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High-Impact News Trading StrategiesHigh-Impact News Trading Strategies Trading in the dynamic world of foreign exchange demands a constant adaptation to the ever-evolving factors influencing currency markets. Among these factors, high-impact forex news stands out as a catalyst capable of reshaping market action. In this article, we explore some of the nuances of high-impact news trading, aiming to offer insights that may help manage high volatility and harness its power. Trading High-Impact News Understanding which news releases wield significant influence over the forex market and what market reaction can be expected is paramount for any trader. Forex News with High Impact High-impact news includes events like interest rate decisions, inflation rates, retail sales, consumer spending, labour market data, and nonfarm payroll reports. The impact of these events can be profound, affecting market sentiment and, thus, currency values. Traders keen on mastering this domain must comprehend the dynamics that drive market reactions to such news and position themselves accordingly. It's important to note that these news events can cause extreme volatility in either direction, creating both challenges and opportunities. Forex News Impact Analysis Traders analyse the potential impact of events on currency pairs, employing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis. Fundamental Impact of Economic Data Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the economic factors that underpin a currency's value based on the country's economic health. Traders delve into the consensus forecast, scrutinise historical data, and gauge the prevailing economic climate to gain insights into how these fundamental elements might shape market reactions. Technical Analysis Simultaneously, technical analysis plays a vital role in deciphering the market sentiment and potential price movements. Utilising technical analysis tools such as indicators, support and resistance levels, and trendlines, traders can identify key entry and exit points. By integrating technical analysis, traders gain a more comprehensive view of the market, potentially enhancing their ability to make informed decisions. Forex News Trading Strategies Considering the expected impact of economic data and utilising advanced technical analysis tools based on past forex rates performance, traders can design viable trading strategies at times of major news releases. Retracement Trading: Unveiling Potential Reversals Retracement trading is a strategic approach that capitalises on market pullbacks following significant movements triggered by high-impact news. Look at the example of trading on the US CPI announcement in November 2023: - Fibonacci Retracement: Helps identify key support and resistance areas where price corrections may occur. - Moving Averages: The 9- and 20-period MAs can be applied as a trend confirmation. Entry Traders identify significant Fibonacci retracement levels, typically 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6%, and look for alignment with a bullish/bearish MA crossover to confirm entry points for a long/short position. Stop Loss Stop loss may be placed just below (for long positions) or above (for short positions) the identified Fibonacci retracement level to safeguard against unexpected market reversals. Take Profit A potential signal for a take-profit point could be an MA crossover in the opposite direction of a trade following a failed attempt of the price to break a resistance/support level that coincides with a Fibonacci extension level. Do you already have a strategy for the upcoming high-impact forex news today? Visit FXOpen and trade on the free TickTrader forex trading platform. Trend-Change Trading Strategy Trading during major news releases demands a nimble and precise approach to capitalise on medium-term price fluctuations. This strategy incorporates three technical indicators simultaneously to evaluate the strength of the price movement and determine potential entry and exit points. In this approach, we utilise: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Identifying overbought or oversold conditions. - Stochastic Oscillator: Gauging the strength of a price trend. - Average True Range (ATR): Measuring market volatility, helping to settle appropriate stop-loss levels. Entry Following a major price move on the news event, traders could identify weakness in an uptrend/downtrend by observing the divergence of both RSI and Stochastic indicators with the price movement. A potential entry for a long/short position involves aligning bullish/bearish signals from RSI and Stochastic, such as crossing above/below oversold/overbought areas. Stop Loss Stop loss could be placed just below recent lows or above recent highs for long and short trades, respectively, factoring in the ATR to account for potential market volatility. Take Profit Traders may determine possible take-profit points by considering bearish/bullish signals from RSI and Stochastics. Exploiting Increased Volatility Trading during high-impact news events requires a specialised strategy that accounts for increased market volatility. A sound volatility-based approach implements specific indicators so traders may be able to capitalise on rapid forex rate deviations. The chart shows trading on Japan’s industrial production data release at the end of October 2023, and we use: - Bollinger Bands: These help identify potential surges in volatility through band expansion. - ATR (Average True Range): This can be used for trailing stop-loss levels - MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A surge in buying or selling pressure can be reflected in MACD crossovers. Entry Traders would monitor Bollinger Bands for an expansion preceding news events. Price cross above/below the middle Bollinger Band after the release may signal an entry point for long/short positions. This should align with a bullish/bearish MACD crossover. Stop Loss Traders may place stop-loss orders just beyond recent price extremes to account for potential market reversals and limit possible losses and use the ATR indicator to calculate trailing stop-loss levels. Take Profit A possible take-profit level for long/short trades can be derived from a bearish/bullish reversal of the MACD indicator, or it can be set based on the expected price range derived from the ATR. Concluding Thoughts Trading high-impact forex news requires a mix of market analysis, risk management, and strategic execution. By understanding the dynamics of high-impact events and implementing robust trading strategies, traders may navigate the volatility inherent in these situations. Ready to trade on major economic news? You can open an FXOpen account and try out your strategies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
5
Never trade on news. Everything is hidden in the price action !Everyone was looking for ETF confirmation to get long. But the market turned red! US SEC grants approval for spot bitcoin ETFs - RTRS but the market moved against expectations. This is why we say never trade with fundamental news. Everything is hidden in the price action. Bitcoin had reached the ceiling of the channel and also our indicator had given a short signal. So, contrary to all positions, we opened the shorts and had fun!
Education
by Bullishway1
2
Understanding Euro Zone Economic NewsEuro Zone Economic News Explained: Purchasing Managers Index Manufacturing: The Purchasing Managers Manufacturing report is a survey of manufacturing providers in the Eurozone (EZ) and focuses in on issues such as costs and demand. Essentially, a strong PMI, in which costs are low and demand is improving is bullish for the Euro, whereas a survey that results in increasing costs and decreasing demand implicates speculation against the Euro. Manufacturing is a significant component of the EZ economy, and thus a survey that indicates optimism or pessimism about the sector can really get the markets moving, the Euro in particular. A reading of 50 is a critical measure in the PMI index with a number below 50 indicating contraction and a number above 50 indicating expansionary conditions. Taking a strong position based solely on the PMI Manufacturing Survey though could prove to be regretful. Purchasing Managers Index Services: The Purchasing Managers Services report is a survey of service providers in the EZ and focuses in on issues such as costs and demand. Essentially, a strong PMI, in which costs are low and demand is improving is bullish for the Euro, whereas a survey that results in increasing costs and decreasing demand implicates speculation against the Euro. A reading of 50 is critical measure in the PMI index with a number below 50 indicating contraction and a number above 50 indicating expansionary conditions. The services sector is very important to the EZ and any significant gains or shortcomings could set the Euro climbing or falling. Retail Trade: Retail Trade is the measure of retail sales, and thus the willingness of the consumer to spend. An upswing in this figure could result in Euro buying whereas a shortfall could cause Euro selling. This number is very important to the trader because it correlates to consumer conditions and outlook within the EZ region. If the Retail Trade figure comes in strong it means that consumers are spending money and thus are probably well off, hinting that EZ consumer confidence and the CPI may also be strong. However, if Retail Trade figures are low, it could suggest that interest rates are too high, consumer confidence is sinking, or businesses are suffering. Clearly, a worse than expected Retail Trade figure offers more information (though ambiguity hand-in-hand) than does a strong figure because a strong figure seeks reinforcement from other indicators (such as the CPI and Consumer Confidence survey) and thus lags, whereas a less-than-expected figure immediately suggests that the EZ economy is most likely turning sour in one respect. Traders will often react immediately to this release, but much caution is exercised due to the wide array of implications this number carries with it. It is inadvisable to trade solely on this figure. German Retail Sales: German Retail Sales are very similar to the Retail Trade figure but differ in that they report an aggregate number of sales at retail outlets to provide for a better estimate of German private consumption. Like in Retail Trade, traders will often look to long the Euro should the figure be impressive, and short the European currency should it fall below expectations. Much like Retail Trade, traders will use the Retail Sales figure to better understand the direction of the economy in terms of other key economic releases. One of the few advantages the German Retail Sales has over Retail Trade is the time of release. Because the German figure is reported before the EZ number, traders can “jump the gun” should they wish, though acting in such a manner is not usually advisable in the Forex market. Eurozone Gross Domestic Product: The general rule of thumb when using GDP as a fundamental signal to trade is that an improved number means Euro positive whereas a lesser or unchanged figure translates into Euro stagnancy or bearishness. The Eurozone Gross Domestic Product is a measure of the progress of the Eurozone economy as a whole. The figure is very important to traders because it gauges the level of performance with which the Europeans are proceeding as well as harbingers and undermines the set of economic data that is expected to be reported from the region during a certain time period. Generally, the disclosure of a number that’s either expected or ahead of forecasts sets off bullish signals for the Euro; a number that falls below predictions invokes the Euro bears. GDP data for Germany, France, Italy, and the collective Eurozone region tend to be most closely followed. Current Account: The Current Account Deficit is probably the most comprehensive measure of international transactions for Europe as it is the measure of net exports, (total exports minus total imports). If the figure falls below expectations, slight movements against the Euro should be expected. But it is also important to keep in mind that a number that outperforms or either falls short of expectations is not necessarily going to get the traders to act hastily. The release of this number is monthly and tends to be in accord with the Trade Balance numbers that are generally reported a day or two in advance of the Current Account figure. The Current Account Deficit is usually interpreted in one way; a large negative number is damaging to the European currency. This is because the Current Account is a reflection of the net exports, and if it is negative, it shows that the Eurozone is importing more than it is exporting; a bad sign for industries at home and means that more Euros are going out of than coming into the region. However, the negativity of the number is not what traders pay attention to, but rather the change in it; the marginal change in the Current Account. The logic is very similar to that behind the GDP in that if a number comes in below expectations, it could hurt the Euro, whereas if it out performs forecasts, it could prove bullish for the European currency (despite its negativity). However, this number cannot be solely “judged by its cover” because the number says a lot more than meets the eye. For instance, a more negative figure does indeed signal a decrease in net exports, but at the same time could also serve to patron other economic releases, such as consumer spending. If the Europeans are spending a lot of money, and that money is leading them to buy things from abroad as their fiscal conditions are allowing them to do so, then a decrease in net exports doesn’t seem so “damaging” to the Eurozone economy; it could simply mean people are buying things exotic to them because they are better off. Generally though, the trend in industrialized western nations (Eurozone included) has been that a more negative Current Account is damaging to industries at home. So if the figure falls below expectations, at least slight movements against the Euro should be expected. Unemployment Data: Unemployment is a very significant indicator for Eurozone performance. It is reported in the beginning of every month and measures the percentage of the workforce that is currently out of a job but is actively seeking to be employed. Generally, traders understand slight improvements in the unemployment figure (as monthly figures generally vacillate by tenths of percentages) to be positive for the Eurozone economy and will buy Euros, whereas a no-change or increase in the unemployment numbers could lead to Euro stagnancy or dumping across the board. The figure is important because it signals how hard the Eurozone is actually working and helps to foreshadow consumer spending. High unemployment generally leads to lower consumer spending which can be bearish for the Eurozone economy as well as the Euro. The flip scenario is also true, weak Eurozone employment is bearish for the economy as well as the Euro. Generally speaking, unemployment raises concerns about the performance of firms, questioning whether businesses are either not hiring because they do not need more help, or are not hiring because they cannot afford to do so. If the latter is the case, then it could prove even more bearish for the Euro as it could be forecasting sour economic data regarding the productivity of businesses. German Unemployment: The German Unemployment figure is expressed in thousands and measures the change in unemployment in Germany; a positive figure says that more people are unemployed, thus leading to Euro selling, whereas a negative figure is indicative of decreasing unemployment and thus leads to Euro buying. Germany is important because it is the Eurozone’s largest economy. Any big or unexpected movements in this country have significant consequences for the Euro. This figure usually coincides with the Unemployment rate, but offers “greater detail” as it reports actual numbers, so that traders may have substance to trade off of if the rate itself remains unchanged. Consumer Price Index: The Consumer Price Index measures the change in price for a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. The higher the CPI, the more positive it is for the Euro, whereas the opposite is also true. The ECB has a 2% inflation target, so whenever consumer prices grow by more than 2%, the ECB becomes concerned and contemplates the need for rate hikes. If consumer prices grow by much less than 2%, the central bank has more flexibility to adjust monetary policy and interest rates. If the CPI has substantial gains, then the ECB would have the incentive to raise interest rates to keep inflation in check, thereby benefiting the Euro. However, if the CPI remains idle, or prices decrease, then even a rate cut is possible. CPI itself though consists of a few major components: one that includes energy prices, and one that includes food prices. These two constituents are very volatile and thus tend to sometimes “exaggerate” the CPI. Though they are undoubtedly considered when considering inflationary concerns, many times traders will also focus in on the “core CPI” to see how the change in prices in other sectors measured up to the changes in these two key areas. Either way, a sharp increase would generally prompt Euro buying, and a decrease would call for Euro dumping. German ZEW Survey: The German ZEW economic survey reflects the difference between the number of economic analysts that are optimistic and the number of economic analysts who are pessimistic about the German economy for the subsequent six months. Obviously, a positive figure bodes well for the Euro, while a negative number foreshadows Euro selling. The ZEW survey is important because firstly, it gauges the economic productivity of Germany, the Euro-Zone’s largest economy. Secondly, it forecasts the string of economic releases concerned with the different sectors of the economy. For instance, something like Factory Orders, Industrial Production, or even Retail Sales could be implicated (or at least their negative or positive changes) in the ZEW survey. Therefore, the survey is one of the key economic indicators that move the Euro during its time of release; the sentiment that results usually fuels the Euro strongly in one direction (at least in the short-term intra-day period). German IFO Survey: The Germany IFO economic survey is much like the ZEW economic survey in that it measures the sentiment, the confidence, in the German economy, but differs in that it includes the market-moving words of business executives. Usually, an improvement in the figure leads to Euro bullishness whereas a decrease or an unchanged number leads to either Euro stalemating or dumping. The IFO survey usually follows the ZEW and reflects sentiment along the same lines. However, should there exist a discrepancy between the ZEW and the IFO, traders tend to give the ZEW a bit more favoritism because it lacks the bias of business executives. Trading on either the ZEW or IFO survey isn’t usually very lucrative, unless both of these numbers are in line with each other and reinforce other key fundamental indicators as well. Industrial Production: The Industrial Production figure is a measure of the total industrial output of them Euro-Zone either on a monthly or yearly basis. The number is very significant as an improvement in the figure could lead the Euro to make significant gains whereas a decline or stagnant number could lead to weakness in the European currency. The reason Industrial Production is important is because it is a confirmation of its type of preceding economic releases (PPI, CPI, Retail Sales, etc.); the only key data following the IP figure being the Eurozone CPI estimate. This is why many times, by the time the Industrial Production data is due for release, traders will argue that the market has already “priced in” industrial productivity in the previous economic releases. Therefore, though large gains or losses in this figure could spark some immediate movement in the market, the market has more or less, factored in the expected Industrial Production data. German Industrial Production: German Industrial Production is a composite index of German Industrial Output that accounts for about 40% of GDP. This figure is very important because it measures the level of German Industrial Production; an improvement usually signals a “buy” in the Euro, whereas a decline in the figure constitutes a “sell” to many traders. The reason this particular IP report is more important is because not only does it measure the industrial output of Germany, the EZ’s largest economy, but also because of the fact that though it comes out late in the month, it is one of the first IP reports, and thus serves as a harbinger to the EZ IP report; if Germany saw decline, then the EZ IP report probably won’t be too bright, at least from the perspective of the trader. In a sense, the EZ IP continues to get priced in before its release. The German release has four significant components: manufacturing, which constitutes 82% of the figure, construction, which accounts for 9.5%, energy that has a 5.9% share, and mining which has the smallest share at 2.7%. Though all four components are important for Germany, movement in its largest constituent, manufacturing, usually carries the weight of the figure and has the attention of traders. German Factory Orders: German Factory Orders is an index of the volume of orders for manufactured products in Germany. This is a key figure for many traders, as an improvement in the number signals buying of the Euro, while a shortcoming signals a sell-off. The reason this reading is important is because Factory Orders not only reflect the strength of businesses but also help forecast other key economic releases such as retail sales. If orders are high, then businesses need more inventory, meaning that consumers are probably purchasing more. Traders key in on this figure, especially its components, before reacting towards the Euro. The four major constituents of German Factory Orders include intermediate goods (45.6%), capital goods (35.1%), consumer durables (11.8%), and consumer non-durables (7.4%). All four are very significant, but for different reasons. Traders will take the first two figures, the intermediate goods and capital goods, as an understanding of the strength of businesses within Germany. If there is an increase in these categories, then subsequent economic releases such as the PMI could also look very bright. The second two say much about consumer confidence and retail sales; if these two sectors are outperforming expectations, then the Euro could see significant gains. However, traders are usually wary when interpreting the German factory orders, because given some economic scenarios, gains in some sectors may very well offset losses in others whereas during certain time periods a different emphasis may be given to the different components. Therefore prudent traders will usually first consider the weight of each component before the release comes out and then act accordingly. Eurozone Labor Costs: The Eurozone Labor Costs (inclusive of both direct and indirect) figure reports the expenditures endured by employers in the EZ region in order to employ workers. Traders will generally understand higher costs to be negative for the EZ and consequently short the Euro, whereas decreasing costs may result in buying the Euro. However, it is advisable to understand the complexities involved in labor costs. On one hand, labor costs could be interpreted as a negative for businesses, but on the other hand they could be viewed as a positive stimulus for the economy. This is because firms may simply be hiring more qualified and thus more “expensive” individuals to increase specialization. If this is the case, then individuals within the economy may be better off, signaling that optimism is rising in the EZ; the Euro may see more gains. Also, there exists the possibility that while costs are rising, revenue is also rising, thus keeping total profit for businesses constant, and at the same time increasing payouts to workers, a signal that the EZ is expanding. In this case, the Euro may also be bought. However, understanding this complexity is again subject to the current economic scenario surrounding the EZ; if it is in a situation where expansionism is fertile or businesses have excess capital, then only can the increasing costs in labor justify a long position in the Euro. If that is not the case then increasing labor costs will result in Euro shorting.
Education
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Dealing with News releasesUse any economic calendar to monitor news releases. (forexfactory, myfxbook). Below is how I adapt to news when trading my personal edge, including the pairs GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD and XAUUSD in my times. If you have tested pairs with other currencies, for example with CAD etc, make sure to be aware of related news there too. Which news do I adapt to: 💀 USD high impact news - I have closed out any trades on any of my pairs before the news release, regardless of if I am in deep profit or loss on the trade. I do not enter trades on any of my pairs within 30 mins before or after a high impact USD news release. 💀 GBP high impact news - I have closed out any trade on a GBP or EUR trade before the news release, regardless of if I am in deep profit or loss on the trade. I do not enter trades on any GBP or EUR pair within 30 mins before or after a high impact USD news release. If the news release is CPI/ Inflation or Interest Rates, I also close out/ don’t enter trades on all my other pairs too. 💀 EUR high impact news - I am not concerned about EUR news as it does not tend to affect my pairs much in my experience. The only EUR news I close out/ do not enter trades on is Inflation/ CPI. Note the EUR news only applies to news on the economic calendar with the European flag next to it - not the random countries within the EU, such as Germany, Italy etc.
Education
by algoat
Market News and Events that Affect Forex Prices Forex trading is an exciting and dynamic market that is influenced by a wide range of news and events. In order to make informed trading decisions, it is important to keep up-to-date with market news and events that can affect forex prices. Here are some key factors that can have an impact on the forex market: 1. Economic Indicators: Economic indicators such as GDP, inflation rates, and employment data are closely watched by forex traders as they can provide insights into the strength of a country's economy. Positive economic data can lead to a stronger currency while negative data can lead to a weaker currency. Central Bank Policy : Central banks play a key role in setting interest rates and monetary policy, which can have a significant impact on forex prices. Changes in interest rates or announcements regarding monetary policy can lead to fluctuations in currency values. Political Events: Political events such as elections, trade negotiations, and geopolitical tensions can also impact forex prices. For example, the Brexit vote in the UK had a significant impact on the value of the British pound. Natural Disasters: Natural disasters such as earthquakes, hurricanes, and floods can also affect forex prices. These events can impact the supply and demand of goods and services, which in turn can impact currency values. Market Sentiment : Market sentiment refers to the overall mood of traders and investors towards a particular currency. Positive sentiment can lead to an increase in demand for a currency while negative sentiment can lead to a decrease in demand. It is important to note that not all news and events will have an impact on forex prices and the impact can vary depending on the specific currency pair being traded. It is also important to have a solid understanding of technical analysis tools such as charts and indicators, as well as a strong understanding of risk management, in order to make informed trading decisions. By keeping up-to-date with market news and events and using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis, forex traders can increase their chances of success in this dynamic market.
Education
by glorias3972
How To Follow Market News Like a ProAs a member of TradingView, you have access to more than 100 news providers. Our excellent news providers cover every asset class. Learning how to manage market news is an important informational edge that takes time and practice - always know the latest stories about your favorite symbols and be in the know about what traders are talking about. In this post, we want to share a few tips for managing your news flow. 🗞️🎯 Before we get started, let us remind everyone how we recently enhanced our news by giving our members access to one of the world's preeminent news organizations - Dow Jones Newswire including the Wall Street Journal, Marketwatch, Barron's, Dow Jones Commodity Trader, and more. Where To Find News On TradingView 📰 To get started with news, first make sure you're logged into your account. Once you're logged in, there are several ways to access news. Let's take a look at each method. - Symbol pages have dedicated news sections that cover that symbol in great detail. For example, here's every important story about Apple and here's the latest breaking news about Tesla . Go to any symbol page of your choice, click News, and start reading. - Check out our global news flow page that brings all of our sources to one place. Once you've arrived, filter by the asset class of your choice. - Our corporate news page brings insider buying & selling, company press releases, and official financial filings all to one page. As an equity trader or investor, this page will keep you updated about key events happening in the corporate world. How To Find News On The Chart 📈 News can also be accessed directly from the chart. As everyone knows, breaking news can impact markets in a variety of ways. Open the chart and watch price, volume, and news all at once. This is an effective combination of tools that combines the biggest headlines with real trading activity. Here's how to get started: - Open your watchlist, select a symbol, and then look for the latest news headline as demonstrated in the image below. Click the headline to open a dedicated news feed for that symbol. And just like that you'll have markets news and the chart open at once: - Another way to add news to your chart is to open the Settings menu, click Events, and then check the box that says "Latest news." This box will display the latest market news directly on the chart you have open. Follow the instructions shown on the image below to get started. Go Deeper With Specific News For Your Needs 🌐 Depending on your style of trading or desired asset class, there are additional news resources for you to harness. Check out the list below for more pages where market news can be found: - Bond market news - Futures market news - Global market news Read News From Anywhere With Our App 📱 The official TradingView mobile app for iOS and Android is free to download and market news is available to all members. Once downloaded, you can follow global market news or news about your favorite symbols. The app allows you to sort by top stories, asset class, and the world economy. If you still don't have our app, get it here! Thanks for reading! We hope this post helps you become a market master for following the latest news. Please let us know if you have any questions or comments.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by TradingView
22
What News to Follow | Top 5 Forex Fundamentals Economic indicators and announcements are an essential part of fundamental analysis. Even if you’re not planning on finding trades using fundamentals, it’s a good idea to pay attention to how the overall economy is performing. Here’s a cheat sheet covering six key indicators and announcements to watch out for. 1. Non-farm payrolls (NFP) The non-farm payrolls report estimates the net number of jobs gained in the US in the previous month – excluding those in farms, private households and non-profit organisations. 2. Consumer price index (CPI) The chief measure of inflation is the consumer price index, which measures the changing prices of a group of consumer goods and services. 3. Central bank meetings As we’ve seen, most traders follow economic figures so they can anticipate what a central bank might do next. So, it only makes sense that we pay attention to what happens when they actually meet and make decisions. 4. Consumer and business sentiment reports Multiple organisations are constantly surveying consumers and business leaders to create sentiment reports. While the number of reports they produce is staggering, they all play their part in shaping the markets’ expectation for the future. 5. Purchasing manager index (PMI) Purchasing manager indices measure the prevailing direction of economic trends in a given industry, according to the view of its purchasing managers. They are used as an indicator of the overall health of a sector. Pay close attention to these fundamentals. They play a crutial role in trading. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅ Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
8
CPI & Inflation Rate USHello everyone! Let's take a look on what happened yesterday on the US financial market and understand the impact of CPI and inflation rate. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and inflation news from the United States can have a significant impact on financial markets and the value of the U.S. dollar. The CPI measures the change in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households, and inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising. When the CPI and inflation numbers are higher than expected , it can indicate that the economy is growing, which can boost stock prices, lead to higher interest rates, and appreciate the dollar. This is because as the economy grows, companies will see increased demand for their products and services, which can lead to higher profits and stock prices. Higher interest rates can also attract more investors to bonds, which can lead to higher bond prices. Additionally, a strong economy can lead to increased demand for U.S. goods and services, and increased foreign investment in the U.S. economy. As a result, the demand for dollars increases, which can lead to an increase in the value of the dollar. On the other hand, if the CPI and inflation numbers are lower than expected , it can indicate that the economy is slowing down , which can lead to lower stock prices, lower interest rates and depreciation of the dollar. This is because as the economy slows down, companies will see decreased demand for their products and services, which can lead to lower profits and stock prices. Lower interest rates can also lead to less investors in bonds, which can lead to lower bond prices. Additionally, a weak economy can lead to decreased demand for U.S. goods and services, and decreased foreign investment in the U.S. economy. As a result, the demand for dollars decreases, which can lead to a decrease in the value of the dollar. It's important to note that the Federal Reserve uses inflation as an indicator to change the monetary policy, as they use interest rates as a tool to control inflation. Typically if inflation is too high, the Fed will increase interest rates to slow down the economy and curb inflation, and if inflation is too low, the Fed will decrease interest rates to stimulate the economy. These monetary policy decisions can also have an impact on the value of the dollar, as when the Fed raises interest rates, it can make the U.S. a more attractive place to invest, which can lead to an appreciation of the dollar. Conversely, when the Fed lowers interest rates, it can make the U.S. a less attractive place to invest, which can lead to a depreciation of the dollar.
ECONOMICS:USCPIEducation
by m_maia14
Q&As: non-market dataThere's some curious personalities that trade (at least claim to trade) based on news, fundamental metrics, alt data n stuff. I don't mean invest, I mean trade. Well that looks like a skill to be proud off, superstimuli always feels cool aye? Good thing tho there no real reason in doing it all. The most precise term to explain non-market data is, well, everything that ain't have a direct involvement with what happens inside the order matching servers of a given exchange. So open interest is in fact a great example of non-market data. The one & only real purpose for using all this data is to know (not to guess/predict/forecast, not to even anticipate), but to understand when the ACTION is going to happen. If you think deeper, ultimately it's all about asset selection to satisfy whatever purpose you got. if you ever got caught yourself feeling fooled when media release a bad info but prices go up, or media release a good info but prices go down, it's ok. It doesn't work that way, direction of prices can't be affected this way. Direction of prices is the result of how buyers meet sellers which is based on +inf number of factors, where a non-market data is simply just one of these +inf factors. It exclusively provokes action, meat, hype, momentum, volatility, whatever you call it. What's happening is that things start to happen very fast. Without a trigger event, the trading activity would've been the same, it just would've take longer to unwind. News don't change the structure, they make it all happen faster, that's it. Examples of non-market data that can be used to expect action: 1) Trading schedule, eg the US, EU opening times; 2) Economic releases; 3) Commitment of traders reports; 4) Significant news; 5) Changes in yield curves; 6) "Fundamental" stock data; 7) Open interest; 8) etc etc etc One really important thing to add is that, just like trading activity is understood in context (other resolutions), sizing also includes context (equity control, market impact), the same way every non-market data event lives in the context (previous releases, other releases, overall economy). You're interesting not in a new per se, but rather in what does it mean in the world. For example, inflation reports don't mean much when the rates are low, but when the rates are high, they trigger significant activity. That's the area where statistical learning, automated learning, "machine" learning, 'Really' starts to make sense business-wise. The ultimate goal is to create a system that will process every kind of data you have (NLP and TDA should help) and output the tickers with raising/already risen levels of interest.
CBOT:ZN1!Education
by gorx1
FACTORS THAT PUSH THE PRICEHello everybody! Today I want to discuss with you a serious question - What factors are pushing the price? As you know, there is fundamental and technical analysis. Each trader himself gives preference to what to use in the analysis. And we will try to understand what pushes the price. NEWS The first thing that comes to mind is NEWS . News affects OUR WHOLE LIFE . The news pushes crowds of people to one point and forces them to flee from another. News is a strong factor. If the central bank decides something, it will be in the news and it will definitely push the market. If the president of the country has decided something, it is shown on the news and it pushes the market. If a person who decided the fate of an entire industry was fired, it will push the market and the price. Therefore, it is IMPORTANT to follow the news and, more importantly, correctly interpret the news and be able to predict the future mood and future actions of the crowd based on them. PATTERNS All traders see the same chart, but everyone perceives it differently. There are many reasons for this: someone knows more patterns, someone has more experience, someone understands better than another, someone has better discipline. And when one or another pattern appears on the chart, people start trading and push the price. You may have noticed that if no special picture is visible on the market, then the market is sluggish. As soon as a pattern emerges, movement begins. People entered the market. Can we say that patterns move the price? Or maybe someone is creating patterns on the chart to move the price? EMOTIONS We have already touched on this topic above, but it is worth noting separately. Emotions play an important role in everything. If the crowd is happy, the market is growing. The crowd is afraid - the market is falling. The crowd can be angry at the company or the country, close positions and thereby push the price down because of their bias.. The one who knows how to understand other people's emotions is able to predict the future actions of the crowd and make money on it. Think about it... SUPPLY AND DEMAND Classical works on economics teach us that the market is controlled by supply and demand. more precisely, the difference between supply and demand. If the demand is large, the price rises, if the demand is small, the price falls. The logic is simple: if people buy a lot, someone will start raising the price before selling, why not, because people buy. When people don't want to buy, the one who needs to sell will lower the price to lure the buyer, because you need to sell something. At the same time, it is important that there should always be both a buyer and a seller, otherwise the price will stand still or move slowly. When there is both a buyer and a seller on the market and a lot of transactions are made, the price moves quickly, volumes increase, so even strong jumps (GAPS) are possible. MANIPULATION Manipulation is the darkest, most hidden action from prying eyes. No one can say for sure whether it was manipulation or not. Can someone push the market? You often observe that the price reaches your stop, after which it immediately goes in the right direction, but without you. Many traders believe that manipulation can be observed in the market . Someone thinks that every movement is manipulation. What do you think? Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
10
What are new-home sales and why do they matter to the economy?Upcoming week we have two important major events happening for the U.S , one of them is the new-home sales. But what exactly are new-home sales, and why do they matter? In this post, we'll break down what new-home sales are and explain why they're so important to the overall health of the economy. You also be more prepared and informed why the market moved in a certain way. Lets move on... What are new-home sales and why do they matter to the economy? New-home sales are a measure of trading activity in the market for newly built homes. The new-home sales data are important leading indicators of economic activity, providing timely information on changes in the demand for new homes, which directly affects decisions regarding investment, production, and employment. The data on new-home sales also provide valuable information on the market fundamentals that are shaping trading conditions in the market for newly built homes. The data can be used to inform decision-making about pricing, product mix, and other strategic considerations. In addition, the data can be used to assess market conditions and identify emerging trends. As such, new-home sales data are an important tool for monitoring and understanding the health of the economy.‍ See historical graph here: fred.stlouisfed.org Impact of new-home sales When new-home sales activity levels rise, it has a positive impact on the economy as a whole. For consumers, this increased activity level leads to currency being put back into circulation. When builders see an increase in new-home sales, they are able to reinvest that currency into building more homes, which in turn provides more jobs for other industry players. The increased activity also has a positive impact on the stock market and it's currency, as builders and other companies who stocks are traded publicly see their stock prices increase. This provides more stability in the markets and can lead to more investors feeling confident about putting their money into the markets. Ultimately, when new-home sales activity levels increase, it provides a boost to the economy as a whole.‍ New-home sales are an important economic indicator because they signal overall consumer confidence and spending. Increased new-home sales activity levels have a ripple effect throughout the economy, benefiting consumers, builders, and other industry players. We shall see what impact the new-home sales will have this week on EURUSD. We can currently see we are stuck in a range between support and resistance - let's see what the week will bring. Trade safe around these hours! Cheers.
Education
by vuetratrading
3
Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading Economic indicators and announcements are an essential part of fundamental analysis. Even if you’re not planning on finding trades using fundamentals, it’s a good idea to pay attention to how the overall economy is performing. Here’s a cheat sheet covering six key indicators and announcements to watch out for. 1. Non-farm payrolls (NFP) The non-farm payrolls report estimates the net number of jobs gained in the US in the previous month – excluding those in farms, private households and non-profit organisations. 2. Consumer price index (CPI) The chief measure of inflation is the consumer price index, which measures the changing prices of a group of consumer goods and services. 3. Central bank meetings As we’ve seen, most traders follow economic figures so they can anticipate what a central bank might do next. So, it only makes sense that we pay attention to what happens when they actually meet and make decisions. 4. Consumer and business sentiment reports Multiple organisations are constantly surveying consumers and business leaders to create sentiment reports. While the number of reports they produce is staggering, they all play their part in shaping the markets’ expectation for the future. 5. Purchasing manager index (PMI) Purchasing manager indices measure the prevailing direction of economic trends in a given industry, according to the view of its purchasing managers. They are used as an indicator of the overall health of a sector. Pay close attention to these fundamentals. They play a crutial role in trading.
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
13
Why Good News Crashes Markets"But the news wasn't that bad, why is the market falling??" When news or economic data hits the wire, markets move. Many traders are left scratching their heads, trying to come up with an explanation for why the market tanks on good news or rallies on bad news. Don't waste your time. It turns out, news is usually just a catalyst that allows momentum traders to profit off of a position they've already established, or lays the groundwork for their next trade. As an example, take the overnight session preceding this morning's PPI print. First, size traders accumulated (bought) under VWAP. Then, they drove the price up around 12am, and proceeded to distribute (sell) for a profit above VWAP. Look at where the majority of volume was transacted, the VPOC. When this moves above VWAP, it tells you distribution may be done. What happens next? Size traders have made their money for the night, and no longer provide a bid. As soon as news or data comes out, they allow price to fall and may even sell into it. And the cycle starts over again, now at an even better (lower) price. Understanding this has helped me immensely; I sincerely hope it helps you too. Questions? Hit me up in the comments.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by gr8fultrading
2
The News Just Serves To ConfuseI have been a trader for a very long time, so listen as I spit some facts. News is worse than a distraction, it ACTIVELY inhibits you from making good decisions. You have TradingView at your fingertips and it contains all the information you need, in a package so advanced it's frightening. STICK TO PRICE ACTION! I will say this again at the end. I am 100% certain that I only started to be successful after I stopped DIRECTIONAL trading based on news. Of course, I know the broad mass of what's going on in the markets and which news events may have an effect. I haven't stopped listening to and reading the news, but I HAVE started to see it all differently. You can see from the chart that all the recent "Shock News" has no real impact unless you are a day trader. rate decision, statements, unemployment, blah blah.... I am not saying that news is not important, I'm saying that you need to translate it and to be aware of why it is written. This probably sounds like a weird thing to say, but hear me out. Do a memory check with me. When was the last time that the news was all positive about bitcoin? Answer: At the top and on the way down, when the big boys were selling it to naïve retail (like you, probably). Now we are at the bottom, all the news is negative on BTC. I wonder why? (HINT: They want you to panic out so they can buy.) There are three possible reasons for this. 1. The writers are dumb. They are part of the retail crowd themselves and are therefore subject to the same impulses, fears and hopes. They get carried away when things are pumping, and drop into despair when the markets plunge. 2. The whole industry is driven by the big firms, who obviously want to make as much money as they can. Retail traders are, on average, so bad at trading that brokers don't even put their trades into the market, preferring to risk taking the other side themselves. 75% of retail traders lose money. 90% of retail traders will lose 90% of their first trading account in the first 90 days. If I were a broker I would take the other side of those odds, thanks. All I have to do now is make people trade as much as possible. I get commission, and I probably get their stake as well. How to make people trade as much as possible? PUMP OUT NEWS THAT TRIGGERS TRADING. 3. A combination of 1 and 2. The financial industry, from megabanks through to news services, gurus and brokers, is set up to excite people about trading as much as possible. There is constant pressure to provide reasons why oil rose 5% or SP500 dropped 8% etc etc, and even on slow weeks the sheer amount of stories that are published is mind-blowing. The writers are unlikely to be traders themselves, and they just pump out stories based on what happened yesterday and what MIGHT happen today. It is all designed as a massive call to action that is constant, and traders just like you open (and close) positions based on "market analyst" pieces written by economists and professional analysts employed by the brokers. Are you beginning to see how it all fits together? The industry LOVES a day trader most of all, because they lose their stake the fastest, so day trading is promoted as exciting. After all, it IS exciting. Trading gives you a buzz. It's addictive, possibly more so than gambling. It is gambling after all, only slightly different, and if you trade like a gambler, you lose in the end. So, how do I look at news? 1. If trading short-timeframe, I am aware of figures that are due this week, and avoid holding a position coming up to an announcement, and for a while afterwards. 2. If trading medium- to long-term, I remember that the non-farm payrolls may move the market a few percent sometimes, but when you zoom out you can barely see the effect. As a result most of my trading is swing trading. 3. I regard it as a reverse indicator if anything. It never ceases to amaze me when I am thinking about taking a long in, say, Gold, and then an email hits my inbox containing a bearish Gold story. I don't think I am becoming QAnon but I do think these stories can easily be planted by the big players. What journalist doesn't want to write a story after they interview some "master of the universe" trader from GS or JPM or wherever. Or maybe the boss says "write a Gold story today", so they call up their contact who trades it for a bank. Same effect. The banks are in buy mode, and they need retail to sell it to them. If this sounds like I think the whole thing is a colossal rigged casino, then I am getting my point across. News is just a part of the effort to separate you from your cash, but it's doing a great job. So, what to do? 1. Trade on Price Action only. 2. Be aware of news in case it affects a trade you may place or one that you have on, 3. Understand that nearly all news is designed to make you panic in or out of a trade, and regard it VERY cynically. It can be hard to remain calm in the face of a negative headline, but that's what a good pro trader will do. Currently I am long BTC, despite huge negative headlines. Once again, repeat after me: You have TradingView at your fingertips and it contains all the information you need, in a package so advanced it's frightening. STICK TO PRICE ACTION!
Editors' picks
UEducation
by Paul_Varcoe
122
Etherum 2.0 is COMING... More DetailsHello friends So finally we will ee ETH 2.0 as soon as posibble. I want to explain more details about MERGE upgrade and launch day. then have a look at some NEWS about ETH 2.0. lets see again whats Etherum 2.0 and MERGE upgrade? Ethereum will move from a proof-of-work consensus mechanism to a proof-of-stake blockchain known as MERGE Right now Ethereum uses the same consensus mechanism as Bitcoin known as proof of work. This requires miners to validate transactions and keep the network secure. It is slow, costly, and uses large amounts of energy by design. Proof of stake is different because it gets rid of miners altogether and uses validators (people who “stake”—or lock-up—Ethereum to keep the network secure and running). After the upgrade the only way to create new ETH will be to stake pre-existing ETH on the network which analysts expect could have a deflationary impact on the cryptocurrency. Moving to proof of stake will then make Ethereum “99% more energy efficient. Ethereum Merge expected between 10 and 20 September. Now lets check some HOT news about this happening: 22 August 2022: CME Group to launch Ethereum options prior to ETH 2.0 Merge 17 August 2022: Coinbase pausing ETH deposits during Merge is ‘not significant’ 12 August 2022: Ethereum Merge to take place 15/16 September after Goerli success I hope this upgrade be successful and after that Vitalik can go ahead SHARDING mechanism... More incredible things will be happpen... just BE patient... Share me your opinion about this article. are you like this type of atticles??? so let me know.. thanks
CRYPTOCAP:ETHEducation
by TraderAmin-KZ
4
STEP 2 to MASTER TRADING: what to do with the NEWS. NEWS BRING TERRIBLE TRADING CONDITIONS During release, spread is all over the place, in addition you can easily miss the fill. So actually worst time you can enter a position is on a release itself, hoping price will rise or fall. But usually, price will make massive moves up and down, liquidating hopeful "news traders" before going in either of direction. So next time when you will regret you were not involved in the news move, just remember that you would not have a good entry point anyway. PRICE CAN GAP BELOW YOUR STOPLOSS Another really important thing to keep in mind is that very often during red news, price can momentarily and significantly gap, and now instead of your breakeven or usual -1RR, you'll have -2 or -3RR, and what's worse - you'll have a big drawdown in your emotional capital. ILLUSION OF UNDERSTANDING Sometimes beginners, and even advanced traders, fall into this illusion. Someone reads 5 articles about a specific news type, and now begins to think they understand how the news will effect the market. In reality, each trading instrument is effected by hunderds of factors, and anyone who wants to understand them, should spend months, even years with that one instrument, learning literally everything about it and what effects it. Everything else is just gambling or being naive. EFFECT HAPPENS BEFORE THE RELEASE If you've being familiar with smart money or institutional trading, ideas of Wyckoff, you'll know that institutions position themselves long time before news release, during accumulations and distributions. Market structure gets established long before actual realease, and what news do are just producement of sporadic moves, grabs of liquidity and easy manipulations. But only 0.01% of news actually change pre-established structure and starts a new trend, big picture doesn't change because of news. What actually starts a move and a trend are accumulations and distributions, and news really can be a part of it, but only a small part. SO WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE NEWS? 1. Check red news releases during your day. Don't enter 15-30 min. before and after the news. 2. If you're already in a trade, and price came relatively close to your entry, it's better to close out the position now, because remember that price can gap below your stoploss. 3. If you're positioned in profit significantly away from the price, leave the position open. So to recap everything above, you need to trade YOUR SYSTEM, YOUR EDGE - for me it's structure, SnD and confirmations - but also we need to acknoledge the short term chaotic news effect, and use our knowledge to manage risk and that's all. Hope this post give you better understanding what should you do in order to become a successful trader. I will be grateful if you support this post by smashing the BOOST button and sharing it with other traders. Thank you! Dima
BINANCE:BNBUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
1
THE MOST IMPORTANT FOREX FUNDAMENTALS 📰 Hey traders, Even though I am a pure technician and I rely only on technical analysis when I trade, we can not deny the fact that fundamentals are the main driver of the financial markets. In this post, we will discuss the most important fundamentals that affect forex market. 📍Unemployment rate. Unemployment rate reflects the percentage of people without a job in a selected country or region. Rising unemployment rate usually signifies an unhealthy state of the economy and negatively affects the currency strength. 📍Housing prices. Housing prices reflect people's demand for housing. Rising rate reflects a healthy state of the economy, strengthening purchasing power of the individuals and their confidence in the future. Growing demand for housing is considered to be one of the most important drivers in the economy. 📍Inflation. Inflation reflects the purchasing power of a currency. It is usually measured by evaluation of the price of the selected basket of goods or services over some period. High inflation is usually the primary indicator of the weakness of the currency and the unhealthy state of the economy. 📍Monetary policy. Monetary policy is the actions of central banks related to money supply in the economy. There are two main levers: interests rates and bank reserve requirements. Higher interest rates suppress the economy, making the currency stronger. Lower interests rates increase the money supply, making the economy grow but devaluing the national currency. 📍Political discourse. Political discourse is the social, economical and geopolitical policies of the national government. Political ideology determines the set of priorities for the ruling party that directly impacts the state of the economy. 📍Payrolls and earnings. Payroll reports reflect the dynamic of the creation of new jobs by the economy, while average earnings show the increase or decrease of the earnings of the individuals. Growing earnings and payrolls positively affect the value of a national currency and signify the expansion of the economy. Pay closes attention to these fundamentals and monitor how the market reacts to that data. What fundamentals do you consider to be the most important? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
5
‼️ Economic calendar week 02.05-06.05 As usual, at the beginning of the month we have a busy week from a fundamental point of view, with presentations of reference rates, NFP, etc. As well, on Monday we have bank holiday on GBP and Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday on JPY, so we can see less volatility on pairs with these currencies. Seems we could see an increase rates on AUD, USD and GBP, but I think we saw bullish price action on these currencies during last weeks and I expect now a retracement. My recommendation is to avoid trading during these news events. Take care!
Education
by Snick3rSD
4-8th April Economic Outlook!Hey traders, Today we're going to be looking through this weeks economic calendar. We're going to look at what data is going to be released and what really is going to be affecting the market. I will also share my bias on the different pairs and the different data being released to see if any of these are going to be tradeable or whether or not we should just kind of stay out of the market during these times of uncertainty. I hope you enjoy this outlook into the week ahead. It's going to be a quiet week compared to recent times unless we get any breaking news coming out of Russia and Ukraine. In terms of economic data releases, it is going to be a little bit quieter than usual. Monday - 4th April We don't have too much happening in our favor on Monday. Here the biggest release is the unemployment change for Spain. While it may move the euro just a little bit, I'm not seeing a whole lot of tradeable opportunity. I think Monday is going to be a lot better just to kind of sit back and watch to see what happens. Tuesday - 5th April On Tuesday, we get a little bit more exciting. We have a fair bit of data being released for us. 🟨 AIG Construction Index Early in the morning we have the AUD, AIG construction index. This index indicates how well the construction industry is actually running at the moment, it's not something we're going to trade, but rather it's good insight as looking ahead into the PMI, into our employment rates and then overall trade balance in the future. It is a good indication of how well the economy is running confined into that construction sector as it is a very large employer in Australia. 🟥 Cash Rate Coming in a little bit later in the day, we have a very large, definitely tradeable event with the RBA rate statement and their overall cash rate. The forecast is for it to remain at 0.10%. I believe this will remain at 0.10%. I'm not expecting any shock announcements. However, in the event we do get a shock number come through, it's going to be a very volatile time and a possible opportunity to be able to catch a lot of pips on the Aussie dollar. If we do get a shock event on this, it will move for a few hours prior to entering into the European market so keep an eye on this release. ⬜ EUR Looking ahead, we do get a lot of services PMI coming out for the euro, but not really looking to be trading that. I'd rather use that as an indication of how well the economy is running, looking ahead into future releases. 🟥 ISM Services PMI The biggest standout is the ISM services PMI for the US dollar. Obviously the market is forecasting growth in the services industry. I'm not too sure how well that's going to stand. It's not something I usually trade. However, given the previous data releases, I'm unsure if it's going to be able to maintain its bullish forecast. We've been told that construction spending is down, the manufacturing PMI, while still expanding has slower growth than what it was first anticipated. Our nonfarm employment change was negative. There's a lot of different areas suggesting that we may not be as hawkish as what the forecast says. So I do expect this to come in a little less than what we're looking at currently but only time will tell. Wednesday - 6th April 🟧 Crude Oil Inventories This is going to be an interesting one. This is something I've been looking to try to look to how it affects the US dollar, but rather something I'm just overly intrigued about given the current circumstances in the world. 🟥 FOMC Meeting Minutes FOMC meeting minutes is always volatile one. it is good to have a look through what the meeting discussed and how it went on. For users that don't know how this affects the market FOMC meeting minutes is a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates. Thursday - 7th April 🟨 AIG Service Index Another AUD index release. We have the construction index earlier in the week, now we have the services index coming out. Once again it's not something I trade, however, it is fantastic insight into retail sales data. When we do get those retail sales announced next week, we can use this services index to give us a pivotal action point on where those retail sales are aiming, which is why I've noticed that in today's economic calendar, it's worth noting because we can make a preemptive play on the retail sales data release. 🟨 Retail Sales The Euro retail sales expecting a little bit of an increase with the overall potential panic buying happening across Europe. It's going to be interesting to see what happens here. We massively missed the forecast in March. However, it is looking like they've been a little bit bearish while still forecasting growth of 0.6%. Banks are no longer aiming for the real high numbers, I think we're going to come in maybe around 1%, but I'm not putting money on that prediction, it is rather an assumption. I will have to do some more research and I recommend you do you same as well, having the services PMI come through this week from all the different countries within Europe is going to be a great insight into how well the economy is actually performing on the retail sales front. Friday - 8th April Nothing worth mentioning on Friday, the week is going to come to a slow stop. As I said, it is a bit of a slow week this week, only a few different data points worth noting, so we will end the week quite quiet. Obviously, we might have a bit more movement on the fundamental side of things next week but this week looks like it's lining to be a great technical analysis trading week. Always keep your eye on the whole Russia and Ukraine situation because anything can happen there and the market will react accordingly. Do keep your news streams live and in depth as you don't want to be caught off guard by anything going on over there. These are personally just my outlooks having a look into the future week. Do note the data to keep an eye on when they are released and of course you can use the TradingView calendar as well to keep note on that. Have a fantastic trading week, I wish you all the best success.
Education
by the5erstrading
How To Trade During the News?It's critical for forex traders to pay attention to big economic data releases, government statements, and geopolitical events. Why? Because this information generally represents a country's economic strength and can predict a currency's future direction. Trading the news might be tough and not fit for everyone, but the resulting volatility can provide a plethora of trading chances. You know what they say: with the big volatility, comes the big responsibility (or something like that, right? #InvestroyJoke), so beware of wide spreads and slippages. We must first determine whether news items are even worth trading before building a "Trade the News" method. "Which news releases should I trade?" is a question you want to be able to answer. The big event risks that have a significant influence on the major currencies should be familiarized by forex traders. Remember, we're trading the news because it has the potential to raise volatility in the near term, thus we'd want to trade just the news that has the most market-moving potential for the currency market. The news that tends to influence market action and create volatility generally consists of the following: Modifications in central bank policy (sometimes known as "monetary policy"). Changes in government policy (sometimes known as "fiscal policy"). Economic data releases have had unexpected results. Random tweets from a particular international leader who enjoys emblazoning his name on skyscrapers (not anymore), or a billionaire working on spacexploration. Pretty much everything marked red in the economic calendar (especially related to US). There is no single news trading approach. As traders assess the conclusion versus market expectations, the price tends to surge in one way or have a subdued reaction to the news. With this knowledge, there are two basic ways to exchange news: a) Having a bias in one way b) Having an asymmetrical bias When you have a directional bias, you expect the market to move in one way when the news is disclosed. When looking for a trading opportunity in a certain direction, it's helpful to understand what aspects of news stories lead the market to move. The non-directional bias technique is a more popular news trading strategy. This strategy ignores any directional bias and merely relies on the fact that a major news event will cause a significant movement. It makes no difference either way the FX market swings. We simply want to be present when it happens! When you have a directional bias, you expect the price to go in a specific way, and you've already placed your orders. When news is released, it is always beneficial to grasp the underlying reasons why the market swings in a particular manner. You don't care which way pricing goes when you have a non-directional bias. All you want to do is get activated. Straddle trades are a type of non-directional bias setup. Conclusion: In addition to the factors mentioned above, you should be willing to learn along the way by figuring out: which news are stronger than others, what is the difference that needs to be between forecast vs actual for volatility to skyrocket and which news you should never even try trading. All these things come from trading and trading only (moreover, bad news, market changes every year). Personal note: The way we do it most of the time is… we trade them way before release, as this is how market picks up the direction.
Education
by Investroy
15
Understanding News ManipulationIt is crucial to understand the price action prior to a high impact news event. Analysing the range to the left beforehand can help you determine what move is likely to come next. In this example, we saw the price was driven down by the bears to stop out buyers, only to reverse immediately to the upside moments after the news had been released. By studying and acquiring knowledge like this, you can predict market moves that are likely to come with fundamentals. Find the liquidity and trade it, or be the liquidity.
Education
by AlkalineFX
10