepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) has long been a staple of the food and beverage industry, with a reputation for consistent growth and strong brand recognition. However, recent performance suggests a slowdown in momentum, as both technical indicators and fundamental data point to challenges ahead for the stock.
Declining Revenue and Softened Outlook
On Tuesday, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) reported its fiscal third-quarter results, revealing a mixed performance that failed to meet Wall Street's expectations. The company posted earnings per share of $2.31, narrowly surpassing analyst expectations of $2.29, but its revenue of $23.32 billion fell short of the anticipated $23.76 billion ugh too bad. This marks a 0.6% decline in net sales compared to the same quarter last year.
The revenue shortfall is largely attributed to the impact of product recalls in its Quaker Foods North America division, a key segment of the company’s portfolio. Quaker Foods saw a 13% volume drop following recalls related to salmonella contamination and the subsequent closure of a production facility. The weakening demand in the U.S. market, alongside disruptions in international markets such as Latin America and the Middle East (Tensions between Israel, Iran and Lebanon), exacerbated PepsiCo's woes.
PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta acknowledged the challenges, noting that weaker-than-expected sales, particularly in its snack and beverage divisions, have weighed heavily on the company's outlook. As a result, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) trimmed its full-year organic revenue growth forecast, now expecting only a low-single-digit rise, down from the previous 4% projection.
Moreover, despite some resilience in brands like Gatorade and Pepsi within the North American beverage segment, overall volume declined by 3%, underscoring the broader slowdown in consumer demand. Rising inflation and shifts in consumer behavior have prompted shoppers across various income levels to cut back on discretionary spending, especially on premium products.
Let's check out what the Technical data says
From a technical perspective, PepsiCo’s stock is reflecting the underlying weaknesses in its business. After consolidating within a tight range for much of the year, NASDAQ:PEP has now formed a bearish reversal pattern, signaling the potential for further downside.
As of the latest premarket trading, the stock is down 0.66%, and its technical indicators suggest that more selling pressure may be on the horizon. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 32.74, inching closer to the oversold territory, which reflects a growing bearish sentiment. An RSI reading below 30 typically indicates that a stock is oversold, but NASDAQ:PEP is dangerously close to crossing that threshold, which could spur a wave of panic selling.
Furthermore, PepsiCo's stock is currently trading below its key moving averages, with the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages converging at a critical juncture. When these averages converge and begin to trend downward, it often signals that a stock could face extended bearish momentum. In this case, the bearish crossover suggests that NASDAQ:PEP may experience further downside movement in the near term.
The stock is also hovering near a crucial support level at $158, a pivot point that, if breached, could open the door to a steeper decline. Should NASDAQ:PEP break below this support, it may revisit its recent lows, potentially entering a more prolonged bearish trend.
Conclusion: A Cautious Outlook for PepsiCo Investors
PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) revised guidance for organic revenue growth indicates that management is bracing for slower growth ahead, and this cautious outlook has weighed on investor sentiment.
From a technical standpoint, PepsiCo’s stock appears vulnerable to further declines, with bearish patterns and weak momentum pointing to the possibility of additional downside. The stock's proximity to a critical support level at $158, coupled with a low RSI and downward-trending moving averages, suggests that investors should exercise caution.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) may face headwinds in the coming months. While the company remains a long-term blue-chip investment, short-term traders and investors should monitor the stock closely for any signs of a reversal, particularly if the stock breaches its key support level. Until the company can demonstrate stronger revenue growth and address its operational challenges, NASDAQ:PEP may continue to underperform relative to market expectations.
US100 H4 - Sell SignalUS100 H4
Working from the slightly larger timeframes at the moment, as we are trying to block out the market open gaps/noise and surrounding factors. If the dollar is looking to trade closer to 103.000 we could see NAS fall in the short term and continue, but we could also see the correction unfold for the dollar.
At the moment, we are in no mans land, we are neither confident in longs or shorts, we are merely just waiting for a little bit more confirmation on where we are heading, so we can then try and measure opportunity accordingly. Hopefully we can see something for consideration around the time of US market open.
Nasdaq thoughts 3-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nasdaq Thoughts 27-09-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.