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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NASDAQ Will the disappointing PCE today form a Double Bottom?Nasdaq is on a strong 3 day correction that has almost erased the recovery attempt since the March 11th low. That was a higher Low inside the 8 month Channel Up and the current correction may be a bottom formation attempt like September 6th 2024. Trading Plan: 1. Buy before the closing market price. Targets: 1. 23350 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) illustrates the similarities with July-September 2024 in a much better way. Strong indication that the Channel Up is attempting to price a bottom. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
3-MONTH THE SQUID GAME II 'JUBILEE'. WHAT IS NOW & WHAT IS NEXTIt's gone three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸) since "The Squid Game" Season II has been released on December 26, 2024. Nearly month later comrade Trump entered The White House (again). Still, everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t. Here's a short educational breakdown, what we think about all of that, at our beloved @PandorraResearch Team. Trading can easily resemble gambling when approached without discipline, strategy, or proper risk management. Here are key reasons to avoid gambling-like trading behaviors, supported by real-world examples: 1. Lack of Strategy and Emotional Decision-Making Trading becomes gambling when decisions are based on emotions, intuition, or market hype rather than thorough analysis. For instance, Geraldine lost £15,000 on a spread-betting platform after attending a workshop that taught ineffective strategies. She believed the platform profited from her losses, highlighting how impulsive, uneducated decisions can lead to significant financial harm. Similarly, traders who overtrade or ignore risk management often experience devastating losses, as they rely on luck rather than a structured plan. 2. Overleveraging and One-Sided Bets Overleveraging—opening excessively large positions—is a common gambling behavior in trading. This approach increases stress and the likelihood of substantial losses. A trader who lost $400,000 on a single Robinhood bet exemplifies this. He overinvested in a call option, hoping for a quick profit, but the trade turned against him, wiping out nearly all his capital. Opening one-sided bets or adding to losing positions further compounds risks, as traders attempt to recover losses through increasingly risky moves. 3. Ignoring Stop Losses and Risk Management Failing to set stop losses or refusing to exit losing trades is another form of gambling. Traders who cling to their biases and avoid cutting losses often face irreversible damage to their portfolios. For example, many traders refuse to take stop losses, leading to catastrophic losses that erode their confidence and capital. This behavior mirrors the destructive cycle of gambling addiction, where individuals chase losses in hopes of a turnaround. 4. Psychological and Financial Consequences Gambling-like trading can lead to severe psychological and financial consequences. Harry, a trader with a gambling addiction, repeatedly lost money despite asking his trading platform to restrict his account. His inability to control his trading behavior highlights the addictive nature of high-risk trading and its potential to ruin lives. Similarly, excessive gambling has been linked to increased debt, bankruptcy, and mental health issues, such as anxiety and depression. 5. Long-Term Sustainability Smart trading focuses on steady gains and minimal losses, whereas gambling relies on luck and high-risk bets. Traders who chase big wins often lose their profits in subsequent trades, perpetuating a cycle of losses. Studies show that frequent trading, driven by overconfidence or problem gambling, reduces investment returns and increases financial instability. In conclusion, avoiding gambling-like trading requires discipline, education, and a well-defined strategy. Real-world examples demonstrate the dangers of emotional decision-making, overleveraging, and ignoring risk management. By adopting a structured approach and prioritizing long-term sustainability, traders can mitigate risks and avoid the pitfalls of gambling. -- Best 'squid' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
NASDAQ on the first minor pullback of the new bullish wave.Nasdaq / US100 has just started the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The bottom was made 2 weeks ago and every time the bullish wave crossed over its 4hour MA50, it is expected to make a pullback retest at some point. This pullback is taking place today. Whether it replicates the first bullish wave of the Channel Up or the second, the index aims for either a 22.48% total rise or the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Both happen to be around the same level. Buy and target a little under them at 23400. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
1
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway. I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain: Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted) Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist) I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SP:SPXShort
by merchtank19
NASDAQ The recovery has officially started.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with today's opening, it broke above the Lower Highs trend-line of February's Bearish Leg. Even though the confirmed bullish reversal signal technically comes above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we already have the early bottom signals. First and foremost, the 1D RSI rebounding from the same oversold (<30.00) level where all major Higher Lows of the Channel Up did (August 05 2024, April 19 2024, October 26 2023). Every time the price reached its -0.5 Fibonacci extensions following such bottoms. Also each Bullish Leg tends so far to be smaller than the previous. As a result, targeting a +24% rise (-3% less than the previous Bullish Leg) at 23500 is a very realistic Target technically, as it is considerably below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
4
Looking for a minimum of ES 5850In the days to come our initial pattern off the recent has the high probability to get into the 5850 area. Here I will be looking for a pullback. If this pullback can be viewed as corrective in it's structure then I expect the subdivisions and pathway on my ES4Hr chart should follow suit. However, if the pullback turns out to be impulsive, I will be looking for follow through for either Minor B having completed early, or the alternate wave (iv). If that sort of price action were to materialize, it's Friday's low of 5651.25 that must support any drop if we're to continue to subdivide higher and have this minor B take more time.
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
4
NIKE INC. AMERICAN SHOOES LOOSING GLOSS, AHEAD OF U.S. RECESSIONNIKE Inc. or Nike is an American multinational company specializing in sportswear and footwear. The company designs, develops, markets and sells athletic footwear, apparel, accessories, equipment and services. The company was founded by William Jay Bowerman and Philip H. Knight more than 40 years ago, on January 25, 1964, and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon. As of July 15, 2024, NIKE (NKE) shares were down more than 33 percent in 2024, making them a Top 5 Underperformer among all the S&P500 components. Perhaps everything would have been "normal", and everything could be explained by the one only unsuccessful December quarter of 2023, when the Company’s revenue decreased by 2 percentage points to $12.6 billion, which turned out to be lower than analyst estimates. But one circumstance makes everything like a "not just cuz". This is all because among the Top Five S&P500 Outsiders, in addition to NIKE, we have also shares of another large shoe manufacturer - lululemon athletica (LULU), that losing over 44 percent in 2024. Influence of macroeconomic factors 👉 The economic downturn hurts most merchandise retailers, but footwear companies face the greatest risk to loose profits, as higher fixed costs lead to larger profit declines when sales come under pressure. 👉 The Nasdaq US Benchmark Footwear Index has fallen more than 23 percent since the start of 2024 as consumer spending is threatened by continued rising home prices, banks' reluctance to lend, high lending rates, and high energy and energy costs. food products - weaken. 👉 In general, the above-mentioned Footwear Sub-Industry Index continues to decline for the 3rd year in a row, being at levels half as low as the maximum values ​​of the fourth quarter of 2021. Investment Domes worsen forecasts... 👉 In the first quarter of 2024, Goldman Sachs made adjustments to its forecast for Nike shares, lowering the target price to $120 from the previous $135, while maintaining a Buy recommendation. The company analyst cited ongoing challenges in Nike's near-term growth trajectory as the main reason for the adjustment, anticipating potential underperformance compared to market peers, noting that Nike's 2025 growth expectations have become "more conservative." 👉 Last Friday, Jefferies Financial Group cut its price target from $90.00 to $80.00, according to a report. 👉 Several other equity analysts also weighed in on NKE earlier in Q2 2024. In a research note on Friday, June 28, Barclays downgraded NIKE from an "overweight" rating to an "equal weight" rating and lowered their price target for the company from $109.00 to $80.00. 👉 BMO Capital Markets lowered their price target on NIKE from $118.00 to $100.00 and set an overweight rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, June 28th. 👉 Morgan Stanley reaffirmed an equal-weight rating and set a $79.00 price target (up from $114.00) on shares of NIKE in a research report on Friday, June 28th. 👉 Oppenheimer reiterated an outperform rating and set a $120.00 price target on shares of NIKE in a research report on Friday, June 28th. 👉 Finally, StockNews.com downgraded NIKE from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Friday, June 21st. ...and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy Perhaps everything would have been fine, and all the deterioration in forecasts could have been attributed to the stretching spring of price decline, if not for one circumstance - it is not the ratings that are declining due to the decline in share prices, but the shares themselves are being pushed lower and lower, as one after another depressing ones are released analytical forecasts from investment houses. 16 years ago. How it was On January 15, 2008, shares of many shoe companies, including Nike Inc. (NKE) and Foot Locker Inc. (FL) fell after investment giant Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its stock price targets, warning that the U.S. recession would drag down the companies' sales in 2008 as consumers spend more cautiously. "The recession will further increase the impact of the key headwind of a limited number of key commodity trends needed to fuel consumer interest in the sector," Goldman Sachs said in a note to clients. In early 2008, Goldman downgraded athletic shoe retailer Foot Locker to "sell" from "neutral" and cut its six-month share price target from $17 to $10, saying it expected U.S. sales margins to continue to decline in 2008 despite store closures. The downgrade was a major blow to Foot Locker, which by early 2008 had already seen its shares fall 60 percent over the previous 12 months as it struggled with declining sales due to declining demand for athletic shoes at the mall and a lack of exciting fashion trends in the market. sports shoes. Like now, at those times Goldman retained its recommendation rating to “buy” Nike Inc shares, based on general ideas about the Company’s increasing weight over the US market, topped off with theses about the Company’s international visibility, as well as robust demand ahead of the Beijing Olympics. However Goldman lowered its target price for the shares from $73 to $67 ( from $18.25 to $16.75, meaning two 2:1 splits in Nike stock in December 2012 and December 2015). Although Nike, at the time of the downturn in forecasts, in fact remained largely unscathed by the decline in demand for athletic footwear among US mall retailers, it reported strong second-quarter results in December 2007 (and even beating forecasts for strong demand for its footwear in the US and growth abroad) , Goldman Sachs' forecasts for Nike's revenue and earnings per share to decline were justified. Later Nike' shares lost about 45 percent from their 2008 peaks, and 12 months later reached a low in the first quarter of 2009 near the $40 mark ($10 per share, taking into account two stock splits). The decline in Foot Locker shares from the 2008 peaks 2009 lows was even about 80 percent, against the backdrop of the global recession and the banking crisis of 2007-09. Will history repeat itself this time..!? Who knows.. However, the main technical graph says, everything is moving (yet) in this direction.
NYSE:NKE
by PandorraResearch
This RUT/NDX ratio may convince you to buy NASDAQ aggressively.Nasdaq (NDX) has been under heavy selling pressure in the past 30 days. This short-term pull-back however is nothing but a buy opportunity on the long-term, and this study shows you why. The answer lies on the RUT/NDX ratio which shows that this may be the time to get heavier on tech. The use of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) is due to the fact it represents a wider array of companies. Naturally over the years (this 1M chart shows data since 2006), the ratio declines within a Channel Down as historically the riskier tech sector attracts more capital and grows more. However there are instances where Russell gains more against Nasdaq. We are currently though at a time where this isn't the case as the ratio seems to be ready for decline following the completion of a consolidation that on previous fractals (March 2015, September 2008) was bearish, thus positive for Nasdaq. As you can see, this movements can be grasped by the Sine Waves, though not perfectly, but still good enough to understand the cyclical pattern we're in, also with the help of the 1M RSI Triangles. Nasdaq (which is represented by the blue trend-line) has started massive expansion Channel Up patterns following this unique signal given by the RUT/NDX ratio. The first was right after the 2009 Housing Crisis bottom and the second during the 2015/ 2016 E.U., VW and Oil crisis. The key here is on the 1M RSI. The Triangle is about to beak to the upside and every time this happened in the last 20 years, it coincided with a pull-back on Nasdaq (blue circle) similar to the current one. What followed was massive rallies each time. As a result, this could be an indication that even though the tariffs have rattles investor confidence lately, this is an opportunity for a strong buy position for at least the rest of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:RUT
by TradingShot
NDX-Market fall is related to the trendline breakDid you know this market geometry, symmetry: When a (strong) trendline is broken, the market will fall equal distance or more from the trendline as from the peak to the breakpoint. I have shown example of Nasdaq from the past. This is also true for the reverse, a falling trendline break can predict the upside target Hope this is useful in your trading What it means is you might see a small upside from here, but since its already broken the trendline, it will trap the buyers and then do a hard U turn to the downside. I would wait for a bullish pattern to develop before going in long. Be careful of traps!
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by krisoz
2
NASDAQ: 4H MA50 broke. Time for a full recovery.Nasdaq is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.669, MACD = -426.120, ADX = 56.837) but crossed above its 4H MA50. The last time a bearish wave of this Channel Down crossed above the 4H MA50 was on August 9th 2024. It was achieved again after an oversold 1D RSI bounce and initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then peaked on the 1.382 Fib extension. The trade is long, TP1 = 21,500 and TP2 = 23,400. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
3
Will the spring & summer of 2025 conclude our retrace in minor BIn the interest of full disclosure we have not even confirmed our minor A has in fact bottomed...but assuming we have struck a short term bottom, we are now embarking on a minor B wave retrace that I anticipate taking us into the start of summer. In any respect, I am viewing this as only a counter trend rally with a scary (c) of C of (A) to come into the low SPX 5,000 region eventually. There everything gets decided for the long-term. Be careful out there. Chris
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
3
Moderna. Why Anti-Covid19 Juggernaut Goes 'The Bloodmachine'It's gone 5 years or so... (Duh..? 5 years, really? 🥴) since everyone was talking about COVID-19 pandemic, vaccines, "world will never be the same again", and so on. - And now?.. - It's gone. It's absolutely gone..! Since nothing last forever and no one should chase a feather, or dust in the wind. This is why we at our 💖Super-Duper Beloved @PandorraResearch Team decided to build this idea, as a educational idea to learn, even this story is about single Moderna stock, and we have reasonable considerations about fundamental, technical and price movement perspectives. Well.. Let's the story begin... Over the past few years, Moderna's stock has experienced a significant decline, primarily due to several key factors. Here's a detailed explanation of why Moderna's stock has been moving downward: 1. Declining Demand for COVID-19 Vaccine The primary reason for Moderna's stock decline is the waning demand for COVID-19 vaccines. During the pandemic, Moderna's mRNA-based vaccine was one of the first and most widely used, leading to a surge in sales and profitability. However, as the pandemic transitioned into an endemic phase, demand for vaccines decreased substantially. This shift has resulted in declining sales for Moderna, impacting its revenue and profitability. 2. Sales Guidance and Performance In recent years, Moderna has faced challenges in meeting sales expectations. For instance, in 2025, the company forecasted sales between $1.5 billion and $2.5 billion, which was significantly lower than analysts' expectations of around $2.9 billion. This discrepancy led to a sharp decline in stock prices as investors became increasingly pessimistic about the company's future growth prospects. 3. Cost-Cutting Measures To mitigate the impact of declining sales, Moderna has implemented cost-cutting measures. The company plans to reduce its cash operating costs by $1 billion in 2025 and an additional $500 million in 2026. While these efforts aim to improve profitability, they also reflect the challenges Moderna faces in maintaining its financial health without strong vaccine sales. 4. Competition in New Market s Moderna is expanding into new markets, such as the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine space, with its product mResvia. However, this market is highly competitive, with established players like Pfizer and GSK already present. The competition and uncertainty about market share have contributed to investor skepticism about Moderna's ability to drive growth through new products. 5. Delayed Break-Even Point Initially, Moderna aimed to break even on an operating cash cost basis by 2026. However, this goal has been pushed back to 2028, indicating a slower-than-expected transition to profitability. This delay has further eroded investor confidence in the company's ability to execute its strategic plans effectively. 6. Valuation and Market Performance Moderna's stock has underperformed both the industry and the broader market. The stock trades below its 200-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting a lack of momentum. Additionally, Moderna's price-to-sales ratio is lower than the industry average, which might suggest undervaluation but also indicates a lack of investor enthusiasm for the stock. 7. Analyst Sentiment and Profitability Forecasts Analysts have become increasingly pessimistic about Moderna's prospects, with many not expecting the company to turn profitable again until at least 2029. This negative outlook has contributed to the downward pressure on the stock. Furthermore, estimates for loss per share have increased, reinforcing the bearish sentiment among investors. In summary, Moderna's stock decline is primarily driven by declining vaccine demand, missed sales expectations, increased competition in new markets, delayed profitability, and negative analyst sentiment. While the company is taking steps to adapt to these challenges, the path to recovery remains uncertain, contributing to ongoing investor skepticism. -- Best 'No more Covid' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:MRNA
by PandorraResearch
1
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI. Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ: Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally. From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index. While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TopgOptions
Gold takes Adv. since Trump-a-rally pans out to Bulls fartIt's gone 2 weeks or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press. Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally. Among nearly 2000 components of Smallcap Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT , appr. 90 percent of them (without any fundamental reasons) were up on November 6 - at the day Trump clinched White House victory. For S&P 500 SP:SPX and Nasdaq-100 NASDAQ:NDX indices these numbers were 70 and 75 percent respectively. Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell still says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for super-duper bets, as it's been discussed in earlier posted ideas. Moreover, Geopolitics is roaring back, as current U.S. President Joe Biden tries to authorize the yellow-blues to use powerful long-range American-made weapons inside Russia's legal areas, potentially inside Kursk region where located The Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, that is one of the three biggest nuclear power plants (NPPs) in Russia and one of the four biggest electricity producers in the country. The main graph is for Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD , and it indicates on Cup with Handle technical structure in development as Gold takes Adv. since Trump-a-rally pans out to Bulls fart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch